In the last 20 days, ugly has averaged 10.25 posts/day, i've averaged 57.2. He's got 1169 posts to go, which should take him ~114 days, where as i have 9060 to go, which should take me 158.
The last time i ran some numbers, i came up short by something like 3 days iirc, which wouldn't be too hard to make up, but now it looks like i'll be around a month later, which will require quite a bit more posts to overcome (79 posts/day, 22/day more than i've been averaging lately).