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#227 Nov 05 2013 at 10:53 AM Rating: Good
They're still homeless, but they have Obamaphones in case someone calls them with a job offer?
#228 Nov 05 2013 at 11:03 AM Rating: Excellent
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The middle class might be better off today than in the 1950s when it comes to gadgets. They're probably not better off when it comes to general economic stability. I don't think the general perception of "middle class" in 1955 was living paycheck to paycheck and worrying that an illness would bankrupt you or risk your home to foreclosure.

I posted this once before but...
TheMiddleClass.org wrote:
The middle class is more than an income bracket. Over the past 50 years, a middle-class standard of living in the United States has come to mean having a secure job, a safe and stable home, access to health care, retirement security, time off for vacation, illness and the birth or adoption of a child, opportunities to save for the future and the ability to provide a good education, including a college education, for one's children. When these middle-class fundamentals are within the reach of most Americans, the nation is stronger economically, culturally and democratically.


Is the "middle class" better off today than in the 1950s by that definition and not just how many mp3 player and flat screen TV options you have? Probably not. Almost certainly not.

Edited, Nov 5th 2013 11:07am by Jophiel
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#229 Nov 05 2013 at 11:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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Just for fun.

For the record I think the 1950's is really not a very good decade to compare to just in general. The biggest reason is that it's right in the middle of a historic post-war world-wide economic expansion. With the U.S. being the only major industrial power that didn't have to rebuild their country we were in a perfect position to benefit from it and leverage the new technologies that the war had brought (think things like cheaper cars, housing, really anything manufactured, etc.).

It's a little disingenuous to think we could easily get back to those economic conditions; without blowing up half the world again, of course. Smiley: rolleyes

Edited, Nov 5th 2013 9:36am by someproteinguy
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#230 Nov 05 2013 at 11:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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Hey, he picked 1950, not me.

Of course, it's obvious that he picked it because his concept of "middle class" begins and ends with how many consumer electronics you can buy and ignores minor things like job security, owning a home or health care.
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#231 Nov 05 2013 at 11:47 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
The middle class might be better off today than in the 1950s when it comes to gadgets. They're probably not better off when it comes to general economic stability. I don't think the general perception of "middle class" in 1955 was living paycheck to paycheck and worrying that an illness would bankrupt you or risk your home to foreclosure.

I posted this once before but...
TheMiddleClass.org wrote:
The middle class is more than an income bracket. Over the past 50 years, a middle-class standard of living in the United States has come to mean having a secure job, a safe and stable home, access to health care, retirement security, time off for vacation, illness and the birth or adoption of a child, opportunities to save for the future and the ability to provide a good education, including a college education, for one's children. When these middle-class fundamentals are within the reach of most Americans, the nation is stronger economically, culturally and democratically.


Is the "middle class" better off today than in the 1950s by that definition and not just how many mp3 player and flat screen TV options you have? Probably not. Almost certainly not.

Edited, Nov 5th 2013 11:07am by Jophiel
Lol, I want my mtv on a flat HD screen.

I've not yet afforded myself one of them flat screeners. My middle class status is in question.

Ideally a middle class is the biggest chunk of the population. Thats clearly not the case in the US. Most of our population lives well below 'middle-class' standards at, or just above poverty. They probably have tvs.

Our incarceration rates have skyrocketed since the 80's, our life expectancy is plateauing for the first time ever, premature births rates up since the 80's. Public education has completely crapped out - classroom sizes are once again on the increase, arts, music, shop classes - gone from many schools. These are all indicators of a larger pool of people with fewer resources.

Income inequality is not simply one guy has a gazillion dollars and the other only has a million, therefore they're both financially comfortable. It's distribution of wealth, distribution of resources - resources like health and education. But also, and probably what's most detrimental to the country is that the concentration of wealth in the hands of the few allows those few to buy legislation that serves the interest of those few, versus the interests of the many - duh.
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#232 Nov 05 2013 at 11:50 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Hey, he picked 1950, not me.

Of course, it's obvious that he picked it because his concept of "middle class" begins and ends with how many consumer electronics you can buy and ignores minor things like job security, owning a home or health care.

I was sure it was all tied to Leave it to Beaver.

Ward was the best middle-class dad ever.
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#233 Nov 05 2013 at 12:03 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
Hey, he picked 1950, not me.

Of course, it's obvious that he picked it because his concept of "middle class" begins and ends with how many consumer electronics you can buy and ignores minor things like job security, owning a home or health care.
I know, I just find the whole "The 50's were great, so vote for me!" thing to be humorous, you just happened to be the last poster. You lucky guy, you. Smiley: wink
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#234 Nov 05 2013 at 12:27 PM Rating: Excellent
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The idea that owning a flatscreen instead of a CRT somehow indicates an increase in standard of living is quite amusing.
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#235 Nov 05 2013 at 2:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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I know, right? Flat screens aren't even as good as CRTs for competitive video gaming due to display latency!
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#236 Nov 05 2013 at 2:44 PM Rating: Good
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The best gamers don't even need screen. Remember Tommy?
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#237 Nov 05 2013 at 2:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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That deaf, dumb and blind kid sure plays a mean Call of Duty: Ghosts....
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#238 Nov 05 2013 at 4:40 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
That deaf, dumb and blind kid sure plays a mean Call of Duty: Ghosts....
Doesn't quite have the same ring to it.
#239 Nov 05 2013 at 6:47 PM Rating: Default
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Timelordwho wrote:
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1. Your earnings increase $1000/year, but your neighbors earnings increase by $10,000/year. Nothing else changes.

2. Your earnings stay the same and your neighbors earnings stay the same. Nothing else changes either.
Is this neighbor singular or neighbor plurality?


Singular. I'm specifically excluding larger scale macro economic effects here (hence, my statement that "nothing else changes"). The point is to show that just because one person's earnings increase more than another person's over a given period of time does not mean that the second person is "worse off" as a result. I'm disproving Smash's assumption by presenting a simple case where his assumption fails. That's it.

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If it's the plurality you'd be worse of because fiat currency is a placeholder for value, not real wealth. If money is raining from the sky and falls primarily in your neighbors yard, and some in your yard, sure whatever, go pick it up. It's fantasy land at any rate.


It's not. And that wasn't remotely the point I was making. The argument that a gap between rich and poor all by itself is "bad" rests on the assumption that if person A's wealth/income increases faster than person B, that this is bad for person B. My case was designed to specifically show that this assumption is false, therefore the assumption that a growing gap between rich and poor over a period of time is bad is also false.

Pretty basic logic, right?

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command economy theories used by the Soviet Union, for example
They had problems due to a focus not on creating consumer wealth but entrenching a bureaucracy.


The bureaucracy became unmanageable *because* the government was in charge of making economic decisions. Which is what will inevitably occur when you have the government make those decisions rather than the free market. It's not about where the "focus" is, but the very attempt to use the government to control market outcomes.

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but whether there's some social reason to cut into that growth as a cost to pay for social benefits for the poor.
There is an argument to be made for infrastructure in lieu of transfers, but in the current economic landscape arguing for austerity is a strategically foolish third way.


You're completely missing my point. I'm simply saying that there is a cost for social benefits and we should not lie to ourselves about it.

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Quick: You can have 5% of $100 or 1% of $1000.
Again your microeconomics en masse isn't the same thing as macro petit, much the same way the plural of anecdote is not data, nor is the reverse. There are other problems with this, but i'm going to try to make a concise point.


Ok. But then you have to make the argument that there are macroeconomic factors involved beyond "The gap between rich and poor has increased". Like actually arguing why you think this is a bad thing. What's amusing is that I've directly asked people to provide such an explanation several times in this thread, and so far not a single person has actually done it. Folks have tap danced around the issue, but none have directly addressed it.
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#240 Nov 05 2013 at 6:53 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
Hey, he picked 1950, not me.

Of course, it's obvious that he picked it because his concept of "middle class" begins and ends with how many consumer electronics you can buy and ignores minor things like job security, owning a home or health care.


I didn't pick it. rdm picked it:

rdmcandie wrote:

In 1950, a gallon of gasoline cost about 27 cents.
In 2012, a gallon of gasoline costs $3.69.
In 1950, you could buy a first-class stamp for just 3 cents.
In 2012, a first-class stamp will cost you 45 cents.
In 1950, more than 80 percent of all men were employed.
In 2012, less than 65 percent of all men are employed.
In 1950, the average duration of unemployment was about 12 weeks.
In 2012, the average duration of unemployment is about 40 weeks.
In 1950, the average family spent about 22% of its income on housing.
In 2012, the average family spends about 43% of its income on housing.


I responded to this post by pointing out that he was cherry picking stats, while ignoring a host of things that are better today than in 1950, and also ignoring that some of his stats don't quite mean what he thinks (like my point that people pay more for housing as a percentage of their income because more people can afford to pay a higher percentage for housing and choose to do so). I also think people are grossly overestimating job security, home ownership rates, and health care rates back in 1950 compared to today.
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#241 Nov 05 2013 at 6:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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Gbaji wrote:
Singular. I'm specifically excluding larger scale macro economic effects here (hence, my statement that "nothing else changes"). The point is to show that just because one person's earnings increase more than another person's over a given period of time does not mean that the second person is "worse off" as a result. I'm disproving Smash's assumption by presenting a simple case where his assumption fails. That's it.


"On the whole Smash is right, but if you ignore the big picture and look right at this specifically isolated portion of the data it shows nothing changes and disprooves Smash."

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#242 Nov 05 2013 at 7:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
while ignoring a host of things that are better today than in 1950

Color TVs, yay!

Foreclosure rates are about 100x what they were in 1950 but... color TVs! Middle America never had it so good! Everyone shut up and stop complaining and watch your cheap color televisions!
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#243 Nov 05 2013 at 7:11 PM Rating: Good
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I like where this thread is going.

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#244 Nov 05 2013 at 7:11 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
while ignoring a host of things that are better today than in 1950

Color TVs, yay!

Foreclosure rates are about 100x what they were in 1950 but... color TVs! Middle America never had it so good! Everyone shut up and stop complaining and watch your cheap color televisions!


No no Joph don't you see, I picked the 50's because it skews the data in my favor. That was my master plan. Never mind the amount of people entering poverty is the highest its been in the entire history of the US, my cherry picking of the first economically stable decade since 1900 skews the data.

I should have compared it to the 60's, 70's, 80's or 90's where today still has the highest percentage of people entering poverty. See the difference of me cherry picking the dates makes.
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#245 Nov 05 2013 at 7:16 PM Rating: Excellent
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TirithRR wrote:
I like where this thread is going.


I've seen those graphics before. Was that guy playing Everquest?
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#246 Nov 05 2013 at 7:19 PM Rating: Good
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I can't watch that video in my country because it contains the word ****** and is banned here.
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#247 Nov 05 2013 at 7:19 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Ok. But then you have to make the argument that there are macroeconomic factors involved beyond "The gap between rich and poor has increased". Like actually arguing why you think this is a bad thing. What's amusing is that I've directly asked people to provide such an explanation several times in this thread, and so far not a single person has actually done it. Folks have tap danced around the issue, but none have directly addressed it.

Hey! I did. Smiley: glare

It concentrates political power, undermining the democratic process. As much as those Republican types leverage arguments about the Democrats buying off the poor people with promises of free health care and such I figured it'd be a fairly straight-forward argument to make. Smiley: tongue
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#248 Nov 05 2013 at 7:19 PM Rating: Good
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Singular. I'm specifically excluding larger scale macro economic effects here (hence, my statement that "nothing else changes"). The point is to show that just because one person's earnings increase more than another person's over a given period of time does not mean that the second person is "worse off" as a result. I'm disproving Smash's assumption by presenting a simple case where his assumption fails. That's it.


No, you're not, because his assumption is in the context of macroeconomic analysis. Which Is why I positioned my statement as such, so you could see why. You've really outfoxed that strawman though. You've got him good.

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It's not. And that wasn't remotely the point I was making. The argument that a gap between rich and poor all by itself is "bad" rests on the assumption that if person A's wealth/income increases faster than person B, that this is bad for person B. My case was designed to specifically show that this assumption is false, therefore the assumption that a growing gap between rich and poor over a period of time is bad is also false.

Pretty basic logic, right?


Currency isn't wealth. Wealth is not currency. Fiat currency is most especially not wealth.

Stop conflating them and you'll understand this discussion better. It's two different growth rates, linked via inflation and other distributary functions.

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Ok. But then you have to make the argument that there are macroeconomic factors involved beyond "The gap between rich and poor has increased". Like actually arguing why you think this is a bad thing. What's amusing is that I've directly asked people to provide such an explanation several times in this thread, and so far not a single person has actually done it. Folks have tap danced around the issue, but none have directly addressed it.


There are, and various arguements have been toss into the ring in this very thread. "The gap between the rich and poor has increased" is data analysis not a qualitative judgement. There are studies out that show the correlation between a Gini skew and various social Ills. If you are lazy you can look at wikipedia

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#249 Nov 05 2013 at 7:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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rdmcandie wrote:
I can't watch that video in my country because it contains the word ****** and is banned here.

Actually, that video has that verse cut. Because censorship.
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#250 Nov 05 2013 at 7:23 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
rdmcandie wrote:
I can't watch that video in my country because it contains the word ****** and is banned here.

Actually, that video has that verse cut. Because censorship.


Well thats sh*t. Im glad I can't see it then. Id rather not watch or hear anything thats cut to sh*t because some ****** got emotional.


Edited, Nov 5th 2013 8:23pm by rdmcandie
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#251 Nov 05 2013 at 8:05 PM Rating: Good
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The bureaucracy became unmanageable *because* the government was in charge of making economic decisions. Which is what will inevitably occur when you have the government make those decisions rather than the free market. It's not about where the "focus" is, but the very attempt to use the government to control market outcomes.


No, the focus was not on wealth creation, at least insofar as the consumer markets, the focus was on creating control, and generating certain ideological outcomes.

China uses same sort of command apparatus to create enormous wealth, because, shockingly, it's one of their objectives.

The US used strategies of a command economy to create wealth during one of it's largest booms.

There are certain aspects of wealth generation that the private sector services better due to various structural efficiencies, and are positively affected by vulnerabilities that the publicly funded pursuits can wall themselves off from. eg. cummulative morass effects.

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You're completely missing my point. I'm simply saying that there is a cost for social benefits and we should not lie to ourselves about it.


And there is an opportunity cost to not do so. If economic conditions were such that it was not a good bargain this could be a very different discussion. We could manage to agree on things then but you'd still not know why.

Since you're fond of analogies, would you purchase gold if it's price was going to grow exponentially (in the positive direction) assuming it's fungible and liquid?
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