I'm doing my best to help Michigan go O.
I know many people where I work are voting for Obama. I think we have a vested interest in Tesla Motors... that probably helps.
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Can't sleep, clown will eat me.
NYTimes lists it as leaning towards Obama, but it's not a solid sell there yet. But maybe they're just not willing to jump to conclusions because of the Romney ties there?
IDrownFish wrote:
Anyways, you all are horrible, @#%^ed up people
lolgaxe wrote:
Never underestimate the healing power of a massive dong.
RCP has Michigan as O+4, 538 has it as O+5.6, both weighed down slightly by the tie poll which was likely an outlier when compared to everyone else's numbers.
MI and Pennsylvania have gone Democrat every cycle since 1988 (Bush vs Mondale). Somehow they get lumped into "battleground states" and the GOP makes some half-assed play for them each cycle (McCain did the same in '08) and the media runs stories about how Michigan or Pennsylvania looks close but, in reality, by the time they flip you've almost certainly flipped enough other states to win.
As for the NYT, I'm guessing they just have some polling threshold like +10 or more to move it from "Leans" to "Likely". They only have three levels of ratings on that map, Leans, Likely or Battleground. MI isn't a battleground but it's not as "sure" a lock as New York, IL or California.
MI and Pennsylvania have gone Democrat every cycle since 1988 (Bush vs Mondale). Somehow they get lumped into "battleground states" and the GOP makes some half-assed play for them each cycle (McCain did the same in '08) and the media runs stories about how Michigan or Pennsylvania looks close but, in reality, by the time they flip you've almost certainly flipped enough other states to win.
As for the NYT, I'm guessing they just have some polling threshold like +10 or more to move it from "Leans" to "Likely". They only have three levels of ratings on that map, Leans, Likely or Battleground. MI isn't a battleground but it's not as "sure" a lock as New York, IL or California.
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Voted on Thursday. Working across the street from city hall does afford very, very few advantages. 
Edited, Oct 27th 2012 12:40am by Paskil
Edited, Oct 27th 2012 12:40am by Paskil
Jophiel wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
I laughed, but it just looks like a botched panoramic shot to me?
The copy with all the pink arrows shows evidence for it not being an innocent panoramic shot (intentional manipulation within the copied areas) but I'll let folks decide that for themselves.
His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
I laughed, but it just looks like a botched panoramic shot to me?
The copy with all the pink arrows shows evidence for it not being an innocent panoramic shot (intentional manipulation within the copied areas) but I'll let folks decide that for themselves.
His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
The copy with all the pink arrows shows evidence for it not being an innocent panoramic shot (intentional manipulation within the copied areas) but I'll let folks decide that for themselves.
You mean the guy laying down the pink arrows is wrong. I'll be the first to admit that it makes no "real" difference one way or the other aside from making me laugh.
Back to polling, a blurb backing up what I was saying earlier about OH/NV/WI:
Political Wire wrote:
While President Obama's average lead in Ohio is just 2.3 points, Mitt Romney doesn't lead in a single poll. In Nevada, Obama's edge is 2.5 points and Romney has led in just one poll this entire year. In Wisconsin, Romney trails by just 2.3 points but hasn't led in a single poll since August.
Harry Enten notes that "in only one in 150 of the state contests in the last three presidential elections was there an instance of a candidate winning a state where he didn't hold the edge in at least a single poll in the closing weeks of the campaign."
Harry Enten notes that "in only one in 150 of the state contests in the last three presidential elections was there an instance of a candidate winning a state where he didn't hold the edge in at least a single poll in the closing weeks of the campaign."
Edited, Oct 27th 2012 10:38am by Jophiel
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Zomney!
Edited, Oct 28th 2012 11:15pm by Omegavegeta
"The Rich are there to take all of the money & pay none of the taxes, the middle class is there to do all the work and pay all the taxes, and the poor are there to scare the crap out of the middle class." -George Carlin
He's right.
Spam does have it's own key.
Spam does have it's own key.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!!
Telegraph wrote:
Meanwhile, the storm appears to be inspiring outburst of indomitable American patriotism. Daniel Matros tweets this picture of defiance. Take that, Sandy.
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Damn hurricanes. Illegally enterin' our country and stealin' our jorbs.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
lolgaxe wrote:
Damn hurricanes. Enterin' our country and takin' our jobs overseas.
Shaowstrike (Retired - FFXI)
91PUP/BLM 86SMN/BST 76DRK
Cooking/Fishing 100
"We don't just borrow words; on occasion, English has pursued other languages down alleyways to beat them unconscious and rifle their pockets for new vocabulary."
— James D. Nicoll
91PUP/BLM 86SMN/BST 76DRK
Cooking/Fishing 100
"We don't just borrow words; on occasion, English has pursued other languages down alleyways to beat them unconscious and rifle their pockets for new vocabulary."
— James D. Nicoll
Jophiel wrote:
U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!!
Telegraph wrote:
Meanwhile, the storm appears to be inspiring outburst of indomitable American patriotism. Daniel Matros tweets this picture of defiance. Take that, Sandy.
Storm made fun of his giant man boobs.
madeyalook
That monster in the mirror, he just might be you. -Grover
Lightening hits flag pole, travels through shotgun, shotgun fires, kickback sends shotgun backwards, storm yells "Bangkok! Bangkok! Bangkok!"
soo much funnier in my head
soo much funnier in my head
As a dirty foreigner, I'm with Abe on this whole election thingamabob.
Please "talk up" if your comprehension white-shifts. I will use simple-happy language-words to help you understand.
someproteinguy wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!! U.S.A.!!
Telegraph wrote:
Meanwhile, the storm appears to be inspiring outburst of indomitable American patriotism. Daniel Matros tweets this picture of defiance. Take that, Sandy.
Storm made fun of his giant man boobs.
madeyalook
Winner, 2012 Pennsyltucky Wet T-Shirt Contest.
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
Why is this thread still going? Omegavegeta already won.
lolgaxe wrote:
Damn hurricanes. Illegally enterin' our country and stealin' our jorbs.
Nonsense, Sandy is a job creator! She's given jobs to hundreds of telecom and power industry employees, and like most successful businesspeople, is committed to not paying taxes, devastating our infrastructure, and shutting down the local government.
Just as Planned.
Turin wrote:
Why is this thread still going?
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
lolgaxe wrote:
Turin wrote:
Why is this thread still going?
I'm just following lollies lead.
Alma wrote:
I lost my post
If you're going to do that, keep an eye out for Chris Hansen.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
Timelordwho wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
Damn hurricanes. Illegally enterin' our country and stealin' our jorbs.
Nonsense, Sandy is a job creator! She's given jobs to hundreds of telecom and power industry employees, and like most successful businesspeople, is committed to not paying taxes, devastating our infrastructure, and shutting down the local government.
So basically like any other Obama program? Broken Window Fallacy anyone? Cash for Clunkers? Hope for a Hurricane?
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
By far and away the highlight of yet another completely pointless US election.... so far.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=6TiXUF9xbTo
Edited, Oct 30th 2012 10:14pm by paulsol
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=6TiXUF9xbTo
Edited, Oct 30th 2012 10:14pm by paulsol
"If you have selfish, ignorant citizens, you're gonna get selfish, ignorant leaders". Carlin.
gbaji wrote:
Cash for Clunkers? Hope for a Hurricane?
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Cash for Clunkers? Hope for a Hurricane?
Unless your intention was to just randomly toss out labels, those aren't examples of the fallacy.
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
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