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#77 Sep 21 2011 at 8:03 PM Rating: Decent
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someproteinguy wrote:
Not that I don't get that there are reasons (agree with them or not) we have loopholes/incentives/whatever but still, seems kind of silly that having your farm go organic or having kids would be a loophole, but adjusting a portfolio (if I'm understanding what he's doing...) would not.


Didn't I just explain the difference between income and capital gains? They are two completely different types of economic activities and are subject to two different taxes, with two different rates. The sales tax in your area is probably higher than the property tax rate, but it would be ridiculous to claim that by buying a home instead of buying stuff in the stores you're using a loophole to avoid paying taxes. Now, getting your home declared an historical site so you can take advantage of a tax deduction for maintaining said site *is* a loophole.


When we talk about tax loopholes, we're talking about things you do within a single type of tax which allows you to pay less of that specific tax.


I'm honestly beginning to suspect you have no clue what capital gains are. Which sorta hinders any discussion.
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#78 Sep 21 2011 at 8:11 PM Rating: Excellent
gbaji wrote:
catwho wrote:
The majority of people who are investing in 401(k)s as their main retirement plans aren't the ones who tend to invest in stocks. If they have any at all, it's because the company gave them to them at some point. I know that, of the three jobs I've worked where I was offered a 401(k), I had no choice in the specific options other than "aggressive," "moderate," or "cautious" and I certainly wasn't given any of the company's stock directly - probably because they were privately owned companies without any stock. If small businesses are the backbone of America... then a lot of those small businesses aren't publicly traded. Remember that.


Sure. But according to about.com 9% of all private sector employees in the US receive stock options from the companies they work for, and 18% own some stock for the companies they work for (presumably all or nearly all of that 9% is a subset of the 18%). That's a pretty good chunk of people, and it doesn't include people who may directly own stock in companies other than the one they work for. Given that half the people who own stock in the companies they work for aren't granted stock options (meaning they just choose to spend their own money on stock), it's not unreasonable to expect that there's at least a few percent more who buy stock as an investment even if their own company isn't publicly traded.


In any case, it's clear we can't be talking about just the top couple of percent of the wealthiest folks in the US.

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If you went up to the average minimum wage worker and asked them about their stock portfolio, they'd probably give you a deer in the headlights stare. Or start laughing at you.


There's a huge range of salaries between minimum wage and "rich" though.


By your own numbers we are talking about 82% of the nation not having stock in the company they work for. And while there's a huge range of salaries between minimum wage and rich, they are all pretty strongly tilted toward the minimum wage side of the equation, in comparison to the rich side of the equation. If the median household income is ~$50,000, that's a great deal closer to the wage slaves earning $15K a year than it is the wealthy earning a million bucks a year.
#79 Sep 21 2011 at 8:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I'm honestly beginning to suspect you have no clue what capital gains are. Which sorta hinders any discussion.


There's a lot of things I don't understand, which is why I ask questions. Smiley: nod

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The sales tax in your area is probably higher than the property tax rate, but it would be ridiculous to claim that by buying a home instead of buying stuff in the stores you're using a loophole to avoid paying taxes.


It's not, but since that's not your point, it's not really relevant. Smiley: smile

Edited, Sep 21st 2011 7:38pm by someproteinguy
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#80 Sep 21 2011 at 8:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
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This is ironic because Warren's point very obviously cruised right over yours.
Ok. I'll bite. What exactly do you think Buffet's point was...

That you should learn to read.

Edited, Sep 21st 2011 9:21pm by Jophiel
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#81 Sep 21 2011 at 9:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
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This is ironic because Warren's point very obviously cruised right over yours.
Ok. I'll bite. What exactly do you think Buffet's point was...

That you should learn to read.

Edited, Sep 21st 2011 9:21pm by Jophiel

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#82 Sep 22 2011 at 2:21 PM Rating: Decent
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catwho wrote:
By your own numbers we are talking about 82% of the nation not having stock in the company they work for.


And? It's not like 100-18 is complex math. I'm not sure how switching it around changes anything. Can you agree that raising taxes on capital gains must mathematically result in higher taxes on more than just the richest 2% of earners. I mean, it's not about class warfare, it's about "math", remember?

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And while there's a huge range of salaries between minimum wage and rich, they are all pretty strongly tilted toward the minimum wage side of the equation, in comparison to the rich side of the equation. If the median household income is ~$50,000, that's a great deal closer to the wage slaves earning $15K a year than it is the wealthy earning a million bucks a year.


And? I'm not sure what your point is. So we should punish people who are modestly successful while lying to ourselves and pretending that we're just punishing "the filthy rich"? That's the class warfare aspect to this. Obama is playing on the willingness (in some cases "eagerness") of the population to stick it to "the rich", but his proposals will hurt far far more than just that group. Even if you think it's ok to hurt the rich because they are rich, his plan is a bad one.

But that would require applying actual math. And despite Obama's statements to the contrary, his position isn't about math at all. The math doesn't support his position. What's so amazingly stupid about his speeches recently is that he's the one creating the "it's class warfare or its math" comparison. So when the math doesn't check out, his own words tell us what he's really doing. He's going all in on this one, but he's got an incredibly weak hand and his opponents are calling his bluff. Watch for disaster to result.
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#83 Sep 22 2011 at 3:52 PM Rating: Excellent
I'd actually venture to say that a great many of those 18% don't make enough earnings off their stock options for it to matter. If you've got $10,000 in stock stashed away and your dividends for the year are five hundred dollars, and you have to pay $100 in taxes because of that and an extra $50 of taxes would hurt your lifestyle, you've got bigger problems.

My father in law, great fool he is, had $100K in GM stock. GM undergoing debt restructuring means he lost 90% of its value in a few short weeks. It's since climbed back up to about half its initial value, but he won't be paying taxes on that for a long, long time, since it's still considered a loss.

I believe the majority of folks with large amounts of stock would rather their stock do spectacularly and have to eat a larger portion in taxes than they would have their stock do poorly so they can pay lower taxes.

#84 Sep 22 2011 at 4:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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The only relevant math in gbaji-land is:


money > people
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#85 Sep 22 2011 at 4:56 PM Rating: Good
Friar Bijou wrote:
The only relevant math in gbaji-land is:


Corporations > people


FTFY

#86 Sep 22 2011 at 5:20 PM Rating: Good
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Lol @ whoever karma bombed this thread.

Another victory for the poor!
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#87 Sep 22 2011 at 5:35 PM Rating: Decent
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catwho wrote:
I'd actually venture to say that a great many of those 18% don't make enough earnings off their stock options for it to matter. If you've got $10,000 in stock stashed away and your dividends for the year are five hundred dollars, and you have to pay $100 in taxes because of that and an extra $50 of taxes would hurt your lifestyle, you've got bigger problems.


By that argument we should raise the income tax rate on poor people since it wont cost them much either. X% more in tax is X% more. It's relative to the amount of money you have invested, so it's always going to hurt you the same amount relatively speaking.

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My father in law, great fool he is, had $100K in GM stock. GM undergoing debt restructuring means he lost 90% of its value in a few short weeks. It's since climbed back up to about half its initial value, but he won't be paying taxes on that for a long, long time, since it's still considered a loss.


Sure. And when he does make a gain off that investment, do you think that he should be taxed at a higher rate? Don't you agree that this hurts him a hell of a lot more than it hurts the multi-billionaires that Obama wants us all to focus on?


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I believe the majority of folks with large amounts of stock would rather their stock do spectacularly and have to eat a larger portion in taxes than they would have their stock do poorly so they can pay lower taxes.


And if those relationships were the choices at hand, you'd have a point. However, the reality is that lower tax rates on capital gains tends to encourage more investment which takes advantage of that rate (ie: longer term investment instead of short term "playing the market" stuff). That investment itself tends to make the longer term outlook better.

Investors already have a choice to make fast money in the market, with the trade off being that they pay higher taxes. That's why short term capital gains are taxed as income (and why income rates must always be higher than long term capital gains rates). The lower long term gain rate is designed as a reward for putting your money into something for a longer period of time. The assumption of the whole system is that longer term investments tend to actually make the whole market grow and be more stable. Since we're talking about that long term capital gains rate here (that's what Warren Buffet gets and why his tax rate is lower than his secretary's), we're already speaking specifically about those who've invested in longer term things designed to generate greater sustained market growth. Taxing that at a higher rate is simply punishing people for doing the right thing with their money.



It's just interesting to me that it seems like current Democratic party economic policy seems hell bent on doing exactly the wrong things economically. If you were to come to me and ask how to make an economy do poorly, and recover slowly, and increase its odds of getting stuck in a recession without much chance of recovery, I'd suggest a list of things which look almost exactly like what the Dems have been doing (or trying to do) for the last few years. It's amazing that they've somehow hit on this as an economic strategy and even more amazing how many people don't realize (yet) just how horrible it is.
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#88 Sep 22 2011 at 5:53 PM Rating: Excellent
$50 more in taxes IS going to hurt someone making $14,000 a year a bit more than it will hurt someone making $140,000. But we've already established that those folks are probably among the 82% who don't own stock in their own company.

Edited, Sep 22nd 2011 7:54pm by catwho
#89 Sep 22 2011 at 6:03 PM Rating: Default
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catwho wrote:
$50 more in taxes IS going to hurt someone making $14,000 a year a bit more than it will hurt someone making $140,000. But we've already established that those folks are probably among the 82% who don't own stock in their own company.

Edited, Sep 22nd 2011 7:54pm by catwho


That is a matter of perspective, if both are living at the limit of their means then a hike will affect both similarly (in accordance to income taxes). However raising the capital gains tax is completely different, while it affects both similarly, to that extent most "poor" people have no investments where as richer people do.

Raising income tax on solely the rich imo is not going to change anything. Adjusting capital gains will provide a good influx. Not only that being taxed on income earned there will encourage people to leave money in the market longer, in order to avoid a larger tax on their exit amounts. (which further assists the economy in keeping money moving through many hands.)
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#90 Sep 22 2011 at 6:06 PM Rating: Decent
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catwho wrote:
$50 more in taxes IS going to hurt someone making $14,000 a year a bit more than it will hurt someone making $140,000. But we've already established that those folks are probably among the 82% who don't own stock in their own company.


If we're going to play all-or-nothing extremes again. Whether one receive stock options depends solely on the policies of the company one works for, not the salary you are paid. I started getting stock options when I was earning around $30k/year. While that's clearly higher than your hypothetical $14k/year figure, it's still well inside the "working class" income range, and certainly not even close to "stinking rich".

Twice as many people participate in employee stock purchase plans than receive options (because every company that gives options also has espp, but not the other way around). And guess what? People buy into those plans at salaries well below what you would consider "rich" as well. Certainly, well below your hypothetical $140k/year salary figure.

Raising capital gains tax rates hurts a hell of a lot of people who are not rich. It hurts middle class people. It hurts working class people trying to become middle class. I was able to buy a home (in freaking California) while earning about $50k/year and was able to put a large enough down payment to avoid many of the traps that some people fell into during that time period. Want to know how? Because I had invested money into company stocks. Capital gains tax rates absolutely could have made a difference there.


Tax rates tend to do very little to affect people's current economic condition. They do tend to significantly affect their future economic condition. Depending on the tax it can make it harder to get a good paying job, slower to get higher pay at the job you are at, and harder to obtain and retain any wealth you do manage to save/invest. This is why I keep pointing out that thinking about tax rates based on how much they hurt or help a given group right now is just the wrong way of looking at it. You can't hurt the rich by raising their tax rates. You will absolutely slaughter the middle class long before you do more than bother the rich. And you'll make it nearly impossible for working class people to become middle class even longer before that.


Higher taxes does not help the poor. It makes more people poor. Think about the long term effects, not just what you need the money for today.
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#91 Sep 22 2011 at 6:12 PM Rating: Decent
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rdmcandie wrote:
Adjusting capital gains will provide a good influx. Not only that being taxed on income earned there will encourage people to leave money in the market longer, in order to avoid a larger tax on their exit amounts. (which further assists the economy in keeping money moving through many hands.)


That is completely 100% backwards. Ok. I really do suspect that some of you don't understand how capital gains taxes work. If you buy something and then sell it within 1 year of buying it at a profit, you pay income tax on that gain. It is simply added to your income. Period. You *only* get the long term capital gain tax rate (currently 15%) if you hold that investment for at least 1 year.

The more you raise that capital gains rate the less incentive someone has to hold for a year (or more) rather than just make quick buy and sell actions on the market. Every investor is going to make decisions based on what maximizes the money that ends out in their pocket. Raising that capital gains rate means that you increase the odds that some shorter term condition will occur which will make it more worthwhile to sell something *now* even though you have to pay income tax rates on it, rather than hold it until the long term gain rate will apply.


It's math. Everything else staying the same, raising the relative capital gains tax rate will result in more short term investment and less long term investment. If we agree that we want to encourage long term more than short term, then this is exactly the wrong thing to do.
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#92 Sep 22 2011 at 6:38 PM Rating: Good
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The more you raise that capital gains rate the less incentive someone has to hold for a year (or more) rather than just make quick buy and sell actions on the market.


Cleary you have no experience with real investments. You don't make money on quick bucks, you make money through long term investment and getting out before the ride ends. That is how you make money...or you can artificially create a bubble, pop it, then take billions for nothing.
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#93 Sep 22 2011 at 7:05 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Everything else staying the same, raising the relative capital gains tax rate will result in more short term investment and less long term investment. If we agree that we want to encourage long term more than short term, then this is exactly the wrong thing to do.



If that's the case, why not make the tax-break cut-off 5 or 10 years instead?
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#94 Sep 22 2011 at 7:43 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:

There's a huge range of salaries between minimum wage and "rich" though.



Yet the average worker still makes more than 180 times less than the average CEO... so most of those salaries are closer to minimum wage than "millionaire"
#95 Sep 22 2011 at 10:13 PM Rating: Good
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rdmcandie wrote:
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The more you raise that capital gains rate the less incentive someone has to hold for a year (or more) rather than just make quick buy and sell actions on the market.


Cleary you have no experience with real investments. You don't make money on quick bucks, you make money through long term investment and getting out before the ride ends. That is how you make money...or you can artificially create a bubble, pop it, then take billions for nothing.


Or cycle it through really fast micro-trades but repackage it into long-term fund options that reap the capital gains tax rate even though they were generated via a really cool HFT engine!
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#96 Sep 22 2011 at 10:26 PM Rating: Good
Gotta love all the fancy math Wall Street came up with to get around the rules.

My favorite is still the mortgage backed derivatives.
#97 Sep 22 2011 at 10:34 PM Rating: Excellent
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...but that's not even clever, it's only another flavor of derivative.

The genius in that sh*t salad was the marketing and tranche groups, along with the underlying asset fraud.

Sidenote: exotic instrument terminology sounds pretty gay. "If someone tries to strangle your iron condor, collar a rainbow option or use a bear spread"



Edited, Sep 23rd 2011 12:48am by Timelordwho
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#98 Sep 23 2011 at 3:40 PM Rating: Good
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rdmcandie wrote:
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The more you raise that capital gains rate the less incentive someone has to hold for a year (or more) rather than just make quick buy and sell actions on the market.


Cleary you have no experience with real investments. You don't make money on quick bucks, you make money through long term investment and getting out before the ride ends. That is how you make money...or you can artificially create a bubble, pop it, then take billions for nothing.


Oh... My... F'ing... God! I'm not sure whether to fall out of my chair laughing, or just let my JAW drop to the floor. My ironyometer has gone to freaking plaid.

Edited, Sep 23rd 2011 2:48pm by gbaji
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#99 Sep 23 2011 at 3:41 PM Rating: Good
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Why would you drop your draws to the floor?
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#100 Sep 23 2011 at 3:47 PM Rating: Good
I don't think I want to see gbaji's draw drop to the floor either.
#101 Sep 23 2011 at 3:47 PM Rating: Decent
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Friar Bijou wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Everything else staying the same, raising the relative capital gains tax rate will result in more short term investment and less long term investment. If we agree that we want to encourage long term more than short term, then this is exactly the wrong thing to do.



If that's the case, why not make the tax-break cut-off 5 or 10 years instead?


Because you want a tradeoff between market flexibility and stability. You want both types of investors. Those who buy stocks for a long haul and those who'll actively shift their money as the market shifts. Stability and flexibility. Folks who are going to buy shares in X and hold it until they retire are going to do that regardless of the tax cut-off time period. What you're looking at is providing a reason for those who will buy and sell stocks to factor taxes into the decisions they make and perhaps ride out a bad trend for a couple years rather than selling the instant a stock starts to fall.

There are a lot of factors involved, but there really are very good reasons why there is a long term capital gains tax rate, and why it must be lower than the income tax rate, and why it must be long enough to encourage longer term investment, but short enough to be an obtainable period of time.
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