The french once dreamed of conquest. That dream died when they tried to tame the russian winter bear, and the british sent them running.
The great houses of England once ruled the seas. but the cost of maintaining a great navy grew burdensome, and as their fleet shrank, so did the influence of the british empire.
The Axis powers tried to steer the world through brutality and force, the likes of which the world has never before seen. The people of the world stood united against their vision, and out of that nuclear forge, the United States and The Soviet Union emerged as the two dominant powers on the planet.
The russians once dreamed of a land for the people, where hunger and uncertanty would disappear and the good of all would prevail. It died a slow death of madness, corruption and greed as those in power stole ever more from the helpless, and the people had fewer and fewer incentives to even make an effort. In the end they too, turned inward and largely abandoned the world stage.
Great empires rise and fall, and always sooner than they should in the end. It remains to be seen if the U.S. will do so as well. We hold the oceans. Our navy remains larger than the combined might of the rest of the world combined. Our control of nucelar power is unmatched by anyone. The skies are, for now anyways, ours. But there are signs that we to are turning inward. The conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan, though necessary, has never been a popular cause once the initial push for the taliban wore off. and the people grow weary of it, despite the need to see it through to the end. We expected the world to see the possibility to at least stabilize the constant turmoil in the middle east, instead the world declared us highhanded and undiplomatic, and the leadership at the time made huge missteps in diplomacy. In truth, we were highhanded and undiplomaitc, but the rest of the world forgot that we are Americans, and politics or not that rejection troubled the American people. The firm rejection by countries who will later on be clamoring for our support in world conflicts led us to doubt ourselves for the first time since Vietnam. This time there was no great evil empire to focus on in the end. Maybe the world doesn't need us to police it, we thought in collective silence. Maybe we Are the evil empire now, and should withdraw from world conflicts. Maybe. Maybe. And uncertanty plagued us. Mistakes in the U.S. finance market began to reflect that troubled outset, and problems in the system that should not have been as bad as they were, snowballed and sent the Economy reeling. Suddenly, people became mindful of the soviet lesson again, and economic collapse seemed a real possibility for the first time since our founding. People panicked, and the economy withered more. Methods to curb the problem in many cases only made it worse for future generations, and at the same time caused all the financial troubles of the rest of the world to come to light all at once. A clensing fire of openness, if we can survive it, but economic crisis after crisis continue to trouble the entire planet where before they would have been inevitable, but likely one at a time, not all at once.
And so, weakened, with few strong allies and no real dark horse to galvenize the world against, we too turn inwards. No more space shuttle, it costs too much. No more military improvements, we're number 1 and no one will ever figure out how to neutralize our Maginot Line. We don't need to protect and defend the other countries from anything, they don't want our help, they'll be fine. Probably. We hope. And meanwhile, China launches its first large aircraft carrier, the rebuilt Varyag. And debuts their first stealth airplane, 4th generation, thrust vectoring fighter bomber. And launches new nuclear missile equipped submarines. And new classes of hypersonic anti aircraft carrier missiles, etc. They have better metal production, manufacturing capability, and resource generation capabilities than us. They have a
I don't think the decline of the United States is inevitable yet, but I do see us remaining weakened and vulnerable economically and militarially, unless certain things change. Relying on the ageing F-15 strike eagle fleet for defence is foolish. Predator drones are all well and good for ground attacks, but there is no drone on the planet yet that is ready to replace a fully trained, on the scene, not vulnerable to EMP human pilot, and capping the F-22 fleet at less than what is needed to even maintain partial coverage, on some sort of theory that an F-22 is magically going to always have a 20-1 combat advantage is laughable at best. Aircraft carriers may not always be the dominant combat ship on the planet, and by depriving ourselves again and again of heavy gun armed surface warships, we continue to have a huge potential hole in our defences if somone finds a way to effectifly neutralize air power or carriers (A powerfull enough Free electron laser antiaircraft battery destroying all incoming missiles and aircraft in a matter of seconds tied to a chinese nuclear power plant, for example) which is not out of the realm of possibility. Hell, we're researching the same technology ourselves, and yet the CG-X cruisers and the new destroyers keep getting cut in favor of glorified frigates.
Economically, its the same story. We are bleeding out slowly by spending ever growing amounts of money on stupid socialist programs, while we largely ignore critical infrastructure, Need to feed the poor? don't give them a check for doing nothing, put them to work building roads or smart grids, or windfarms. Company wants to avoid paying U.S. workers by moving their factories to mexico? Tarif the **** out of them. Fund research on those programs that can give the U.S. back its science leadership. If you have to do an economic stimulus, fund things the taxpayers get to keep, or give the money back to the taxpayers to encourage spending or savings. Either way we gain stability more than preventing bad companies from going under and making room for fresh, innovative startups. We need to take a really hard look at our recent past, from the years of success and see what we did right back then, and what we aren't doing now. We need something we can believe in again. We need a press that we can trust, who will actually tell us the truth, not some one sided partisan entertainment fiasco. We need leadership who is actually there because they believe in the cause and actually know what the hell they are doing some of the time.
If we fail to make that work, the U.S. might be the next entry on that list I started with, and I garuntee that the next people on the list aren't going to have the same motivations and ethics that we did, for better or worse.