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The role of the US in the world Follow

#27 Jun 05 2011 at 12:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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The romans turned inwards, to infighting and politics, and let the world run itself. There are very few romans anymore.
The french once dreamed of conquest. That dream died when they tried to tame the russian winter bear, and the british sent them running.
The great houses of England once ruled the seas. but the cost of maintaining a great navy grew burdensome, and as their fleet shrank, so did the influence of the british empire.
The Axis powers tried to steer the world through brutality and force, the likes of which the world has never before seen. The people of the world stood united against their vision, and out of that nuclear forge, the United States and The Soviet Union emerged as the two dominant powers on the planet.
The russians once dreamed of a land for the people, where hunger and uncertanty would disappear and the good of all would prevail. It died a slow death of madness, corruption and greed as those in power stole ever more from the helpless, and the people had fewer and fewer incentives to even make an effort. In the end they too, turned inward and largely abandoned the world stage.

Great empires rise and fall, and always sooner than they should in the end. It remains to be seen if the U.S. will do so as well. We hold the oceans. Our navy remains larger than the combined might of the rest of the world combined. Our control of nucelar power is unmatched by anyone. The skies are, for now anyways, ours. But there are signs that we to are turning inward. The conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan, though necessary, has never been a popular cause once the initial push for the taliban wore off. and the people grow weary of it, despite the need to see it through to the end. We expected the world to see the possibility to at least stabilize the constant turmoil in the middle east, instead the world declared us highhanded and undiplomatic, and the leadership at the time made huge missteps in diplomacy. In truth, we were highhanded and undiplomaitc, but the rest of the world forgot that we are Americans, and politics or not that rejection troubled the American people. The firm rejection by countries who will later on be clamoring for our support in world conflicts led us to doubt ourselves for the first time since Vietnam. This time there was no great evil empire to focus on in the end. Maybe the world doesn't need us to police it, we thought in collective silence. Maybe we Are the evil empire now, and should withdraw from world conflicts. Maybe. Maybe. And uncertanty plagued us. Mistakes in the U.S. finance market began to reflect that troubled outset, and problems in the system that should not have been as bad as they were, snowballed and sent the Economy reeling. Suddenly, people became mindful of the soviet lesson again, and economic collapse seemed a real possibility for the first time since our founding. People panicked, and the economy withered more. Methods to curb the problem in many cases only made it worse for future generations, and at the same time caused all the financial troubles of the rest of the world to come to light all at once. A clensing fire of openness, if we can survive it, but economic crisis after crisis continue to trouble the entire planet where before they would have been inevitable, but likely one at a time, not all at once.

And so, weakened, with few strong allies and no real dark horse to galvenize the world against, we too turn inwards. No more space shuttle, it costs too much. No more military improvements, we're number 1 and no one will ever figure out how to neutralize our Maginot Line. We don't need to protect and defend the other countries from anything, they don't want our help, they'll be fine. Probably. We hope. And meanwhile, China launches its first large aircraft carrier, the rebuilt Varyag. And debuts their first stealth airplane, 4th generation, thrust vectoring fighter bomber. And launches new nuclear missile equipped submarines. And new classes of hypersonic anti aircraft carrier missiles, etc. They have better metal production, manufacturing capability, and resource generation capabilities than us. They have a space ICBM program that is now capable of hitting any country on the planet, as we are. They learned well from World War II and the Japanese rise, and defeat and have made an effort not to make the same mistakes. Their hardliners are in control, They mean to rule the pacific eventually, and we probably aren't going to do anything in time to stop them.

I don't think the decline of the United States is inevitable yet, but I do see us remaining weakened and vulnerable economically and militarially, unless certain things change. Relying on the ageing F-15 strike eagle fleet for defence is foolish. Predator drones are all well and good for ground attacks, but there is no drone on the planet yet that is ready to replace a fully trained, on the scene, not vulnerable to EMP human pilot, and capping the F-22 fleet at less than what is needed to even maintain partial coverage, on some sort of theory that an F-22 is magically going to always have a 20-1 combat advantage is laughable at best. Aircraft carriers may not always be the dominant combat ship on the planet, and by depriving ourselves again and again of heavy gun armed surface warships, we continue to have a huge potential hole in our defences if somone finds a way to effectifly neutralize air power or carriers (A powerfull enough Free electron laser antiaircraft battery destroying all incoming missiles and aircraft in a matter of seconds tied to a chinese nuclear power plant, for example) which is not out of the realm of possibility. Hell, we're researching the same technology ourselves, and yet the CG-X cruisers and the new destroyers keep getting cut in favor of glorified frigates.

Economically, its the same story. We are bleeding out slowly by spending ever growing amounts of money on stupid socialist programs, while we largely ignore critical infrastructure, Need to feed the poor? don't give them a check for doing nothing, put them to work building roads or smart grids, or windfarms. Company wants to avoid paying U.S. workers by moving their factories to mexico? Tarif the **** out of them. Fund research on those programs that can give the U.S. back its science leadership. If you have to do an economic stimulus, fund things the taxpayers get to keep, or give the money back to the taxpayers to encourage spending or savings. Either way we gain stability more than preventing bad companies from going under and making room for fresh, innovative startups. We need to take a really hard look at our recent past, from the years of success and see what we did right back then, and what we aren't doing now. We need something we can believe in again. We need a press that we can trust, who will actually tell us the truth, not some one sided partisan entertainment fiasco. We need leadership who is actually there because they believe in the cause and actually know what the hell they are doing some of the time.

If we fail to make that work, the U.S. might be the next entry on that list I started with, and I garuntee that the next people on the list aren't going to have the same motivations and ethics that we did, for better or worse.
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#28 Jun 05 2011 at 12:53 AM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
Great empires rise and fall, and always sooner than they should in the end. It remains to be seen if the U.S. will do so as well. We hold the oceans. Our navy remains larger than the combined might of the rest of the world combined. Our control of nucelar power is unmatched by anyone. The skies are, for now anyways, ours. But there are signs that we to are turning inward.

We're not turning inward, we're collapsing. The U.S. military was built on borrowed time. We took out a loan with our future as the collateral. We decided we wanted to be stronger today and weaker tomorrow, so we built a better military than we could afford to sustain. We put too many resources into our military and not enough into growth, and consequently our military will inevitably fall behind.

If you want to field the strongest military in the world for the next 10 years, then pump more resources into the military. If you want to field the strongest military for the next 100 years, then pump more resources into growth and be only moderate in military spending.
#29 Jun 05 2011 at 2:26 AM Rating: Excellent
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Or we could just invade Canukistan and take all their stuffs. Technically they started it.
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#30 Jun 05 2011 at 3:48 AM Rating: Good
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
The romans turned inwards, to infighting and politics, and let the world run itself. There are very few romans anymore.
The french once dreamed of conquest. That dream died when they tried to tame the russian winter bear, and the british sent them running.
The great houses of England once ruled the seas. but the cost of maintaining a great navy grew burdensome, and as their fleet shrank, so did the influence of the british empire.
The Axis powers tried to steer the world through brutality and force, the likes of which the world has never before seen. The people of the world stood united against their vision, and out of that nuclear forge, the United States and The Soviet Union emerged as the two dominant powers on the planet.
The russians once dreamed of a land for the people, where hunger and uncertanty would disappear and the good of all would prevail. It died a slow death of madness, corruption and greed as those in power stole ever more from the helpless, and the people had fewer and fewer incentives to even make an effort..........

Mike Whitney wrote:

This must be what it was like in Russia before the Soviet Union collapsed. The government's so crooked that nothing works right, the infrastructure's in a shambles, millions of people are scraping by on government handouts, and everyone's on a permanent downer. Welcome to the Soviet States of America 2011.

I mean, seriously, things are really looking bad. Apart from killing people, we really don't do anything anymore. We have a humongous, over-bloated military that lumbers from one war to the next spreading misery wherever it goes, and meanwhile, back at home, things continue to go to the dogs. How long can that go on?

You can't get a job anymore, because all the jobs have been shipped off to Guandong Province or someplace South of the border. The best you can hope for is some part-time gig jerking double-tall-mochas or steering folks towards the red-dot special on Aisle 9. So, how can you sustain a middle class on a measly $9.50 per hour? It can't be done.....
Link to full article.

Smiley: frown
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#31REDACTED, Posted: Jun 05 2011 at 4:14 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) They aren't mutually exclusive. There's no reason you can't have a social safety net while stimulating the economy. It's too nuanced to regard it so simply.
#32 Jun 05 2011 at 4:54 AM Rating: Good
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paulsol wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
I didn't think there were too many countries who developed armies to go around and "save the day" in a "world police/Justice League" type of manner.


Alright. Who hacked almas account and used it to say something that I agree with?


I hope it's not the guy who hacked Anthony Weiner's account.

nonwto wrote:
Why would anyone care about any of the stuff discussed here? It's not simply an abstract concept. I'm not particularly opposed to Chinese culture, in their own realm, but I don't find the idea of them having any sort of influence on the west in whatever number of decades to be comfortable in the least.


You're making assumptions on the future with no supporting evidence. Like I said, you're being paranoid.
#33 Jun 05 2011 at 5:10 AM Rating: Good
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:

And so, weakened, with few strong allies and no real dark horse to galvenize the world against, we too turn inwards. No more space shuttle, it costs too much. No more military improvements, we're number 1 and no one will ever figure out how to neutralize our Maginot Line. We don't need to protect and defend the other countries from anything, they don't want our help, they'll be fine. Probably. We hope. And meanwhile, China launches its first large aircraft carrier, the rebuilt Varyag. And debuts their first stealth airplane, 4th generation, thrust vectoring fighter bomber. And launches new nuclear missile equipped submarines. And new classes of hypersonic anti aircraft carrier missiles, etc. They have better metal production, manufacturing capability, and resource generation capabilities than us. They have a space ICBM program that is now capable of hitting any country on the planet, as we are. They learned well from World War II and the Japanese rise, and defeat and have made an effort not to make the same mistakes. Their hardliners are in control, They mean to rule the pacific eventually, and we probably aren't going to do anything in time to stop them.


The People's Republic of China may seem like an unstoppable threat in the future, but China throughout history is notorious for being an insular power. They also have large issues with corruption in almost every area. Ultimately, the PRC is quite fragile.

The hardliners in Beijing may aspire to project their power, and perhaps rule the pacific, but they'll be countered by those in power in Chongqing and Shanghai, who have a vastly different agenda.

As well, the Fifth Generation of Leaders will be coming to power in 2012 with Xi Jingping replacing Hu Jintao, so we'll wait and see how they change politics in China.
#34REDACTED, Posted: Jun 05 2011 at 5:23 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Being what?
#35 Jun 05 2011 at 5:37 AM Rating: Good
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nonwto wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
You're making assumptions on the future with no supporting evidence. Like I said, you're being paranoid.


What is it that I need evidence of?

Sacred Explorer Keikomyau wrote:
who have a vastly different agenda.


Being what?


More along the lines of financial and corporate ones, generally opposed to seeking a Chinese hegemony.
#36 Jun 05 2011 at 6:57 AM Rating: Excellent
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So China is spending about 15% as much as we do in defense in real dollars and less than half of what we do in percentage of GDP but the problem is that we spend too much in social programs and not enough in jet fighters, boats and space ships and so now China will have better jet fighters, boats and space ships than us?

Sounds like maybe our defense budget should be getting cut to the bone so it can be as efficient as that of the Chinese. After all, that's the stock answer for every other aspect of the budget. Too bad our bloated and inefficient military spending is such a sacred cow or else maybe we'd be able to compete.

Edited, Jun 5th 2011 7:58am by Jophiel
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#37 Jun 05 2011 at 7:14 AM Rating: Default
Sacred Explorer Keikomyau wrote:
nonwto wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
You're making assumptions on the future with no supporting evidence. Like I said, you're being paranoid.


What is it that I need evidence of?

Sacred Explorer Keikomyau wrote:
who have a vastly different agenda.


Being what?


More along the lines of financial and corporate ones, generally opposed to seeking a Chinese hegemony.


I don't see how they're opposed to each other. They could be complimentary, even. Gunboat diplomacy and all that. The US itself has the threat of military force to thank for a lot of it's international commerce.
#38 Jun 05 2011 at 2:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
So China is spending about 15% as much as we do in defense in real dollars and less than half of what we do in percentage of GDP but the problem is that we spend too much in social programs and not enough in jet fighters, boats and space ships and so now China will have better jet fighters, boats and space ships than us?

Sounds like maybe our defense budget should be getting cut to the bone so it can be as efficient as that of the Chinese. After all, that's the stock answer for every other aspect of the budget. Too bad our bloated and inefficient military spending is such a sacred cow or else maybe we'd be able to compete.

Edited, Jun 5th 2011 7:58am by Jophiel


No, China "Admits" to spending about 15% as we do in defence. There is a huge difference there between what they state publically they are spending, and what they actually appear to be spending. Many analysts believe they are outspending us on military hardware by about 50%. And what they are spending that money on is mainly offensive, first strike weaponry. GIven their current production facilities, they will have more 4th generation stealth aircraft than we do before we can get the F-35 into full production, if it isn't cancelled. They are building multiple aircraft carriers sized to match the Nimitz class. You don't build supercarriers unless you are planning to go toe to to with a Nimitz. China has pretty much all but the last generation soviet nuclear weapon designs, and massive uranium and plutonium reserves, breeder reactors, and thanks to a certain former president clinton, most of our ICBM missile guidance package.

And what do we do here? We pay people money NOT to produce food on farmland. We spend millions of dollars per project studying bare parcels of land looking for endangered slugs as an excuse to not build critical infrastructure. We give offshore corporations billions in tax dollars rather than investing that money at home. We pay corrupt small countries billions in aid so that they won't get annoyed with us when we fly drones overhead shooting their terrorist elements rather than simply telling them they can be on our side or our target, or let India do the job for us. And our military spending has become innifficient. We spend so much more maintaining ageing aircraft than it would cost to build newer, easier to maintain models without the thousands of hours of stress on their airframes. We slow production on newer carriers which are designed to require half the maintenance and manpower of a Nimitz class which would save the country billions per year, per ship. We ignore the reccommendations of our military leadership on which projects they really, truly need, and cancel the marine landing craft programs without any hope of an adequate replacement.

All the while instead we concentrate on loaves and circuses. Bought a house you knew you couldn't afford? no problem, have a stay of forclosure. Paying your mortgage on time but struggling? Nothing for you citizen! Want to go to college, got good grades but cant aford it? Great, we've got some money for... Wait, whats that, you aren't a member of a historically "repressed" ethnicity, gender, or orientation? Nevermind, no money for you! but look over there! CNN and fox are going to have a live on air mud wrestling match! pay no attention to the men behind the curtain here, they have your best interests at heart, and if you believe otherwise, we'll add you to the no fly list. Papers, citizen?
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#39 Jun 05 2011 at 3:16 PM Rating: Good
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:

Economically, its the same story. We are bleeding out slowly by spending ever growing amounts of money on stupid socialist programs, while we largely ignore critical infrastructure, Need to feed the poor? don't give them a check for doing nothing


I was sort of with you until right here. You make it sound as if every person receiving food stamps or welfare or whatever is a deadbeat. It is as myopic as saying all gun owners are murderers or whatever bullsh*t idiot hard left people spout about guns. These social programs are there to help those stretched to the bone, not to provide a second, third or fourth job. But I do agree the government would be wise to have more programs building infrastructure.

Also
Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
Wait, whats that, you aren't a member of a historically "repressed" ethnicity, gender, or orientation? Nevermind, no money for you


You know that is a load of ****. A steaming load of hyperbole, not even matured hyperbole at that. Cheap, 5 dollar hyperbole. The kind you find in a bin at wally-world or safeway.

Edited, Jun 5th 2011 5:24pm by decayed
#40 Jun 05 2011 at 3:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
No, China "Admits" to spending about 15% as we do in defence. There is a huge difference there between what they state publically they are spending, and what they actually appear to be spending. Many analysts believe they are outspending us on military hardware by about 50%.

Cites? This brief bit of analysts talking about China at most says "Maybe it's $120 billion instead of $91" which is still a far cry from $700 billion. Oh, and one fellow points out that a good chunk of US spending is going towards overseas operations that China doesn't need to worry about, although it's a far cry from a $600 billion chunk ($160B according to the Dept of Defense).

US defense spending is incredibly inefficient and the way the Pentagon is managed and what they're allowed to do with their accounting is a joke. Sadly, no one seems interested in actually calling them on it in any significant fashion, much less making significant cuts to their budget. "Oh noes!! You haet the troops and amercian exceptionaizmz!!!"

I'm not even against all the other shit you're talking about and you seem to hit on both sides. But any discussion about US defense spending without admitting what a bloated wreck it is and how it needs to be severely trimmed and readjusted isn't a conversation (in my mind) worth having.

Edited, Jun 5th 2011 4:24pm by Jophiel
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#41 Jun 05 2011 at 3:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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decayed wrote:

You know that is a load of sh*t. A steaming load of hyperbole, not even matured hyperbole at that. Cheap, 5 dollar hyperbole. The kind you find in a bin at wally-world or safeway.

It was on sale.
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#42 Jun 05 2011 at 3:57 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
No, China "Admits" to spending about 15% as we do in defence. There is a huge difference there between what they state publically they are spending, and what they actually appear to be spending. Many analysts believe they are outspending us on military hardware by about 50%.

Cites? This brief bit of analysts talking about China at most says "Maybe it's $120 billion instead of $91" which is still a far cry from $700 billion. Oh, and one fellow points out that a good chunk of US spending is going towards overseas operations that China doesn't need to worry about, although it's a far cry from a $600 billion chunk ($160B according to the Dept of Defense).

US defense spending is incredibly inefficient and the way the Pentagon is managed and what they're allowed to do with their accounting is a joke. Sadly, no one seems interested in actually calling them on it in any significant fashion, much less making significant cuts to their budget. "Oh noes!! You haet the troops and amercian exceptionaizmz!!!"

I'm not even against all the other shit you're talking about and you seem to hit on both sides. But any discussion about US defense spending without admitting what a bloated wreck it is and how it needs to be severely trimmed and readjusted isn't a conversation (in my mind) worth having.

Edited, Jun 5th 2011 4:24pm by Jophiel


Just don't touch my annual raise... hmmkay? Thanks..
#43 Jun 05 2011 at 4:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
decayed wrote:

You know that is a load of sh*t. A steaming load of hyperbole, not even matured hyperbole at that. Cheap, 5 dollar hyperbole. The kind you find in a bin at wally-world or safeway.

It was on sale.


Like the $1 bins at entrance to Target. Just not as appealing, as Hello Kitty Shower Puff I got my grand daughter.

What ever happen to the 10% that the Military promise to cut last year? Eaten up by trying to police another Dictator. Bright side is we were asked and then gave command to NATO. Gives them something to do and jobs for bomb makers.

If America really wanted to lower our debt, we would get serious about health care regulation and have Medicare for All. Sure it would mean higher taxes, but then how many of us rather see everyone be responsible for keeping costs down because it would prevent even higher taxes. There is no going back to having to pay for routine heath care per visit, like before the Insurance companies try to get every one to buy into HMO's. Instead we could be like Canadians and know that we'll not have to go bankrupt if face with sudden major health crises.
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#44 Jun 05 2011 at 4:22 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
Cites? This brief bit of analysts talking about China at most says "Maybe it's $120 billion instead of $91" which is still a far cry from $700 billion. Oh, and one fellow points out that a good chunk of US spending is going towards overseas operations that China doesn't need to worry about, although it's a far cry from a $600 billion chunk ($160B according to the Dept of Defense).


I meant percentage of GDP, not total actual spending, Appologies if I wasn't clear enough on that. As to the numbers, When looking at chinese military spending, you have to include the "internal Security" budget as well, as that is essentially the same thing as our National Guard. They also tend to massivly understate that budget. They also haven't officially admitted to undertaking the building of the 5 estimated 10 billion (admittedly spread out over several years) per ship aircraft carriers they are reportedly constructing. Given that the Varyag and the Kiev are both due to be operational by 2015, The HMAS Melbourne (purchased from australia over objections) will be operational by maybe 2016, 2017, and assuming they are concurrantly finishing the other carriers, China will have a carrier fleet large enough to rival our own by 2020. It should be fairly easy for them to aquire working details of the EMALS electromagnetic aircraft launch system, which will allow even the smaller carriers to eventually launch full sized 4th generation fighter squadrons. They are also not admitting to plans to build massive amounts of their new J2X fighters to populate all those hardened military airbases they have been building throughout the country, especially in Tibet. Admittedly, they can buld them cheaper than we can since they don't pay for the R&D. Why do that when you can steal it from us? at any rate, add those two budgetary numbers together, then either double or quadrupal the resultant figure and you probably have a closer view of true military spending levels in china.

some cites. I don't necessarily agree 100% with the following articles either, but they mention some of the trends I'm referring to. i can probably find others if you really need me to.
http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/03/05/internal-security-tops-military-in-china-spending/
http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=37631&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=25&cHash=962dd98d4000505226b122227911ea48
http://www.china-defense-mashup.com/understanding-china%E2%80%99s-defense-budget-what-it-means-why-it-matters.html/2

As far as the pentagon, I even agree with you. There are huge problems there. Congressional pet projects, such as the Roles Royce F136 alternate engine program for the F-35 take funds away from the truly critical programs, like building more F-22s. Research programs get cut in favor of politically expediancy. Major problems with procurement programs like the New Air force Tanker contract run into graft and corruption, and end up being tossed out and completely redone, at twice the price. But the real problem with the whole system isn't necessarily the military, its congressional shenanigans. We build the seawolf class attack submarines. The design is done, its under production. So what do we do? we crap the entire program and rebuild an entirely new, less capable class that ends up costing about the same, mainly because some senators were pissed that their districts didn't get the build contracts. We kill the F-22 in favor of the less capable, more expensive in the long run F-35 because Boeing didn't get a big enough piece of the pie. We hire mercinaries to fight our wars at twice the price of paying American troops, while at the same time the families of those troops live in cramped and sqalid base housing conditions the rest of the world calls "slums". We kill our $10,000 per shot shore bombardment capability in favor of $1,000,000 per shot cruise missiles after a politically mangled investigation into a battleship turret explosion.

New projects are undertaken without need. "Littoral combat ships? Really? call them frigates or coast guard cutters, and we already had designs for them". Old needs are ignored. "Combat control ships? fleet tenders? refulers? Cargo aircraft? who needs em". We force ageing and outdated airfrmes with very real structural ineficiencies back into service time and again rather than building the real replacements that we need. Incoming administration changes see it as their divine duty to scuttle the most prominant programs of their predecessors without regard for cost or need for the country. We spend billions every year fueling destroyers and support ships which we have had safe hevily armored reactor designs for since 10950, which have only got better with time. We quietly scrap our nuclear cruiser fleet to satisfy the green movement, condeming their replacements to burn fossile fuels for years, doing more damage to the environment in the long run, as well as our pocket books. Bases in the U.S. are often poorly placed, and driven by political concerns rather than ideal logistical and strategic placement. The system as a whole is broken, and politicians on both sides of the idealogical fence are to blame. In this particular instance I happen to think the democrats have screwed us worse than the republicans, but that could be personal bias.
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#45 Jun 05 2011 at 5:04 PM Rating: Good
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One of China's largest fears is a modern Japanese build-up. If China makes one move too aggressively, Japan may rescind article 9 and begin re-militirization, and begin putting alot more of the annual budget towards the military. If Japan spent the same percentage as the United States, you'd be looking at 200+ billion dollars instead of the 60-70 billion spent now, most of that going towards the Navy and Air Force.

China knows that as long as Japan has a security treaty with America, they really can't expand into the Pacific. Not to mention Japan has close military ties with India as well.

It's in Chinas best interest that they not provoke anyone.
#46 Jun 05 2011 at 6:33 PM Rating: Excellent
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If we're gonna cut the fat from defense spending, I vote reducing officer pay.
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#47 Jun 05 2011 at 6:50 PM Rating: Default
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A bunch of NCO's away from the Soldiers, the fight and hands on experience to play politics in meetings after meetings of Staff Calls... yea.. I don't see that happening.
#48 Jun 05 2011 at 10:54 PM Rating: Good
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They are building multiple aircraft carriers sized to match the Nimitz class. You don't build supercarriers unless you are planning to go toe to to with a Nimitz.


Then why was the Nimitz built in the first place?

You get large efficency savings on larger aircraft carriers. Conventional wisdom has been that this is the best way to achieve a large carrying capacity, that it is the most efficient way to project power against any enemy type.
#49 Jun 05 2011 at 11:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kavekk wrote:
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They are building multiple aircraft carriers sized to match the Nimitz class. You don't build supercarriers unless you are planning to go toe to to with a Nimitz.


Then why was the Nimitz built in the first place?

You get large efficency savings on larger aircraft carriers. Conventional wisdom has been that this is the best way to achieve a large carrying capacity, that it is the most efficient way to project power against any enemy type.


You are correct. We built them to project external power. You don't need aircraft carriers for defensive purposes. You have land bases for that. If someone already has large, well defended aircraft carriers, the only reason to build your own fleet of large aircraft carriers is if you intend to also project power, and intend to go up against other large aircraft carrier armed fleets. You do not need a large aircraft carrier unless you actually have the aircraft and weapons required to impose air superiority over an opponent. If you just need a status symbol or something to project power in a limited operational sphere around your own country you either build many smaller ones, or one really big one. Many really big ones shows a different intent entirely.

We took up the role of world defender and meddler when we unleashed the atom upon Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and for that we need a large fleet. The stakes were too high not to. As we know now, Stalin was an insane mass murderer on a scale to make the holocaust look like a minor event. Unapposed, he would have taken europe by force, and that would have given the soviet union the economic clout necessary to survive without breaking up. China would have been next, and that would have been an ... interesting event, though at the time China would not have survived. The soviets had almost as many ICBM's aimed at china as they had aimed at us during the cold war. From there, Australia, India and Japan, and the pacific. At that point they might have left us alone, to be their eternal outside force to fear for political expediancy, but I doubt it.

Are we perfect? Are our ideology and values better than what we oppose? Do we always have the moral high ground? No. And we never have, dispite what we tell ourselves in hindsight. But be that as it may, on average we can look back on all the things we have done, and say "we're usually the good guys in the end.". We lost some of that with our meddling in south america (though Paraguay totally deserved it...) and the way we handled vietnam and the middle east. But what we also lost was that sense of "We're Americans, We're in the right, be on our side or be our target" that made us strong.

Europe doesn't see China as a threat. Or if they do, they are far enough in debt to them at this point that they dare not say anything. Our traditional allies have relied too much upon us militarially, and have let their own forces dwindle. "Theres no one left to fight" they say. "Let the middle east problem take care of itself" and so on. Then at the first oppertunity, the go tearing off to overthrow Libya, which despite having a crazy clotheshorse for a dictator, was really the least of our, or europes problems. Egypts admittedly corrupt, but largely on our side regime topples, to be replaced by what? probably another Iran style Clerictopia in the end, and them with a fully working M1-A1 Abrahms main battle tank factory. All the while, we intervene, people complain. We don't intervene, people complain. We've become too sensative to oppinion, and unwilling or unable to make the hard decisions that we have in the past.

We're at a turning point in history. Do we lay down our sword and let the world go its merry way? Do we resume our previous role as defender of the peace? The policemen of the world? or do we simply sit back and let the situation stagnate. I don't know the answer. I wish I did.
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#50 Jun 05 2011 at 11:53 PM Rating: Excellent
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
You don't need aircraft carriers for defensive purposes. You have land bases for that. If someone already has large, well defended aircraft carriers, the only reason to build your own fleet of large aircraft carriers is if you intend to also project power, and intend to go up against other large aircraft carrier armed fleets.

That last bit doesn't ring true. The benefit of having your own carriers is that you can set your own priorities. Maybe they'll clash with someone else's and maybe they won't but you don't need to sit and hope that the guy who owns carriers is willing to act in your behalf.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#51 Jun 06 2011 at 3:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
You don't need aircraft carriers for defensive purposes. You have land bases for that. If someone already has large, well defended aircraft carriers, the only reason to build your own fleet of large aircraft carriers is if you intend to also project power, and intend to go up against other large aircraft carrier armed fleets.

That last bit doesn't ring true. The benefit of having your own carriers is that you can set your own priorities. Maybe they'll clash with someone else's and maybe they won't but you don't need to sit and hope that the guy who owns carriers is willing to act in your behalf.
It's this funny little thing called freedom. Who could've foreseen that others may want some.
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