Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work
So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?
Yes. Because those factors are part of a feedback process. The point is the direction you are going Joph. Not hitting those ideal numbers just means that it may take longer to meet specific debt/deficit reduction goals.
Quote:
You didn't think that through, did you?
Yes, I did. Because I understand the difference between saying something like: "We can afford to buy this new boat as long as I get a 5% wage increase and maximum bonus each year" and "If we don't buy any new stuff and I'm able to keep my job, we'll be able to pay off our credit card bills in X amount of time". In the first case, if the required conditions aren't met you
can't afford what you're buying. That's what the Democrats did. In the second case, even if you don't hit the ideal goals, you're still reducing your debt. It just may take longer. That's what the Ryan plan is about.
Quote:
Quote:
So... The plan didn't depend on unemployment dropping to 2.8%. It predicted it would drop that low as a result of the plan being enacted.
So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?
Yes. Absolutely. What part of that don't you understand? I suspect you think that unemployment is the direct and sole determinant of economic growth and revenue. That's simply not the case. It's a byproduct of those things and does act in a way to help keep them going (that whole feedback thing I mentioned), but you don't create economic growth just by hiring more people. It's only when there's demand for the labor that this works. That's a typical liberal mistake though.
Economic growth will occur as a result of the government getting out of the way of businesses making money. I know that's a hard pill for the left to swallow, but that's what actually works. Let people make choices and then let them profit or fail as a result of those choices, and you'll find more people taking more risks and thus more economic activity. This will *cause* more employment and generate more revenue even without raising taxes.
Couple that with caps on spending (and some spending cuts), and you can whittle away the debt over time.
Look. I'm not a huge fan of the Ryan plan. But that's almost certainly for different reasons than you. I don't think it goes far enough or works fast enough. It is, as Moe said, a step in the right direction though. I'd prefer we undo a ton of spending done over the last few years in order to bring spending down quickly to manageable levels. But I also recognize that that would meet even stronger resistance from the guys on your side of the fence as Ryan's plan is.
Quote:
You didn't think that through either, did you?
Yeah. I did as well. You and I simply differ 180 degrees on our view of how economic growth is created. Which is not surprising, since it's the same broad difference between conservative and liberal economic policy in general. Nothing new here really.
Quote:
Rather hysterically, the Heritage Foundation never changed any numbers besides their unemployment figures. Apparently they believe that things such as tax revenue, business development and home development aren't connected to unemployment. But that's a mighty great plan they marked up there!
I can't speak for the Heritage Foundation Joph. Maybe that 2.8% figure was a typo or something. Um... But I'm reasonably sure that they don't think that success of the Ryan plan hinges on reaching 2.8% unemployment. In fact, I'm sure that's just something you (or more likely some liberal source you're parroting) decided to assume. You do understand that it's the left who assume that consumption and consumption alone fuels economic growth, right?
The right understands that consumption only results in growth if the source of consumption is itself already part of that growth. It's why handing money to people so they can buy stuff with it never works. You're basically letting your own flawed understanding of economics lead you to incredibly false conclusions. Employment is the result of increased (real) economic growth. It has a modest positive feedback effect, but that's it.