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Time for more tax cuts!Follow

#27 May 26 2011 at 3:21 PM Rating: Decent
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up. Any raising of taxes just leads to more spending. I don't think we should blindly be cutting any of it. I think we should go in eyes wide open and slash the f'uck out of it.
#28 May 26 2011 at 3:28 PM Rating: Excellent
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MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.

Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.
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#29 May 26 2011 at 3:40 PM Rating: Good
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MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
While taxes are the lowest in how many decades?
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I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#30 May 26 2011 at 3:42 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.

Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.

Probably about the same time the Dems want to get serious about cuts.
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#31 May 26 2011 at 3:44 PM Rating: Decent
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Kastigir wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.
Probably about the same time the Dems want to get serious about cuts.
Somebody let them know they're late to the party.
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His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
If no one debated with me, then I wouldn't post here anymore.
Take the hint guys, please take the hint.
gbaji wrote:
I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#32 May 26 2011 at 3:48 PM Rating: Good
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bsphil wrote:
Kastigir wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.
Probably about the same time the Dems want to get serious about cuts.
Somebody let them know they're late to the party.

When they are, I will.
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#33 May 26 2011 at 3:54 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
While some of the numbers in Ryan's plan are pretty speculative, the overall direction isn't wholly dependent on them.

I hope you're embarrassed at having typed that. Granted, it's only Thursday, but that's the stupidest thing you've said this week and that's including your screeds about polling.


I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work, with no explanation as to how those changes will occur (fairy dust, right?). The plan makes changes and then predicts outcomes tied to that change. That's not the same thing at all, and it's *not* what you claimed it was.

Jophiel wrote:
Uh oh! You might have a hard time finding the unemployment. Apparently Heritage and the GOP quietly redacted the data after it became a joke:
TPM wrote:
Apparently, the Heritage Foundation isn't comfortable being the butt of economists' jokes after boldly predicting a 2.8% unemployment rate in 2021 if the House GOP Budget is enacted. The think tank has removed the number from its study posted online.


So... The plan didn't depend on unemployment dropping to 2.8%. It predicted it would drop that low as a result of the plan being enacted. Like I said, that's a pretty wishful thinking number, but the "plan" doesn't depend on that number being reached in order to work. The overall trend of reduced relative spending, reduced debt, increased growth, and increased employment is the result, not the cause.

The contrast is to Obama's plan, in which his economic team claimed that increased spending wouldn't hurt us because they assumed that GDP growth would magically increase to 5-6% and unemployment would drop back down to 5% or so. Of course, they provided absolutely zero explanation as to why those things would happen. And, as we've now learned, neither of them did happen.
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#34 May 26 2011 at 4:15 PM Rating: Default
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bsphil wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
While taxes are the lowest in how many decades?


They aren't though. Only if you look purely at the top marginal income tax rate can you even remotely make this statement. And the trend leader isn't the current tax rates. It's the current spending rates which are alarming. In just the last few years, spending has increased from ~19-20% of GDP to ~24-25%. Barring a change in our spending taxes will have to make up that difference somehow.

That's why some of us are talking about taxes even though they haven't gone up recently. It's not what they are at right now, but what they will be if we do nothing.
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#35 May 26 2011 at 4:18 PM Rating: Good
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varusword75 wrote:
You're not a fan of blindly cutting anything that isn't involved with the military.
Because blindly spending on the military is patriotic.
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#36 May 26 2011 at 4:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?

You didn't think that through, did you?

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So... The plan didn't depend on unemployment dropping to 2.8%. It predicted it would drop that low as a result of the plan being enacted.

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?

You didn't think that through either, did you?

Rather hysterically, the Heritage Foundation never changed any numbers besides their unemployment figures. Apparently they believe that things such as tax revenue, business development and home development aren't connected to unemployment. But that's a mighty great plan they marked up there!

Edited, May 26th 2011 5:22pm by Jophiel
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#37 May 26 2011 at 4:25 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kastigir wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.
Probably about the same time the Dems want to get serious about cuts.

*Shrug* As I said, I've supported cuts. Cuts without accompanying increases in tax revenue though are a fairy tale if you're actually being serious about tackling the problem.

I'll happily vote for a Democrat who supports spending cuts provided he's intelligent about it. Who's voting for Republicans who support eliminating tax subsidies or allowing the income tax levels to revert?
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#38 May 26 2011 at 4:28 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Kastigir wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Taxed Enough Already pretty much sums it up.
Well, let me know when you want to get serious about it.
Probably about the same time the Dems want to get serious about cuts.

*Shrug* As I said, I've supported cuts. Cuts without accompanying increases in tax revenue though are a fairy tale if you're actually being serious about tackling the problem.

I'll happily vote for a Democrat who supports spending cuts provided he's intelligent about it. Who's voting for Republicans who support eliminating tax subsidies or allowing the income tax levels to revert?

I'm all for removing subsidies.
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#39 May 26 2011 at 4:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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I am against this plan because it will be too easy for major national and multinational firms to hit hit the 0% tax rate, which is the generally agreed upon goal by tax math magicians. This will leave the best and brightest of the tax lawyers, economists, strategists, and consultants unable to compete (As they traditionally draw higher salaries, contingent on their greater tax mitigation potential) against the lower string tax professionals. This will lead to those professionals seeking other high earning positions rather than join the glut of available labor created by a low skill cap profession. Our country needs to be an innovator in the art of tax avoidance, so that we, as a nation, can compete in a global economy and use these skills honed here against other developed nation's tax codes.

Please, when you vote for this plan, think of the children who would no longer be able to look forward to bright futures as tax mitigation consultants, and instead are forced into the hard world of white collar crime. Vote for America.
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#40 May 26 2011 at 4:38 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kastigir wrote:
I'm all for removing subsidies.

Excellent. Go spread the word to the GOP rank and file who hyperventilate at the thought of companies paying additional taxes when their subsidies are gone.
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#41 May 26 2011 at 4:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
Kastigir wrote:
I'm all for removing subsidies.

Excellent. Go spread the word to the GOP rank and file who hyperventilate at the thought of companies paying additional taxes when their subsidies are gone.

If I thought my voice had any weight, I'd do just that.
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People don't like to be meddled with. We tell them what to do, what to think, don't run, don't walk. We're in their homes and in their heads and we haven't the right. We're meddlesome. ~River Tam

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#42 May 26 2011 at 4:49 PM Rating: Excellent
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Well, you can start with the GOP rank and file right here :)

See! I'm a helper!
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#43 May 26 2011 at 4:56 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Well, you can start with the GOP rank and file right here :)

See! I'm a helper!

I really only see 2 rank and file GOP here, and I'm not sure their minds can be changed. Moe is more like me as I lean more Libertarian than GOP.

EDIT: Used the wrong (their, they're, there)

Edited, May 26th 2011 6:57pm by Kastigir
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#44 May 26 2011 at 5:24 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?


Yes. Because those factors are part of a feedback process. The point is the direction you are going Joph. Not hitting those ideal numbers just means that it may take longer to meet specific debt/deficit reduction goals.

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You didn't think that through, did you?


Yes, I did. Because I understand the difference between saying something like: "We can afford to buy this new boat as long as I get a 5% wage increase and maximum bonus each year" and "If we don't buy any new stuff and I'm able to keep my job, we'll be able to pay off our credit card bills in X amount of time". In the first case, if the required conditions aren't met you can't afford what you're buying. That's what the Democrats did. In the second case, even if you don't hit the ideal goals, you're still reducing your debt. It just may take longer. That's what the Ryan plan is about.


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Quote:
So... The plan didn't depend on unemployment dropping to 2.8%. It predicted it would drop that low as a result of the plan being enacted.

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?


Yes. Absolutely. What part of that don't you understand? I suspect you think that unemployment is the direct and sole determinant of economic growth and revenue. That's simply not the case. It's a byproduct of those things and does act in a way to help keep them going (that whole feedback thing I mentioned), but you don't create economic growth just by hiring more people. It's only when there's demand for the labor that this works. That's a typical liberal mistake though.

Economic growth will occur as a result of the government getting out of the way of businesses making money. I know that's a hard pill for the left to swallow, but that's what actually works. Let people make choices and then let them profit or fail as a result of those choices, and you'll find more people taking more risks and thus more economic activity. This will *cause* more employment and generate more revenue even without raising taxes.

Couple that with caps on spending (and some spending cuts), and you can whittle away the debt over time.

Look. I'm not a huge fan of the Ryan plan. But that's almost certainly for different reasons than you. I don't think it goes far enough or works fast enough. It is, as Moe said, a step in the right direction though. I'd prefer we undo a ton of spending done over the last few years in order to bring spending down quickly to manageable levels. But I also recognize that that would meet even stronger resistance from the guys on your side of the fence as Ryan's plan is.

Quote:
You didn't think that through either, did you?


Yeah. I did as well. You and I simply differ 180 degrees on our view of how economic growth is created. Which is not surprising, since it's the same broad difference between conservative and liberal economic policy in general. Nothing new here really.

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Rather hysterically, the Heritage Foundation never changed any numbers besides their unemployment figures. Apparently they believe that things such as tax revenue, business development and home development aren't connected to unemployment. But that's a mighty great plan they marked up there!


I can't speak for the Heritage Foundation Joph. Maybe that 2.8% figure was a typo or something. Um... But I'm reasonably sure that they don't think that success of the Ryan plan hinges on reaching 2.8% unemployment. In fact, I'm sure that's just something you (or more likely some liberal source you're parroting) decided to assume. You do understand that it's the left who assume that consumption and consumption alone fuels economic growth, right?

The right understands that consumption only results in growth if the source of consumption is itself already part of that growth. It's why handing money to people so they can buy stuff with it never works. You're basically letting your own flawed understanding of economics lead you to incredibly false conclusions. Employment is the result of increased (real) economic growth. It has a modest positive feedback effect, but that's it.
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#45 May 26 2011 at 5:33 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?

Yes.


Hahahaha... ok.

Quote:
I can't speak for the Heritage Foundation Joph. Maybe that 2.8% figure was a typo or something. Um... But I'm reasonably sure that they don't think that success of the Ryan plan hinges on reaching 2.8% unemployment

Their numbers were wrong all across the board for unemployment. From 2012 onward. In theory, this should have meant that all their numbers were fucked up since they all rely on, as you say, a feedback loop. However, they just quietly got rid of that section and left the rest alone rather than revise any of the other numbers. Sounds like a real trustworthy source.

But, you know, say "parrot liberal sources!". That'll probably cover for your usual ignorance of what's going on in politics and Washington. I imagine that you're not getting your news from anywhere since this is apparently all new to you despite being talked about for nearly two months now.
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#46 May 26 2011 at 5:51 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I mean that the plan doesn't rely on economic numbers changing in order to work

So your argument is that this plan will work regardless of unemployment and economic activity driving increased revenue?

Yes.


Hahahaha... ok.


That's your best response? Just dismiss a differing opinion with a laugh? Why? How's the Obama economic plan working? Not so great, is it? How many times do conservatives have to be right about economics before you stop just dismissing our ideas without considering them? And you wonder why I keep speculating that so many of you have been freaking brainwashed. It could have something to do with brainless responses like this.

Quote:
Their numbers were wrong all across the board for unemployment. From 2012 onward. In theory, this should have meant that all their numbers were fucked up since they all rely on, as you say, a feedback loop.


They don't "rely on" a feedback loop though. Not for a general trend of economic recovery. That's where you keep going off the rails. They rely on a government policy favorable to business to encourage private business to expand their operations. This will cause both economic growth *and* increased employment. The exact employment numbers aren't as important as the direction we're going in.

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However, they just quietly got rid of that section and left the rest alone rather than revise any of the other numbers. Sounds like a real trustworthy source.


Because, as I've explained three times now, those numbers aren't necessary for the other results to occur. It's a prediction of employment that will result *from* those other things, not the other way around. They can pull it out and it doesn't affect the other numbers at all. I just don't know how to explain this to you in more clear language so that you can understand. I know you want this to be some conspiracy or something, but it's really not.

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But, you know, say "parrot liberal sources!".


So. You went off on you own to the Heritage site and read their report on your own? Or you heard some liberal source making hay about how the Ryan plan "relies on" unemployment dropping to 2.8% and repeated that here? I'm going to assume the latter. And I'm right, aren't I?
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#47 May 26 2011 at 5:59 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
That's your best response? Just dismiss a differing opinion with a laugh? Why?

You get the answer you deserve?

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How's the Obama economic plan working? Not so great, is it?

I've posted numerous bits of information about the economy before and you just start yelling about how you can't trust economists because they didn't have the same answer as you. But you want me to respond at length to your posts.

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And you wonder why I keep speculating that so many of you have been freaking brainwashed.

lolirony.

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Because, as I've explained three times now, those numbers aren't necessary for the other results to occur.

So economic growth and home development and business growth, etc aren't related to unemployment and having unemployment wrong by a couple points doesn't affect those? Or you just don't care about the numbers at all and just assume what you want to happen is actually happening without any sort of accurate data to back it up? Because that seems to be how the Heritage Foundation operates and their numbers are the one Ryan is using to support his agenda. And you wonder why I keep speculating that you have been freaking brainwashed.

Quote:
So. You went off on you own to the Heritage site and read their report on your own? Or you heard some liberal source making hay about how the Ryan plan "relies on" unemployment dropping to 2.8% and repeated that here? I'm going to assume the latter. And I'm right, aren't I?

Actually, I had read about the Ryan plan and analysis originally on The Hill and over at Politico. But, of course, anything that's not CNS News or whatever is "liberal media!" to you. But, just to be clear, I was correct about you knowing nothing at all about this, wasn't I? You don't have to admit to it... your previous response already told me :)

Edited, May 26th 2011 7:00pm by Jophiel
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#48 May 26 2011 at 6:13 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Also, the plan itself at least has the virtue of putting in place policies that will help those numbers occur


Yeah cause giving already rich people more money to stow in offshore, tax havens totally creates jobs...
#49 May 26 2011 at 6:15 PM Rating: Excellent
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Just to be clear, the unemployment number wasn't the only source of skepticism from the "analysis". I'd be interested (for example) in hearing any explanations for a $89,000,000,000 new construction housing boom in 2012 over 2011. After all, that's what Paul Ryan tells me is going to happen.

But none of those numbers actually matter!
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#50 May 26 2011 at 6:17 PM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
0% tax rate


Don't you know that the only way for countries to pay off their debt is to have 0% tax rates? Everyone knows less taxes means more revenue for government. If only we had a 0% tax rate the debt would be paid off in just a few short years!

Edited, May 26th 2011 5:17pm by Olorinus
#51 May 26 2011 at 6:24 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
Quote:
Because, as I've explained three times now, those numbers aren't necessary for the other results to occur.

So economic growth and home development and business growth, etc aren't related to unemployment and having unemployment wrong by a couple points doesn't affect those?


I didn't say they were "not related". What I said is that unemployment is not that strong of a factor in terms off economic growth.

And yes: Having unemployment figures wrong by a couple of points does not significantly affect the overall rate of economic recovery laid out in the Ryan plan. At worst, it means that the recovery rates take a bit longer to achieve. But we're still going in the right direction. The plan still "works".


The argument you're using is absurd. It's like we're out of gas and I argue we should fill up the tank so that we can get moving, and you respond that it's pointless to do so because the tires are a little low on air so our fuel economy wont be as good as it could be. Um... Who cares? I'd rather move in the right direction a bit less efficiently than not move at all. Same deal here. I'd rather we move the economy in the right direction, even if it's not as quickly as I'd like, than sit around wallowing in the mud (and rapidly drowning in debt) like we're doing right now.

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Or you just don't care about the numbers at all and just assume what you want to happen is actually happening without any sort of accurate data to back it up? Because that seems to be how the Heritage Foundation operates and their numbers are the one Ryan is using to support his agenda.


Really? I don't recall ever hearing Ryan say that his plan would drop unemployment to 2.8% and that this drop in unemployment would cause the economy to recover. I've read his entire Roadmap document Joph. Nowhere does he mention 2.8% unemployment either as a goal or as a requirement for his plan to work. Heritage may very well have done their own number crunching, and I'm sure that the Ryan camp has used some of their numbers as confirmation that the plan will work. But I've yet to hear anyone other than a liberal condemning the plan (that's you btw) state that 2.8% unemployment is a requirement for it to work.

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Actually, I had read about the Ryan plan and analysis originally on The Hill and over at Politico. But, of course, anything that's not CNS News or whatever is "liberal media!" to you. But, just to be clear, I was correct about you knowing nothing at all about this, wasn't I?


About me never having heard that the Ryan plan was dependent on unemployment dropping to 2.8%? Absolutely. I had never heard of that before today Joph. Why do you suppose that is? Could it be because it's not dependent on that at all? Could it be because some liberal organization examined the Heritage numbers, saw the 2.8% unemployment projection and fibbed a bit about its importance and then you parroted that here?

Yeah. I think that's exactly what happened. I'll ask a variation of my earlier question: Where did you hear that the Ryan plan depended on unemployment dropping to 2.8%? Even the site you linked earlier talking about that table being removed simply referred to it as a "prediction" and not a requirement. So where did you get the idea that if unemployment didn't reach 2.8% that the Ryan plan would fail completely?
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