Kachi wrote:
I'm genuinely interested in why you're so eager to defend him, but sparing me that, I would suffice with you understanding how deaths-by-journeys is not actually the statistic the individual in question would want. Hint: There are more people on the average plane flight than car trip herp derp.
Now look, I can deal with being rated to sub-default for being a jerk, but Ima prolly cry a little if people are just too stupid to see that I'm right. lern 2 math folks
Edit: on second thought, ya know what? I'm going to apologize to gbaji. He's obviously not being egregiously stupid if other people agree with him, no matter how wrong they may be. Sorry, gbaji.
Edited, Mar 28th 2011 11:43pm by Kachi
Yeah, and I'm sorry you've never taken a class in statistics.
Hint: n_1* Pr(x_1) + n_2*Pr(x_2) = average numbers of passengers dying per journey. Pr(x) being probability that the plane crashes on a specific journey, x_1 and x_2 being the events where the plane crashes and doesn't crash, respectively. You can extend this to a probability function relating to miles if you so wish. The main reason I'm not doing this is because I have no ******* idea how to type out an integral on these boards and the miles function would be continuous whereas the journey one is discrete so a sum is sufficient.
n_2*Pr(x_2) is effectively zero if we want to talk about fatalities actually related to the crashing and not Grandpa's heart attack.
n_1 is the number of passengers dying in your average plane crash. That can likely be represented by a probability function as well, but for the sake of brevity, let's leave it out, because it's like, turtles all the way down and sh*t.
Now, I am more interested in the value Pr(x_1), because I'd rather not have to hurtle down to earth, regardless of the fact that I'm not going to die.
PROTIP: I never said deaths by journey was the one passengers wanted, just the one insurance companies used. I said accidents per flight hours would be the one passengers would likely prefer, since it just gives the probability of the plane crashing without consideration for the number of passengers involved.
It was supposed to illustrate that, you know, different statistics for different situations, and that even the professionals will use a wide array of statistics which you seem to be discounting, but you seem stuck on one statistic, so whatever.
Edited, Mar 29th 2011 3:53am by Sweetums