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Private sector designing spacecraft. Yeah, about that....Follow

#1 Mar 06 2011 at 1:12 AM Rating: Excellent
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The private sector designed Tarus XL is now 2 for 2 in destroying high profile climate observation satilites now (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbiting_Carbon_Observatory for the last one). And suprise suprise, it failed for the exact same reasons. Fairing seperation isn't a new concept, and of all the elements involved in launching a rocket it is probably one of the simplest. So, because of that failure, a single company has now cost NASA and the taxpayers of the united states upwards of $750 million dollars.

**** like this is the reason we need a strong, focused government run space program. One that can successfully pick a direction for advancing spaceflight that makes sense and isn't a complete backwards movement. We need a heavy lift rocket. We need a manouverable orbital platform (shuttle). The ISS should be twice the size it is by now.

Instead, we get stuck with sub-par homebuilt launchers and russian soyuz capsuls.

A revitalized space program would go a long way towards showing people the economy is recovering, but I fear that won't happen in my lifetime at this rate.

Someday, we'll tell our children that we were spacemen, once. But that those days are long gone.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2011/mar/04/taurus-rocket-glory-satellite-earth

Taurus rocket carrying Glory climate satellite falls back to EarthThe Glory Earth observation satellite was designed to help scientists understand how the sun and aerosols affect climate

An Earth observation satellite launched by Nasa on Friday morning has failed mid-flight because the nose cone of the rocket carrying it did not detach properly.

The loss of the satellite is the second failure in a row for the Taurus XL rocket, which has been plagued by technical glitches for some time.

The rocket blasted off from Vandenberg airforce base in California at 2.09am local time (10.09 GMT) but was declared a failure by Nasa's launch director, Omar Baez, five minutes later.

The rocket was carrying the Glory observation satellite, which was designed to help scientists understand how the sun and particles of matter in the atmosphere called aerosols affect the Earth's climate.

Also aboard were three smaller satellites called CubeSats designed and built by university and college students.

The rocket is thought to have come down in the ocean.

The US space agency and the rocket's manufacturer, Orbital Sciences, had spent the past two years fixing problems with onboard systems designed to blast the nose cone free of the rocket before it reaches orbit.

The rocket reached an altitude of 100 miles after the first stage separation before falling back to Earth with the nose cone still attached. Video: Nasa The rocket reached an altitude of more than 100 miles and a speed of 9,500 miles per hour before sensors revealed that the nose cone had failed to separate. With the cone still in place, the rocket was too heavy to reach orbit.

The Taurus rocket went into service in 1994 and has put 10 satellites into orbit. The failure today was the third in its history.
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#2 Mar 06 2011 at 1:37 AM Rating: Good
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76.9% success rate.

Is a C/C+ really acceptable?
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#3 Mar 06 2011 at 7:46 AM Rating: Default
The private sector can't afford the failures that the Government can. Today, the government also cannot afford the failures either. Maybe the private sector will succeed and then the government might learn from them. I do think the private sector will be our future not the government. When you work for the government you realize that its just scary that your life depends upon the lowest bidder.

Edited, Mar 6th 2011 8:46am by Tailmon
#4 Mar 06 2011 at 8:15 AM Rating: Excellent
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What kind of insurance do you suppose you need on a rocket?
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#5 Mar 06 2011 at 9:08 AM Rating: Good
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#6 Mar 06 2011 at 2:38 PM Rating: Good
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Tailmon wrote:
When you work for the government you realize that its just scary that your life depends upon the lowest bidder.


That's true for many private sectors as well. Not sure what you are getting at.
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#7 Mar 06 2011 at 8:56 PM Rating: Good
Timelordwho wrote:
76.9% success rate.

Is a C/C+ really acceptable?


More than 70%? That's first class.
#8 Mar 06 2011 at 9:58 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
What kind of insurance do you suppose you need on a rocket?

Apologies if I read about it in this forum, but there actually is insurance for this sort of thing: http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/ast/media/q42002.pdf




Edited, Mar 6th 2011 9:58pm by trickybeck
#9 Mar 07 2011 at 1:37 PM Rating: Decent
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With the cone still in place, the rocket was too heavy to reach orbit.


The problem isn't really that the separation failed. The problem is that we don't build equipment capable of overcoming these failures. I mean really, how much is a crossover cable?
#10 Mar 07 2011 at 1:51 PM Rating: Excellent
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Yodabunny wrote:
I mean really, how much is a crossover cable?

The ones from Monster are $799.95 each.
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#11 Mar 07 2011 at 2:58 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
The ones from Monster are $799.95 each.


But they have SUPER AWESOME GO FASTER STRIPES!!!!
#12 Mar 07 2011 at 4:43 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Yodabunny wrote:
I mean really, how much is a crossover cable?

The ones from Monster are $799.95 each.
That's just entry level stuff.
#13 Mar 08 2011 at 3:28 PM Rating: Excellent
Just out of curiosity (and laziness as I sure as sh:t won't be looking it up...) what was the failure rate of the Saturn V rocket in the early years of its development? How many people died in one? The space shuttle killed more than a dozen people after it was put in to production. The first 2 years of the Titan rocket they were 19-8.

There is no good reason not to have private companies take over for NASA. The taxpayers should have had their satellite insured.
#14 Mar 08 2011 at 9:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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MoebiusLord wrote:
Just out of curiosity (and laziness as I sure as sh:t won't be looking it up...) what was the failure rate of the Saturn V rocket in the early years of its development? How many people died in one? The space shuttle killed more than a dozen people after it was put in to production. The first 2 years of the Titan rocket they were 19-8.

There is no good reason not to have private companies take over for NASA. The taxpayers should have had their satellite insured.


Saturn V had 0 failures to achieve orbit. There was a partial thrust failure of a second stage center engine module on Apollo 13, and some computer glitches on Apollo 6 second and 3rd stages, these issues didn't prevent the rocket from reaching orbit successfully in either case.

We still have the plans for Saturn V rockets, and given what we know now we could make them considerably cheaper, with considerably more thrust and payload capacity. hell, eliminating the 3 ton computer module entirely alone would do quite a bit towards that end. Or even take the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) and use that in place of the old Saturn V engines on all the stages and you would essentially double the thrust.
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#15 Mar 09 2011 at 7:33 AM Rating: Decent
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Apollo one didn't get off the launch pad iirc. Hmmm nevermind, I was just informed that Saturn V began with apollo 4 not 1 carry on nothing to see here.

Edited, Mar 9th 2011 8:37am by rdmcandie
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#16 Mar 09 2011 at 8:03 AM Rating: Good
Sorry, my confusion. The Saturn V was a generational iteration of the Saturn booster and an unfair comparison.

I did notice, however, that you completely ignored the early year failures of the Titan boosters and I'd imagine that the early iterations of the Saturn boosters had failures too (though I can't be ***** to look it up). The point is, it's a young program. It will have failures. It needs to have these failures to grow. There need to be more programs to push the development forward and improve the designs over time. Much like the motor vehicle & aircraft manufacturers have leap-frogged each other to produce better vehicles, a spacecraft industry would eventually become robust & better equipped to handle the task than government.
#17 Mar 09 2011 at 9:22 PM Rating: Excellent
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rdmcandie wrote:
Apollo one didn't get off the launch pad iirc. Hmmm nevermind, I was just informed that Saturn V began with apollo 4 not 1 carry on nothing to see here.

Edited, Mar 9th 2011 8:37am by rdmcandie


The Apollo 1 tragedy, while devistating and a huge loss to nasa and the country, was not due to the rocket in any part. It was the capsule, filled with pure oxygen that caught fire and doomed those three astronauts. I believe the capsule wasn't even mounted on the rocket at the time because it was a system test, not the actual all up launch but I'm not 100% sure.
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#18 Mar 10 2011 at 7:17 AM Rating: Good
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MoebiusLord wrote:
Sorry, my confusion. The Saturn V was a generational iteration of the Saturn booster and an unfair comparison.

I did notice, however, that you completely ignored the early year failures of the Titan boosters and I'd imagine that the early iterations of the Saturn boosters had failures too (though I can't be ***** to look it up). The point is, it's a young program. It will have failures. It needs to have these failures to grow. There need to be more programs to push the development forward and improve the designs over time. Much like the motor vehicle & aircraft manufacturers have leap-frogged each other to produce better vehicles, a spacecraft industry would eventually become robust & better equipped to handle the task than government.


I don't have problem with a commercial space industry, but I do call into question some of their engineering practices.

Testing should have found and fixed these problems well before anything gets up in the air.
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#19 Mar 10 2011 at 7:21 AM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Sorry, my confusion. The Saturn V was a generational iteration of the Saturn booster and an unfair comparison.

I did notice, however, that you completely ignored the early year failures of the Titan boosters and I'd imagine that the early iterations of the Saturn boosters had failures too (though I can't be ***** to look it up). The point is, it's a young program. It will have failures. It needs to have these failures to grow. There need to be more programs to push the development forward and improve the designs over time. Much like the motor vehicle & aircraft manufacturers have leap-frogged each other to produce better vehicles, a spacecraft industry would eventually become robust & better equipped to handle the task than government.


I don't have problem with a commercial space industry, but I do call into question some of their engineering practices.

Testing should have found and fixed these problems well before anything gets up in the air.
So what you need to see is a commercial space industry with strong regulations. You should just apply to become a Canadian. While we won't do fuck all for the commercial space industry, we've got strong regulation of industry down quite well.
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#20 Mar 10 2011 at 7:22 AM Rating: Decent
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
rdmcandie wrote:
Apollo one didn't get off the launch pad iirc. Hmmm nevermind, I was just informed that Saturn V began with apollo 4 not 1 carry on nothing to see here.

Edited, Mar 9th 2011 8:37am by rdmcandie


The Apollo 1 tragedy, while devistating and a huge loss to nasa and the country, was not due to the rocket in any part. It was the capsule, filled with pure oxygen that caught fire and doomed those three astronauts. I believe the capsule wasn't even mounted on the rocket at the time because it was a system test, not the actual all up launch but I'm not 100% sure.


I understood it was a pre-flight systems check and it was attached to the rocket on the launch pad. Didn't help that the door was broken and they couldn't even get them out the moment something went wrong either. But it is a moot point as the Saturn V booster system wasn't used until Apollo 4 and subsequently Apollo 6, with Apollo 8 being the final test of its moon reaching ability.
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#21 Mar 10 2011 at 7:27 AM Rating: Good
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Uglysasquatch wrote:
Timelordwho wrote:
MoebiusLord wrote:
Sorry, my confusion. The Saturn V was a generational iteration of the Saturn booster and an unfair comparison.

I did notice, however, that you completely ignored the early year failures of the Titan boosters and I'd imagine that the early iterations of the Saturn boosters had failures too (though I can't be ***** to look it up). The point is, it's a young program. It will have failures. It needs to have these failures to grow. There need to be more programs to push the development forward and improve the designs over time. Much like the motor vehicle & aircraft manufacturers have leap-frogged each other to produce better vehicles, a spacecraft industry would eventually become robust & better equipped to handle the task than government.


I don't have problem with a commercial space industry, but I do call into question some of their engineering practices.

Testing should have found and fixed these problems well before anything gets up in the air.
So what you need to see is a commercial space industry with strong regulations. You should just apply to become a Canadian. While we won't do fuck all for the commercial space industry, we've got strong regulation of industry down quite well.


Depends on the style of regulation. Far too often you get regulatory capture situations where an artificial barrier to entry is created, as opposed to a situation where the regulation works as intended. If it were to end up heavily incentivising safe and efficient design and construction of spacecraft, that would be the ideal.
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#22 Mar 10 2011 at 7:36 AM Rating: Good
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Well, I can't guarantee that. We do a great job of making sure industries are regulated, as to how well that regulation works is up for discussion.
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#23 Mar 10 2011 at 8:59 AM Rating: Decent
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The space transportation industry should be private. It would be much more efficient and advance at a much greater pace. That being said I think governments should still have space programs. There are things that are just not commercially viable until they've been done once by a government entity willing to dump money into something just to advance human knowledge.
#24 Mar 10 2011 at 9:08 AM Rating: Good
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The space transportation industry should be private. It would be much more efficient and advance at a much greater pace. That being said I think governments should still have space programs. There are things that are just not commercially viable until they've been done once by a government entity willing to dump money into something just to advance human knowledge.

Just think of where we could be right now if flat screen TVs were government run before they became commercially viable. It could have saved those suckers who shelled out $15k for the first LCDs a pantload of money. Or cars. I'd much prefer to have had the government designing and developing them until the industry became profitable. Wait, what?
#25 Mar 10 2011 at 11:18 AM Rating: Decent
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I'm not talking about developing TVs and Cars, I'm talking about sailing to North America. There would be no reason to build ocean crossing boats if nobody had sailed to North America in order to discover it first. You need government to do the initial exploration in order for business to have a reason to get there and do the more detailed work.

There's no money in going to Mars. It will never happen if business has to do it. If the government does it we gain a lot of knowledge, some of that knowledge will have commercial applications giving business a reason to go to Mars.

I'm talking about creating industries not products.
#26 Mar 10 2011 at 12:00 PM Rating: Good
Yodabunny wrote:
I'm not talking about developing TVs and Cars, I'm talking about sailing to North America. There would be no reason to build ocean crossing boats if nobody had sailed to North America in order to discover it first. You need government to do the initial exploration in order for business to have a reason to get there and do the more detailed work.

There's no money in going to Mars. It will never happen if business has to do it. If the government does it we gain a lot of knowledge, some of that knowledge will have commercial applications giving business a reason to go to Mars.

I'm talking about creating industries not products.

Nothing ventured, nothing gained. It's not known if there's money in going to Mars. Mining alone may make the endeavor profitable. Suggesting there's no money in something is as dumb as if I were to suggest there was nothing to learn by doing it. There is no public good that justifies the money spent.
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