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Are things Really better? Recovery? Follow

#27 Feb 17 2011 at 5:14 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Irrelevant. The fact that he continually replaced the phrase "the economy" with "the recovery" is all we need to know that the guy lives in a liberal bubble.

LOL... you guys are precious.


Huh? I honestly read that article you linked, and his use of the phrase "the recovery" over and over was glaring. It reminded me (a lot) of Rhodes saying "Bush crime family" over and over. Same deal. Repeat a phrase over and over and hope it sticks.

No one outside of the far left liberal bubble uses that phrase like that Joph.
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#28 Feb 17 2011 at 5:23 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Rhodes saying "Bush crime family" over and over. Same deal. Repeat a phrase over and over and hope it sticks.

Like "Obama thugs" and "Obama regime"? I mentioned this before and found it funny (and telling) that you didn't join me in agreeing that anyone who used these sorts of terms was a worthless partisan hack more interested in pressing an ideology than in any form of accuracy or integrity.

Anyway, I gave Tailmon the information and whatever decisions are made from there regarding the economy are up to the OP. I have little interest in another couple pages of you and Varus crying over "experts!" and "Liberal bubbles!" and whatever other crap you have crammed in your panties this evening.
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#29 Feb 17 2011 at 5:52 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Rhodes saying "Bush crime family" over and over. Same deal. Repeat a phrase over and over and hope it sticks.

Like "Obama thugs" and "Obama regime"? I mentioned this before and found it funny (and telling) that you didn't join me in agreeing that anyone who used these sorts of terms was a worthless partisan hack more interested in pressing an ideology than in any form of accuracy or integrity.


Er? I didn't join you in denouncing whomever you were denouncing at the time, but that also doesn't mean that I treat them as non-biased sources of information either. I will fully agree that anyone using that sort of language is expressing a strong bias and anything they say should be taken within that context.

You'll note that I also said that this doesn't make the guys facts false. Just that his "presentation is suspect". As I have often stated, just because someone has poor reasons for their position doesn't make their position wrong. It just means that his reasons are poor ones for thinking that he is right.

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Anyway, I gave Tailmon the information and whatever decisions are made from there regarding the economy are up to the OP. I have little interest in another couple pages of you and Varus crying over "experts!" and "Liberal bubbles!" and whatever other crap you have crammed in your panties this evening.


Sure. But I could also link to dozens of articles written by equally biased experts looking at the exact same facts and drawing the exact opposite conclusions. It's not the facts that are in dispute. It's the conclusions we draw from those facts. Do the economic indicators show the economy is recovering? Sure. Slowly. Does this tell us anything at all about the usefulness of any specific economic policy over the last few years as it relates to said recovery? Not even in the slightest. Does it tell us anything about future outcomes? Nope. I'll repeat that one of the concerns on the right is that the incredible amount of money spent chasing a "speedy recovery" which didn't happen is what is hampering that same recovery. Everyone, from individual consumers, to businesses small and large, to government budget planners, are concerned about where the money is going to come from and it's affecting their decisions *today*.


An additional component of this, which is often overlooked, is that the money spent on recovery was only really the tip of the iceberg. That money came with unfunded mandates, which effectively pushed the real total cost much higher and levied that extra cost onto the states. This, in addition to lost revenues (and some poor fiscal planning of their own) is why so many states are in near-crisis economically.
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#30 Feb 17 2011 at 5:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Er? I didn't join you in denouncing whomever you were denouncing at the time, but that also doesn't mean that I treat them as non-biased sources of information either. I will fully agree that anyone using that sort of language is expressing a strong bias and anything they say should be taken within that context.

LOL -- be more wishy-washy :D
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#31 Feb 17 2011 at 6:24 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Er? I didn't join you in denouncing whomever you were denouncing at the time, but that also doesn't mean that I treat them as non-biased sources of information either. I will fully agree that anyone using that sort of language is expressing a strong bias and anything they say should be taken within that context.

LOL -- be more wishy-washy :D


Um... Ok? When have I ever linked to an article containing language like "Obama thugs" as support for an argument I've made? So how does comparing that to the constant use of the phrase "the recovery" in the article you linked mean anything at all? Isn't it just rhetoric on your part?

You're comparing something you did to something I don't do as some kind of strange defense for you doing it. Weird, don't you agree?
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#32 Feb 17 2011 at 6:30 PM Rating: Decent
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If you deny that the economy in the states is recovering, you are out to lunch. It is getting better everyday, and once the Juggernaut gets running it takes a lot to slow it down. The US is like a giant engine, it takes a while to warm up.
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#33 Feb 17 2011 at 6:33 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Um... Ok? When have I ever linked to an article containing language like "Obama thugs" as support for an argument I've made?

I never said you did. I was just pointing out that you sure get a hard-on for saying "Rhodes said Bush crime family!!!" but show little interest in denouncing the other side. "Gee, maybe they sorta shouldn't I guess and I suppose I'd haveta think they're biased..."

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So how does comparing that to the constant use of the phrase "the recovery" in the article you linked mean anything at all? Isn't it just rhetoric on your part?

Your complaint about "recovery" is your complaint. I think it's incredibly wrong but I don't give enough of a shit to go around in circles with you about it for a couple pages.
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#34 Feb 17 2011 at 7:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Um... Ok? When have I ever linked to an article containing language like "Obama thugs" as support for an argument I've made?

I never said you did. I was just pointing out that you sure get a hard-on for saying "Rhodes said Bush crime family!!!" but show little interest in denouncing the other side.


How does you pointing this out constitute a valid response to my observation about the same kind of language used in the article you chose to link to as evidence of economic recovery?


My point is that the source you linked to is painfully biased. Your response? That other sources are biased as well. Um... That's great and all, and I'm not arguing that there aren't other biased sources, but I'm not using those other biased sources to support my positions. You are. Get it?
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#35 Feb 18 2011 at 1:27 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
My point is that the source you linked to is painfully biased. Your response? That other sources are biased as well.

That wasn't my response. That was an aside laughing at you while you cry about Rhodes and fail to cry as hard (or at all) about your ideological heroes doing the exact same thing.

The article itself isn't biased except that you can't admit that there's any sort of recovery for, again, purely ideological reasons. The same logic that leads you to argue for pages that economic "experts" (need scare quotes!) can't be trusted when they disagree with your Amateur Hour opinions and, damn it!, you don't need to actually read anything to know they're wrong! So you wring your hands and cry "He said Recovery!" as though that somehow proves anything.

Edited, Feb 18th 2011 1:28am by Jophiel
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#36REDACTED, Posted: Feb 18 2011 at 8:33 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Jophed,
#37 Feb 18 2011 at 1:30 PM Rating: Good
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varusword75 wrote:
Jophed,

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The article itself isn't biased except that you can't admit that there's any sort of recovery for, again, purely ideological reasons


There's not any sort of recovery and only ideological fools think there is. How can you look at what the govn's spent, at the unemployment rate, at the housing industry, at the auto industry and think anything else? H*ll I heard officials from the 'motor city' on npr the other day talking about how they're going to survive. Have you looked at the price of oil, you know the actual stuff that fuels our economy, lately? Do you think Obama's capitulation of Eygypt to the radical muzzies in the ME is going to actually help? How about the continued moratorium for drilling in the gulf? But hey he's all about spending billions on a g*d d*amn euro-style transit system that people won't use anyway because we're f*cking americans and we like to drive.

So again tell me how and why you think inflated dec numbers, which in no small part is due to the GOP re-gaining the house, indicates this economy is heading in the right direction.



Edited, Feb 18th 2011 9:33am by varusword75


Up in my neck of the woods, we have a pretty deep deficit of various flavors of programmers and other comp sci related labor. So much so, that a contact of mine will need to run his new office out of Toronto because there are not enough people looking for jobs over here.

Anecdotal and relevant only to one sector, but when amalgamated with other evidence it forms a trend line that suggests that the economy is in a better place than it was previously, although not fully recovered by a long shot, due to a couple sectors dragging their feet (Oddly enough, retail isn't one of those sectors).

Edit: Now, thanks to proper grammar and spelling, my views will carry a a grate deal of wait in Varus's eyes

Edited, Feb 18th 2011 5:12pm by Timelordwho
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#38REDACTED, Posted: Feb 18 2011 at 3:09 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Timmy,
#39 Feb 18 2011 at 3:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:
Your views might carry more weight if you actually knew how to properly use 'their'.

Maybe he was distracted while typing by reading the "Atlantic Sun".

Quote:
Or are you just pulling Joph by claiming "there's" all this evidence when the fact is it just isn't there?

Aside from the data points for consumer spending, personal income, new/existing home sales, retail sales, foreclosure activity, etc in the article :)

But you have you insisting it's all not true and anyone saying it is a big liberal liarface! That probably counts for something...


...to Gbaji
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#40 Feb 18 2011 at 4:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:
Timmy,

Your views might carry more weight if you actually knew how to properly use 'their'.


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Oddly enough, retail isn't one of those sectors


What's odd is that you consider this odd considering how much money the fed has artificially pumped into the system.


And what other evidence are you talking about? Or are you just pulling Joph by claiming "there's" all this evidence when the fact is it just isn't there?



Edited, Feb 18th 2011 4:10pm by varusword75


There is a lot of data that gets figured into the calculation, and no one data source should be too heavily weighted, but here are a couple.

1 <- General Industry trending
2 <- general NE snapshot
3 <-Labor cost is a pretty big indicator of future unemployment lowering
4<- Non-Govt employment, slowly but steadily increasing
5<- Generic local stats
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#41 Feb 18 2011 at 5:28 PM Rating: Decent
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It's funny how back when Bush was president, none of those things were considered indicators of economic health at all by most posters on this board. Nope. All that mattered was that unemployment was at a horrifically high 5.x% (up from when Clinton had it at 4.x%), and that we were running a couple hundred billion dollar a year deficits. Now, 9.x% unemployment isn't important, and 1.2-1.5 Trillion dollar a year deficits don't matter. Don't get me wrong here, Varus is being just as blindly partisan by ignoring the indicators as well, but many of you are just as much so.

Yes. Those are indications of recovery. But the negative indicators are much much much worse today than they were back then *and* the positive indicators are somewhat weak. Look at the whole picture, not just the set of good or bad that supports what you want to say.
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#42 Feb 18 2011 at 6:10 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
It's funny how back when Bush was president, none of those things were considered indicators of economic health at all by most posters on this board.

Really? This is the best you can do? "Well, I suppose the data does exist but.... Bush!!! You didn't like Bush!!!"

As I've said before, Bush's lack of a true recovery (as opposed to one created entirely by the housing bubble) was shown through the complete and total collapse of damn near every metric to the worst of 2001 standards. Nothing Bush did created any sort of economic platform that could withstand any pressure (as opposed to Clinton's economy which retained most of its post 1993-94 gains even after the tech bubble). This is just fact whether you want to admit to it or not. Those who noted the cracks in Bush's esteemed recovery were correct whether you want to admit to it or not or try to wave it off with "broken clock" one-liners. Then again, the indicators you're saying were the only ones mentioned weren't and you're just playing your usual games of vague, unsupported accusations that you can spin your way out of when pinned. How surprising.
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#43 Feb 18 2011 at 6:18 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
It's funny how back when Bush was president, none of those things were considered indicators of economic health at all by most posters on this board. Nope. All that mattered was that unemployment was at a horrifically high 5.x% (up from when Clinton had it at 4.x%), and that we were running a couple hundred billion dollar a year deficits. Now, 9.x% unemployment isn't important, and 1.2-1.5 Trillion dollar a year deficits don't matter. Don't get me wrong here, Varus is being just as blindly partisan by ignoring the indicators as well, but many of you are just as much so.

Yes. Those are indications of recovery. But the negative indicators are much much much worse today than they were back then *and* the positive indicators are somewhat weak. Look at the whole picture, not just the set of good or bad that supports what you want to say.


Which numbers, and when?

If you're talking pre-crash, well then duh, a recovering economy will be weaker than one during a bubble, if your talking earlier into the post-crash environment, the broad set of number look better than they did.

Also, I've never called 5% unemployment horrifically high, I said that things were bought that shouldn't have been, and stuff that should have been done wasn't, which is entirely a different thing. Deficits can be OK, just like borrowing can be OK, but the further you go on that road, the more other options should be looked at.
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#44 Feb 18 2011 at 6:35 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:
Timmy,

Your views might carry more weight if you actually knew how to properly use 'their'.


You are the last person that should ever call anyone else out on grammar.
#45 Feb 18 2011 at 7:12 PM Rating: Decent
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#46 Feb 18 2011 at 7:27 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
As I've said before, Bush's lack of a true recovery (as opposed to one created entirely by the housing bubble) was shown through the complete and total collapse of damn near every metric to the worst of 2001 standards.


What does this have to do with anything? I don't recall a single person on this forum saying that Bush's economy was bad because the indicators were only rising because of a housing bubble. Feel free to attempt to find this argument being made, but I don't think you'll have any luck.

What was said, repeatedly, was that Bush's economy was bad because unemployment was "high" (high being mid 5% range mind you), and he was running a deficit. Those were far and away the most commonly used supporting facts on this board for any criticism of Bush's economy. Since my point here is purely to show the inconsistent measuring methods used by posters on this board, that would seem relevant. Bringing up something which no-one mentioned, but in hindsight had a large effect is nice and all, but it does not in any way counter what I said.

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Nothing Bush did created any sort of economic platform that could withstand any pressure (as opposed to Clinton's economy which retained most of its post 1993-94 gains even after the tech bubble). This is just fact whether you want to admit to it or not.


Except for the fact that it was the actions of the Democrats and Clinton which caused the bubble in the first place? Kinda missing that part of the story, aren't you? Another way to look at it is that had the Democrats not insisted on putting harmful language into the financial reform in 1999, the money that was funneled into the housing bubble would have instead been invested in more solid financial pursuits, and we not only would have had real solid growth, but the economic disaster of 3 years ago wouldn't have happened in the first place.

We can play blame game all day long Joph. The bigger question is what a president and party do in response to current economic conditions. And it's pretty clear that what Obama and the Dems did in response to the economic conditions were poor to say the least.

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Those who noted the cracks in Bush's esteemed recovery were correct whether you want to admit to it or not or try to wave it off with "broken clock" one-liners.


Which was no-one on this board. Hence, my point. Strangely, I don't recall *any* liberal economists calling for reform of the housing market during that time period either. I do recall conservatives calling for it and being shouted down with cries of "racist" and "hater of the poor" by the left though. Perhaps your memory is different and you could show me where reforming the housing market in order to prevent/correct for a rising bubble was a rallying cry of the left, but I just don't remember it.

But that doesn't stop you from implying some kind of "credit" is due. And it also doesn't prevent you from once again using the "but he did this!" technique to distract from the reality of right now.


Quote:
Then again, the indicators you're saying were the only ones mentioned weren't and you're just playing your usual games of vague, unsupported accusations that you can spin your way out of when pinned. How surprising.


I'm not being vague at all. The two factors which were overwhelmingly used on this board (and in a lot of other venues) to attack Bush's economy were the deficit and unemployment. You just don't want to admit that the exact same two factors which the left used to attack the economic performance of Republicans just a few years ago are now the two factors you want to ignore when assessing the performance of the Democrats. I suppose it's too much to ask that we use the same criteria? Guess so.
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#47 Feb 18 2011 at 7:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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*Shrug*

We've been around with it before.
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#48 Feb 18 2011 at 9:14 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
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Nothing Bush did created any sort of economic platform that could withstand any pressure (as opposed to Clinton's economy which retained most of its post 1993-94 gains even after the tech bubble). This is just fact whether you want to admit to it or not.

Except for the fact that it was the actions of the Democrats and Clinton which caused the bubble in the first place?

Well, Al Gore did invent the Internet after all, so I guess you can attribute the tech bubble to Clinton's administration.
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#49 Feb 18 2011 at 9:22 PM Rating: Excellent
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I don't know if Tailmon ever tries to correct anyone though. And Kao freely admits he can't spell.

Varus is... varus.
#50 Feb 18 2011 at 11:06 PM Rating: Decent
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It's funny how back when Bush was president, none of those things were considered indicators of economic health at all by most posters on this board. Nope. All that mattered was that unemployment was at a horrifically high 5.x% (up from when Clinton had it at 4.x%), and that we were running a couple hundred billion dollar a year deficits. Now, 9.x% unemployment isn't important, and 1.2-1.5 Trillion dollar a year deficits don't matter. Don't get me wrong here, Varus is being just as blindly partisan by ignoring the indicators as well, but many of you are just as much so.

Yes. Those are indications of recovery. But the negative indicators are much much much worse today than they were back then *and* the positive indicators are somewhat weak. Look at the whole picture, not just the set of good or bad that supports what you want to say.


I get that you're talking about when things were better, but do you understand why people might really not give a damn when things only get worse under one administration and then only get better during the next? I mean, do you really think people don't blame the Bush administration for the current state of the economy? You can argue quite easily that he didn't start it, but not that it didn't happen under his watch.

It's funny how the economy tends to do that... get better with Democratic presidents and worse with Republican presidents. Almost like some kinda pattern.
#51 Feb 19 2011 at 6:40 PM Rating: Decent
Suprised that the Wisconsin people haven't been telling us about the situation there.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41664858/ns/us_news-life
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