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#77 Feb 02 2011 at 2:17 AM Rating: Decent
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I forget how this works, do I pay Allegory royalties or something?


Oh yawn. I'm well aware of the Dunning-Kruger effect. It's kind of in vogue in contemporary psychology. You can't just throw it out wherever you like, though. The basis for the effect is that it requires a thorough understanding of a subject to know exactly where one stands on that subject. It's not intended to be applied generally, and it doesn't say that is isn't possible for one to know their own strengths or weaknesses. If nothing else, it makes the case that you shouldn't be accusing other people of overestimating themselves if you aren't well above them. So maybe the Dunning-Kruger here is you?

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Mm. Yes, rare. I imagine that would have to be a rare woman, indeed.


She is, in a rather good way. Two days will make one year now.
#78 Feb 02 2011 at 2:33 AM Rating: Good
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Kachi wrote:
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I forget how this works, do I pay Allegory royalties or something?


Oh yawn. I'm well aware of the Dunning-Kruger effect. It's kind of in vogue in contemporary psychology. You can't just throw it out wherever you like, though. The basis for the effect is that it requires a thorough understanding of a subject to know exactly where one stands on that subject. It's not intended to be applied generally, and it doesn't say that is isn't possible for one to know their own strengths or weaknesses. If nothing else, it makes the case that you shouldn't be accusing other people of overestimating themselves if you aren't well above them. So maybe the Dunning-Kruger here is you?


The lady doth protest too much.
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#79 Feb 02 2011 at 2:38 AM Rating: Decent
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I enjoy lecturing.
#80 Feb 02 2011 at 4:12 AM Rating: Good
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Kachi wrote:
I enjoy lecturing.


Wait, that was a lecture, not a tantrum?






...Ok.
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#81 Feb 02 2011 at 3:11 PM Rating: Decent
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You severely overestimate my emotional involvement in anything that goes on here.
#82 Feb 02 2011 at 3:15 PM Rating: Good
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Kachi wrote:
You severely overestimate my emotional involvement in anything that goes on here.


Number of times I have heard that before a blowup: 27.
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#83 Feb 02 2011 at 3:25 PM Rating: Decent
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Don't hold your breath.
#84 Feb 03 2011 at 6:30 AM Rating: Decent
Kachi wrote:
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Wouldn't want to be in a relationship with a "normal" woman?


If you interpreted that as egotistical, that was purely your inference. I was simply saying that the kind of woman I like is rare, not necessarily better.

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Charming comedy genius = Kavekk


OMG, so arrogant. /sarcasm

Granted, I can understand how it's difficult to discern the difference between confidence and arrogance even in person, but I do tire of the character judgments. I'm extremely self-critical, and as a result I have exceptional knowledge of my strengths and weaknesses. If you don't see me acting with humility it's because I tend to keep my mouth shut where the humility is due. Can we stop acting like we know anything substantive about one another now?


This is my favourite Kachi post yet.

1/10
#85 Feb 03 2011 at 1:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
The $100 billion the GOP promised to cut out of the budget has already been reduced to $50 billion. First they said the 2011 budget wasn't as large as they first though so they only need to cut $85bil. But since it'll be a short budget year, they can pro-rate much of that and cut only $50bil. So there ya go -- $100bil in cuts for the low price of only $50bil removed from the budget.

Whoops, never mind. Ryan released his plan and now he's only cutting $32bil.
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#86 Feb 03 2011 at 3:48 PM Rating: Decent
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This is my favourite Kachi post yet.


I actually don't know who you are. I'm not sure if that should be attributed to a lack of exposure, or if you're just not humorous enough to warrant attention to your name.
#87 Feb 03 2011 at 4:46 PM Rating: Good
Kachi wrote:
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This is my favourite Kachi post yet.


I actually don't know who you are. I'm not sure if that should be attributed to a lack of exposure, or if you're just not humorous enough to warrant attention to your name.


Thanks for sharing.
#88 Feb 03 2011 at 4:55 PM Rating: Decent
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Sure, I'm sure I appreciate your commentary on my posts as much as you appreciate mine.
#89 Feb 03 2011 at 4:57 PM Rating: Good
Kachi wrote:
Sure, I'm sure I appreciate your commentary on my posts as much as you appreciate mine.


I don't think that's possible.

But I'm sure not sure.

Edited, Feb 3rd 2011 11:02pm by Kavekk
#90 Feb 03 2011 at 5:06 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:

... private parties in the evenings. And soon enough i'll be playing, the piano, at a restaurant owned by a good buddy of mine near campus. Hmmm musician playing at a restaurant frequented by college hotties; that's me in just a few months. Not to mention i've been working out ridiculously hard this winter and am in great shape so i'm just a couple weeks of tanning away from doing the lake scene. Yeah life is hard for this single unattached economically stable bachelor.

You were saying?



Hey, a 1970s Brut commercial called, and it wants its life back.

Edited, Feb 3rd 2011 6:09pm by Deathwysh
#91 Feb 04 2011 at 6:35 PM Rating: Excellent
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Not worth its own thread but this was interesting (to me):
CSM wrote:
By the end of this year, the most commonly used measure of US debt – debt held by the public – will break $10 trillion for the first time.
[...]
At the end of 2010, about 53 percent of US debt held by the public was held domestically, according to a recent study from the Congressional Budget Office.

Within this slice, the largest category is individuals – Treasury notes are good solid additions to any portfolio. US individuals hold 12 percent of the country’s debt. Next under the domestic category comes the Federal Reserve, which holds 9 percent of US debt, then pension and retirement funds, mutual funds, and state and local governments.

Foreigners hold about 47 percent of US public debt. And yes, the largest foreign holder here is China – but only by a hair. Chinese investors are owed 9.8 percent of US debt. Next comes Japan, at 9.6 percent, and the United Kingdom, at 5.1 percent.

Oil exporting nations as a group, including Saudi Arabia, Oman, the United Arab Emirates, etc., account for about 2.6 percent of US debt. Brazil has 1.8 percent. The rest is split among lots of other countries.

China's going to have to work harder at owning the US when they only own 9.8% of the debt, less than average US citizens have squirreled away in their sock drawers.

Edited, Feb 4th 2011 6:37pm by Jophiel
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#92 Feb 04 2011 at 9:23 PM Rating: Decent
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Here's something else interesting, from the cbo historical budget stuff (now that 2010 is finished).

Since Obama took office, federal revenues have dropped 363 billion. So that's the economic downturn affecting our debt picture.

During that same time period federal spending has increased 473 Billion. That's the Dems spending affecting our debt picture.

The point? More of our debt problems right now are coming from new spending than from lost revenue because of the economic problems that started in 2008. We can argue that even if we fully recover from that economic downturn, we'll *still* be in trouble.

Of course, when you combine the two, you get a debt held by public as percentage of GDP that has risen from 40% in 2008 to 62% in 2010. Looked at another way, when you examine the tables, you see a clear pattern of sustainable debt levels (very consistently sitting in the 36% range for 4 of the last 5 years of Bush's term. The economy tanks in 2008, and the increased deficit and debt deltas for that year can be accounted for by the lost revenue itself. Everything after that is runaway debt caused by increased spending.

We can't sustain this. The debt ratio is still rising and shows no sign of reversing. When do we decide that we should roll back spending to 2008 levels? Because from where I sit, had we keep spending at those levels instead of increasing it, we wouldn't be facing the same rising debt problem that we are right now.

Edited, Feb 4th 2011 7:23pm by gbaji
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#93 Feb 04 2011 at 9:54 PM Rating: Excellent
Yep, we should raise taxes!
#94 Feb 04 2011 at 10:13 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
When do we decide that we should roll back spending to 2008 levels? Because from where I sit, had we keep spending at those levels instead of increasing it, we wouldn't be facing the same rising debt problem that we are right now.


You are right, there are no debt issues when there is no economy.
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#95 Feb 04 2011 at 10:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The point? More of our debt problems right now are coming from new spending than from lost revenue because of the economic problems that started in 2008. We can argue that even if we fully recover from that economic downturn, we'll *still* be in trouble.

This glosses over the fact that a significant source of the spending was the Recovery Act which has been widely considered to have stopped a much deeper economic downturn.

I agree that cutting off revenue by extending the unpaid for Bush tax cuts for the wealthy was a poor idea though.
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#96 Feb 05 2011 at 10:35 AM Rating: Default
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Since Obama took office, federal revenues have dropped 363 billion. So that's the economic downturn affecting our debt picture.


Just think of how much money the Govt would make if they taxed the richest people proportionate to their income. Tax and Spend > Cut and Spend, give the old clinton economists another few years and they will have cleaned up the mess left by the Bush WH. Just like they did in the 90's.
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#97 Feb 05 2011 at 11:40 AM Rating: Decent
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This glosses over the fact that a significant source of the spending was the Recovery Act which has been widely considered to have stopped a much deeper economic downturn.


Exactly. Come and get me when you have figures for spending sans Recovery Act and we can talk. Preferably from another source; don't trust your fuzzy maths.
#98 Feb 07 2011 at 8:39 AM Rating: Good
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I don't know about US social services spending compared to the rest of the world, but I keep hearing/seeing figures like: The US spends 50% of the entire global military budget; the US spends as much on its military as the next 40 nations combined...blah de blah. Basically, the US outspends the rest of the world military wise so much it is insane.

While there are historical reasons for this, after the fall of the Soviet empire and the end of the Cold War, the US really has been missing an opportunity to wind back on military spending. I think if the US was spending only 30% of the global military budget it would still have a global hegemony, whilst being in a much better fiscal circumstance.

After all, the US doesn't like to go to war without allies, as this looks morally better. So the US shouldn't have to rely solely on its own military budget for its own military interests. Secondly, if the US would just let some more nations run themselves internally how they want to, the US would be making far less ill-will for itself in the world.

Also, how US Healthcare got into it's present state is a puzzlement to foreigners. How the US manages to spend twice the GDP on Healthcare as other first world nations, with only the same or worse healthcare outcomes seems a frustrating, terrible, pressing question. AND you manage to bankrupt many people when they get sick. It's a sick joke to an outsider, who doesn't get why you have all put up with these outcomes for so long. If you just imported the British, Canadian, Australian, or any European health system you'd be the same or better off, and suddenly have 7% more money as a nation.
#99 Feb 07 2011 at 9:36 AM Rating: Good
Aripyanfar wrote:
It's a sick joke to an outsider, who doesn't get why you have all put up with these outcomes for so long.


Mostly because there is one thing that we do really, really well, and that's lie to ourselves and each other.
#100 Feb 07 2011 at 10:07 AM Rating: Good
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My federal taxes went up. Apparently the federal income tax withholdings increased with the demise of the Making Work Pay tax credit at the end of 2010. For most this is offset by a decrease in social security withholdings...as planned.

Some of us don't pay into social security though.
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#101 Feb 07 2011 at 3:32 PM Rating: Default
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TirithRR the Eccentric wrote:
gbaji wrote:
When do we decide that we should roll back spending to 2008 levels? Because from where I sit, had we keep spending at those levels instead of increasing it, we wouldn't be facing the same rising debt problem that we are right now.


You are right, there are no debt issues when there is no economy.


You actually define "the economy" as some function of government spending? That explains a lot actually.
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