Eske Esquire wrote:
You can't ascribe a figure to the amount of people who don't want repeal because of the effort required. There's no way to quantify it. It could be large, it could be small. It could be less than that 8% difference separating the two opinions. Who's to say?
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A 50/50 split in public opinion? That could very well mean "just as unpopular as it is popular" (or, assuming that unknown % of people who oppose due to the required effort, perhaps close to it). Your characterization of it as "really really bad" stems solely from your personal standpoint. To me, I tend to think that something more like a 75/25 split would be "wildly unpopular". So no, a 40/48 split doesn't strike me as unpopular at all. It strikes me as pretty close to even. Is that not reasonable?
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A 50/50 split in public opinion? That could very well mean "just as unpopular as it is popular" (or, assuming that unknown % of people who oppose due to the required effort, perhaps close to it). Your characterization of it as "really really bad" stems solely from your personal standpoint. To me, I tend to think that something more like a 75/25 split would be "wildly unpopular". So no, a 40/48 split doesn't strike me as unpopular at all. It strikes me as pretty close to even. Is that not reasonable?
Let me repeat this again:
gbaji wrote:
Yes. But at the risk of repeating what I assumed was a well understood concept, not everyone who dislikes the health care law supports repealing it, and not everyone who opposes repealing the health care law likes it. You cannot say the opposite. We can assume that everyone who supports repealing it dislikes it *and* everyone who likes it opposes repeal.
What you are arguing is irrelevant. It doesn't not change the absolute fact that the total number of people who dislike the health care bill must be greater than the total number of people who support repeal of the health care bill. Thus, no amount of showing that there's a roughly 50/50 split of people who support/oppose repeal makes my original statement that "most people dislike the health care bill" false.
Get it?
Quote:
gbaji wrote:
It would be like if 50% of your customers wanted a refund for their purchase. We'd assume that it was a really really really crappy product, wouldn't we? Well, that's what the health care bill is. A really crappy product.
Flawed analogy. Political ideas and consumer products do not follow the same approval trends. Not remotely.
"Political ideas"? Sure. But we're not talking about an idea. We're talking about a very specific piece of legislation which contains very specific changes which affect pretty much every single person in the country. So yeah. The analogy does work within that context.
No analogy is an exact match. That's an unfair requirement. This one is close enough.