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#27 Jan 25 2011 at 1:29 PM Rating: Default
Ugly,

Quote:
Yes you can. However, it's not so much that I support Obama as it is I think the GOP are a joke. Given the alternatives, I view Obama as by far, the lesser of 2 evils


H*ll of a convincing argument for exactly why you're a liberal. Thanks.

#28 Jan 25 2011 at 1:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:
Ugly,

Quote:
Yes you can. However, it's not so much that I support Obama as it is I think the GOP are a joke. Given the alternatives, I view Obama as by far, the lesser of 2 evils

H*ll of a convincing argument for exactly why you're a liberal. Thanks.

I thought Varus claimed he wasn't a Republican a couple of years back because they weren't conservative enough? Actually, saying the GOP was a joke were almost his exact words...
#29 Jan 25 2011 at 1:49 PM Rating: Default
Locked,

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I thought Varus claimed he wasn't a Republican a couple of years back because they weren't conservative enough? Actually, saying the GOP was a joke were almost his exact words...


They were a joke a couple of years ago. Now, thanks to the tea party, we're finally able to kick those punk as* rino's out.


What give up defending your "but i'm not a liberal" bs?


#30 Jan 25 2011 at 1:55 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:
Ugly,

Quote:
Yes you can. However, it's not so much that I support Obama as it is I think the GOP are a joke. Given the alternatives, I view Obama as by far, the lesser of 2 evils


H*ll of a convincing argument for exactly why you're a liberal. Thanks.

You're delusional dude.
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#31 Jan 25 2011 at 2:05 PM Rating: Default
Ugly,

lol...i'm delusional...you're the one trying to convince yourself you're not a liberal in one breath and saying Obama is better than the alternative in the next.

#32 Jan 25 2011 at 2:35 PM Rating: Excellent
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varusword75 wrote:

They were a joke a couple of years ago. Now, thanks to the tea party, we're finally able to kick those punk as* rino's out.
What give up defending your "but i'm not a liberal" bs?


I've always been a social liberal (and fiscal conservative) and never claimed to be anything else. Hence why I like the Dalai Lama but realize causing an international incident with a country that owns 1/8 of our national debt is a bad idea. I've never been a registered Democrat though, which is what I've always said but you seem to forget constantly Smiley: nod
#33REDACTED, Posted: Jan 25 2011 at 2:49 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Locked,
#34 Jan 25 2011 at 3:03 PM Rating: Default
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Kachi wrote:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0111/47831.html

From a few days ago. The house passed the repeal of the healthcare bill, knowing full well that it wouldn't pass the Senate or avoid veto by Obama. They called it "symbolic," though how it is symbolic of anything but partisanship escapes me.


It can't be any more partisan than the bill they are attempting to repeal, can it?

Ugly is right, however that does not eliminate the need to pass this bill in the house. It sets a starting point for the process. If you start off saying "well, we're ok with just trimming off a few bits here and there", the other side will negotiate that until you get nothing. Or what gets trimmed is the stuff you're ok with, and bad stuff is left in and the result is worse. By starting with a firm "we want this thing gone completely", you force the other side to either dig in their heels or come up with a compromise that is actually in the middle instead of skewed to one side.


The other component to this is that the health care bill is *very* unpopular nationwide. I know we get caught up in hyperbole here, and while it's wrong to say that "everyone" wants it repealed, it's more right than saying that "no one" does. Simply pointing out that the other guys exaggeration isn't true doesn't remove the core reality that most people really don't like the health care bill as passed. By pushing for a full repeal, it puts the Dems in the position of defending a bill that most people don't like. Politically, that could be disastrous.

What's going on in the Senate right now is an indication of this. If it was such a simple deal Reid would call for a vote on the bill and the Dems would vote against it. But instead he's refusing to put it on the schedule. That sort of avoidance speaks volumes. It says that they know their position is unpopular and while they don't want the bill to pass, they don't want to be on record voting against it. If it were to come to a vote it's not outside the realm of possibility that it might just pass. Even a filibuster is problematic for the Dems since, as I've pointed out repeatedly in the past, the public perception of the filibuster is based on the base public support/opposition to the bill in question.


IMO, passing the repeal bill in the house was exactly the right thing for the GOP to do. It puts the Dems on notice and puts the core issue the voters reacted to last year (wasteful spending in bad economic times) front and center. The reality is that the Dems badly miscalculated with the health care bill. And once they realized it, instead of reversing course, they just rammed it through anyway. That's going to cost them and it's going to continue to cost them. Of course the GOP is going to keep it in the spotlight. It would be foolish for them not to. You have one of those rare cases where public opinion and political value are aligned. Of course they're going to push the issue!
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#35 Jan 25 2011 at 3:25 PM Rating: Good
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varusword75 wrote:
Ugly,

lol...i'm delusional...you're the one trying to convince yourself you're not a liberal in one breath and saying Obama is better than the alternative in the next.

Choosing the Tea Party makes you a Fascist. It must be true, I just said it.
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#36 Jan 25 2011 at 3:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
It can't be any more partisan than the bill they are attempting to repeal, can it?

Well, you whined about that so let's hear you whine about how "partisan" this bill is and how it was "rammed through" the House without being allowed through the amendment process, etc.

Hehehehe... I slay me.

Quote:
The other component to this is that the health care bill is *very* unpopular nationwide. I know we get caught up in hyperbole here, and while it's wrong to say that "everyone" wants it repealed, it's more right than saying that "no one" does.

That's not accurate.

Repeal is running about even with not repealing right now.

Quote:
If it was such a simple deal Reid would call for a vote on the bill and the Dems would vote against it. But instead he's refusing to put it on the schedule.

What he should do is put it on the schedule and then filibuster it. Because that's how you handle legislation you're afraid to vote on, AMIRITE?
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#37 Jan 25 2011 at 3:59 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
It can't be any more partisan than the bill they are attempting to repeal, can it?

Well, you whined about that so let's hear you whine about how "partisan" this bill is and how it was "rammed through" the House without being allowed through the amendment process, etc.


It was written and voted on. And passed. I'm not sure what other magic you think should have happened along the way. Now if the GOP tries to change the bill a couple times and then loses votes in the Senate and then attempts to declare the last changed version to be purely budgetary so it can move directly past the final vote and into reconciliation *then* you might have a point. So far, the GOP has done this cleanly though.


Quote:
Quote:
The other component to this is that the health care bill is *very* unpopular nationwide. I know we get caught up in hyperbole here, and while it's wrong to say that "everyone" wants it repealed, it's more right than saying that "no one" does.

That's not accurate.

Repeal is running about even with not repealing right now.


Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.

Quote:
Quote:
If it was such a simple deal Reid would call for a vote on the bill and the Dems would vote against it. But instead he's refusing to put it on the schedule.

What he should do is put it on the schedule and then filibuster it. Because that's how you handle legislation you're afraid to vote on, AMIRITE?


We're using different meanings of the word "afraid". The GOP filibustered the health care bill because they knew they didn't have the votes to prevent it from passing. You could say they were "afraid" of the vote because of its likely outcome. That's entirely different from being afraid to vote because you don't want to be on record voting for something the people don't agree with. Those are kinda dramatically different things, and it's telling how frequently it's the Dems who don't want their positions to be on record.

Additionally, as I pointed out, the degree to which a filibuster helps or hurts you depends on the public opinion of the thing being filibustered. Of course, the other obvious point here is that the Dems have a majority in the Senate, so if they put it on the schedule and then filibuster it, as the majority party, they'll look *really* silly. But I wouldn't put it past them, I suppose.


Let's bottom line this. The Dems have the numbers in the Senate to defeat the bill. If public opinion truly isn't a factor, why not just vote against it and stand by their position? The only reason *not* to do this is if you don't want to stand by your position but want to avoid having to take one in the first place. The GOP has taken a stance. Why are the Dems afraid to do so as well?

Edited, Jan 25th 2011 2:04pm by gbaji
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#38 Jan 25 2011 at 4:05 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.
You're completely discounting the level of polarization. People have been thrashed with the message that you're either for something or against something, it's not surprising to see that play out. Actually read the link, the people who support a repeal are balanced by the people who strongly oppose the repeal.
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#39 Jan 25 2011 at 4:19 PM Rating: Decent
The Nov elections was a mandate for the GOP to repeal obamacare. That's it. No amount of NY Times or CBS polls that Joph references can take the place of that.

Look at how many state legislatures flipped; look at the historic gains made by the GOP in the house. These are the things i'm looking at; as should the members of the GOP.

H*ll most of the GOP members that ousted Dems ran against obamacare.

Edited, Jan 25th 2011 5:20pm by varusword75
#40 Jan 25 2011 at 4:19 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
It was written and voted on. And passed. I'm not sure what other magic you think should have happened along the way.

It was kept out of the committee and amendment processes to expedite pushing it through. Amusingly, compared to the HCR bill that spent a year in various committees and being bounced around, the repeal bill was very much "rammed through".

I'm not particularly worked up about it but I find it funny that you cried so hard about the HCR bill being partisan and rammed through but know nothing about this bill (or just don't want to talk about it).

Quote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it?

"No one wants it repealed" is as accurate as "Everyone wants it repealed". Really, neither is remotely accurate and the real numbers are about even. Was that your point?

Quote:
We're using different meanings of the word "afraid".

Really? I'm using the meaning where you try to prevent a bill from coming up because you don't want to vote on it. But I guess that only counts in your eyes if it's Democrats doing it.

Understood and hardly any surprise from you.
Quote:
The only reason *not* to do this is...

Why should he do it? Are you suddenly saying that bills in the Senate all deserve votes? Because that's never been your position before. Are you just wanting to see if you can score some political points? That certainly does sound more like you.

Edited, Jan 25th 2011 4:23pm by Jophiel
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#41 Jan 25 2011 at 4:23 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


bizarro gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those not wanting repeal are a subset of those who like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly popular for the people to actually oppose repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


That fallacious sword cuts both ways, dude.

Edited, Jan 25th 2011 5:23pm by Eske
#42 Jan 25 2011 at 6:44 PM Rating: Default
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Eske Esquire wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


bizarro gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those not wanting repeal are a subset of those who like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly popular for the people to actually oppose repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


That fallacious sword cuts both ways, dude.


Except that it doesn't in this case. People may like or dislike something, but to take or support action, they have to *really* like or dislike said thing. Please tell me you can grasp this concept?

You can't just change the words around. Human behavior doesn't work that way. There are lots of things you might like or dislike, but not enough to bother doing anything about. Action itself tends to meet opposition just because it requires time and effort. So when people support an action you can reasonably assume that the number that support the idea behind the action is higher. Similarly, when you count those opposed to the action, you're really counting up the total of those who are opposed to the idea behind the action *and* those who don't think it's important enough to spend the time and effort.


This principle applies kinda double when we're talking about a repeal of a law that was just passed less than a year ago. It has to be really really bad for 50% of the population to support repealing that law outright. Think about it. We're not talking about 50/50 support for passing something. We're talking about 50% wanting to get rid of something we just spent time and effort doing and only 50% who don't think we should get rid of that thing. That's pretty darn bad for the health care bill, right?


It would be like if 50% of your customers wanted a refund for their purchase. We'd assume that it was a really really really crappy product, wouldn't we? Well, that's what the health care bill is. A really crappy product.


Edited, Jan 25th 2011 4:50pm by gbaji
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#43 Jan 25 2011 at 6:57 PM Rating: Default
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.
You're completely discounting the level of polarization. People have been thrashed with the message that you're either for something or against something, it's not surprising to see that play out. Actually read the link, the people who support a repeal are balanced by the people who strongly oppose the repeal.


Yes. But at the risk of repeating what I assumed was a well understood concept, not everyone who dislikes the health care law supports repealing it, and not everyone who opposes repealing the health care law likes it. You cannot say the opposite. We can assume that everyone who supports repealing it dislikes it *and* everyone who likes it opposes repeal.

Polarization is another issue entirely, but goes well beyond just this topic.
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#44 Jan 25 2011 at 8:00 PM Rating: Decent
I remember back when I had good "Cheap" and great health coverage. The company signed up for it and we had to pay a small amount to have it. I had Dental, Vision and cheap doctor appointments. Life was good. For a good 10 years it was still cheap and we had great coverage. Even when I worked for Dell I had good cheap coverage. Bout half way into my Dell career fees for health insurance started to skyrocket. Every year after we had to get new insurance and each year it covered less and less. I wondered why the costs just kept going up. Now the costs have gone up more than one can imagine. My Question is Why?
How? Is the Obama plan the right answer? Or is regulation and investigation into the costs and pratices a better answer? This to me is one of the reasons that the current mess that was forced upon us needs to be repealed and gone through and reworked.
#45 Jan 25 2011 at 8:02 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
It would be like if 50% of your customers wanted a refund for their purchase. We'd assume that it was a really really really crappy product, wouldn't we? Well, that's what the health care bill is. A really crappy product.


I agree. We should've just had a public option and been done with it.

On another hand, I can't help but wonder what sort of legal action would be taken if a competitor bad mouthed a product for months on national TV, which prompted people to want to return that product...? Just food for thought, I suppose.
#46 Jan 25 2011 at 8:20 PM Rating: Good
I'm surprised the analogy police haven't take Gbaji away by now.
#47 Jan 25 2011 at 9:32 PM Rating: Default
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Belkira the Tulip wrote:
gbaji wrote:
It would be like if 50% of your customers wanted a refund for their purchase. We'd assume that it was a really really really crappy product, wouldn't we? Well, that's what the health care bill is. A really crappy product.


I agree. We should've just had a public option and been done with it.


Um.... No.

Quote:
On another hand, I can't help but wonder what sort of legal action would be taken if a competitor bad mouthed a product for months on national TV, which prompted people to want to return that product...? Just food for thought, I suppose.


No more than proponents singing the products praises for months in order to get people to buy it. I mean, you're basically trying to eliminate free speech from the entire political process here. But I suspect you only meant to eliminate it for one side?

Here's the thing though. Shouldn't we compare what those two sides said about the product to the actual product when it comes out? Which "side" was more accurate? The side that said it would lower costs, increase coverage, and eliminate waste and corruption? Or the one that said it would do none of those things, but would reduce choice, force insurers to raise rates, potentially violate our constitutional rights, and be a monumental waste of time and money?


At some point, if a group of people are bad mouth something over and over but what they're saying is correct, it's not wrong for them to bad mouth, is it? It's more like a consumer protection organization telling you "don't buy product X", but you don't listen and buy it anyway because some group of fanbois tells you it'll be the greatest thing since sliced bread. Then you find out that you should have listened to the first group.


That's pretty much what most Americans are going through right now. And it's why 50% of them want to repeal the law. It's not that they don't like the concept of health care reform. It's that the law that actually got passed sucks so bad that we should get rid of it and start over from scratch instead of trying to make it work.
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#48 Jan 25 2011 at 9:35 PM Rating: Excellent
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Technogeek wrote:
I'm surprised the analogy police haven't take Gbaji away by now.


The analogy police trying to take me away would be like a mall security guard trying to take down a marine platoon. ;)
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#49 Jan 25 2011 at 9:35 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Eske Esquire wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those wanting repeal are a subset of those who don't like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly unpopular for the people to actually support repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


bizarro gbaji wrote:
Sure. And given that we can assume that those not wanting repeal are a subset of those who like the health care bill, my statement still kinda stands, doesn't it? A bill has to be incredibly popular for the people to actually oppose repealing it in such numbers. Even you have to acknowledge that.


That fallacious sword cuts both ways, dude.


Except that it doesn't in this case. People may like or dislike something, but to take or support action, they have to *really* like or dislike said thing. Please tell me you can grasp this concept?

You can't just change the words around. Human behavior doesn't work that way. There are lots of things you might like or dislike, but not enough to bother doing anything about. Action itself tends to meet opposition just because it requires time and effort. So when people support an action you can reasonably assume that the number that support the idea behind the action is higher. Similarly, when you count those opposed to the action, you're really counting up the total of those who are opposed to the idea behind the action *and* those who don't think it's important enough to spend the time and effort.


You can't ascribe a figure to the amount of people who don't want repeal because of the effort required. There's no way to quantify it. It could be large, it could be small. It could be less than that 8% difference separating the two opinions in that first poll. If it were to sway things over in favor of those who support repeal, then by how much? 5 percent? 10 percent? What difference would make HCR "unpopular"? Who's to say?

gbaji wrote:
This principle applies kinda double when we're talking about a repeal of a law that was just passed less than a year ago. It has to be really really bad for 50% of the population to support repealing that law outright. Think about it. We're not talking about 50/50 support for passing something. We're talking about 50% wanting to get rid of something we just spent time and effort doing and only 50% who don't think we should get rid of that thing. That's pretty darn bad for the health care bill, right?


A 50/50 split in public opinion? That could very well mean "just as unpopular as it is popular" (or, assuming that unknown % of people who oppose due to the required effort, perhaps close to it). Your characterization of it as "really really bad" stems solely from your personal standpoint. To me, I tend to think that something more like a 75/25 split would be "wildly unpopular". So no, a 40/48 split doesn't strike me as unpopular at all. It strikes me as pretty close to even. Is that not reasonable?

Lastly:

gbaji wrote:
It would be like if 50% of your customers wanted a refund for their purchase. We'd assume that it was a really really really crappy product, wouldn't we? Well, that's what the health care bill is. A really crappy product.


Flawed analogy. Political ideas and consumer products do not follow the same approval trends. Not remotely.


Edited, Jan 25th 2011 4:50pm by gbaji [/quote]

Edited, Jan 25th 2011 10:40pm by Eske
#50 Jan 25 2011 at 9:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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Eske Esquire wrote:
You can't ascribe a figure to the amount of people who don't want repeal because of the effort required. There's no way to quantify it. It could be large, it could be small. It could be less than that 8% difference separating the two opinions. Who's to say?

Gbaji's method of rationalizing polling numbers he doesn't like is to invent new ones (or entirely new polls) in his head and argue those instead. It's been that way forever now.
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#51 Jan 25 2011 at 9:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Yes. But at the risk of repeating what I assumed was a well understood concept, not everyone who dislikes the health care law supports repealing it, and not everyone who opposes repealing the health care law likes it. You cannot say the opposite. We can assume that everyone who supports repealing it dislikes it *and* everyone who likes it opposes repeal.

Polarization is another issue entirely, but goes well beyond just this topic.
That would hold water except for the fact that the people who think the health care bill is a good idea or a bad idea is also split evenly in half. That would point to the fact that by and large people either like it or hate it. Keep making up your silent majorities though.
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