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Warren Buffet on Bush Tax Cuts and "Trickle Down"Follow

#177 Dec 22 2010 at 6:40 PM Rating: Good
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ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.
#178 Dec 22 2010 at 6:40 PM Rating: Good
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EDIT: And for the record, and just in case you didn't know this: I don't want to transition into a "planed economic style". I think that's the worst thing we could do. I think it's a violation of the principles of liberty that I hold dear and I will argue against and fight against such a thing until the day I die. I'm not sure why you'd think that I would want something which would help us move to something I don't want. That's not really a good argument at all.


Sorry, I didn't mean to imply that you wanted a planned economy, rather that I am in favor of it. Not a bad one, as that is not only bad but detrimental to the entire purpose.

One of the key components is retaining the social freedoms and fixing the inefficiency and slow reaction time of a central command and control system, by replacing it with either direct representation or something like a noocracy. I'd argue that this would have more liberty than our current system, but I digress.
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#179 Dec 22 2010 at 6:45 PM Rating: Decent
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Timelordwho wrote:
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Sure, but it shrinks the actual profits from that increased demand by the same amount. This means that the choice to spend those profits simply putting more of the same good on the shelves begins to outweigh the choice to spend those profits making a new and better product.


Not quite. Since you can raise taxation on accumulated nonproductive wealth...


How do you raise taxes on the "nonproductive" wealth accumulation? Don't we run into the "let's just make the blockbusters" problem? That wealth accumulation *is* the investment money spent on new things that may or may not result in useful and valuable products down the line. Of course, we don't know which ones will result in useful things and which wont, so I'm not sure how you plan on creating a tax that will only hurt the wasteful investments, while keeping the funding for the useful stuff intact.

This is *exactly* why what you're proposing will result in a slow down of new/better products entering the market.

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You also aren't taxing R&D, by virtue of the fact that it's still in development and thus not producing taxable profits.


You're taxing the profits that end out in R&D budgets though. No matter how you structure your taxes you are reducing the total amount of money available for R&D. So any tax will cut into R&D budgets.

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As I said before, you also benefit from having higher demand for new products, meaning that once those new technologies reach the market, it is easier for them to become profitable.


And I already said before, that what actually happens is that you increase the incentive to make more of the same products instead of inventing new products. The demand is increased in terms of raw dollars, but the R&D money is reduced, and the profits to those who invest speculatively in those new products is reduced. Why on earth would I spend scarce profits researching some really new product, when I could focus on maxing out the quantity of existing products that I can sell to a captive audience with government subsidized spending dollars burning a hole in their pocket?


Look at the whole equation. Ask what you'd do if you were in each position. Don't just hope that what you want to do will result in the wonderful things you want to have happen.


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Those profits /are/ taxed at a higher rate, but I see that as fair, since they have been given the additional structural support and are profitable.


I think you're dancing around this. What exactly would we tax more to put that extra demand money in consumers hands? Would we raise taxes on the sale of goods to the same people you handed the extra money to? Or would you raise taxes on capital gains? Raise taxes just on big business profits?

You're being vague and then jumping around from one possible method to another in order to avoid the problems inherent in each of them. No matter where you take the money from, you will induce a negative effect on the market. It'll vary, but it'll be there. And in each case, it offsets the extra demand to some degree, and in some cases causes additional unforeseen consequences as well.

Examine each option completely. You'll find that this ideal solution doesn't really work when you go through the whole process.

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As a rule, it lowers the risk of already risky ventures, while lowering the reward of fundamentally safe ones. This alleviates on of the main reasons a company would pull back from this type of investment.


I'm frankly not sure what you're talking about here. Instead of repeating assumptions about what will happen, could you explain exactly what you are advocating and then take the time to explain *why* a given result will occur? Because it seems like you're speaking in incredibly broad generalities and then just listing off a set of benefits, but I don't see any logical connection between what you are talking about and the benefits you claim will occur.

Edited, Dec 22nd 2010 5:21pm by gbaji
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#180 Dec 22 2010 at 6:52 PM Rating: Decent
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Wonder Gem rdmcandie wrote:
You are mentally hilarious.

Seriously I can buy a car for under 500 bucks right now. Does that mean I am wealthy. No it means I saved 500 bucks to buy a car.


Yes you freaking ignoramus! This means that you don't have to be wealthy in order to benefit from the "advances" we've made in consumer products over the last 100 years. Which is what I've been arguing all along.

Stop spouting "rich vs poor" rhetoric! Look at what we're actually talking about. Normal people benefit from new product development. They benefit from all that investment money you argue doesn't benefit anyone.

Edited, Dec 22nd 2010 4:54pm by gbaji
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#181 Dec 22 2010 at 6:53 PM Rating: Default
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Bardalicious wrote:
ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.


ITT Bard's brain is sucked into a black hole.
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#182 Dec 22 2010 at 6:56 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.


ITT Bard's brain is sucked into a black hole.

That wasn't my brain, sweetheart.

#183 Dec 22 2010 at 7:12 PM Rating: Decent
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Bardalicious wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.


ITT Bard's brain is sucked into a black hole.

That wasn't my brain, sweetheart.


It still affects your thinking though, doesn't it?
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#184 Dec 22 2010 at 7:19 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.


ITT Bard's brain is sucked into a black hole.

That wasn't my brain, sweetheart.


It still affects your thinking though, doesn't it?


That was an incredibly dry "once you go black, you don't go back" joke.
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#185 Dec 22 2010 at 7:56 PM Rating: Decent
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Timelordwho wrote:
That was an incredibly dry "once you go black, you don't go back" joke.

Which, to gbaji's credit, he understood and replied in kind.
#186 Dec 22 2010 at 8:22 PM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Bardalicious wrote:
ITT gbaji's definition of wealth is lulzy.


ITT Bard's brain is sucked into a black hole.

That wasn't my brain, sweetheart.


It still affects your thinking though, doesn't it?


That was an incredibly dry "once you go black, you don't go back" joke.

Dry?

Not when I'm done with it.
#187 Dec 22 2010 at 9:06 PM Rating: Decent
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Consumerism is just as necessary for the Demand Side Keynesian argument as it is for the Supply side argument (arguably more so, in fact). I already said this. So in a debate between trickle down economic ideas and tax and shift to demand side, jumping on the "but consumerism is bad!" argument is just pointless.


Do you honestly not see how consumerism differs depending on demand-side vs. supply-side economics?

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And can we agree that the demand side policies being pushed in this thread amplify the worst aspects of consumerism? Transferring money from the supply side to the demand side, on the assumption that it wont cost you anything because the increased supply will be spent on more stuff produced by the supply side is pretty much a recipe for producers to make as much disposable crap as possible in order to cash in on the "make it up in volume" dynamic that has been created.

I'm not sure what kind of economic system you think would provide for modern needs that doesn't utilize some form of consumerism, but if that's your big issue, it's odd that you target the trickle down aspect of this argument. But I never discount the impact indoctrination has on people, so there is that.


I guess if you're talking about the demand that is manufactured through supply-side economics.

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The argument in favor of government directed economic activity is based on eliminating what is seen as wasteful greed, investments put into things that never pan out, and occasional market crashes.


No, it's based on eliminating huge markets of complete crap. Not even downright eliminating them-- just not giving them economic benefits that should be going to essential markets. The TV is arguably a great invention that has, at least, theoretical value. If the electronics industry wants to compete in a multi-billion dollar industry so that we can replace our old CRT TVs-- which are in virtually every important way just as good-- with a 1080p flatscreen LED, that's perfectly fine. And people will still buy them. But why should they be privy to the same taxation system as actually productive businesses?

Value =! demand. If you can't tell the difference, you're more hopeless than I thought.


#188 Dec 22 2010 at 9:33 PM Rating: Good
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Kachi wrote:
Do you honestly not see how consumerism differs depending on demand-side vs. supply-side economics?


No, I do see how it differs and have said as much several times in this thread. Demand side policies make the bad parts of consumerism *worse* since it drives the need to produce large volumes of disposable crap in order for the economic benefits to work mathematically.

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I guess if you're talking about the demand that is manufactured through supply-side economics.


I'm talking about the demand side arguments being made in this thread. Specifically the argument that you can tax money on the supply side of the economy and give it to people in the form of entitlement and it wont have any negative economic impact because those who receive those entitlements will spend it in ways which get us the money back.

Have you not been listening to the arguments? I'm not talking about some vague philosophical thing. I'm talking about actual proposed policies. When people argue that we should tax the rich in order to provide money to poor people, and support the argument by saying that it'll all come back to the supply side in the form of the poor buying stuff they would not otherwise have purchased, that's what I'm talking about.

And that's consumerism, isn't it?

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Quote:
The argument in favor of government directed economic activity is based on eliminating what is seen as wasteful greed, investments put into things that never pan out, and occasional market crashes.


No, it's based on eliminating huge markets of complete crap. Not even downright eliminating them-- just not giving them economic benefits that should be going to essential markets. The TV is arguably a great invention that has, at least, theoretical value. If the electronics industry wants to compete in a multi-billion dollar industry so that we can replace our old CRT TVs-- which are in virtually every important way just as good-- with a 1080p flatscreen LED, that's perfectly fine. And people will still buy them. But why should they be privy to the same taxation system as actually productive businesses?


Huh? So you agree that the television is important and that making improvements in the TV is good, but then say that they are not "productive" businesses? Now I'm curious what definition of "productive" or "production" you are using? Because if someone makes an HD TV and the public is willing to pay $X for that TV, and this leads to Y units being made and sold, that's "production", right? And it's also "productive"?

Do you really mean to argue that industries that don't produce the things you like should be penalized? Because that becomes arbitrary, doesn't it? Who gets to decide that a company that produces low energy light bulbs is more "productive" than one that produces better televisions? And here's the whole "free market" counter: In my conception of things, the best way to determine which is better is to let those who are making choices with their own labor make that determination. The money I hold is a placeholder for my labor. If more people think that TVs are worth more of their labor than light bulbs, then who the hell are you to tell them they are wrong?

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Value =! demand. If you can't tell the difference, you're more hopeless than I thought.


I love it when people's arguments are based on what something isn't. Ok then. What is value based on? What method do you think we should use to determine the value of things? Instead of making insistent claims about what it isn't, how about proving that it is something else? Because if you can't, I'm going to go with the current best method we have, and that's been demand.
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#189 Dec 22 2010 at 9:58 PM Rating: Decent
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Not going to address every asinine thing you say, but to a couple of points:

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Huh? So you agree that the television is important and that making improvements in the TV is good, but then say that they are not "productive" businesses? Now I'm curious what definition of "productive" or "production" you are using? Because if someone makes an HD TV and the public is willing to pay $X for that TV, and this leads to Y units being made and sold, that's "production", right? And it's also "productive"?


No, not really. Television has some benefits, and at least theoretically, the idea of inventing a television is a great idea (though so are a lot of drugs that have some medicinal value only to later become medically obsolete and recreationally abused), but "improvements" to the TV have extremely little value compared to the cost to make them; however, people still pay absurd amounts of money for them. If that same money were to go to something like healthcare or education, it would be exponentially more productive and generate more value.

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What is value based on? What method do you think we should use to determine the value of things?


Ok gbaji-- what's more valuable...? An iPhone, or ten bottles of penicillin? Because one of them costs more, and it's not the one that a person with any sense would choose if they had to have one or the other.
#190 Dec 22 2010 at 10:04 PM Rating: Good
I'm young and invincible, so I'd take the iPod.
#191 Dec 22 2010 at 10:06 PM Rating: Decent
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I'm young and invincible, so I'd take the iPod.


That actually perfectly exemplifies my point.
#192 Dec 22 2010 at 10:30 PM Rating: Good
Kachi wrote:
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I'm young and invincible, so I'd take the iPod.


That actually perfectly exemplifies my point.


Well, you're welcome.
#193 Dec 23 2010 at 1:53 PM Rating: Decent
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Kachi wrote:
No, not really. Television has some benefits, and at least theoretically, the idea of inventing a television is a great idea (though so are a lot of drugs that have some medicinal value only to later become medically obsolete and recreationally abused), but "improvements" to the TV have extremely little value compared to the cost to make them; however, people still pay absurd amounts of money for them.


And there's the problem with your argument. People choose to spend that money. Who are you to tell them they are wrong? I'll ask again: What method should we use to determine "value"? Is there a better one than to let those who are trading their labor for things make the choice as to what things they trade for and how much of their labor they're willing to trade for each thing?


How would you do it? Get a big panel of "experts" together to decide the value of an HDTV compared to a teachers time and set prices accordingly? How would they make that determination? And if the results they come up with don't match what people would choose if they had a choice, aren't we both being inefficient *and* infringing on people's rights?


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If that same money were to go to something like healthcare or education, it would be exponentially more productive and generate more value.


Would it? Why? Isn't the only way better health and education provides any additional productivity and/or value is if the people with the health and education do things with it like making better televisions (or cell phones, computers, rocket ships, etc)? Aren't you damaging the end result in order to make better the process used to get there in the first place? Can't we then conclude that it's quite possible to spend too much on these things (from a purely economic point of view anyway)?

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Ok gbaji-- what's more valuable...? An iPhone, or ten bottles of penicillin? Because one of them costs more, and it's not the one that a person with any sense would choose if they had to have one or the other.


Had to look up the cost of penicillin on this one. So 10 bottles of penicillin costs less than an iPhone. And? What is your point? I honestly have no clue what you are getting at here.
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#194 Dec 24 2010 at 5:08 AM Rating: Decent
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Oh, gbaji...

Merry Xmas.
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