Forum Settings
       
Reply To Thread

Experts: often wrongFollow

#1 Jun 30 2010 at 12:39 PM Rating: Excellent
As one who often cites the best information available on political issues, I'd like to add that this is often going to be wrong. It turns out, often wrong:

http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1998644,00.html

Now, the easy alternative is to ignore all experts. Which is, of course, madness.

The hard alternative is to be educated. To know enough to discern the quality of the information available and discern not only what is most likely to be right but what is the certainty with which it is right.

The third, and by far the worst, alternative is to ignore that which you disagree with. To listen only to those who agree with you. This is groupthink. Every time people don't do the hard work and take the short cut it reinforces that groupthink is fine; that it is the norm. And the ethic of hard work - of actually thinking - slips away. Do it enough and some day you will not be able to tell the difference.

This final state is the most pathetic state of all.

#2 Jun 30 2010 at 1:15 PM Rating: Decent
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.

#3 Jun 30 2010 at 1:18 PM Rating: Good
Avatar
*****
13,007 posts
knoxxsouthy wrote:
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.

So it's safe to say you read the thread title, but none of the content thereafter.
#4 Jun 30 2010 at 1:31 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
The opening paragraph of that is so vague that it's hard to take the rest of it seriously. "Economists have found that all studies published in economics journals are likely to be wrong" -- what does that even mean? Medical journals are places where the frontiers of medicine are explored so should I be upset if findings get questioned or even shown wrong? Does that have any meaningful effect on my doctor saying my strep culture came back positive? Are newspaper articles making major factual errors or minor, meaningless ones (and are they including every locally written penny-saver in that study or only major publications)?

I suppose the answer is to accumulate the most information on a subject and, as you say, discern what's useful and what isn't, what has the most support and evidence and what has the least, etc. Takes more time than reading a single article but so it goes.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#5 Jun 30 2010 at 1:36 PM Rating: Excellent
****
4,901 posts
I'm pretty sure an expert wrote that article.
____________________________
Love,
PunkFloyd
#6 Jun 30 2010 at 1:59 PM Rating: Excellent
AshOnMyTomatoes wrote:
knoxxsouthy wrote:
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.

So it's safe to say you read the thread title, but none of the content thereafter.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. What proof do you have that he actually read the title? There's 3 words there, dammit!
#7 Jun 30 2010 at 2:07 PM Rating: Good
****
5,684 posts
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
AshOnMyTomatoes wrote:
knoxxsouthy wrote:
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.

So it's safe to say you read the thread title, but none of the content thereafter.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. What proof do you have that he actually read the title? There's 3 words there, dammit!

And some sort of punctuation. It seems to be twice as powerful as a standard period.
#8 Jun 30 2010 at 2:09 PM Rating: Excellent
Avatar
*****
13,007 posts
Bardalicious wrote:
It seems to be twice as powerful as a standard period.
*giggle*
#9 Jun 30 2010 at 2:24 PM Rating: Good
Prodigal Son
******
20,643 posts
knoxxsouthy wrote:
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.

The argument against being "Al Gore is a sex-crazed poodle therefore anthropomorphic climate change is impossible".
____________________________
publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#10 Jun 30 2010 at 2:35 PM Rating: Decent
What an incredibly verbose way of saying that it's blatantly stupid to blindly trust someone else merely because you, for lack of motivation or capacity, are uneducated on a particular subject.

#11 Jun 30 2010 at 2:54 PM Rating: Good
BrownDuck wrote:
What an incredibly verbose way of saying that it's blatantly stupid to blindly trust someone else merely because you, for lack of motivation or capacity, are uneducated on a particular subject.

Hello Self-Help industry.
#12gbaji, Posted: Jun 30 2010 at 3:40 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?
#13 Jun 30 2010 at 3:41 PM Rating: Good
Official Shrubbery Waterer
*****
14,659 posts
Jophiel wrote:
The opening paragraph of that is so vague that it's hard to take the rest of it seriously. "Economists have found that all studies published in economics journals are likely to be wrong" -- what does that even mean?

That reminds me of a joke about Paul Krugman: not only has he won a Nobel Prize in Economics, but he's successfully predicted 8 out of the last 5 recessions!
____________________________
Jophiel wrote:
I managed to be both retarded and entertaining.

#14 Jun 30 2010 at 3:50 PM Rating: Excellent
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?


Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Edited, Jun 30th 2010 3:57pm by Thanacus
#15 Jun 30 2010 at 4:38 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?

This post is sweet, delicious irony.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#16 Jul 01 2010 at 6:44 AM Rating: Excellent
Thanacus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?


Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Not really. Location = 4. We agrees that dumping crap on the planet is pervasive and necessary and rejects your claim that it is bad in any way. To refrain would lead to toxic levels of waste buildup and eventual death.

Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.
#17 Jul 01 2010 at 7:04 AM Rating: Good
Skelly Poker Since 2008
*****
16,781 posts
knoxxsouthy wrote:
I've been saying this for years, well at least every time some liberal starts talking about all the experts that believe humans can control global temperatures.
With current technologies we obviously can't control the climate. It's out of control. That's why we're in a pickle.

Creationism though,...science you can bet your paycheck on.

____________________________
Alma wrote:
I lost my post
#18 Jul 01 2010 at 8:47 AM Rating: Good
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
Thanacus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?


Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Not really. Location = 4. We agrees that dumping crap on the planet is pervasive and necessary and rejects your claim that it is bad in any way. To refrain would lead to toxic levels of waste buildup and eventual death.

Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.


Tried that once. Wasn't pretty, and I feel very sorry for the raccoon that stumbled into the resulting situation.
#19 Jul 01 2010 at 9:39 AM Rating: Decent
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
Thanacus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?


Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Not really. Location = 4. We agrees that dumping crap on the planet is pervasive and necessary and rejects your claim that it is bad in any way. To refrain would lead to toxic levels of waste buildup and eventual death.

Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.


The argument has never been (as I've heard it) to simply stop dumping crap on the planet and store it elsewhere, but merely to reduce the amount of crap generated in the first place. Win win, ya know?
#20 Jul 01 2010 at 11:31 AM Rating: Good
BrownDuck wrote:
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
Thanacus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?


Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Not really. Location = 4. We agrees that dumping crap on the planet is pervasive and necessary and rejects your claim that it is bad in any way. To refrain would lead to toxic levels of waste buildup and eventual death.

Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.


The argument has never been (as I've heard it) to simply stop dumping crap on the planet and store it elsewhere, but merely to reduce the amount of crap generated in the first place. Win win, ya know?

The majority of the crap generated on this planet is not man-made. Any reduction in the fraction of crap that is man-made would result in a negligible decrease in the overall volume of crap rendering the effort essentially meaningless.

My suggestion that Thanacus die does, however, address your concerns.

Also, whoosh.
#21 Jul 01 2010 at 12:55 PM Rating: Decent
BrownDuck wrote:
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
Thanacus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Lol. Consensus on Global Warming anyone?
Not really. Location = square 1. So how about we just agree that dumping crap on the planet is bad in general?

Not really. Location = 4. We agrees that dumping crap on the planet is pervasive and necessary and rejects your claim that it is bad in any way. To refrain would lead to toxic levels of waste buildup and eventual death.

Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.
The argument has never been (as I've heard it) to simply stop dumping crap on the planet and store it elsewhere, but merely to reduce the amount of crap generated in the first place. Win win, ya know?
Making a giant garbage ball, and launching it into space seems like a logical answer to me.
#22 Jul 01 2010 at 1:37 PM Rating: Decent
Prodigal Son
******
20,643 posts
ThePsychoticOne the Prohpet wrote:
BrownDuck wrote:
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
Feel free to try it if you're so inclined.
The argument has never been (as I've heard it) to simply stop dumping crap on the planet and store it elsewhere, but merely to reduce the amount of crap generated in the first place. Win win, ya know?
Making a giant garbage ball, and launching it into space seems like a logical answer to me.

SimpsonsFuturama did it!!
____________________________
publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#23 Jul 02 2010 at 5:11 PM Rating: Decent
Edited by bsphil
******
21,739 posts
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
The majority of the crap generated on this planet is not man-made.
[Citation needed]
____________________________
His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
If no one debated with me, then I wouldn't post here anymore.
Take the hint guys, please take the hint.
gbaji wrote:
I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#24 Jul 02 2010 at 5:28 PM Rating: Good
Worst. Title. Ever!
*****
17,302 posts
bsphil wrote:
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
The majority of the crap generated on this planet is not man-made.
[Citation needed]
I think he literally means crap. So all that dirt outside that passed through the worms counts. And maybe oxygen too, being a waste product from plants.

Our whole planet is just ****.
____________________________
Can't sleep, clown will eat me.
Reply To Thread

Colors Smileys Quote OriginalQuote Checked Help

 

Recent Visitors: 396 All times are in CST
Anonymous Guests (396)