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#77 Jun 14 2010 at 7:47 PM Rating: Decent
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trickybeck wrote:
Sir Xsarus wrote:
catwho wrote:
Conservatives are all for keeping the US government out of business, until the business is suddenly in trouble, then it's the government's responsibility to step in and fix their mistakes.
Cheap shots aside, There's nothing disingenuous with wanting small government that can still respond to emergencies.

But there is something disingenuous when regulating to prevent said emergency would have been 1000x more effective than trying to fix it afterwards. In this case, it's also the responsible thing to do for the entire planet, not just our country.


Except that it was largely regulation that caused this problem. More accurately, that caused this problem to be as major a disaster as it is. The problem is that per usual the useful kinds of regulations (like safety equipment, backups, redundancies, emergency plans, etc) were not in place to the degree they needed to, but restrictions on where the drilling could be done were in full effect. Had the left focused less on a "no drilling anywhere at all" strategy and more on "where and how can we drill that'll minimize environmental impact" this would not have happened. As a result we had regulation which mandated that this oil rig had to operate in very deep water, while not requiring a number of safety features which would have at least reduced the likelihood of a major disaster.


In order of risk to the environment, from most to least risky:

1. Drilling in 5000+ feet of water with a bare minimum of safety requirements

2. Drilling in 5000+ feet of water with lots of safety requirements

3. Drilling in 1000- feet of water with a bare minimum of safety requirements.

4. Drilling in 1000- feet of water with lots of safety requirements

5. Drilling on land with a bare minimum of safety requirements.

6. Drilling on land with lots of safety requirements.



Interestingly enough, the cost order for that (from least to most expensive) is 5, 6, 3, 4, 1, 2. So as a result of our environmental policies we managed to pick the most dangerous method of drilling for oil, but at least it was only the second most expensive! We're just brilliant, aren't we?


You do get that the only reason we drill in water that deep is because the environmentalists don't allow us to drill on land or shallow water, right? Think about what "regulations" caused this.
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#78 Jun 14 2010 at 8:09 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:

You do get that the only reason we drill in water that deep is because the environmentalists don't allow us to drill on land or shallow water, right? Think about what "regulations" caused this.


Not that I know for sure, but I'm guessing the Gulf was also chosen because there's a ******* of oil there. You know, judging by the fact that it's still spewing out into the Gulf almost 2 months later, unabated.
#79 Jun 14 2010 at 8:10 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
trickybeck wrote:
Sir Xsarus wrote:
catwho wrote:
Conservatives are all for keeping the US government out of business, until the business is suddenly in trouble, then it's the government's responsibility to step in and fix their mistakes.
Cheap shots aside, There's nothing disingenuous with wanting small government that can still respond to emergencies.

But there is something disingenuous when regulating to prevent said emergency would have been 1000x more effective than trying to fix it afterwards. In this case, it's also the responsible thing to do for the entire planet, not just our country.


Except that it was largely regulation that caused this problem. More accurately, that caused this problem to be as major a disaster as it is. The problem is that per usual the useful kinds of regulations (like safety equipment, backups, redundancies, emergency plans, etc) were not in place to the degree they needed to, but restrictions on where the drilling could be done were in full effect. Had the left focused less on a "no drilling anywhere at all" strategy and more on "where and how can we drill that'll minimize environmental impact" this would not have happened. As a result we had regulation which mandated that this oil rig had to operate in very deep water, while not requiring a number of safety features which would have at least reduced the likelihood of a major disaster.


In order of risk to the environment, from most to least risky:

1. Drilling in 5000+ feet of water with a bare minimum of safety requirements

2. Drilling in 5000+ feet of water with lots of safety requirements

3. Drilling in 1000- feet of water with a bare minimum of safety requirements.

4. Drilling in 1000- feet of water with lots of safety requirements

5. Drilling on land with a bare minimum of safety requirements.

6. Drilling on land with lots of safety requirements.



Interestingly enough, the cost order for that (from least to most expensive) is 5, 6, 3, 4, 1, 2. So as a result of our environmental policies we managed to pick the most dangerous method of drilling for oil, but at least it was only the second most expensive! We're just brilliant, aren't we?


You do get that the only reason we drill in water that deep is because the environmentalists don't allow us to drill on land or shallow water, right? Think about what "regulations" caused this.
Did you think this up all by yourself?
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#80 Jun 14 2010 at 8:23 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The problem is that per usual the useful kinds of regulations (like safety equipment, backups, redundancies, emergency plans, etc) were not in place to the degree they needed to, but restrictions on where the drilling could be done were in full effect.

Yeah, the answer to that is to have the proper safety equipment on your rig and enforce it, not to say "But... but... just let us drill next to your house and we PROMISE we'll be careful!"

Edited, Jun 14th 2010 9:33pm by Jophiel
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#81 Jun 15 2010 at 2:50 PM Rating: Decent
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LockeColeMA wrote:
gbaji wrote:

You do get that the only reason we drill in water that deep is because the environmentalists don't allow us to drill on land or shallow water, right? Think about what "regulations" caused this.


Not that I know for sure, but I'm guessing the Gulf was also chosen because there's a @#%^ton of oil there. You know, judging by the fact that it's still spewing out into the Gulf almost 2 months later, unabated.


I wasn't talking about in or out of the Gulf though. I was talking about decisions to drill in shallow or deep water. There is a whole lot of shallow water areas in the Gulf of Mexico. That's why it's called a "gulf", and has hurricanes and whatnot. They did not have to drill in 5000 feet of water. The only reason to drill in 5000 feet of water is because they were forced to do so by environmental regulations.


The assumption that "farther from shore is safer" which has been driving offshore drilling regulations is kinda obviously false. Maybe we should start there if we're going to look at changes to make.
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#82 Jun 15 2010 at 2:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The only reason to drill in 5000 feet of water is because they were forced to do so by environmental regulations.

Not true. Not that environmental concerns don't factor but there's a significant NIMBY factor in those decisions.
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#83 Jun 15 2010 at 2:58 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
The problem is that per usual the useful kinds of regulations (like safety equipment, backups, redundancies, emergency plans, etc) were not in place to the degree they needed to, but restrictions on where the drilling could be done were in full effect.

Yeah, the answer to that is to have the proper safety equipment on your rig and enforce it, not to say "But... but... just let us drill next to your house and we PROMISE we'll be careful!"


Safety equipment isn't 100% Joph. Can you absolutely say that if we'd applied every single safety requirement on that rig that it would not have still suffered that catastrophic disaster? Can you say that no oil rig will *ever* suffer such a disaster if they all had the best safety equipment?

What we can say is that the reason we didn't plug that leak in a few days and are instead looking at nearly 60 days of continual oil spillage into the gulf is because the rig was drilling in 5000 feet of water. That fact dwarfs any other fact in terms of total risk. We calculate risk by multiplying the likelihood of an accident against the damage said accident will cause, right? You're talking about the lack of safety equipment which might have reduced the odds of a disaster like this from 1 in a million to one in a million and a half (and that's a very high estimation of the relative safety gained). But you're ignoring the damage effect which is quite clearly at least an order of magnitude greater by drilling in deep water instead of shallow.


In order for the risk calculation to break even, assuming they cap the leak entirely in the next couple days, you'd need to be able to show that the additional safety equipment you'd require via new regulation would have reduced the risk of an accident like this by 8-10 times. That seems incredibly unlikely...

Edited, Jun 15th 2010 1:59pm by gbaji
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#84 Jun 15 2010 at 3:03 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
The only reason to drill in 5000 feet of water is because they were forced to do so by environmental regulations.

Not true. Not that environmental concerns don't factor but there's a significant NIMBY factor in those decisions.


Funny. Cause I'm pretty sure that it's always the environmentalists who lobby for laws requiring drilling to either not be done at all, or that it be farther offshore. While I know that the "it'll look ugly" argument is brought up, it's brought up by environmentalist groups. Those rigs would not be drilling in 5000 feet of water if they were not required to by law, and those laws would not be passed if it were not for the actions of environmentalist groups. It's a pretty obvious set of connections...
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#85 Jun 15 2010 at 3:04 PM Rating: Excellent
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Also, deep water drilling really got started when the government began to subsidize it:
Yahoo Finance wrote:
Drilling in thousands of feet of water is costly and dangerous. It's also where the oil is. But the real story behind deepwater exploration and production is not so simple an equation.

"Deepwater production is a new frontier," American Petroleum Institute senior economic advisor Rayola Dougher explained in an interview with Minyanville. "The oil companies have been denied access to the outer continental shelf in the past; they haven't been allowed to explore. That's why they're out there now."

Kert Davies, research director at Greenpeace USA, disagrees. He says BP (BP) isn't drilling down a mile deep because environmental groups prevented the company from operating closer to shore. It's because, 15 years ago, oil production off the outer continental shelf was effectively subsidized by the US taxpayer when Congress passed the Deep Water Royalty Relief Act, which exempted oil companies from paying a 12% royalty on oil extracted from wells in federal waters.

In 1995, crude oil was selling for about $16 a barrel. Nobody had any interest in drilling in thousands of feet of water, and companies were beginning to focus overseas.

Until then, drilling in the Gulf was done primarily in depths of 650 feet or less, according to a 2009 Minerals Management Service report. After royalty relief, oil companies suddenly became quite keen on deepwater drilling, which had in the past been seen as too expensive and difficult. But there were massive amounts of oil and gas miles offshore. As noted in the MMS report, "Significant deepwater leasing activities began in 1995 and showed remarkable increases from 1996 through 1998, especially in water depths greater than 800 m (2,625 ft), where the greatest royalty relief was available." During this time, leasing activities on shallow-water blocks diminished."
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Belkira wrote:
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#86 Jun 15 2010 at 3:05 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Cause I'm pretty sure that it's always the environmentalists who lobby for laws requiring drilling to either not be done at all, or that it be farther offshore.

I'm pretty sure you're wrong. So that was fun.
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Belkira wrote:
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#87 Jun 15 2010 at 3:06 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Can you absolutely say that if we'd applied every single safety requirement on that rig that it would not have still suffered that catastrophic disaster? Can you say that no oil rig will *ever* suffer such a disaster if they all had the best safety equipment?

Of course not. Can you ask a real question instead of some childish asinine thing where you demand that I prove something will never, ever happen?
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Belkira wrote:
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#88 Jun 15 2010 at 3:06 PM Rating: Good
Jophiel wrote:
Also, deep water drilling really got started when the government began to subsidize it:

So it is the Democrats' fault then. Clinton gave them incentive to go out there!
#89 Jun 15 2010 at 3:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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Also, not to ruin a perfectly good GOP talking point or anything but the notion that there's no shallow water drilling is patently false. The fact that coastal governors were agitating for Obama to reopen the shallow water drills shut down in the wake of the Deepwater Horizon disaster should have been the first clue.
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#90 Jun 15 2010 at 3:16 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Cause I'm pretty sure that it's always the environmentalists who lobby for laws requiring drilling to either not be done at all, or that it be farther offshore.

I'm pretty sure you're wrong. So that was fun.


Why did the government subsidize deep water drilling Joph. Dig a little deeper...
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#91 Jun 15 2010 at 3:17 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
Also, not to ruin a perfectly good GOP talking point or anything but the notion that there's no shallow water drilling is patently false. The fact that coastal governors were agitating for Obama to reopen the shallow water drills shut down in the wake of the Deepwater Horizon disaster should have been the first clue.


How many new licenses for shallow water drilling? Look at more than the surface facts. I'm laying a trail of breadcrumbs for you here...
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#92 Jun 15 2010 at 3:19 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Why did the government subsidize deep water drilling Joph. Dig a little deeper...

Because a lack of domestic deposits in easily accessed areas made it cheaper to go overseas. This doesn't mean, as you will no doubt assume it does, that there were vast deposits locked off which would be supporting all the deep water rigs we have today. It means that the fields in the western US and even many of the shallow water ones had gone dry. Everyone knew there were rich deposits in deeper water but it still cost more to get them there than to drill overseas.

Wow, that was some "gotcha!"
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#93 Jun 15 2010 at 3:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I'm laying a trail of breadcrumbs for you here...

By which you mean "By asking a bunch of leading questions, I'm really hoping people will think I have a point. A notion they'd be rapidly disabused of if I was to make a legitimate argument."

We know. You've been here a while.
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#94 Jun 15 2010 at 3:25 PM Rating: Good
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Gbaji wrote:
and those laws would not be passed if it were not for the actions of environmentalist groups.


I'll let the boys on the Sea Shepherd know that they should keep up the good work.

Edited, Jun 15th 2010 9:27pm by paulsol
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#95 Jun 15 2010 at 3:31 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I'm laying a trail of breadcrumbs for you here...

By which you mean "By asking a bunch of leading questions, I'm really hoping people will think I have a point. A notion they'd be rapidly disabused of if I was to make a legitimate argument."

We know. You've been here a while.
I have to say Joph, you've gotten really lazy as of late.
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#96 Jun 16 2010 at 3:08 PM Rating: Good
Not threadworty, so I will place it here.

Gotta love the Swedish BP Chairman's comment about caring for the small people. Talk about "open ***, insert ouch."
#97 Jun 16 2010 at 3:21 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Why did the government subsidize deep water drilling Joph. Dig a little deeper...

Because a lack of domestic deposits in easily accessed areas made it cheaper to go overseas.


And by "easily accessed", you're including areas which aren't made off limits by regulations lobbied for by environmentalists.

Quote:
Wow, that was some "gotcha!"


Yeah. Kinda was. We should have a reality show called "Clever wordplay versus fact". It would be a hoot!
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#98 Jun 16 2010 at 3:47 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
We should have a reality show called "Clever wordplay versus fact".
That'd never work, your wordplay isn't really clever at all.
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gbaji wrote:
I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#99 Jun 16 2010 at 4:40 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
And by "easily accessed", you're including areas which aren't made off limits by regulations lobbied for by environmentalists.

I don't think that meant what you hoped it meant.

In any event, half of the US onshore reserves are available for drilling. Despite this, companies found easier to exploit resources overseas. Government subsidies to deep water drilling made vast resources there more affordable to exploit.
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#100 Jun 17 2010 at 12:29 PM Rating: Good
Ah, Texas...

The article wrote:
Rep. Barton apologizes to BP for Obama 'shakedown'

Well, that was fast. Barely 10 minutes into Thursday's landmark congressional testimony — where BP CEO Tony Hayward and other leading company executives are revisiting the Gulf Coast oil spill before a subcommittee of the House Energy and Commerce Committee — the first controversial statement has entered the record.

[The latest coverage of the hearings, updated continuously throughout the day, is available from the Associated Press and from Reuters.]

And no, it didn't come from the gaffe-prone BP brass. Instead, GOP Rep. Joe Barton of Texas, the ranking member on the House Energy Committee, made a decisive splash in his opening remarks (from which Republican leaders immediately began distancing themselves). A staunch conservative who has a long record of backing oil industry interests, Barton apologized to BP CEO Tony Hayward for the "shakedown" the Obama White House pulled on the company. (Barton has received more than $1.5 million in campaign donations from the oil industry, according to Open Secrets, a nonpartisan watchdog group.)

"I'm not speaking for anybody in the House of Representatives but myself," Barton explained, "but I'm ashamed of what happened in the White House yesterday. I think it is a tragedy of the first proportion that a private corporation can be subjected to what I would characterize as a shakedown. In this case a $20 billion shakedown."

Wrapping up, Barton said: "I apologize. I do not want to live in a country where any time a citizen or a corporation does something that is legitimately wrong, is subject to some sort of political pressure that is, again, in my words — amounts to a shakedown, so I apologize."



Smiley: facepalm

Edited, Jun 17th 2010 1:30pm by Belkira
#101 Jun 17 2010 at 12:41 PM Rating: Good
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Yeah. Poor, poor BP. It's a shame what they're going through right now.
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