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#27 Jun 10 2010 at 4:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
No, I'm not claiming to have a solution and readily admit that I don't have even a slim fraction of the information I'd need to pretend to have one.


And if you read my first post on this subject, I don't pretend to have an end-all be-all solution either. I was commenting on what I feel is Obama's lack of leadership in this crisis. Obviously, you disagree with me on that opinion and feel he is doing everything he possibly can. Point taken, but I still disagree with you.
#28 Jun 10 2010 at 5:06 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
And you think Hayward would be better at answering this stuff than the actual technical guys the administration is speaking to?


I wasn't aware of the unwritten rule that there can be one, and only one, point of contact on either side between the government and BP.

You don't think Obama should be talking to Hayward on more big picture, strategic subjects while others in his administration talk to the lower level technical guys about technical details?
#29 Jun 10 2010 at 5:36 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
I'm not saying the repairs. I'm saying that the administration based its initial response off of BP's analysis of how bad the leak was. BP's analysis was, to put it politely, very flawed.


This is more or less what the criticism is about though. Obama is happy to sit in the Oval Office and publicly blame BP for everything that's going on, but simultaneously let BP take front on every aspect of the repairs to the leak. I'm not even talking about the clean up efforts, since that's a separate component. I'm talking about how someone who outwardly doesn't trust big business and wants to blame everything on them mysteriously accepts every single word that comes out of their mouths about this.

Hence my statement that it looks like he's less interested in fixing the problem (the leak for starters) than he is positioning himself so that if things go badly he can shift the blame onto someone else and if things go well he can claim he had oversight, was in full communication, etc, etc... That's what mid level political hacks do. The level of politics where those sorts of choices and actions do work because there's always someone else to the side and above them to pick up the slack and actually take real action (successful or not). It does not work when you're the President of the United States, but it looks like that's what he's trying to do here anyway.


Are you telling me that the US navy doesn't have deep sea capability? We can't send our own eyes down there and assess things? We don't have our own assets which could take over if BPs first, or second, or third, or fourth plan doesn't work? That's what people are saying that he should have done. Instead of relying on BP to use their equipment and their manpower to do everything and effectively taking a back seat during the crisis, our government should have been up in the front row on this. We should have been the ones assessing the problem, and coming up with solutions. Use the expertise of BP for sure, but make it clear that they're working for us. We should be offering equipment and manpower to help out, and being involved in the decision making process the whole way through.


What we got instead was "BP broke it, so we're going to sit around and wait for them to fix it". That's the wrong way to handle something of this magnitude and you know it. The sad thing is that Obama doesn't seem to. And btw. When us silly conservatives criticized Obama's lack of executive experience during the campaign, this is exactly the sort of problem we were talking about him not knowing how to handle. There are people who know how to take charge during a crisis, and there are people who get quite comfortable just being one of the guys in the room. Obama is the later sort of person. That's a problem for a President.
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#30 Jun 10 2010 at 5:46 PM Rating: Excellent
gbaji wrote:
Are you telling me that the US navy doesn't have deep sea capability?
Of all the things I can think of to use the military for, this ranks up there on the list of "stupid".

Mostly because, to the best of my knowledge, the US Navy does not have much in the way of deep-sea unmanned capability. That'd be the department of universities doing research on deep-sea life.

Edited, Jun 10th 2010 4:48pm by MDenham
#31 Jun 10 2010 at 6:00 PM Rating: Excellent
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CountFenris wrote:
You don't think Obama should be talking to Hayward on more big picture, strategic subjects while others in his administration talk to the lower level technical guys about technical details?

Yeah, you already asked this. Did you think my opinion changed greatly in the last hour?

It wouldn't have made a difference.
Gbaji wrote:
Are you telling me that the US navy doesn't have deep sea capability? We can't send our own eyes down there and assess things?

Are you telling me the Navy is equipped to accurately assess how much oil is pouring out from a hole in the ocean floor? I'm not sure if I should be impressed with the capability of our Navy or worried that this is what we're training them to do.

The reality is that the Navy isn't at all equipped to do much of anything about the leak at the ocean's surface level aside from throw explosives at it. By the way, for deep sea recovery operations and the like, the Navy contracts through Oceaneering International, the same company BP was already using. So the Navy would be using the same machines but without any of the technical expertise in assessing what was actually going on.

But, hey, "Just send our own eyes down there!" It's that simple if you don't know what you're saying!
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#32 Jun 10 2010 at 6:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
Anyone else not surprised Obama hasn't met with the ceo of bp?
Why do you want the government running the oil industry too?
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#33 Jun 10 2010 at 6:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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This Hayward guy looks like some sort of creepy alien child. Obama should have solved this problem with bare knuckle boxing!
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#34 Jun 10 2010 at 6:47 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
Are you telling me the Navy is equipped to accurately assess how much oil is pouring out from a hole in the ocean floor? I'm not sure if I should be impressed with the capability of our Navy or worried that this is what we're training them to do.


I know for a fact that the Navy has had high resolution remote and man piloted undersea systems for at least the last 20 years. I know a guy who helped design and build it and did trials with the Navy in St Croix testing the equipment out and getting the contracts to build more. Those systems were specifically designed to be able to find things like lost torpedoes and submarine bits (like reactors), repair (or patch into) underwater deep sea communication bundles, and use computer aided laser imaging enhancement methods to allow for even automatic and potentially autonomous location of objects with a non natural shape on the bottom of the ocean at depths far greater than 5 thousand feet.

That was 20+ years ago Joph. Don't freaking try to tell me that we can't find a leaking pipe on the bottom of the gulf and get a really good idea of exactly what's going on with it without having to outsource to some private organization. You get that we've been using subs to tap into underwater cables for 40+ years, right? None of this is even particularly secret stuff.

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The reality is that the Navy isn't at all equipped to do much of anything about the leak at the ocean's surface level aside from throw explosives at it.


I wasn't talking about repairing the leak, although I'm quite sure we do have the capability to do more than just throw explosives at it. Regardless, I was responding to the statement that the government couldn't have known how bad the leak was because BP was giving them false information. There was nothing preventing us from obtaining our own information on this. Our government either just choose not to do that, or did do it and is sitting back and letting BP lie to the public so that (as I stated earlier), they can blame BP when everything goes wrong.


Quote:
By the way, for deep sea recovery operations and the like, the Navy contracts through Oceaneering International, the same company BP was already using. So the Navy would be using the same machines but without any of the technical expertise in assessing what was actually going on.


What expertise? The expertise is held by the contractor in both cases. Are you telling me that the US can't find anyone other than BP who can look at images of the leak and make a calculation as to how bad it is? There's no one else on the planet with that expertise? I guess BP is the only company in the world that operate drill rigs and underwater oil wells and whatnot and no one who's been trained to make those sorts of assessments has ever left the company. Doesn't that seem a bit far fetched?


Heck. They could have made sure BP got those guys to put gear in the area on day one and insisted that they be given access to the direct feed of data on the leak so as to be able to make their own assessments. I'm sorry. The whole "We didn't know how bad it was because BP didn't tell us" argument is weak. The government should never have been in the situation of relying on BP and BP alone to make that assessment in the first place. What happened was willful ignorance on the part of the government in this case. Again, I can only assume that the reasoning is that the less they knew directly, the more they can shift the blame onto BP. If they did have the same data as BP at the same time, they couldn't claim that BP mislead them, could they?


Sorry. That's lame to the extreme.

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But, hey, "Just send our own eyes down there!" It's that simple if you don't know what you're saying!


That's funny Joph. You don't know how funny that is.
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#35 Jun 10 2010 at 7:52 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
This Hayward guy looks like some sort of creepy alien child.


Are you certain he isn't one of those crystal children?
#36 Jun 10 2010 at 8:44 PM Rating: Decent
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manicshock wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
This Hayward guy looks like some sort of creepy alien child.


Are you certain he isn't one of those crystal children?

Looks like hobbit to me.
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#37 Jun 10 2010 at 9:28 PM Rating: Good
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All this immediate engagement sounds awesome in hindsight of course, but honestly, when they say here's the estimation, here's the long term and short term solutions, they've already brought in experts, it makes sense not to duplicate all that work, with less qualified people.

so yeah, it sucks that they underestimated, or just misrepresented the spill, but that's hindsight for you. If it had turned out to be what it originally was thought to be, then the government jumping in would have been seen as wasteful and would also have slowed down the process. It's a judgment call.

Just to be clear, your idea for what Obama should have done would be to duplicate work done by more qualified people, in the hopes that some new information would be gleaned. You realize that all the estimates of oil are from observing the spread of the oil and not really by actually looking at the spill itself.

Edited, Jun 10th 2010 10:30pm by Xsarus
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#38 Jun 10 2010 at 9:29 PM Rating: Good
The anti-Obama crowd is going on and on about "he should have assembled a team of experts" - the question is, though, who? The only people who do deep sea oceaneering that aren't already working for the oil industry are the ones that do it for the love of the subject, i.e. poor college professors, most of whom can't simply abandon their schools at the drop of a hat since they're teaching classes and gearing up for finals in April.

Real "experts" don't just sit around waiting for their expertise to be needed. They have day jobs - even the ones that get paid to go on TV as "experts" in their subjects actually do stuff other than go on TV.

The few that have been working on it have been doing so since the spill first started, or at least as soon as they got permission to change their research project funding from whatever it was slated for to the oil spill.

A team of experts, REAL, experts, was assembled in about one month, which is pretty damn good considering. And they still can't come up with anything better than what BP has already tried.
#39 Jun 10 2010 at 9:34 PM Rating: Good
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catwho wrote:
And they still can't come up with anything better than what BP has already tried.
Smiley: nod For me the test of the government is the cleanup and recovery. This is where they need to play an active role alongside BP, as they have at least some expertise in this, especially making sure that there is funding for recovery work that lasts long enough to finish the work.
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#40 Jun 10 2010 at 9:42 PM Rating: Good
Badgered;

Believing BP's estimate was naive, certainly, as oil companies consistently lie in these situations, but I have no reason to believe Obama has been disingenuous, especially as your explanation for him being so makes no sense. I'd say it was a mistake, but one without cost.
#41 Jun 10 2010 at 9:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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catwho wrote:
The anti-Obama crowd is going on and on about "he should have assembled a team of experts" - the question is, though, who? The only people who do deep sea oceaneering that aren't already working for the oil industry are the ones that do it for the love of the subject, i.e. poor college professors, most of whom can't simply abandon their schools at the drop of a hat since they're teaching classes and gearing up for finals in April.

According to Gbaji, the world is full of deep undersea oil technology experts who aren't employed. Or who are employed and their own large oil companies have no issue with them going to hang out in Washington and fix BP's problems.
Gbaji wrote:
I know for a fact that the Navy has had high resolution remote and man piloted undersea systems for at least the last 20 years. I know a guy who helped design and build it and did trials with the Navy in St Croix testing the equipment out and getting the contracts to build more.

The issue wasn't simply having a camera there, you dolt. They HAD a camera there via BP and could see what was going on. The issue is in turning a video feed of a bunch of oil coming from a hole into usable data regarding what was actually occurring.

But that was some fine Googling you did about imaging systems. You impressed us all. Too bad you didn't know what we were actually talking about.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#42 Jun 10 2010 at 10:35 PM Rating: Excellent
I have to say, fuck BP. I'm sorry, but when a single company can have 760 "willful & egregious safety violations" over the last 3 years, it's pretty obvious they don't give a shit about safety.

Especially when you consider that when you compare them to their competitors, Sunoco & Conoco Phillips had 8 each, Citgo had 2, & Exxon had 1. Link & Videos.

This is the worst man made ecological disaster of all time & what's worse is that we should have seen it coming.

Edited, Jun 11th 2010 12:35am by Omegavegeta
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#43 Jun 10 2010 at 11:15 PM Rating: Good
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catwho wrote:
Meh, for it's it isn't so much that BP is a British company. If it had been Chevron and thus Venezuelan, omg now THEN we'd have rioting in the streets.

We're way more annoyed that BP kept lying about how much oil was spilling than we are about them not being American. Dammit, we expect better of EU countries.

I don't really think of BP as being strictly British anyway. Firstly, because they only recently merged with Amoco (formerly Standard Oil) which was the iconic American oil company. And secondly, they've got hundreds of offices and tens of thousands of employees in America.

#44 Jun 11 2010 at 12:34 AM Rating: Decent
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I was just wondering...is there any estimate of the size of the oil reservoir that is currently draining into the Gulf? How much more could escape?
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#45 Jun 11 2010 at 12:58 AM Rating: Good
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Allegory wrote:
I kind of get the feeling that Nobby doesn't see BP as a grossly negligent company that hasn't continually racked up serious violations magnitudes greater than their competitors.


5th largest market share, 98.7% of the "...Flagrant and disturbing examples of gross negligence..."
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#46 Jun 11 2010 at 1:03 AM Rating: Good
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catwho wrote:
The anti-Obama crowd is going on and on about "he should have assembled a team of experts" - the question is, though, who? The only people who do deep sea oceaneering that aren't already working for the oil industry are the ones that do it for the love of the subject, i.e. poor college professors, most of whom can't simply abandon their schools at the drop of a hat since they're teaching classes and gearing up for finals in April.

Real "experts" don't just sit around waiting for their expertise to be needed. They have day jobs - even the ones that get paid to go on TV as "experts" in their subjects actually do stuff other than go on TV.

The few that have been working on it have been doing so since the spill first started, or at least as soon as they got permission to change their research project funding from whatever it was slated for to the oil spill.

A team of experts, REAL, experts, was assembled in about one month, which is pretty damn good considering. And they still can't come up with anything better than what BP has already tried.


No. If you really want experts, you can get experts pretty darn fast.

And for the record, the BP "help line" was more for show than anything else.
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#47 Jun 11 2010 at 3:55 AM Rating: Good
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The more astute among you may have noticed my OP was not entirely serious. Smiley: clown

BP's track record on safety is appalling. Truly appalling. Cost-cutting at the expense of employee and environmental safety. Bastages.

That said, Obama's clearly using this as an opportunity to play the tough guy in readiness for the mid-terms in November. His bullish language is so over the top as to be laughable.

What, precisely, is Obama suggesting BP do that they're not already doing? They've agreed to compensate in full, and as far as I know, there aren't any cunning plans from Obama on BP's desk that BP are rejecting or ignoring.

From my POV, BP, Transocean, Halliburton and Obama all come out of this as opportunistic bastages.

PS, the 'BP is British' jokes are red herrings. The multinational status of oil companies makes the location of their HQ purely academic.
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#48 Jun 11 2010 at 5:55 AM Rating: Excellent
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Lord Nobby wrote:
What, precisely, is Obama suggesting BP do that they're not already doing?

Make payments quicker as opposed to waiting for the end of each month to start cutting checks. BP has now agreed to start doing this so there ya go.
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#49 Jun 11 2010 at 7:02 AM Rating: Good
Lord Nobby wrote:
PS, the 'BP is British' jokes are red herrings. The multinational status of oil companies makes the location of their HQ purely academic.

From what perspective? I'd argue that their status as a British company is very important to all of the British pensioners who have their life savings tied up in it. Of course, that assumes un-savvy (and not diversified) investment in a national bellweather a few decades ago, so who knows.
#50 Jun 11 2010 at 7:04 AM Rating: Good
Omegavegeta wrote:
This is the worst man made ecological disaster of all time & what's worse is that we should have seen it coming.

If there's any truth to the story that they lose more oil in Nigeria every year than has so far come out of the Deep Water Horizon hole, then this is totally false and evidence that the outrage over the gulf spill is purely politically motivated.
#51 Jun 11 2010 at 7:29 AM Rating: Good
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Omegavegeta wrote:
This is the worst man made ecological disaster of all time & what's worse is that we should have seen it coming.
It's the biggest known oil spill.

Comparably speaking, oil is only acutely devastating. I think spraying DDT all over mother nature was a much more insidious environmental disaster than this oil spill will prove to be.
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