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#102 Jun 07 2010 at 3:36 PM Rating: Good
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
Jophed,

Quote:
So the GOP is to blame for the recession of the early 2000s


By and large yes. Incidentally this is why they were voted out during the mid-term elections. We thought we were getting conservative and ended up with more big govn spending. Of course this has just led us down the road we're on now with record govn spending and no growth in the private sector.

So the GOP is also to blame for the current recession as well.
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#103 Jun 07 2010 at 3:43 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
We can sit here and argue about whether the Bush tax cuts actually did "cause" the economy to recover, but no one is debating whether or not they *could* cause said recovery.

Hahahaha...

(A) I'm sure that, with very little effort on my part, I could find people debating whether or not the Bush policies "could" cause a recovery (as opposed to a recovery occuring despite them)


Who? Are they actually debating? Or are we talking about a small number of fringe nutters making wild allegations and everyone else is ignoring them.

What is the rationale for arguing that by allowing businesses who lost profits as a result of some economic event to retain a larger portion of the profits they have can't "help" them recover? You're dancing around this Joph. I want to know what the argument is, cause I've yet to ever hear someone make it. Insisting that an argument does exist out there somewhere, but being unable or unwilling to express said argument doesn't exactly make your position very solid, does it?

Quote:
(B) Whether or not they DID cause the recovery is the actual question. If someone is pointing to the recovering of said recession as proof of those economic principles being effective, saying "Well, we don't know but they maybe cooouuullldddd work..." isn't a hell of a selling point.


I thought we were comparing Obama to Bush though. Let's not lose focus of the comparison being made here. It's quite reasonable to suggest that if you lower the tax burden on businesses which are struggling, you'll help them get out of the problems they are in. It's also quite reasonable to say that as long as the total cost for doing that is relatively low, that the economic gains from said recovery will make up for it. And in the case of the Bush tax cuts, this is precisely what happened. GDP grew sufficiently that it offset the lost revenue (and resulting increase in public debt) to allow for sustainable debt levels.


The polices that Obama is using are increasing public debt to unsustainable levels. That is not opinion. That is fact. Those same policies focus on handouts to those affected by the economic downturn, but not to the industries which will need to recover in order to remove the conditions requiring those portions of the economy to receive handouts. The policies seem aimed more at gaining control of industry rather than helping it recover.


The comparison is night and day Joph. Bush acted in small ways, but in ways designed to help out. Obama is spending money like it's endless, but on things which are at best questionable in terms of helping the situation. And the spending is so great that it *will* hurt us over time. And we're not talking about 20 years down the line. It'll hurt us in the next couple of years. We'll start feeling the pain of all that debt before we feel any significant recovery. Obama honestly doesn't seem to care about economic recovery, but seems to just want to use it to push forward his own social agenda.
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#104 Jun 07 2010 at 4:36 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Contrast that to Obama's approach to do everything he can to hinder and harm the parts of the economy (financial industry) most directly affected by the downturn.
Yeah, he's doing such a job of hindering them that most of those banks reported profits. And not just a little bit, but big profits. I wish someone would hinder me that way.
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#105 Jun 07 2010 at 4:36 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Who? Are they actually debating? Or are we talking about a small number of fringe nutters making wild allegations and everyone else is ignoring them.

"This Article shows that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts are regressive, unaffordable, and poorly designed to boost economic growth in either the short run or the long run."
- "THE STATE OF FEDERAL INCOME TAXATION SYMPOSIUM: RATES, PROGRESSIVITY, AND BUDGET PROCESSES: SYMPOSIUM ARTICLE: AN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF TAX POLICY IN THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION, 2001-2004", Boston College Law Review, Sept. 2004, Peter Orszag & William Gale

Now is when you start saying that they don't count because they're just nutters that everyone ignores. Seriously, Gbaji, you think that no one has questioned the effectiveness of Bush's economic policies from the the ground up? Or that anyone who has must be a fringe lunatic because his policies were just that infallible? What flavor is the Kool-Ade they give you?

And, no, I'm not finding you more examples. Your Google works just fine and I sincerely doubt that anyone else thinks there's no such examples to be found. The one I gave you took me less than a minute to find.

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You're dancing around this Joph.

You must be having a debate with someone else named "Joph" because I'm not dancing around anything. I've little interest in spending a bunch of posts watching you contort yourself in "BUSH GOOD OBAMA BAD!!!" and have deliberately posted in a way to make this clear.

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I thought we were comparing Obama to Bush though.

Not really except to laugh at how you guys are in a constant state of "That was the president's fault! No wait! That one was Congress! That one was... wait, who were the Democrats then, president or Congress? Cause it was THEIR fault!"
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#106 Jun 07 2010 at 6:49 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:

"This Article shows that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts are regressive, unaffordable, and poorly designed to boost economic growth in either the short run or the long run."
- "THE STATE OF FEDERAL INCOME TAXATION SYMPOSIUM: RATES, PROGRESSIVITY, AND BUDGET PROCESSES: SYMPOSIUM ARTICLE: AN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF TAX POLICY IN THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION, 2001-2004", Boston College Law Review, Sept. 2004, Peter Orszag & William Gale

Now is when you start saying that they don't count because they're just nutters that everyone ignores.


No. This is where I point out that arguing that something is "poorly designed to boost economic growth" isn't the same as arguing that said tax cuts "can't" boost economic growth. To use my pushing the car out of the mud analogy, if someone pointed out that standing at the backside of a car and pushing is a "poor way to get a car out of mud", they aren't saying that it wont or can't help.


Quote:
Seriously, Gbaji, you think that no one has questioned the effectiveness of Bush's economic policies from the the ground up?


No. But at the risk of sounding like a broken record, there's a big difference between questioning the effectiveness of a solution and saying that a "solution" will only make things worse and delay recovery rather than speed it. Stop playing word games. Of course people "questioned the effectiveness" of Bush's economic policies back in 2001-2003. Of course, that's still an acknowledgment of directionality, isn't it. The opposition isn't questioning the effectiveness of Obama's policies. We know that they are going to be effective. But they're going to be effective at damaging our economy. Get it? Those are two entirely different arguments being made. Not doing enough to help versus doing plenty of harm.

Quote:
Or that anyone who has must be a fringe lunatic because his policies were just that infallible? What flavor is the Kool-Ade they give you?


No. They just have to have completely bought into a liberal assumption that economic health is measured based on the amount of government revenue. Which is slightly different.

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Quote:
I thought we were comparing Obama to Bush though.

Not really except to laugh at how you guys are in a constant state of "That was the president's fault! No wait! That one was Congress! That one was... wait, who were the Democrats then, president or Congress? Cause it was THEIR fault!"



Uh huh. Wasn't it you who responded to statements about how Obama's economic plans are failing by pointing at Bush? Now you don't want to follow that comparison? Why make it in the first place? Just wanted to get another "RAR! Bush BAD!" off your chest?

Edited, Jun 7th 2010 5:50pm by gbaji
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#107 Jun 07 2010 at 6:57 PM Rating: Default
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Contrast that to Obama's approach to do everything he can to hinder and harm the parts of the economy (financial industry) most directly affected by the downturn.
Yeah, he's doing such a job of hindering them that most of those banks reported profits. And not just a little bit, but big profits. I wish someone would hinder me that way.


Pretty much all of which was a direct result of the original bail out bill. You know. The one that happened *before* obama took office. Now, the Dems managed to use their control of Congress to mangle that one pretty well, but it still did enough to prevent those financial organizations from going bankrupt and gave them enough breathing room to recover. Since the Dems took the White House as well, they've followed that up with additional regulations placing more restrictions on those who take (or took) money. Apparently, it was a mistake to loan them money which would help them recover without placing restrictions on how much they could pay their executives in there too...


They've also had another complete stimulus bill, as well as numerous stimulus spending amendments incorporated into other bills during the last year and a half. And on top of that, the Obama administration and the Dems in Congress decided that now was a great time to load our economy with a bunch of medical expenses as well. This has resulted in a debt rate that is simply staggering.


Had we done *nothing* except the original bailout bill, we'd likely be exactly where we are right now economically, perhaps even better off (certainly, the markets would be doing better since they wouldn't be so worried about massive debt hurting long term investment futures). That's kinda the point here. We've spent a whole boatload of money we can't afford and not gotten any measurable return for our trouble. And when the bill comes due, things will get worse.


So yeah. Obama has done a horrible job economically. Not sure how anyone can't see this.
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#108 Jun 07 2010 at 7:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Uh huh. Wasn't it you who responded to statements about how Obama's economic plans are failing by pointing at Bush? Now you don't want to follow that comparison? Why make it in the first place? Just wanted to get another "RAR! Bush BAD!" off your chest?

Haha! I saw what you did there. First I said that you just wanted to say Obama was bad and then you got butt-hurt about it (truth hurts, I guess) and tried to turn it all around on me and stuff. It's a shame you're too stupid to pull it off without looking like a moron in the process.

No, I responded to you saying "The economy will get better anyway and then you'll all praise Obama but you'll be wrong! So very wrong!" by noting that when the economy "got better" after the 2001-2002 recession you were first in line to praise Bush for it and never once said "Yeah, well the economy always gets better anyway..."

I didn't compare the two presidents at all. I compared your reaction to the two. Then I laughed at you and then you tried to make some retarded statement about me just wanting to say Bush was bad. And then you looked stupid. That should bring you up to speed. Let me know if you need more help later.

Edited, Jun 7th 2010 8:10pm by Jophiel
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#109 Jun 07 2010 at 7:18 PM Rating: Decent
Edited by bsphil
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
This economy is not improving
So the over 400,000 jobs created in May isn't an improvement in the economy? DJI is up 12% from where it was the same time last year, no improvements there either huh?
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gbaji wrote:
I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#110 Jun 07 2010 at 7:49 PM Rating: Excellent
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Do I take the word of a IT tech that posts on a gaming board or a Nobel Prize winning Economist.

I think I'll listen to Paul Krugman on wither we should be lowering the public debt or helping simulate the economy as Obama did.

Quote:
Madmen in Authority

Rereading my post on the folly of the G20, it seems to me that I didn’t fully convey just how crazy the demand for fiscal austerity now now now really is.

The key thing you need to realize is that eliminating stimulus spending, while it would inflict severe economic harm, would do almost nothing to reduce future debt problems. Here’s the IMF’s estimate of sources of the growth in debt over the next few years:

[link=http://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/debtsource.png]

And even this figure conveys a misleading impression of the importance of stimulus spending. First, since cutting stimulus would weaken the economy, it would reduce revenues — that is, a substantial part of the debt growth the IMF attributes to stimulus would have happened even without stimulus, through lower revenue. Second, for the US at least the core reason for long-run budget concern is rising health care costs — in fact, health cost control is the sine qua non of long-run solvency — which has nothing whatever to do with how much we spend on job creation now.

So how much we spend on supporting the economy in 2010 and 2011 is almost irrelevant to the fundamental budget picture. Why, then, are Very Serious People demanding immediate fiscal austerity?

The answer is, to reassure the markets — because the markets supposedly won’t believe in the willingness of governments to engage in long-run fiscal reform unless they inflict pointless pain right now. To repeat: the whole argument rests on the presumption that markets will turn on us unless we demonstrate a willingness to suffer, even though that suffering serves no purpose.

And the basis for this belief that this is what markets demand is … well, actually there’s no sign that markets are demanding any such thing. There’s Greece — but the Greek situation is very different from that of the US or the UK. And at the moment everyone except the overvalued euro-periphery nations is able to borrow at very low interest rates.

So wise policy, as defined by the G20 and like-minded others, consists of destroying economic recovery in order to satisfy hypothetical irrational demands from the markets — demands that economies suffer pointless pain to show their determination, demands that markets aren’t actually making, but which serious people, in their wisdom, believe that the markets will make one of these days.

Awesome.



Edited, Jun 7th 2010 9:50pm by ElneClare
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#111 Jun 07 2010 at 8:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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ElneClare wrote:
Do I take the word of a IT tech that posts on a gaming board or a Nobel Prize winning Economist.

Gbaji, clearly.

You forget he knows more about understanding topics and data in all fields more than those who study them

He knows more about the economy than the economist
He probably knows more about biochemistry, microbiology and anatomy than I do
He probably knows more about buttsex than NixNot.
#112ThiefX, Posted: Jun 07 2010 at 8:05 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) People like you are a politicians wet dream.
#113 Jun 07 2010 at 8:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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ThiefX wrote:
All of those jobs "created" in May were temporary census workers. Link

Not "all" but certainly most. Then again, you were silent last month when 218,000 private sector jobs were added. Go figure.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#114 Jun 07 2010 at 9:49 PM Rating: Good
You know, I don't care whether the stimulus is good or bad for the economy, as long as they continue to do stuff like repair I-20 between ATL and Alabama. Good god, that road was rough. (Although bringing in out of state crews may not be a good idea, because I discovered GA's first and possibly only roundabout on a newly paved road in that area.)
#115 Jun 07 2010 at 10:29 PM Rating: Excellent
Thiefx's Sig. wrote:
Has anyone ever noticed that liberalism only survives by forcing people to be dependent on it? Nobody ever chooses it because they want to.


*After editing spelling, wording, & grammar*

I chose Liberalism, having at no time ever having the need to depend on it. I've never been on welfare, never had disability, never had unemployment, never had subsidized housing, & pay for my own health/dental/vision care. The difference between us (Well, one of many differences really) is that I don't care at all that my tax money goes to pay for other people who need those things. Just as I'm assured that should I need them, they'll be there for me.

I believe everyone of every color, class, gender, sexual preference (Except for furries. Fuck those creepy fucks), & culture have a right to live. I believe everyone has a right to their own religious beliefs, or lack of beliefs for that matter, but at the same time that everyone has a right to not have other people's religious beliefs forced upon them. I believe in science, so I believe evolution happened & continues to happen and that global warming is real NOT because I'm a liberal, but because that's what the best educated experts in their fields have found to be true by doing the research. I believe policy should be based on the best facts available, not on what's convenient politically.

I also believe we should strive for peace via diplomacy, not down the barrel of a gun.
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#116 Jun 08 2010 at 3:05 AM Rating: Good
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
Jophed,

Quote:
So the GOP is to blame for the recession of the early 2000s


By and large yes. Incidentally this is why they were voted out during the mid-term elections. We thought we were getting conservative and ended up with more big govn spending. Of course this has just led us down the road we're on now with record govn spending and no growth in the private sector.




Holy ****, I rated knoxxsouthy up!!!!
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#117 Jun 08 2010 at 6:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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I'm glad he got rated up, but he's wrong. The Democratic sweep came in 2006, the mid-terms after the 2004 election. The recession, which Varus admits was the GOP's fault, was during 2001-2002. According to his time line, the GOP should have suffered their sweeping defeats in 2002 or, at the latest, 2004.

Speaking of logical inanities...
Gbaji wrote:
This is where I point out that arguing that something is "poorly designed to boost economic growth" isn't the same as arguing that said tax cuts "can't" boost economic growth

I skipped this last night but this was stone-cold stupid. If your "point" was to say that people don't publish papers saying "This is impossible and could never ever happen", you're right. It's also a completely worthless point because saying it "can't" do something is asking the paper to prove a negative. What they do instead is state that the chance of it having that effect is vanishingly tiny, thus allowing for the chance that tiny economic gnomes or whatever might work to make it happen against all odds. Which is the point Orszag and Gale were making without explicitly mentioning the gnomes.

You knew this. You should have known this. It's possible, I suppose, that you cling so tightly to your biases and assurances that you ignored the voice in your brain saying "You know this isn't right". It's pretty sad that you'd do so. It's slightly less sad if you just want to say you had no idea that people didn't typically publish papers saying things were impossible and can never, ever happen.

What will happen is that you'll keep making lame defenses for it which shall be the saddest thing of all.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#118 Jun 08 2010 at 6:37 AM Rating: Excellent
Quote:
The recession, which Varus admits was the GOP's fault, was during 2001-2002


A post 9/11 market combined with the Dot.com bubble bursting was more likely the main causes, not the GOP.
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#119 Jun 08 2010 at 7:18 AM Rating: Decent
Jophed,

Quote:
I'm glad he got rated up


You see how easy it is to persuade someone when you simply tell them what they want to hear.







#120 Jun 08 2010 at 7:21 AM Rating: Excellent
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Omegavegeta wrote:
A post 9/11 market combined with the Dot.com bubble bursting was more likely the main causes, not the GOP.

You don't need to convince me that these things are largely caused by external factors. I'm mostly riffing on Varus's fervent belief that any economic mishap was caused by Democrats. Whether it's the president or Congress who "controls" the economy at any given point in history depends entirely on what direction the economy was going in and which branches of government the Democrats controlled. He's already credited the GOP congress with the economic boom of the 1990s; saddling them with the recession of the early 2000's only makes sense.

In other words, I'm fucking with him because he's an idiot.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#121 Jun 08 2010 at 7:23 AM Rating: Excellent
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
You see how easy it is to persuade someone when you simply tell them what they want to hear.

A green arrow, too! That's quite a plum...
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#122 Jun 08 2010 at 8:37 AM Rating: Decent
Jophed,

Quote:
You don't need to convince me that these things are largely caused by external factors


Liberals love this excuse. It's always "external factors" and never their horrible policies Smiley: oyvey


It wasn't external factors that crashed the mortgage industry; that would be freddie and fannie under control of that's right the Democrats. The US auto industry is failing not because of "external factors" but because unions, which are controlled by democrats, are forcing these major companies to make decisions that just aren't profitable and then when they fail guess who's there to bail them out, that's right the US taxpayer. 911 was the result of failed national security and our unwillingness to take a strong stand against radical islam. And democrats still refuse to acknowledge that radical islam is this countries greatest threat to freedom. I can go all day.

Of course the GOP hasn't done nearly enough to let the public know that the Democrats are purposely trying to create a climate of crisis so that they may use it as an excuse to relieve private citizens of their property and independence in general.
#123 Jun 08 2010 at 8:42 AM Rating: Excellent
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knoxxsouthy wrote:
Liberals love this excuse. It's always "external factors" and never their horrible policies Smiley: oyvey

Ok, so it was all Bush and the GOP who fucked up the economy. That's fine, too.

See? I'm easy to please.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#124 Jun 08 2010 at 8:48 AM Rating: Excellent
Omegavegeta wrote:
Thiefx's Sig. wrote:
Has anyone ever noticed that liberalism only survives by forcing people to be dependent on it? Nobody ever chooses it because they want to.


*After editing spelling, wording, & grammar*

I chose Liberalism, having at no time ever having the need to depend on it. I've never been on welfare, never had disability, never had unemployment, never had subsidized housing, & pay for my own health/dental/vision care. The difference between us (Well, one of many differences really) is that I don't care at all that my tax money goes to pay for other people who need those things. Just as I'm assured that should I need them, they'll be there for me.

I believe everyone of every color, class, gender, sexual preference (Except for furries. Fuck those creepy fucks), & culture have a right to live. I believe everyone has a right to their own religious beliefs, or lack of beliefs for that matter, but at the same time that everyone has a right to not have other people's religious beliefs forced upon them. I believe in science, so I believe evolution happened & continues to happen and that global warming is real NOT because I'm a liberal, but because that's what the best educated experts in their fields have found to be true by doing the research. I believe policy should be based on the best facts available, not on what's convenient politically.

I also believe we should strive for peace via diplomacy, not down the barrel of a gun.


This. Smiley: nod
#125 Jun 08 2010 at 9:16 AM Rating: Good
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Belkira the Tulip wrote:
Omegavegeta wrote:
Thiefx's Sig. wrote:
Has anyone ever noticed that liberalism only survives by forcing people to be dependent on it? Nobody ever chooses it because they want to.


*After editing spelling, wording, & grammar*

I chose Liberalism, having at no time ever having the need to depend on it. I've never been on welfare, never had disability, never had unemployment, never had subsidized housing, & pay for my own health/dental/vision care. The difference between us (Well, one of many differences really) is that I don't care at all that my tax money goes to pay for other people who need those things. Just as I'm assured that should I need them, they'll be there for me.

I believe everyone of every color, class, gender, sexual preference (Except for furries. Fuck those creepy fucks), & culture have a right to live. I believe everyone has a right to their own religious beliefs, or lack of beliefs for that matter, but at the same time that everyone has a right to not have other people's religious beliefs forced upon them. I believe in science, so I believe evolution happened & continues to happen and that global warming is real NOT because I'm a liberal, but because that's what the best educated experts in their fields have found to be true by doing the research. I believe policy should be based on the best facts available, not on what's convenient politically.

I also believe we should strive for peace via diplomacy, not down the barrel of a gun.


This. Smiley: nod


Hippies.
#126 Jun 08 2010 at 9:43 AM Rating: Good
Assassin Nadenu wrote:
Belkira the Tulip wrote:
This. Smiley: nod


Hippies.


So you, too, huh?
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