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#1 May 05 2010 at 4:29 PM Rating: Good
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For those who would otherwise fall asleep at the mere mention of governmental budgetary analysis.

/shakes fist at Samira/

Edited, May 5th 2010 10:57pm by Timelordwho
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#2 May 05 2010 at 5:40 PM Rating: Good
Awesome :)

More information -> better decisions.

#3 May 05 2010 at 6:52 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:

More information -> better decisions.



Except that it excludes non-discretionary spending (except in the "total budget" area, which is not presented to scale with the rest of the poster). This allows people to continue to hold to the false belief that defense spending is the largest single expenditure by our government. Cause you look at the poster, and there it is, right?

If we included Medicare, Social Security, and Income assistance, the entire section which makes up the whole poster right now would be in one corner with those three programs taking up the rest. I get that that artist gave reasons for including just discretionary spending, but IMO by ignoring the impact on our economy from the really big stuff, it's not going to lead to better decisions, but worse ones.

Edited, May 5th 2010 7:33pm by gbaji
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#4 May 05 2010 at 8:03 PM Rating: Excellent
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For those... who et cetera.

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#5 May 06 2010 at 2:22 PM Rating: Decent
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895 Billion on the capacity to kill people for being stupid. <50 billion educating people so they aren't stupid...

You could teach the entire world to not be stupid for that kind of money and no longer need to kill people.
#6 May 06 2010 at 2:36 PM Rating: Decent
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Yodabunny wrote:
895 Billion on the capacity to kill people for being stupid. <50 billion educating people so they aren't stupid...


And ~1.5 Trillion on providing stuff for people too stupid to figure out how to provide for themselves. We can play the "silly label" game all day on this one...

Quote:
You could teach the entire world to not be stupid for that kind of money and no longer need to kill people.


Get back to me when that ever works. Peace in our time indeed!
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#7 May 06 2010 at 2:51 PM Rating: Excellent
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Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security and the Military alone now cost more than the country is taking in via taxes each year. Forget every other thing the nation spends money on, we start the budget in a deficit from just those items. Forum chatter and charming rhetoric aside, I'd like to hear from someone actually in public office what their plans are to slash those budgets. The reality is that no one will or, while an individual might, there's no political will for it throughout their party. Witness the failure of Bush to gain support for his Social Security privatization plan and how quickly the GOP rallied around "protecting Medicare" as a health care debate talking point.
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#8 May 06 2010 at 4:06 PM Rating: Decent
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IIRC, my prediction from back in late 2008 was that the Dems would start talking directly about being "fiscally responsible" in dealing with the deficit sometime around summer of this year and use it as a campaign issue in 2010. Of course, in my prediction, fiscal responsibility doesn't include much in the way of budget cuts (except perhaps to some discretionary spending items), but will push the idea that as unpopular as it is, the need is so great that we'll have to do the responsible thing and raise taxes. You'll hear phrases like "Everyone has to chip in", and "Rolling up our sleeves and doing what's right". It'll include lots of rhetoric about how the GOP claims to be the fiscally responsible party, but refuses to join them on this most important issue of balancing the budget. And it'll ultimately be about building public support to pay for all the excessive costs the Dems loaded onto the public in 2009/2010 while hoping everyone will forget that they promised that none of this would require tax increases.

At least that's the likely course as I see it. I've already seen a couple minor players start talking quietly about how now that we've fixed the economy, we need to turn our attention to the deficit, so it's possible they're going to try this. Not sure if it'll happen this year, or they'll wait a year or two for it, but I hold out no hope at all that cutting spending will be on the agenda. You never know, they might just surprise me, but so far they haven't.


You know. If only someone had seen this coming *before* we spent all that money. Sigh...
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#9 May 06 2010 at 4:12 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
IIRC, my prediction from back in late 2008 was that the Dems would start talking directly about being "fiscally responsible" in dealing with the deficit sometime around summer of this year and use it as a campaign issue in 2010. Of course, in my prediction, fiscal responsibility doesn't include much in the way of budget cuts (except perhaps to some discretionary spending items), but will push the idea that as unpopular as it is, the need is so great that we'll have to do the responsible thing and raise taxes. You'll hear phrases like "Everyone has to chip in", and "Rolling up our sleeves and doing what's right". It'll include lots of rhetoric about how the GOP claims to be the fiscally responsible party, but refuses to join them on this most important issue of balancing the budget. And it'll ultimately be about building public support to pay for all the excessive costs the Dems loaded onto the public in 2009/2010 while hoping everyone will forget that they promised that none of this would require tax increases.

At least that's the likely course as I see it. I've already seen a couple minor players start talking quietly about how now that we've fixed the economy, we need to turn our attention to the deficit, so it's possible they're going to try this. Not sure if it'll happen this year, or they'll wait a year or two for it, but I hold out no hope at all that cutting spending will be on the agenda. You never know, they might just surprise me, but so far they haven't.

You know. If only someone had seen this coming *before* we spent all that money. Sigh...


Your uncanny prescience must be a heavy burden, gbaji. Forced to predict the follies of other men years in advance and watch them flow their slow course, it is a torment without end.

Smiley: laugh
#10 May 06 2010 at 4:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
IIRC, my prediction from back in late 2008 was that the Dems would start talking directly about being "fiscally responsible" in dealing with the deficit sometime around summer of this year and use it as a campaign issue in 2010.

Well, let me know which GOP members bravely state that we need to deeply slash Medicare and Social Security when that day comes. Because either we raise taxes a fairly significant degree or we carve out a large chunk of spending in those areas. There's no other way that any other budget tinkering will ever matter.

This isn't a Democrat thing either. Medicare/Medicaid, SS and the military didn't suddenly balloon in 2009.
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#11 May 06 2010 at 4:36 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


Get back to me when that ever works.


Get back to me when someone even tries.

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#12 May 06 2010 at 5:46 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
This isn't a Democrat thing either. Medicare/Medicaid, SS and the military didn't suddenly balloon in 2009.


The spending that did balloon was pretty much all the Dems though, wasn't it? That's specifically what I was referring to. Obviously, we need plans to get spending in those other areas under control, but dumping tons of new spending into the mix didn't exactly help.
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#13 May 06 2010 at 5:48 PM Rating: Decent
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paulsol wrote:
gbaji wrote:


Get back to me when that ever works.


Get back to me when someone even tries.



Ok. Get back to me when you have some kind of proposal for how to even go about doing that so that anyone might think the reference was something other than Kumbya singing hippies complaining that the world isn't perfect.
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#14 May 06 2010 at 5:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The spending that did balloon was pretty much all the Dems though, wasn't it?

Doesn't matter. The Democrats could have not spent a dime on anything else and would still enter the year with a deficit due to those three items.

Quote:
That's specifically what I was referring to.

While ignoring the elephant in the room. Very productive of you.

Again, I'm waiting on someone to say how they're going to balance Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security and the military budget because nothing else matters -- we don't have a single penny to spend -- if we don't handle those.

Edited, May 6th 2010 6:51pm by Jophiel
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#15 May 06 2010 at 6:11 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
The spending that did balloon was pretty much all the Dems though, wasn't it?

Doesn't matter. The Democrats could have not spent a dime on anything else and would still enter the year with a deficit due to those three items.


Yes. But that would be a more temporary thing. Don't forget that revenues are down right now because of the financial situation. When business recovers, revenues will return to more normal levels (without any need for tax increases), and it'll be sufficient to cover those again.

By lumping an extra half a trillion in yearly spending on top of that, the Dems have made that an unlikely way to reduce or eliminate the deficit, meaning that we now must push some combination of tax increases and spending cuts to avoid ever increasing debt.

Quote:
Quote:
That's specifically what I was referring to.

While ignoring the elephant in the room. Very productive of you.


The elephant, as you clearly stated, was in the room 2 years ago, and 10 years ago, and 20 years ago. I think it's relevant to point out that when you're already right at the edge of what you can afford, it's kinda dumb to go on a spending spree. That new spending tipped the equation from "manageable spending" to "unmanageable spending". My prediction had to do with the Dems knowing this going in, and planning on using the "fiscal responsibility" argument later to convince people to raise taxes to pay for it.

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Again, I'm waiting on someone to say how they're going to balance Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security and the military budget because nothing else matters -- we don't have a single penny to spend -- if we don't handle those.


Red Herring Joph. It's a legitimate topic in a longer term view of our economy, but the immediate issue is not those things, but the new spending programs created in the last year or so. How about we repeal the health care bill? That'll save us a few hundred billion dollars a year right there and not actually cost us anything since no one's yet received anything from it. How about eliminating all non-loaned money in the two stimulus bills? How about we go back through all the stuff the Dems passed on purely partisan basis and just strike them out? That would put us back into reasonable territory, wouldn't it?

Then, after we've eliminated the immediate crisis, we can tackle the bigger long term spending issues. See, the problem is that the new spending we're doing today, if unchecked, will become long term spending that can't be cut easily over time, just as medicare and social security have. Let's focus on nipping those in the bud now while we have a reasonable chance to do so without millions of people becoming dependent on them first? Cause that would be the smart way of doing things, right?
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#16 May 06 2010 at 6:14 PM Rating: Excellent
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paulsol wrote:
gbaji wrote:


Get back to me when that ever works.


Get back to me when someone even tries.


Multinational corporations have done more for world peace than most nonprofits designed to engender peace.

Just sayin'.
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#17 May 06 2010 at 6:26 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
And ~1.5 Trillion on providing stuff for people too stupid to figure out how to provide for themselves.


Social security, medicare and medicaid add up to about 1.5 trillion. I can only assume this is what gbaji is referring to.

Social security is a retirement income program where people pay in throughout their working careers and get money back when they retire. Everyone (who has worked a certain portion of their life) gets it upon reaching age 65.

Medicare is health insurance for the elderly. Same deal.

Medicaid is health assistance for the poor or disabled. It is about 7.5% of the total budget. This is the only portion of this which anyone could logically claim is going to those who cannot provide for themselves. The former two are basically retirement plans: they are not optional, of course. They are minimal and people pay considerable amounts to supplement them.

The fastest growth in medicaid is nursing home care. Now you might think this is covered by medicare, since many old folks end up in nursing homes. It is not, at least not for very long (~30 days via medicare and if you have private long term care it usually runs to about 90 days beyond that is out of pocket or medicaid. Since medicaid does not kick in until 90 days you must have some ability to pay to reach that point).

Also, I don't think the disabled, the poor or the elderly in nursing homes are "too stupid to figure out how to provide for themselves".
#18 May 06 2010 at 6:37 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
Also, I don't think the disabled, the poor or the elderly in nursing homes are "too stupid to figure out how to provide for themselves".


The "too stupid" statement was overblown in order to respond to similarly overblown rhetoric regarding military spending. It was also a reference to the fact that the entire assumption behind those programs and the payroll taxes which fund them is that if you let people just have that money to manage themselves, they would be "too stupid" to save/invest it and provide for their own retirement and health care later in life.


Those programs, by design, assume that every citizen is a child who cannot make good decisions for themselves and thus the nanny government must come in and make it for them. Never mind that those who make good decisions are going to do vastly more with the money than the government will, it's about the lowest common denominator. Also never mind that right around 10% of every single dollar you make ends out in those programs and is taken right out of your paycheck. Imagine if you'd been allowed to invest that 10% of your income instead? A whole lot of people wouldn't be "poor" and in need of social service programs if we didn't take their money to pay for them in the first place.

Edited, May 6th 2010 6:28pm by gbaji
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#19 May 06 2010 at 7:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The elephant, as you clearly stated, was in the room 2 years ago, and 10 years ago, and 20 years ago.

Which makes it more amusing that you refuse to speak about it now. Too busy whining about Democrats to talk about it, I guess.

I have to admit though that the irony of saying "I'd like to hear someone talk about these because no one is willing to confront the real issue" and having you react by talking about any possible Democratic spending except these things... well, it wasn't lost on me.

Edited, May 6th 2010 8:53pm by Jophiel
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#20 May 06 2010 at 8:47 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
The elephant, as you clearly stated, was in the room 2 years ago, and 10 years ago, and 20 years ago.

Which makes it more amusing that you refuse to speak about it now. Too busy whining about Democrats to talk about it, I guess.


Um... No. Just unwilling to accept the premise that we can't oppose or eliminate new spending without first addressing medicare and social security. Your argument is pretty transparently designed solely to avoid discussion of spending cuts in the more recently added programs while not adding anything to the debate at all.

Quote:
I have to admit though that the irony of saying "I'd like to hear someone talk about these because no one is willing to confront the real issue" and having you react by talking about any possible Democratic spending except these things... well, it wasn't lost on me.


I'm not sure how that's ironic at all Joph. I've said many times that I'd love to see dramatic cuts in social security and medicare. At the very least I'd like to see major restructuring of how the money is handled. But that does not mean that I'm going to ignore all other wasteful spending until the GOP (and apparently only the GOP carries this onus) does something about those programs first.


Sorry. That's absurd. Low hanging fruit and all that. Those big programs are so big and so hard to cut or change because they've been around so long that people have become dependent on them. Any changes to them affect a large number of people, so there's always going to be resistance. I don't think there's anything ironic or inconsistent or hypocritical to recognize this and act to avoid creating more programs just like them which will also be incredibly hard to cut or change in the future.

An ounce of prevention and all that...

Edited, May 6th 2010 7:48pm by gbaji
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#21 May 06 2010 at 8:53 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Your argument is pretty transparently designed solely to avoid discussion of spending cuts in the more recently added programs while not adding anything to the debate at all.

Not at all. I'm focusing on the absolute largest parts of the budget. You can eliminate all the health care bill and stimulus and whatever you want and we still won't have any money left over after we factor the Big Three.

So hey, crazy me, I kind of think those Three are a more worthy topic of discussion than crying about the Democrats. You obviously think crying about Democrats is more important. That's a fair choice for you to make but it won't fix the budget.

Quote:
Those big programs are so big and so hard to cut or change because they've been around so long that people have become dependent on them. Any changes to them affect a large number of people, so there's always going to be resistance.

Yeah, hi. Welcome to the point. Glad you could finally make it.
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#22 May 06 2010 at 9:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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You rang?

Screenshot


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#23 May 07 2010 at 12:08 AM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
I've said many times that I'd love to see dramatic cuts in social security and medicare.
And to think the Republicans blame the Democrats for wanting to kill grandma...
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I'm not getting my news from anywhere Joph.
#24 May 07 2010 at 5:43 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Your argument is pretty transparently designed solely to avoid discussion of spending cuts in the more recently added programs while not adding anything to the debate at all.

Not at all. I'm focusing on the absolute largest parts of the budget. You can eliminate all the health care bill and stimulus and whatever you want and we still won't have any money left over after we factor the Big Three.


Lol. Let's not lump social security and medicare in with the same breath as defense. While those three do collectively make up the bulk of the budget, the first two make up the lions share. How about we just look at those two, ok?

You don't want cuts in medicare or social security Joph. You've never argued for it. You've never supported it. Your party doesn't want to do it. And you attack anyone who argues that we should do it. Kinda obvious that the only reason you (and I mean "you" to mean liberals in general) want the GOP to look at those programs first is so that you can attack them for wanting to kill grandma (see post right above this one).


I'm not going to play that game Joph. There is no reason not to look at cutting spending in other areas as well. And it's moronic to tie those choices to whether or not we first tackle the big ones. Some progress is better than no progress.

Quote:
So hey, crazy me, I kind of think those Three are a more worthy topic of discussion than crying about the Democrats. You obviously think crying about Democrats is more important. That's a fair choice for you to make but it won't fix the budget.


Of course you do. But you don't want the Dems to be talking about it, do you? You want the GOP to raise the issue, so your side can attack them. Didn't I just say your argument was transparent?


How about we look at the spending that we can cut and which isn't going to bring down a whole hell of pissed off people?

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Quote:
Those big programs are so big and so hard to cut or change because they've been around so long that people have become dependent on them. Any changes to them affect a large number of people, so there's always going to be resistance.

Yeah, hi. Welcome to the point. Glad you could finally make it.


I got it from the beginning. The "point" is that you want only to have conservatives talk about the stuff that will get the most resistance and not the stuff that will get the least. What part of your obvious ploy did you think wasn't... well... obvious?



Nah. I think we'll stick to talking about the recent spending increases pushed on the American people by those spend-happy Democrats. Yup. I think that's so much more productive. Don't you agree?
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#25 May 08 2010 at 3:42 AM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Quote:
Again, I'm waiting on someone to say how they're going to balance Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security and the military budget because nothing else matters -- we don't have a single penny to spend -- if we don't handle those.


I don't really care about the real issues. I just want to harp on the legislation pushed through by the democrats last year.


Yea, we know. ******* moron.

#26 May 08 2010 at 8:07 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Lol. Let's not lump social security and medicare in with the same breath as defense. While those three do collectively make up the bulk of the budget, the first two make up the lions share. How about we just look at those two, ok?

Those three make up the entirety of the availble budget. I'm sorry if one of your sacred cows is in there but them's the breaks. Let's talk about all three instead of crying about the stuff you don't want to talk about.

But I understand. It's easier to cry about the things that won't make any difference than to examine the hard choices that will make a difference.

Quote:
Kinda obvious that the only reason you (and I mean "you" to mean liberals in general) want the GOP to look at those programs first is so that you can attack them for wanting to kill grandma
[...]
I got it from the beginning. The "point" is that you want only to have conservatives talk about the stuff that will get the most resistance and not the stuff that will get the least

Wow. Obviously you didn't get it. Not even a little bit. I don't think you could have missed it any more since you were too busy playing Li'l Martyr. Well, maybe someday when you grow up and mature a little, you'll re-examine the problem and come at it again. Let me know when that day arrives because I won't be holding my breath.
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