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UK General Election 101Follow

#1 May 05 2010 at 3:41 PM Rating: Excellent
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We have 3 major parties; Conservative ('Tory'), Labour and Liberal Democrat. The Lib Dems haven't been in power since before WWII.

There are a number of other parties that may win a seat here and there - UK Independence Party (right wing, want to leave the Europe Union), The British National Party (anti-immigration *****) and the Green Party (irrelevant fUcking Hippies).

In addition, there are silly ones: The Monster Raving Loony Party (founded by 60's rock musician Screaming Lord Sutch). We even have a Zombie Party (Policies include a Cemetary Improvement Fund to improve the comfort of the undead, and legalising living/undead marriage).


Anywho:

LaboUr: Led by Gordon (no charisma, Mr Angry) Brown. Been in power since '97 and facing flack for the economic downturn and general Ennui of the electorate. Complacent, and still facing flack over the Iraq war.

Conservatives: Led by David (ultra-posh over-privileged toff) Cameron. Most of their policies are re-branded Labour policies, and the rest are mostly aspirational without detail of how they will achieve their aims.

Liberal Democrats: Led by Nick (bland and as posh as Cameron) Clegg. A nobody until the recent Leadership Debates, when, untarnished by any coherent policies, was able to make Brown and Cameron look like squabbling kids.

Under our system, we have 650 Members of Parliament (MPs). Any party that has 326 or more MPs is the new Government and takes over the day after the election.

All the predictions are that no party will get 326 seats, forcing 2 parties to form a coalition (known as a 'hung parliament').

My prediction:

No overall majority - gains for Tories and Lib Dems; heavy losses for Labour.

Tories and Lib Dems will form a coalition, very few decisions will be made, those decisions that are made will be so unpopular, we will have another election in the Autumn, or early next year. Smiley: facepalm



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#2 May 05 2010 at 3:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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It would force a coalition? You can't just run a minority govt? Doesn't the party with the most seats form the government regardless of weather they have a coalition? Obv a coalition is very helpful in actually doing things.

Edited, May 5th 2010 4:49pm by Xsarus
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#3 May 05 2010 at 3:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
It would force a coalition? You can't just run a minority govt? Doesn't the party with the most seats form the government regardless of weather they have a coalition? Obv a coalition is very helpful in actually doing things.



If they have fewer than 326 seats, they can only form a Gubb'mint if the other parties agree.

Historically, in the UK, coalitions have caused planning blight. Without a large majority, acts of parliament get diluted to the point of being meaningless, and the wheels grind mighty slow.

As Stephen Fry once witticised: "Compromise - stalling between two fools" Smiley: um
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#4 May 05 2010 at 3:58 PM Rating: Good
Lord Nobby wrote:
Historically, in the UK, coalitions have caused planning blight. Without a large majority, acts of parliament get diluted to the point of being meaningless, and the wheels grind mighty slow.


Deja vu.
#5 May 05 2010 at 4:11 PM Rating: Good
I'm memorising the national anthem so I can sing it ironically every time the conservatives do something stupid.

I'm also purchasing a bulk supply of throat sweets.
#6 May 05 2010 at 4:23 PM Rating: Good
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Lord Nobby wrote:
If they have fewer than 326 seats, they can only form a Gubb'mint if the other parties agree.
Doesn't the biggest party assume confidence though? You'd have to have an actual no confidence vote to get them out? (or vote down a bill that qualifies)

Edited, May 5th 2010 5:25pm by Xsarus
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#7 May 05 2010 at 4:28 PM Rating: Good
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
Lord Nobby wrote:
If they have fewer than 326 seats, they can only form a Gubb'mint if the other parties agree.
Doesn't the biggest party assume confidence though? You'd have to have an actual no confidence vote to get them out? (or vote down a bill that qualifies)

Edited, May 5th 2010 5:25pm by Xsarus
No
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#8 May 05 2010 at 5:34 PM Rating: Good
I don't think there's any possible chance on god's green earth we'll get tory lib-dem coalition. And yes, you can quote me on that later when I get proved wrong. I'm getting the feeling we'll get a tiny tory/ulster unionist majority, and some more elections in the next year.
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#9 May 05 2010 at 6:03 PM Rating: Good
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Lord Nobby wrote:
Tories and Lib Dems will form a coalition, very few decisions will be made, those decisions that are made will be so unpopular, we will have another election in the Autumn, or early next year. Smiley: facepalm

You can have elections at irregular intervals? Who decides it?

#10 May 05 2010 at 6:38 PM Rating: Decent
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Lord Nobby wrote:
Sir Xsarus wrote:
Lord Nobby wrote:
If they have fewer than 326 seats, they can only form a Gubb'mint if the other parties agree.
Doesn't the biggest party assume confidence though? You'd have to have an actual no confidence vote to get them out? (or vote down a bill that qualifies)

Edited, May 5th 2010 5:25pm by Xsarus
No


Canada has been running a minority gov't for how many years now and it's this weird environment of fail, which I am sure the British have mocked at some point. But honestly its this wierd kind of voter apathy where we realize they all fail but won't allow us to have a "none of the above" option on the ballot so we don't give any of them majority power. However it's painful to watch because even after years of this paradigm they still aren't catching on.
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#11 May 05 2010 at 7:02 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
Lord Nobby wrote:
If they have fewer than 326 seats, they can only form a Gubb'mint if the other parties agree.
Doesn't the biggest party assume confidence though? You'd have to have an actual no confidence vote to get them out? (or vote down a bill that qualifies)


Er. Just winging it here cause I don't feel like looking up the specifics in the UK, but the normal method for that type of system is that the MPs elect a prime minister who assumes the head executive role for the government. That requires a majority vote. Obviously, if one party has a majority of seats, they simply elect their guy as PM and are done. If no party does, you have to form a coalition and agree on who's guy will be the PM.

Depending on the country there are different rules for how coalitions are formed, how they can be broken, and whatnot. The whole "vote of no confidence" stems from those rules. In a coalition, if a party in the coalition decides they don't like the job being done, they can bow out, effectively removing the majority needed to hold the Prime Minister position and forcing some elections to come up with a new one.

Regardless of the specifics in any given country, a coalition government is always going to be weaker than a single party government. It's often going to get mired down in intra-party issues and have to constantly work to avoid tipping over the apple cart while trying to still get stuff done. I was going to comment on how an electoral college system would fix that right up, but then again, having a government that doesn't get anything done might be the most brilliant innovation ever!
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#12 May 05 2010 at 7:23 PM Rating: Good
I predict something incredibly stupid will happen, and you'll get a coalition of the Tories and all the tiny parties. The PM will be an complete cunt.
#13 May 06 2010 at 7:01 AM Rating: Good
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@Gbaji I live in Canada. I was just trying to figure out the differences between the two systems seeing as they're both Westminster, and which ones were custom and which ones were actual rules.

Edited, May 6th 2010 8:01am by Xsarus
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#14 May 06 2010 at 7:04 AM Rating: Good
trickybeck wrote:
Lord Nobby wrote:
Tories and Lib Dems will form a coalition, very few decisions will be made, those decisions that are made will be so unpopular, we will have another election in the Autumn, or early next year. Smiley: facepalm

You can have elections at irregular intervals? Who decides it?

The queen (or king). As far as I can tell, the monarch will rarely do it unless it is asked for by the PM, or a no confidence vote.
#15 May 06 2010 at 8:29 AM Rating: Good
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I *think* gbaji is substantially correct. If it's like in Australia, going into any election, the Head of any party will automatically become Prime Minister (Head of the Executive) if that party wins. So the Prime Minister has to win his/her seat in parliament in order to get into the Executive. The same for all the Executive Ministers of the Cabinet. They each have a parliamentary seat that they represent the voters of, as well as their executive job. Ministers of the Cabinet correspond to US Secretaries, I think.

Opposition parties that aren't in power all have "Shadow Ministers". That is, they have a member of parliament whose job it is is to scrutinise and criticise the job of one of the Ministers. For example, if the Liberals are in power, and have a Minister of Education, then one of the Labour Members of Parliament will be the "Shadow Minister of Education", and s/he will question and criticise the Minister of Education's policies in Parliament, and make public alternative Education policies, that will allow the public to decide if they prefer Labour policy on Education during the next election.

In Australia Lower House hung parliaments that result in coalition governments are usually quite functional in the Lower house. Stalling, immobility, and watering down usually happens from the Upper House shredding bills that the Lower House sends to be passed by the Upper.

We do have a mechanism to circumvent that. If the Upper House won't pass Supply legislation, then the government, via the technicality of the Governor-General, can dissolve the government and call an early "Double Dissolution" election when ALL Lower and Upper House seats are contested. (Usually only half the senate seats are put to the vote during each normal general election.) In practice, for whatever reason, Double Dissolution elections are rarely called, even when the Upper House has given the government a legal reason to trigger one.

#16 May 06 2010 at 8:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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Damn. Now I really want to be a shadow minister.

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#17 May 06 2010 at 11:42 AM Rating: Decent
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Aripyanfar wrote:
I *think* gbaji is substantially correct. If it's like in Australia, going into any election, the Head of any party will automatically become Prime Minister (Head of the Executive) if that party wins. So the Prime Minister has to win his/her seat in parliament in order to get into the Executive. The same for all the Executive Ministers of the Cabinet. They each have a parliamentary seat that they represent the voters of, as well as their executive job. Ministers of the Cabinet correspond to US Secretaries, I think.



Well, strictly speaking in the UK the PM doesn't have to be an MP, so long as whoever is the PM can command a majority in the Commons it doesn't matter who he is. In practice though you're right the head of the largest (and hopefully majority) party is automatically the person who commands that majority so he becomes the PM as it would be virtually impossible for a party/group of parties to agree upon someone else, neither would the country at large accept such a decision I'd expect.

As for the cabinet there's no absolute need for a minister to hold a parliamentary seat, though I believe there are rules on the number of non-MP's a cabinet can have.

Aripyanfar wrote:

We do have a mechanism to circumvent that. If the Upper House won't pass Supply legislation, then the government, via the technicality of the Governor-General, can dissolve the government and call an early "Double Dissolution" election when ALL Lower and Upper House seats are contested. (Usually only half the senate seats are put to the vote during each normal general election.) In practice, for whatever reason, Double Dissolution elections are rarely called, even when the Upper House has given the government a legal reason to trigger one.


We don't have an elected upper house so tomorrow's election is not going to change the balance of power there - at least not immediately, however the lower house in the UK has the power to [eventually] overrule the upper house if the bill etc has passed a vote in the Commons using the Parliament Act. Of course a theoretical minority government couldn't do this as they'd not get the vote passed without members of other parties voting in favour in the first place but it will be interesting to see how the Lords vote with a coalition government in the Commons.
#18 May 06 2010 at 2:45 PM Rating: Good
What if there is no majority and no possible coalition?

Let's say Tory has 310 seats, Labour has 300 and Lib-Dem has 26. The remaining 24 are scattered amongst minor parties.

Can Labour and the Lib-Dems form a government if the Torries cannot get to 326? Or would there be a re-vote? Or does the Queen just assume total power :)

#19 May 06 2010 at 3:14 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
What if there is no majority and no possible coalition?

Let's say Tory has 310 seats, Labour has 300 and Lib-Dem has 26. The remaining 24 are scattered amongst minor parties.

Can Labour and the Lib-Dems form a government if the Torries cannot get to 326? Or would there be a re-vote? Or does the Queen just assume total power :)



Are you asking two questions or one? You said if no coalition was possible then asked if Labour and Lib Dem could form a government. So instead I'll answer the question I think you're asking: There's no reason the largest party has to be involved in the coalition so yes Labour and Lib Dem could form a coalition using your example. In fact under the rules - well what rules there are - the current party of government will have the first chance, as it were, to form a coalition. However if you were the Lib Dem leader then you might feel morally obliged to ignore the chance of a coalition with the Labour party if the Conservative were a bigger party.

As a coalition they'd then hold a majority even if neither party was the biggest party by seats won. Also, probably worth noting is that although the Lib Dems won't hold many seats (though considerably more than you're using for your example) the coalition of say Labour and Lib Dem would hold a significant share of the popular vote, potentially 60%.

We shall see I guess.

Edited, May 6th 2010 5:25pm by Xeddox
#20 May 06 2010 at 4:14 PM Rating: Good
Samira wrote:
Damn. Now I really want to be a shadow minister.


It sounds rather sinister, doesn't it?
#21 May 06 2010 at 4:24 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Samira wrote:
Damn. Now I really want to be a shadow minister.


It sounds rather sinister, doesn't it?


I can't decide whether I want to administer from the shadows, or minister to them.

Could do both, I suppose.

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#22 May 06 2010 at 4:38 PM Rating: Good
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Ooh this could be interesting.

First time I've had to stand in a long queue to cast my vote. Polling Stations close at 10pm.

Some still had long queues at 10pm but the folks in charge have been inconsistent.

Some took the view (rightly IMHO) that providing voters were present before 10pm, they could cast their vote.

Others stopped allowing votes at 10pm and turned away those standing in line. Disgraceful. Smiley: mad

I foresee legal challenges and reruns of the election in a few weeks.

On votes cast, I have a horrible feeling the Tories may have a majority. Smiley: facepalm
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#23 May 06 2010 at 4:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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Samira wrote:
Damn. Now I really want to be a shadow minister.


This. It looks great on a resume too.


Resume wrote:
2010-2014 Shadow Minister of the Treasury
Employer: The Austrailian Shadow Cabinet
Duties
- Helped the Leader of the Opposition to regain power
- Protected the shadow treasure from the Tories
- Exposed graft and corruption that would lend strength to my foes
- Destroyed the careers of thine enemies
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#24 May 06 2010 at 5:40 PM Rating: Excellent
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Don't forget:

Quote:

Attended to the petty whims of my Dark Master
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More words please
#25 May 06 2010 at 6:06 PM Rating: Decent
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Lord Nobby wrote:


Some took the view (rightly IMHO) that providing voters were present before 10pm, they could cast their vote.

Others stopped allowing votes at 10pm and turned away those standing in line. Disgraceful. Smiley: mad



If they issued ballot papers after 10pm they broke the law, that much is simple, whether you were stood in the queue or not. The issue will be fun to watch though if only because any legal issues raised will also have to take into account those who allowed people to vote late. The question is will a court force an election in a constituency where the rules for that election were followed?

There has to be a consistent time for the polling stations to close, even if that's made later for future elections, no one should be allowed to vote once any ballot box has been opened, so while I feel sorry for these people, especially as looking at some of the stories they arrived in plenty of time (an hour in some cases) before polling closed, allowing some polling stations to take votes beyond 10pm when others have already closed isn't a fair system.

I can see some reform of the system, but I'm not seeing a huge amount of by-elections as some of the papers are already predicting this morning, simply because the rules were followed. Maybe if the MP feels the need to resign in protest to force a rerun but otherwise no, at least not on a wholesale basis, maybe if a court feels the result would have been significantly altered then perhaps but that's hard to measure. I suspect the people who know the answer are the candidates who lose in those areas affected. I'll watch with interest.

Although for once I agree with Mandelson:

Quote:
Business Secretary Lord Mandelson acknowledged on BBC News that the situation could lead to legal challenges. “What the returning officers should have done is brought everyone in and locked the door.”




Edited, May 6th 2010 8:15pm by Xeddox
#26 May 06 2010 at 6:37 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Don't forget:

Quote:

Attended to the petty whims of my Dark Master


Naww, that's the job of the Shadow council staffers and Pol-Sci interns.
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