yossarian wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Capitalism is the system people will choose unless they are forced by some authoritarian mechanism to use something else.
I'd say socialism is a more appropriate term here.
Ah. Semantic confusion. I mean "people" as in "individuals acting independently". You mean "people" as in "group acting uniformly". Completely changes the meaning.
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No first world nation outside the US has voted to allow capitalism to govern health care or education, for example.
And I don't see some "authoritarian system" forcing us all to move that way, but I am not drinking right wing kool-aide. I don't doubt they see some monster moving us that way against our will, perhaps government.
You don't? You have a weak grasp of history if you don't get that people can vote for authoritarian systems, sometimes with disastrous results. Your own statement supports my assertion. People don't have to vote to pass laws to use capitalism as an economic system. They simply each choose on their own to use it. The people have to be talked into voting to give government the power to enforce other economic systems (or not have the right to vote in the first place).
That should be your first clue that one is "natural" and the other requires government intervention. How or why that intervention occurs is not the point. When "the people" vote in a law which mandates that everyone must buy health care or pay a fine, the majority may have supported it (although they didn't in this case, but we can ignore that), but the individuals affected would not choose to do so on their own. This is somewhat axiomatic in that if they would have chosen to buy health care on their own we wouldn't have needed to pass a law.
Don't get caught up in assuming that a democratic system of government changes the nature of the authority the government wields over the citizens that are governed.
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gbaji wrote:
If you have to use massive amounts of government rules to force the people to adopt a given economic system, it really ought to dawn on you at some point that maybe what you're doing isn't really the best thing to do.
Um...we voted in those rules.
Oops! Too late. You made that assumption, didn't you?
People can vote to give government authoritarian power over them. Insisting that because "we voted" it somehow changes the fact that this is increased government authority is a silly distinction.
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And we're about to vote in vastly more.
Yes. See my statement earlier about people voting for things which hurt them in the long run.
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And these complex rules governing complex financial instruments will make the system more stable.
No. They wont. Never in the history of the world have complex rules imposed on economic systems made them more stable. Ever. They always produce new problems, usually escalating in severity until things are worse than they were when you started. This happened in the 30s with the Great Depression. It happened again in the 70s to a lesser degree. Interestingly enough, despite all the hoopla made about failures in free market systems run amok, the damage, severity, and duration of relatively free market crashes are minimal in comparison to those made by well meaning governments trying to prevent or minimize some economic harm they perceive.
All the things the government is doing right now to "fix" the economy and improve things for us all will have negative impacts on the economy as a whole. We can't predict exactly what they will be, but it's pretty obvious they will occur. The obvious is the massive debt we're racking up, which will have to be paid. What is less obvious is the reaction of markets as a response to the health care legislation, and the various stimulus bills, and to the financial reform bill if it passes. This is because when government changes the rules, the players change how they play. And it's nearly impossible for those in the government, no matter how smart they think they are, to predict all of the possible reactions which might result from their actions, much less be able to get "good" choices through the legislative processes.
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gbaji wrote:
I'm sure it'll also fail to mention that since no one's yet figured out how to avoid said periodic failures that anyone claiming they can do so via government action is almost certainly lying to you and has another agenda at work.
There were regularly depressions before modern regulation. It is vastly smoother now:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States
Oh no the latest decline was 4% of GDP...ya check history: it used to be 20% declines 1-2 times per decade within virtually every decade since records began until FDR.
Did you read the link?
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These downturns are driven by changes in the government's regulatory, fiscal, trade and monetary policies.
You're also failing to see that the tables list different values. That's not GDP loss, it's "business activity". You can't just compare those numbers directly. Also, if we look at that list, what we see is that the pattern of recessions coincides with government activities. And if you really pay attention, you'll see that in many cases, several "close" recessions are really part of a longer pattern of government action, reaction, reaction to that reaction, etc...
Look. I'm not some raving libertarian on this. I tend to support modest fiscal and financial regulation and controls. I don't have a problem with the Fed and I agree that their work adjusting rates tends to smooth things out. Those are not the issues at hand though, and they historically have had minor effects (both positive and negative as you can see from the list). The larger effects are driven by government spending and taxing. Those create ripples in our economy. Social spending, and regulation designed not to prevent economic problems, but rather to support some other political agenda also tend to have negative effects. So health care, energy policy, housing policy, immigration policy, and many many others all have an impact on our economy.
It's not so much about government modifying rates (and that's technically the Fed anyway). It's about government passing laws and regulations which mandate what products must be bought and sold, and for how much, that cause massive economic problems. That's the point at which it ceases to be a free market, and becomes some combination of socialism and communism. And those systems simply do not have the same objectives as capitalism does. And IMO, their objectives are not good ones.
Edited, Apr 29th 2010 7:13pm by gbaji