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Mind Over MoneyFollow

#1 Apr 27 2010 at 6:39 AM Rating: Good
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Just an FYI,

Nova is airing a new episode tonight called Mind Over Money.

Nova wrote:
Using analysis and experiment, this film explores why economists failed to predict the 2008 crash and why we so often make irrational financial decisions.


I thought it looked interesting and will try and watch it. You'll be able to watch it online after tomorrow.
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#2 Apr 27 2010 at 5:39 PM Rating: Decent
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Based on the title and that it's being produced on PBS, I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that their answer wont include "Because a cushy relationship between politicians and Fannie/Freddie resulted in the investors being lied to about the value of mortgage securities while the government provided cover". Can I just assume it'll spent the entire show talking about the psychology of greed and how it makes people make bad long term decisions?


It must be ridiculously easy to be a writer for PBS.
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#3 Apr 27 2010 at 5:47 PM Rating: Default
I'll go out on a limb and say they actually looked into it and then wrote up the results according to reality. Thus I agree with gbaji that it is easy to do the writing part :)

And I'll add that gbaji, as usual, posts his fantasies not reality. It has been discussed at length how the government programs were more conservative then the high risk private corporations and how the political leadership drove them to more corporate models over the objections of career employees.

But please continue! The asslyum won't be the same without it.
#4 Apr 27 2010 at 6:18 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
And I'll add that gbaji, as usual, posts his fantasies not reality. It has been discussed at length how the government programs were more conservative then the high risk private corporations and how the political leadership drove them to more corporate models over the objections of career employees.


"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack. Government programs and the obligations they placed on the financial industry was at the heart of the financial problems. It's really simple. Remove Fannie and Freddie from the equation, and the sub prime loan debacle doesn't happen. Remove that, and there's no financial crisis.

Outside of vaguely stated claims about financial practices, do you have any rational explanation for how all those financial corporations suddenly lost a ton of money at the same time?
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#5 Apr 27 2010 at 6:24 PM Rating: Default
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gbaji wrote:


do you have any rational explanation for how all those financial corporations suddenly lost a ton of money at the same time?


You already answered thatfor yourself here

.
gbaji wrote:

Can I just assume it'll spent the entire show talking about the psychology of greed and how it makes people make bad long term decisions?




Edited, Apr 28th 2010 12:27am by paulsol
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#6 Apr 27 2010 at 6:27 PM Rating: Decent
Quote:
"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack.


No matter how awful those PBS guys may be, at least they don't do **** like this.
#7 Apr 27 2010 at 6:38 PM Rating: Decent
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paulsol wrote:
You already answered thatfor yourself here

gbaji wrote:

Can I just assume it'll spent the entire show talking about the psychology of greed and how it makes people make bad long term decisions?


Really? So what specific act of greed caused this to happen? Were they more greedy than they were between 1990 and 2000? Did they use different tools? Greed is a component of any free market. Without the desire to make more money, those with wealth would not invest it, and a whole lot of things that benefit us all wouldn't exist. While I'm not surprised that the geniuses at PBS would arrive at this childishly simplistic answer, it's woefully inadequate to explain the conditions which lead to the latest economic crisis.

That's like saying that someone fell down the stairs because of gravity. Sure. It's a component, but maybe we should look to see if they tripped, or were pushed, and otherwise attempt to determine what specifically caused them to fall down those stairs at that moment. In the case of the market, there were a specific set of conditions created by a combination of government actions, which caused the desire of investors to earn more money to result in a negative long term effect rather than a positive one. It's somewhat absurd to sit around ignoring those factors and just blaming "greed".
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#8 Apr 27 2010 at 6:40 PM Rating: Decent
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Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Quote:
"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack.


No matter how awful those PBS guys may be, at least they don't do sh*t like this.


Then answer the question? Who's discussed this at length to the point where some feel there's no need for any debate? Is this like arguing that global warming is "settled science"? That worked out so well...
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#9 Apr 27 2010 at 6:51 PM Rating: Default
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gbaji wrote:


kasdflabsfljd v jlad lhvwen r.mdbv;KD .M KWEFK .K .kWei>m<n C.M SDGVAKN M >mSDNBFK.WE TQ,N .KXDCV.,A KJABSD.KVC .KQRFGBQK.KN T.MQWENTB.KJBVMN /,BNHKLJ[AOOSDFL;13I45P1BF,aSUctyLHB ER.MQ3N4TB.M,N /A,DFNGV;Abq,3mw rt/ln'S;oj;JLBR/KQMENF[P98VHo liP938Y54UG QO8RYBO1bosdfvb wlke4j5u6yjn ,cmnvbp9867dcfmnb54.wkn m 45tyluioySD<>nkbl.knb rt,mn 3.mjb.x,mcvn b;lsduiyfgb0pzcu9vyb pijbs.rtkjy.v .gb;h;jn.dfkymn;eklhpodfgibh-p9s8f6953569sdrtyjhlpdfoisuhrlkjtywihoiufyv09perth;2o4typ8fygwlij34h5l;2uhli;fgyq0675iuhilfdghoqwier5ih2litjh

mb kef kquwegfo8bzxjkchvoau7y08e561qjhk r1345rvb1kluyt90afqkl35go87tak,a jytrkuqghor8toq35gqjh b138o718ughqoajhbvlkuujygqowe4rlhbalhgJ LIUWERO IGhegopilkjhboigboihbawem r asdlfigbpiub q.wekb;iuhpasdiufhp;ibvc




Now it might be me, but most of your posts are starting to look like this.

I suggest a (short) course in brevity for the benefit of those of us who have short attention spans.
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#10 Apr 27 2010 at 6:53 PM Rating: Default
Edited by bsphil
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paulsol wrote:
gbaji wrote:


kasdflabsfljd v jlad lhvwen r.mdbv;KD .M KWEFK .K .kWei>m<n C.M SDGVAKN M >mSDNBFK.WE TQ,N .KXDCV.,A KJABSD.KVC .KQRFGBQK.KN T.MQWENTB.KJBVMN /,BNHKLJ[AOOSDFL;13I45P1BF,aSUctyLHB ER.MQ3N4TB.M,N /A,DFNGV;Abq,3mw rt/ln'S;oj;JLBR/KQMENF[P98VHo liP938Y54UG QO8RYBO1bosdfvb wlke4j5u6yjn ,cmnvbp9867dcfmnb54.wkn m 45tyluioySD<>nkbl.knb rt,mn 3.mjb.x,mcvn b;lsduiyfgb0pzcu9vyb pijbs.rtkjy.v .gb;h;jn.dfkymn;eklhpodfgibh-p9s8f6953569sdrtyjhlpdfoisuhrlkjtywihoiufyv09perth;2o4typ8fygwlij34h5l;2uhli;fgyq0675iuhilfdghoqwier5ih2litjh

mb kef kquwegfo8bzxjkchvoau7y08e561qjhk r1345rvb1kluyt90afqkl35go87tak,a jytrkuqghor8toq35gqjh b138o718ughqoajhbvlkuujygqowe4rlhbalhgJ LIUWERO IGhegopilkjhboigboihbawem r asdlfigbpiub q.wekb;iuhpasdiufhp;ibvc




Now it might be me, but most of your posts are starting to look like this.

I suggest a (short) course in brevity for the benefit of those of us who have short attention spans.
It takes time and effort to create a false reality in which gbaji's points make sense.
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#11 Apr 27 2010 at 7:16 PM Rating: Excellent
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You guys are so desperate to avoid facing reality that you're complaining about having to read two freaking paragraphs? That's funny!

But apparently, you'll spend a couple hours watching some indoctrination video on PBS. Lol...
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#12 Apr 27 2010 at 7:19 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Quote:
"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack.


No matter how awful those PBS guys may be, at least they don't do sh*t like this.


Then answer the question? Who's discussed this at length to the point where some feel there's no need for any debate? Is this like arguing that global warming is "settled science"? That worked out so well...


"Seriously. Lay off the crack." is what I was referring to, you fool.
#13 Apr 27 2010 at 7:33 PM Rating: Decent
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Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Quote:
"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack.


No matter how awful those PBS guys may be, at least they don't do sh*t like this.


Then answer the question? Who's discussed this at length to the point where some feel there's no need for any debate? Is this like arguing that global warming is "settled science"? That worked out so well...


"Seriously. Lay off the crack." is what I was referring to, you fool.


So you're saying that the guys at PBS don't lay off the crack? We're in agreement!
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#14 Apr 27 2010 at 7:37 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
You guys are so desperate to avoid facing reality that you're complaining about having to read two freaking paragraphs? That's funny!

But apparently, you'll spend a couple hours watching some indoctrination video on PBS. Lol...


I watch far less than 2 hours of TV a month.
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"If you have selfish, ignorant citizens, you're gonna get selfish, ignorant leaders". Carlin.

#15 Apr 27 2010 at 7:43 PM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Quote:
"Discussed at length" by whom? The same guys doing the PBS show? Seriously. Lay off the crack.


No matter how awful those PBS guys may be, at least they don't do sh*t like this.


Then answer the question? Who's discussed this at length to the point where some feel there's no need for any debate? Is this like arguing that global warming is "settled science"? That worked out so well...


"Seriously. Lay off the crack." is what I was referring to, you fool.


So you're saying that the guys at PBS don't lay off the crack? We're in agreement!


No, and I assume even you realise this now, I'm saying that you're illiterate.
#16 Apr 27 2010 at 8:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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Sorry. I thought "lay off the crack" was a perfectly appropriate response to someone making an absolutely ridiculous and unsubstantiated claim. But maybe in your world it is somehow related to literacy? Strange leap of logic, but maybe it's just the crack talkin!
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#17 Apr 27 2010 at 8:18 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Sorry. I thought "lay off the crack" was a perfectly appropriate response to someone making an absolutely ridiculous and unsubstantiated claim. But maybe in your world it is somehow related to literacy? Strange leap of logic, but maybe it's just the crack talkin!


What? Like the absolutely ridiculous and unsubstantiated assumption that you made in your first post concerning a show on the TV that you havn't actually even seen yet?

God, I'm bored at work today. What I really need is an unemployed single mother, preferably overweight with diabetes, stinking of smoke, pies and fizzy drinks, with no pre-natal care whatsoever, to suddenly come charging thru the door with a blue baby hanging half out of her snatch, screaming her head off and squirting blood all over the place.....

Oh, wait. that was last week.
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#18 Apr 27 2010 at 8:23 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
It's really simple. Remove Fannie and Freddie from the equation, and the sub prime loan debacle doesn't happen. Remove that, and there's no financial crisis.


You forgot to mention the credit default swaps which were the actual reason for the financial crisis. And the private companies that gave AAA ratings to risky CDOs. And the over-leveraging of the financial institutions.
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#19 Apr 27 2010 at 8:32 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
Sorry. I thought "lay off the crack" was a perfectly appropriate response to someone making an absolutely ridiculous and unsubstantiated claim. But maybe in your world it is somehow related to literacy? Strange leap of logic, but maybe it's just the crack talkin!


It's your use of a full stop after "seriously" that I find objectionable, you syphilitic wastrel.
#20 Apr 27 2010 at 10:20 PM Rating: Good
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I forgot to watch it, so no comment on it's content or it's foreshadowed slant. Gbaji, why so distrustful of science?
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#21 Apr 28 2010 at 10:07 AM Rating: Good
Here is what Greenspan said about the whole mess:

http://fcic.gov/hearings/pdfs/2010-0407-Greenspan.pdf

I encourage anyone interested to read the first 7 and a half pages where he details the causes of the crisis. gbaji will be happy as he lays heavy blame on US government backed mortgage companies (Freddie/Fannie).

However, you should know Greenspan is the strongest (credible) voice in favor of libertarian economic theory we have had in recent years. This is a man with a definite political agenda from the right. Nonetheless, largely I feel this is a fair assessment of the crisis.

And I am certain this, and any other credible source, will totally dissuade anyone from agreeing with anything remotely related to the right wing conspiracy theories which have been advanced here.

#22 Apr 28 2010 at 10:34 AM Rating: Excellent
yossarian wrote:
I encourage anyone interested to read the first 7 and a half pages where he details the causes of the crisis. gbaji will be happy as he lays heavy blame on US government backed mortgage companies (Freddie/Fannie).

I like how he conveniently leaves out the fact that several high ranking members of congress threatened the banks with investigation & increased regulation should they not lower their lending practices. He finds a nice scapegoat in investor demand for the CDOs. He also mischaracterizes the rationale behind the GSEs' indiscriminate purchase of sub-prime debt. They were instructed to do so by those same members of congress who, in addition, continued to downplay the risk all the while.
yossarian wrote:
And I am certain this, and any other credible source, will totally dissuade anyone from agreeing with anything remotely related to the right wing conspiracy theories which have been advanced here.

Allan Greenspan is still worried about his legacy and the power of people still in power to alter how it's written.
#23 Apr 28 2010 at 11:11 AM Rating: Good
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:

Allan Greenspan is still worried about his legacy and the power of people still in power to alter how it's written.


Oh yes exactly. Although he admits his entire philosophy was shaken by the events, he is still a poster boy for right wing economics.

By the way, I actually watched a good portion of the documentary. And I'll say I'm right since they clearly present both sides of what they call the rational economists versus the behavioral economists:

"they actually looked into it and then wrote up the results according to reality"

and gbaji was totally wrong when he wrote:

"Can I just assume it'll spent the entire show talking about the psychology of greed and how it makes people make bad long term decisions? "

It's Nova. It is perhaps the best science on television.
#24 Apr 28 2010 at 11:17 AM Rating: Good
I didn't see the documentary, so I can't say for sure, but I have always enjoyed Nova and never found it to be outlandishly out of touch (I've never seen anything they've done on climate science so I can't assess their presentation of that).

I had previously read Greenspan's testimony & his statement, however, and it alone has been most responsible for me losing any shred of respect for him that I had left.
#25 Apr 28 2010 at 11:18 AM Rating: Decent
yossi,

Quote:
gbaji will be happy as he lays heavy blame on US government backed mortgage companies (Freddie/Fannie).


Not just the US govn but Democrats in the US govn.
#26 Apr 28 2010 at 3:27 PM Rating: Decent
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PunkFloyd, King of Bards wrote:
gbaji wrote:
It's really simple. Remove Fannie and Freddie from the equation, and the sub prime loan debacle doesn't happen. Remove that, and there's no financial crisis.


You forgot to mention the credit default swaps which were the actual reason for the financial crisis. And the private companies that gave AAA ratings to risky CDOs. And the over-leveraging of the financial institutions.


Credit Default Swaps had nothing to do with the cause of the financial crisis. They are an investment technique, nothing more. It's like saying that it wasn't the failed breaks that caused the crash, but the fact that the car had wheels, allowing it to continue rolling after the breaks failed that did. It's absurd.

Regardless of financial tools in play, the crisis occurred because one day mortgage securities were worth one amount of money, and the next day they were worth a whole hell of a lot less. The drop was so sudden and so complete, that the value of those securities for a period of time was effectively zero (if no one will buy them, they are worthless for that period of time). This created a drop in liquidity for the financial industry, which trickled down through the entire economy.

That sudden drop was caused because over a period of nearly 10 years, a combination of FHA programs and actions by the GSEs Fannie and Freddie had caused the ratio of sub-prime loans bundled in those securities to rise from about 5%, to over 25%, but had managed to keep this information concealed from the financial institutions who were investing in them. Not only did they hide this information, but when the GOP attempted to investigate the matter the CEO of Fannie Mae lied blatantly, insisting that mortgage securities were completely safe while testifying to Congress.


That's why the financial crisis occurred. All the financial tools and techniques used are irrelevant. They work just fine as long as the perceived value of a traded commodity is reasonably accurate and doesn't change too fast for the market to react. A sudden drop in a major asset like mortgage securities can only occur if some agency is hiding something about the asset itself. Which is precisely what was happening. Surprise!
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