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I guess this ends the gun debate once and for allFollow

#227 Apr 06 2010 at 8:17 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
Ya, to the best of our knowledge, this gun is 43 times more likely to kill you then save you from some criminal. But, still knowing that be our guest :)


I'm still curious what source Yossarian has for this ridiculous claim. I know it comes from a thoroughly debunked study (Kellerman), I'm just curious if Yossarian knows that his vaunted "peer reviewed study" is bunk (and the claim to "peer review" is questionable as well, since he didn't allow most of his peers to actually review his data for almost a decade after he published it).

Edited, Apr 6th 2010 7:20pm by gbaji
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#228 Apr 08 2010 at 9:57 AM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
yossarian wrote:
Ya, to the best of our knowledge, this gun is 43 times more likely to kill you then save you from some criminal. But, still knowing that be our guest :)


I'm still curious what source Yossarian has for this ridiculous claim. I know it comes from a thoroughly debunked study (Kellerman), I'm just curious if Yossarian knows that his vaunted "peer reviewed study" is bunk (and the claim to "peer review" is questionable as well, since he didn't allow most of his peers to actually review his data for almost a decade after he published it).

Edited, Apr 6th 2010 7:20pm by gbaji


It is in the link I posted above, which by quoting I assumed you had read.

"In fact, guns kept in the home are 43 times more likely to be used to kill someone known to the family than to be used to kill in self-defense.[53]"

So my initial quote above was slightly wrong - instead of saving your life it is taking the life of another in self defense. The former is vastly harder to measure since we don't know what would have happened had the gun owner not employed the gun at all.

ref 53 is:

Kellermann AL, Reay DT Protection or peril? An analysis of firearm-related deaths in the home. N Engl J Med 1986; 314:1557-1560 [Abstract]

Thank you for posting some data to support your position. However, this does not address your prior claims that every time you look, looser gun control laws reduce crime (I'm paraphrasing).

I'm curious if you have NO data to support this or are abandoning that position in favor of this new one.

In regards to the link gbaji posted, that is the study is so misleading that the link I provided singles it out for refutation:

The widely publicized estimates of the number of defensive gun uses in the millions each year are not credible.51

With ref. 51 which I will link here:

http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.81.8588&rep=rep1&type=pdf

In short, that is why I qualified my reply with "To the best of our knowledge". It could be off substantially. Nonetheless, I read many articles, not from pro- or anti- gun sites, and post the best info here.
#229 Apr 08 2010 at 10:30 AM Rating: Excellent
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I'm still curious what source Gbaji has for this specific claim:
Quote:
Here's the thing. Crime rates decline in virtually every single case, regardless of other factors. Urban areas? Decrease. Rural areas? Decrease. Different ethnic makeup? Decrease. Southern states? Decrease. Northern states? Decrease. Tornado areas? Decrease. Hurricane areas? Decrease. Bible belt? Decrease. Non bible belt? Decrease. High drug use? Decrease. Low drug use? Decrease.


Not a general "Guns lower crime!" cite since that could be averaging higher rates in one area against substantially lower rates in another but something that specifically addresses Gbaji's claim.


I'm kidding. I know for a fact that he has no such thing.
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#230 Apr 08 2010 at 10:31 AM Rating: Decent
Tulip,

Quote:
Somewhat on topic, Tennessee has just passed a law that makes it illegal for law enforcement officials to destroy confiscated guns


You know we passed this just to p*ss off liberal twats like yourself right?



Guns are legal. If the police want to sell these guns to raise revenue I say go for it. Better that way than more traffic light cameras tickets.





Edited, Apr 8th 2010 12:31pm by knoxxsouthy
#231 Apr 08 2010 at 12:06 PM Rating: Good
knoxxsouthy wrote:
Tulip,

Quote:
Somewhat on topic, Tennessee has just passed a law that makes it illegal for law enforcement officials to destroy confiscated guns


You know we passed this just to p*ss off liberal twats like yourself right?



Guns are legal. If the police want to sell these guns to raise revenue I say go for it. Better that way than more traffic light cameras tickets.


Oddly enough, I wasn't "pissed off," just confused. Before this law was passed, the police could choose whether they wanted to sell or destroy confiscated guns. All this law did was take away their freedom to choose what to do with these guns.

I would think that, seeing as how you never want to limit liberties, you'd think that we should continue to allow them to destroy them where they feel it's necessary.
#232 Apr 08 2010 at 12:10 PM Rating: Good
Belkira the Tulip wrote:
knoxxsouthy wrote:
Tulip,

Quote:
Somewhat on topic, Tennessee has just passed a law that makes it illegal for law enforcement officials to destroy confiscated guns


You know we passed this just to p*ss off liberal twats like yourself right?



Guns are legal. If the police want to sell these guns to raise revenue I say go for it. Better that way than more traffic light cameras tickets.


Oddly enough, I wasn't "pissed off," just confused. Before this law was passed, the police could choose whether they wanted to sell or destroy confiscated guns. All this law did was take away their freedom to choose what to do with these guns.

I would think that, seeing as how you never want to limit liberties, you'd think that we should continue to allow them to destroy them where they feel it's necessary.

They're a government entity. As they are the government there is no liberty for them.
#233 Apr 08 2010 at 12:12 PM Rating: Good
His Excellency MoebiusLord wrote:
They're a government entity. As they are the government there is no liberty for them.


Semantics. Smiley: bah
#234 Apr 08 2010 at 12:22 PM Rating: Good
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We should just get condom manufacturers to do product demonstrations in our schools. Then the free market will solve our teen parenthood problems.
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#235 Apr 08 2010 at 1:59 PM Rating: Good
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I think it is time to shoot this post. I would do it but I don't own a firearm.
#236 Apr 08 2010 at 2:09 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I'm still curious what source Gbaji has for this specific claim:
Quote:
Here's the thing. Crime rates decline in virtually every single case, regardless of other factors. Urban areas? Decrease. Rural areas? Decrease. Different ethnic makeup? Decrease. Southern states? Decrease. Northern states? Decrease. Tornado areas? Decrease. Hurricane areas? Decrease. Bible belt? Decrease. Non bible belt? Decrease. High drug use? Decrease. Low drug use? Decrease.


Not a general "Guns lower crime!" cite since that could be averaging higher rates in one area against substantially lower rates in another but something that specifically addresses Gbaji's claim.


I'm kidding. I know for a fact that he has no such thing.


Didn't this thread start up about studies showing that areas with stiff gun control have higher rates of crime that those without?

How about This Harvard Study showing, once again, the same thing. When those of us opposed to gun control keep saying thinks like "Study after study shows that gun control doesn't work", we're not just making it up. I know you like to assume so, but every time we have this discussion you pretend for a couple pages that you have all the facts on your side, then I (or someone else) proceeds to post study after study, and reams of data showing that you are wrong. Then you just kinda shut up and slink off, only to repeat the same erroneous claims a few months later when the subject comes up again...


What's that funny definition of insanity again?
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#237 Apr 08 2010 at 2:18 PM Rating: Good
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When those of us opposed to gun control keep saying thinks like "Study after study shows that gun control doesn't work", we're not just making it up.


Well, if you can find conservative candidates who want to give the suicidal & those prone to murder more gun rights, by all means run them.

Edited, Apr 8th 2010 4:18pm by Omegavegeta
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#238 Apr 08 2010 at 2:22 PM Rating: Decent
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Omegavegeta wrote:
Quote:
When those of us opposed to gun control keep saying thinks like "Study after study shows that gun control doesn't work", we're not just making it up.


Well, if you can find conservative candidates who want to give the suicidal & those prone to murder more gun rights, by all means run them.


Gee... Could you stretch a bit more? Are you suggesting that gun control advocates limit the controls just to the suicidal and "murder prone"?

How about allowing the law abiding citizens to exercise their rights?

Edited, Apr 8th 2010 1:23pm by gbaji
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#239 Apr 08 2010 at 3:28 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Didn't this thread start up about studies showing that areas with stiff gun control have higher rates of crime that those without?

And apple trees start from apple seeds. And?

Quote:
How about This Harvard Study showing, once again, the same thing.

What about it? That doesn't address northern versus southern states, tornadoes, hurricanes, Bible belts, etc.

Did you want to try again? Or maybe admit that you went way overboard with your claims. Whatever.

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What's that funny definition of insanity again?

I think it's "insanity is trying to use a stupid saying in place of a real argument".
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#240 Apr 08 2010 at 4:08 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
What about it? That doesn't address northern versus southern states, tornadoes, hurricanes, Bible belts, etc.


So what? Are you seriously suggesting that one must rule out every single possible thing in the universe before a correlative pattern can be deemed to be likely causative? Didn't we have this argument just a few weeks ago? I think that when the statistics don't matter much whether it's a northern or southern state, or has tornadoes or hurricanes, or is in the bible belt, one can safely discount them as significant factors.

The one factor which consistently stands out is that in the US, in areas with loose gun control laws, there tends to be a lower rate of crime than in areas with strict gun control laws. That correlation runs across a gamut of other differences Joph. If you have a better alternative explanation, then by all means present it. But in the absence of said better reasons, it's reasonable to operate on the assumption that the gun control laws have to do with the crime rates.


At the end of the day, the entire argument for gun control laws rests on an assumption that crime will be reduced by passing the laws. It is beyond absurdity to then insist that we can't draw any causative relation between gun laws and crime when and only when those relations don't happen to support your side of the issue.


It's pretty simple really. The Constitution grants the right to keep and bear arms. If there is no causative relationship between gun control and crime, then we should err on the side of *not* infringing a constitutional right. And if we do accept the causative relationship, and it shows that less gun control produces less crime, then we have yet more reason *not* to infringe the 2nd amendment.


You lose either way Joph. You need to show a clear and definitive relationship between guns and crime which justifies the infringement of rights represented by the gun control laws you support. But not only can you not do that, all the evidence goes in the exact opposite direction. It's laughable...
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#241 Apr 08 2010 at 4:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
So what? Are you seriously suggesting that one must rule out every single possible thing in the universe before a correlative pattern can be deemed to be likely causative?

So you claimed it was true. You stated as fact that those factors were shown to have no effect. No one else was talking about those things until you brought them up to make your point.

Hey, so you were making shit up and then running away from it when called on it. That's fine. Nothing we haven't seen before. This is the point where you start screaming about semantics and no one should call out your mistakes/errors/lies because that just proves they didn't see your "big picture".

Edited, Apr 8th 2010 5:13pm by Jophiel
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#242 Apr 08 2010 at 4:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
So what? Are you seriously suggesting that one must rule out every single possible thing in the universe before a correlative pattern can be deemed to be likely causative?

So you claimed it was true. You stated as fact that those factors were shown to have no effect. No one else was talking about those things until you brought them up to make your point.


I said that the correlation in the US between gun control laws and crime was consistent regardless of those factors. I didn't bring them up, I responded to posters (could have even been you) claiming that there were other factors that must be considered (just are you are still doing).

You cannot show that those other factors have a damn thing to do with it though, can you? So until you do, how about you stop talking about them as though they do? The burden of proof is not on me, Joph. It's on you. If you think those other things are more relevant than the gun control laws in effect, then show it, or shut up about it.
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#243 Apr 08 2010 at 4:43 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I didn't bring them up

Hurricanes? Tornadoes? Bible Belts? I'm pretty sure you brought them up. In fact, a simple word find in this thread shows that you did indeed bring up those factors before anyone else mentioned them. I assumed that since you so authoritively told us that they had no effect, that you were basing this on something besides "Gbaji is making this up".

Don't get me wrong -- it might actually be true. But, if it is true, it just means that you made something up that happened to be true, not that Gbaji was basing his words on anything beyond his imagination.

Quote:
You cannot show that those other factors have a damn thing to do with it though, can you?

Beats me. Again, you brought them up.

Quote:
It's on you.

And, again, you brought them up.

But, hey, keep making shit up and then saying its other people's jobs to prove you wrong. Easier than the alternative, I bet.

Edited, Apr 8th 2010 5:45pm by Jophiel
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#244 Apr 08 2010 at 5:15 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I didn't bring them up

Hurricanes? Tornadoes? Bible Belts? I'm pretty sure you brought them up. In fact, a simple word find in this thread shows that you did indeed bring up those factors before anyone else mentioned them. I assumed that since you so authoritively told us that they had no effect, that you were basing this on something besides "Gbaji is making this up".


The study results cut across states which have wildly differing amounts of all of the things I listed Joph. I'm not sure what point you think you're making here.

Yes. I rattled off a whole list of things for which there is no evidence of a causative relation ship on crime rate more significant than the gun control laws in effect. I did this because posters were defending their position on gun control by speculating that other factors might be involved, for which they had no proof. I could have listed sunspots and alien abductions as well. And while I'm not aware of any studies specifically discounting a connection between those things and crime rates, the point, which you seem to consistently miss, is that barring evidence showing a relationship, there is no value to assuming there is.

If you think an of those factors are significant, then show that data. If you can't, then how about we accept that the things for which we do have data showing relevance should be acknowledge and acted on? I think that's what rational people do.

Quote:
Don't get me wrong -- it might actually be true. But, if it is true, it just means that you made something up that happened to be true, not that Gbaji was basing his words on anything beyond his imagination.


They *are* true. It is "true" that there is no statistically established and significant causative relationship between any of the things I listed and crime stats. You get that until someone shows such data, it is true that such data does not exist. Get it? You're free to speculate, but you're just guessing. We should not put guesses above fact. We do have studies showing a clear and significant causative relationship between gun control laws and crime rates. That's what's important, but for some reason you keep wanting to ignore that in favor of other possible explanations which might exist, but for which there is no data.


Do you see how that puts you firmly in the "nutter" category?
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#245 Apr 08 2010 at 5:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The study results cut across states which have wildly differing amounts of all of the things I listed Joph. I'm not sure what point you think you're making here.

I was making the point that you were making shit up to make yourself sound more authoritive on the subject. And I was right. I'm glad we had this talk.

Authoritiarian =/= authorative

Edited, Apr 8th 2010 6:19pm by Jophiel
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#246 Apr 08 2010 at 5:25 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
I was making the point that you were making shit up to make yourself sound more authoritive on the subject. And I was right. I'm glad we had this talk.

Authoritiarian =/= authorative

authoritive =/= authorative, and neither one = "authoritative"

Smiley: grin


Edited, Apr 8th 2010 6:25pm by trickybeck
#247 Apr 08 2010 at 5:29 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
The study results cut across states which have wildly differing amounts of all of the things I listed Joph. I'm not sure what point you think you're making here.

I was making the point that you were making shit up to make yourself sound more authoritive on the subject. And I was right. I'm glad we had this talk.


I didn't make stuff up. I provided a list of examples of things for which we cannot show a correlation to crime rates comparable to that of gun control laws.


Here! I'll "make up" another one. There is no evidence of any causative relationship between Joph's post count and violent crime in Chicago. Now, feel free to go on a tirade and insist that we can't draw any conclusions about gun control and crime rates until we complete a study comparing the relationship between your post count and crime in Chicago...


You're just being silly now.
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#248 Apr 08 2010 at 5:34 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I didn't make stuff up.

Of course you did. You're being silly to deny it.
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#249 Apr 08 2010 at 6:23 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:


I said that the correlation in the US between gun control laws and crime was consistent regardless of those factors.


Having carefully reviewed the studies of Totem's original question: that looser requirements for concealed carry cause lower rates of violent crime, I can easily answer this question. Generally, any such law enacted within the US has been a very small effect relative to that of the economy.

Since it has been such a small effect, it is extremely difficult to subtract the other causes properly and the effects of any concealed carry laws are simply unknown: their effects are so small.
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