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#152 Mar 02 2010 at 9:20 AM Rating: Decent
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Enlightened self interest is a concept many people fail to fully understand; I felt it necessary to be long winded in explaining.
Timelordwho wrote:
Here's the thing though, Cons. Lawmakers tend to be doing what is in their net individual interests. However, their constituents don't recieve in kind.

Based on imperfect information and the loose constraints placed on them by constituents.
#153 Mar 02 2010 at 9:55 AM Rating: Decent
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Allegory wrote:
Enlightened self interest is a concept many people fail to fully understand; I felt it necessary to be long winded in explaining.
Timelordwho wrote:
Here's the thing though, Cons. Lawmakers tend to be doing what is in their net individual interests. However, their constituents don't recieve in kind.

Based on imperfect information and the loose constraints placed on them by constituents.


No. Typically they are old enough not to recieve a net benefit for healthcare reform as they will capitalize on it prior to it breaking, and run a slight net gain, because of an assortment of exterior factors.
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#154 Mar 02 2010 at 10:12 AM Rating: Decent
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Made up stuff aside [...]


But then gbaji wouldn't be able to contribute anymore. Smiley: frown
#155 Mar 02 2010 at 10:20 AM Rating: Good
Can anyone name a sizable country with a first world standard of living without a large bureaucracy?
#156 Mar 02 2010 at 10:41 AM Rating: Decent
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Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Can anyone name a sizable country with a first world standard of living without a large bureaucracy?


A country without bureaucrats is no laughing matter. But a country with too many of them is a complete joke.
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#157 Mar 02 2010 at 12:11 PM Rating: Good
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Allegory wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Imagine you were that king in the 1300s and you decided to adopt all of the wonderful ideas being espoused in this thread. You'll make sure that everyone is provided a safety net, at the expense of raising taxes. Now, fast forward to today, assuming your system of social spending stays intact. Do the descendants of your enlightened society have flush toilets, advanced dentistry, air conditioning, electricity, etc?

I don't really have a clue, and it doesn't really matter. I'm not suggesting socialized programs always work.


But this is the crux of the matter though. The main difference between liberals and conservatives in this area is a matter of long range thinking versus short range thinking. It's absolutely correct that if we raise taxes significantly on the portions of society generating the most wealth and shower benefits on those with the least, we will create greater prosperity "for everyone", and by your own self-interest argument, also improve things for you personally (assuming a statistical "you" here).

However, the cost of doing that is less technological advancement in the long run. All of the things that make your "peasant of plenty vs kind of dung heap" argument work are the technological improvements over time. You can make the dung heap nicer, but it wont really change much over time. You're really just choosing to allow the peasants to live more like the king, at the cost that the king's standard of living wont change much over time. In the short run, this is "good", but in the long run, it's "bad".


Which is the more enlightened position then? I would suggest that the conservative position is. It allows for future generations to enjoy a standard of living we perhaps cannot even imagine today, just as those peasants (and even kings) of 700 years ago could not imagine the standard of living of the average person today. Is the greatest good served by providing more for the people today at the expense of that better future? I don't think so...


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In the specific case of health care, I'm a young person today who will likely live in the U.S. for most of my life and probably my last days. Therefore affecting the growth rate of health care costs today is an important issue to me, because if I'm able to support a policy which brings them down long term then I stand to gain a lot. I support many of the Dem proposals, many which the Republicans also agree on individually, because they are the most effective at lowering costs, the most effective at improving society as a whole, and the most effective at increasing my personal gain.


You do realize that people your age are going to be the most screwed over by the proposed health care plans the Dems are putting out there, right? You will be forced to pay into a system from which you will draw almost nothing for the next 20 years. Then, by the time you need it, it'll almost certainly be near or at bankruptcy. You'll get there just in time to see the massive cuts in benefits that'll inevitably have to come.

If you actually think that the proposals save money in the long term, then you are more deluded than I thought. In the first 10 years, it's almost a break even. But as you project outward another 10 or 20 years past that point, the cost increases placed on the system will make it nearly unsustainable. Of course, the Dems are touting their 10 year figures, which is likely why you believe it'll save money. And even then, they have to "cheat" by collecting money for the full 10 years, while only providing the increased benefits for 6...

You are being lied to. You will not benefit from this. Not today. Not tomorrow. Likely not at any point in your life. You will pay additional money into a system, and not see any of it back. That is the most likely reality, and what I just don't get about you. If you honestly are seeking that which will benefit you the most personally, it makes no sense at all to support this. Unless, I suppose, you are planning right now at your young age to never work a day in your life and just mooch off the system. Which I suppose is a way to go. It's just not a very good one.

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I don't give a darn whose plan it is or what method they use. I'd side with the Republicans in a heartbeat if they came up with better ideas and the majority of them weren't just playing political games. I have zero loyalty to the Democrats or liberal ideals. I just go with the best offer on the table.


Can you name 5 proposals the Republicans have presented? If you can't, then how can you say that their ideas don't represent a better solution? I guess I'm trying to figure out if you hold the position you do because you've actually looked at the issue objectively, or if you hold it just because everyone around you is telling you that you should and you're just going along with the crowd?
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#158 Mar 02 2010 at 4:41 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
But this is the crux of the matter though. The main difference between liberals and conservatives in this area is a matter of long range thinking versus short range thinking...

However, the cost of doing that is less technological advancement in the long run.

But it's often conservatives who think are thinking short term. Cutting taxes is often a short term gain, especially when the programs funded by those taxes are not cut as well.

Creating a better society is an investment that compounds itself. When people have cheaper health care, they have more income to spend on goods that provide greater utility, and so you get a more efficient economy that grows faster. Just as I said socialized programs don't always work, nor do capitalist ones. Private companies can actually ****** the economy, and we have antitrust laws to deal with that.

Transitioning blacks from slavery to fully equal status created was something that benefited me as a byproduct of creating a better society, but it also advanced the rate of our development. We had an overall more productive work force because blacks could now learn more valuable skills and contribute more to society.
gbaji wrote:
You do realize that people your age are going to be the most screwed over by the proposed health care plans the Dems are putting out there, right?

I know you badly want to believe that the Dems propositions, even the ones which Republicans individually agree on, will create long term problems for the U.S., but the body of evidence points towards you being dead wrong.

gbaji wrote:
Can you name 5 proposals the Republicans have presented? If you can't, then how can you say that their ideas don't represent a better solution? I guess I'm trying to figure out if you hold the position you do because you've actually looked at the issue objectively, or if you hold it just because everyone around you is telling you that you should and you're just going along with the crowd?

1. Cut fraud, end lawsuits. Reducing fraud is a beneficial move, and one I technically agree with the Republicans on, as do the Dems. The problem is that fraud makes up such a small portion of the costs that even if we were able to magical stop all medical insurance fraud in the U.S. tomorrow we'd still not be much better off.It's something we should go for, but cracking down on fraud alone is far from enough.

2. Allow selling across state lines, let state regulate their own rules more. At best it will do nothing, and at worst it will increase the problem. Increased private competition hasn't helped in the past few decades and it isn't going to help now. There are too few restrictions on an industry that has directly opposing interests with its customers.

3. Don't raise - cut taxes. I could be blind and deaf and still know this was in at least one proposal.. This alone does nothing, and eliminating even the possibility that the best solution might happen to involve spending is at the core of the "find a conservative solution, even if it isn't the best," problem.

4. Establish high risk pools for really sick people. Nothing done to prevent companies from excluding individuals.

5. Live off of mommy and daddy's plan for a while. Beneficial maybe, but incredibly minor.

6. No federal money for plans covering abortion. Pork indeed.

I can't say I listed what you would consider the 'best' proposition by the Republicans, but I'm not a mind reader. Do the Republicans have some good suggestions? Sure, and the Dems agree. The issue that I see and that many Democrats see is that Republicans are rejecting massively beneficial proposals and simply playing games for political power. There is quite a bit that the Republicans and Democrats agree on, but the Republicans keep forcing 60 votes and keep calling for fresh start because many of them simply want Democrats to fail.

I also know I'm not the most informed person on the bulk of politics. I do need help forming my opinion. But I'm pretty darn good at figuring out who is making the best arguments.

Edited, Mar 2nd 2010 4:50pm by Allegory
#159 Mar 02 2010 at 4:49 PM Rating: Decent
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Transitioning blacks from slavery to fully equal status created was something that benefited me as a byproduct of creating a better society, but it also advanced the rate of our development. We had an overall more productive work force because blacks could now learn more valuable skills and contribute more to society.
This doesn't really make sense though. Society has always grown on the backs of something. There is a huge advantage to having a large extremely cheap workforce to do the drudge work. If we could have slaves to do all the menial low skill tasks, it would free up huge resources to do other things. When one workforce is taken away a new one will arise, say manufacturing in China. It's the same thing, and can be seen throughout history, from the extremely poorly paid factory workers in the industrial revolution, to cheap raw materials in the colonial ages, to slaves, to production in third world countries.
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#160 Mar 02 2010 at 9:40 PM Rating: Decent
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Allegory wrote:
But it's often conservatives who think are thinking short term. Cutting taxes is often a short term gain, especially when the programs funded by those taxes are not cut as well.


No. It's still a long term gain. If you cut taxes but are unable (or unwilling) to cut spending, then it's reasonable to assume you would not have been able to cut spending if you hadn't cut taxes, right?

The deficit effect thus created hurts in the short term, but will make it harder to further increase spending, thus helping in the long run.

Cutting taxes, even if you fail to cut spending at the same time, is still better in terms of long term economic growth and private industry development than if you don't.

Quote:
Creating a better society is an investment that compounds itself.


One must first clarify what they mean by "better society" though. There are quite a few examples of people who have used similar language to support policies which ultimately ended in pretty horrific disaster.


Quote:
When people have cheaper health care, they have more income to spend on goods that provide greater utility, and so you get a more efficient economy that grows faster.


Sure. But what on earth makes you think that health care will actually be "cheaper"? You don't create money by taking from one pot and putting it in another. "The people" will almost certainly end out paying more per-person on health care under the current Dem proposals. I don't think anyone can rationally argue otherwise. That some individuals will pay less is somewhat irrelevant, right? The long term economic picture is going to be affected by total cost, not whether one person wins while another loses. It's the net effect that matters...

Quote:
Just as I said socialized programs don't always work, nor do capitalist ones. Private companies can actually ****** the economy, and we have antitrust laws to deal with that.


Yes. If only we had similar laws restricting government... Well. There's the Constitution, but fortunately for the liberals, they've managed to convince themselves that it's a living document and the protections within can just be changed or ignored when it's convenient. Gotta love circular justification!

Quote:
Transitioning blacks from slavery to fully equal status created was something that benefited me as a byproduct of creating a better society, but it also advanced the rate of our development.


Are you seriously comparing the movement from slavery to civil rights for black Americans to socialized medicine? That's more than a bit of a stretch...


Quote:
gbaji wrote:
You do realize that people your age are going to be the most screwed over by the proposed health care plans the Dems are putting out there, right?

I know you badly want to believe that the Dems propositions, even the ones which Republicans individually agree on, will create long term problems for the U.S., but the body of evidence points towards you being dead wrong.


By all means, share with me the "body of evidence" you are basing this on. The absolute best estimates right now show us breaking even in terms of deficit (but not total cost!) over the next 10 years, and then losing ground every year after that. Those estimates show only about half of those currently uninsured actually being insured as a result, ignore completely the unfunded mandates passed to the states (which we'll all have to pay for), and magically ignore any of a number of very simple and obvious market forces which will almost certainly result in changes to the status-quo factors those estimates are based on (in the "massively increase cost" direction).

What do you think happens when the government mandates that every citizen must buy a given product? Do you honestly believe that this will drive prices down?

Heck. Let's go in the opposite direction. How about you name any portion of either of the proposed bills which you can point to and explain how it will reduce total costs for health care. And I'm not talking about saving small amounts in one area. Show me where the magic pixie dust is in those bills which create the kind of cost savings which were the original driving force for reforming health care in the first place?

I don't see it. What I see is a set of bills which continue to use the same system, but just add to the scope. Saying that it will cut costs is like saying that if you have a leak in your pipes, you'll save water by running more water through them. It just doesn't work. It makes no sense. The same insurance companies will have their hand in the pie. Except now they'll have a larger captive customer base. The same relationship between employers, employees, and health care plans will exist that exist today. The same hidden cost structures will exist. The only things they really changed was to make the same thing bigger and add additional requirements and coverage which will have to be passed on to the consumers (which conveniently can't avoid it because the government will force them to buy it anyway). And if you can't pay? Well, the government will pick up the tab. Actually, the taxpayer will. And that will add to the long term cost even more...

Tell me why it's a good plan. Can you point to anything specific? I don't want to hear the rhetoric some politician said. I want you to point at specific provisions of the bill(s) and tell me how those provisions will make health care better. There's a big difference between what a politician claims a bill will do, and what the bill will actually do. And in this case, it's a pretty big whopper.


What's startling is that you really do seem to be unaware that the big losers here are young people. I suspect you've been listening to too much rhetoric and not enough fact. You should correct that.


Edited, Mar 2nd 2010 7:42pm by gbaji
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#161 Mar 02 2010 at 10:40 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Show me where the magic pixie dust is in those bills which create the kind of cost savings which were the original driving force for reforming health care in the first place?

Particularly from a Democratic perspective, health care reform is as much about ensuring coverage as it is about cost control. Unfortunately the most effective cost control, a government run public option, doesn't have the support to pass through the current Congress. As such, the current Senate bill does a fairly effective job of covering many of the uninsured, initiating some price controls (albeit not as effectively as under some other possible programs) and various other bits and bobs. The CBO estimates that most people would see a slight decrease in premiums over the next decade or so (around 2%) but that's (A) better than an icnrease which is where it's certainly headed in the next decade and (B) a 2% reduction in addition to covering millions of uninsured people. People who the CBO scores as paying higher premiums are mostly paying a higher premium because they're actually increasing their insurance coverage into more comprehensive plans that they previously could not afford.

But all that said, implying that the "original driving force" was purely cost savings is either an intentional lie on your part or else an admission of complete and total ignorance. Probably the former but I'd accept the latter as likely true enough.
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#162 Mar 03 2010 at 10:20 AM Rating: Good
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Uh oh... we lose Michael Moore Smiley: frown
Political Wire wrote:
Filmmaker Michael Moore, whose 2007 documentary Sicko explored the failures of the American health care system, tells Raw Story he has given up on the Democrats.

Said Moore: "These Democrats are a bunch of wusses. They don't have the courage of their convictions. They won't stand and fight."

He added: "It's embarrassing, it's disgusting and I won't have it anymore. I'm sick of them."

I'm heartbroken that we can't be called the party of Michael Moore any longer. Heartbroken, I say!
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#163 Mar 03 2010 at 11:14 AM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
By all means, share with me the "body of evidence" you are basing this on. The absolute best estimates right now show us breaking even in terms of deficit (but not total cost!) over the next 10 years, and then losing ground every year after that. Those estimates show only about half of those currently uninsured actually being insured as a result, ignore completely the unfunded mandates passed to the states (which we'll all have to pay for), and magically ignore any of a number of very simple and obvious market forces which will almost certainly result in changes to the status-quo factors those estimates are based on (in the "massively increase cost" direction).


Council of Economic Advisors graph.


It's strictly linear with a moderate exponential shift. It's also quite a bit more than a 10yr analysis.
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#164 Mar 03 2010 at 11:47 AM Rating: Decent
So, Allegory, how's the whole "Changing gbaji's point of view by arguing with him in a different way" thing working out?
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#165 Mar 03 2010 at 12:09 PM Rating: Good
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#166 Mar 03 2010 at 12:12 PM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxx wrote:
So, Allegory, how's the whole "Changing gbaji's point of view by arguing with him in a different way" thing working out?
If you'd just stop interrupting. jeez.
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#167 Mar 03 2010 at 6:02 PM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
Quote:
By all means, share with me the "body of evidence" you are basing this on. The absolute best estimates right now show us breaking even in terms of deficit (but not total cost!) over the next 10 years, and then losing ground every year after that. Those estimates show only about half of those currently uninsured actually being insured as a result, ignore completely the unfunded mandates passed to the states (which we'll all have to pay for), and magically ignore any of a number of very simple and obvious market forces which will almost certainly result in changes to the status-quo factors those estimates are based on (in the "massively increase cost" direction).


Council of Economic Advisors graph.


It's strictly linear with a moderate exponential shift. It's also quite a bit more than a 10yr analysis.


Um... Why not just show a graph projecting the rate of cat ownership over the next 30 years with or without health care reform? It would be just as relevant.


We were talking about the cost of health care. WTF?
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#168 Mar 03 2010 at 6:13 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Show me where the magic pixie dust is in those bills which create the kind of cost savings which were the original driving force for reforming health care in the first place?

Particularly from a Democratic perspective, health care reform is as much about ensuring coverage as it is about cost control.


That's not what Allegory said his criteria was though.

Quote:
Unfortunately the most effective cost control, a government run public option, doesn't have the support to pass through the current Congress.


That's extremely debatable. But it's also irrelevant to this discussion. Allegory said that he supported the current Dem proposals because they were better for him specifically and for everyone over the long term. His criteria was pretty clearly about cost compared to benefit.


Quote:
As such, the current Senate bill does a fairly effective job of covering many of the uninsured, initiating some price controls (albeit not as effectively as under some other possible programs) and various other bits and bobs.


It covers only about half of those currently uninsured. And "cost controls" is a buzzword, not a reality. There is nothing in either of the bills to suggest that the total cost for health care nationwide will be reduced over time. As I already pointed out the CBO estimates show not just increased cost, but increased cost beyond the increased revenue generated once you get past the 10 year mark.

You can say "It's got cost controls" all day long, but if even after those controls, it'll still cost us more over time, the criteria Allegory set isn't being met.

Quote:
The CBO estimates that most people would see a slight decrease in premiums over the next decade or so (around 2%) but that's (A) better than an icnrease which is where it's certainly headed in the next decade and (B) a 2% reduction in addition to covering millions of uninsured people. People who the CBO scores as paying higher premiums are mostly paying a higher premium because they're actually increasing their insurance coverage into more comprehensive plans that they previously could not afford.


It's not just about premiums though, is it? It's about "total cost". If we make up for those premiums by paying higher taxes in order to subsidize some of the care, we're still paying more total money.

If I take $2,000 out of your taxes each year and then use that money to subsidize your health care, resulting in you paying $1000 less in premiums each year, have I helped you or hurt you? Yeah. I've hurt you. That's essentially what the Dems are doing. It's a shell game. With our money...

Quote:
But all that said, implying that the "original driving force" was purely cost savings is either an intentional lie on your part or else an admission of complete and total ignorance. Probably the former but I'd accept the latter as likely true enough.


The most commonly stated reason for needing health reform in the first place (by Dems) is that the existing system was too expensive and people couldn't afford it. Wold you like me to go dig up a bunch of quotes from Obama on this? It was a pretty common campaign topic. It's how they "sold" the need for health care to the public. Now, you and I both know that the real reason they wanted to do it was to expand coverage and make it more socialized. But that just makes this yet another example of how liberals lie in order to gain support for their agenda.


Public support for the need for health care reform was built on the cost issue Joph. Plain and simple...
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#169 Mar 03 2010 at 8:46 PM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxx wrote:
So, Allegory, how's the whole "Changing gbaji's point of view by arguing with him in a different way" thing working out?

Every time anyone on this site posts anywhere before gbaji and I are completely through, I have to start all over.
#170 Mar 03 2010 at 9:11 PM Rating: Good
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Allegory wrote:
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
So, Allegory, how's the whole "Changing gbaji's point of view by arguing with him in a different way" thing working out?

Every time anyone on this site posts anywhere before gbaji and I are completely through, I have to start all over.


You were doing something? I hadn't noticed...

Oh. And anytime you're ready with that body of evidence thing, just feel free to post that sucker. Not like I'm waiting with baited breath or anything, but it's your convictions at issue here. Not mine.
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#171 Mar 03 2010 at 9:25 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
You were doing something? I hadn't noticed...

Which is why they were poking fun at me.
gbaji wrote:
Oh. And anytime you're ready with that body of evidence thing, just feel free to post that sucker. Not like I'm waiting with baited breath or anything, but it's your convictions at issue here. Not mine.

I'm not sure what you expect to happen here. "Tell me why it's a good plan... There's a big difference between what a politician claims a bill will do, and what the bill will actually do. And in this case, it's a pretty big whopper."

I'll list my reasons for believe some aspects of the bill are good. You'll disagree with most of them, saying that they actually achieve something different and that I buying into rhetoric. That seems like a pretty unfun adventure for me.

Honestly, I'm a pretty terrible person to pick out to make a case for the Democratic bill, and I don't have much interest in doing so. I wasn't intending to debate you on the issue; I wanted to pursue an entirely different subject.
#172 Mar 03 2010 at 9:33 PM Rating: Good
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Then why did you write this?

Quote:
I know you badly want to believe that the Dems propositions, even the ones which Republicans individually agree on, will create long term problems for the U.S., but the body of evidence points towards you being dead wrong.
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#173 Mar 03 2010 at 9:39 PM Rating: Good
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Awesome. Now Gbaji can argue in two threads about what the other guy really meant, regardless of what they says they meant...
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#174 Mar 03 2010 at 9:40 PM Rating: Decent
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Allegory vs Gbaji is like crossing the streams, but with words.
#175 Mar 03 2010 at 9:43 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
Then why did you write this?

Because I was daft and thought you wouldn't once again pursue a topic you've explored for an exhausting duration with the Asylum dem juggernauts that also happened to be nothing more than a petty comment by me and largely irrelevant to the conversation I thought we were having.
#176 Mar 03 2010 at 9:44 PM Rating: Good
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Allegory wrote:
Asylum dem juggernauts

I like it Smiley: thumbsup
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