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Iraq Milestone: Obama's fault, too?Follow

#27REDACTED, Posted: Jan 04 2010 at 4:29 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Locked,
#28 Jan 04 2010 at 5:10 PM Rating: Decent
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publiusvarus wrote:
Did we use WMD's in Iraq as a premise for war. Yes. Was it the only one. No. And at the time we went in there wasn't one nation in the world that thought they didn't have them. Especially considering Saddam had used them previously on his own people.

Um, many nations knew there were no WMDs and strongly opposed the invasion.
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#29 Jan 05 2010 at 6:06 AM Rating: Good
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Debalic wrote:
Um, many nations knew there were no WMDs and strongly opposed the invasion.
Right, and many isn't one.
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#30 Jan 05 2010 at 6:20 AM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
... the world saying "give them more time, they're no threat to us right now," ...


Hahahahah... Sorry. This quote perfectly encapsulates the silliness of the "don't invade Iraq" side of the issue, but probably not in the way you meant.


No it doesn't. It's a perfectly reasonable point of view. Invasion should be an action of last resort. Invading countries which are "potential threats" is the stupidest foreign policy you could possibly have.

The main reason we're still in Afghanistan right now, the main reason why it's still such a cluskterfuck, is because of Iraq. The main reason why Iran is threatening and has regional ambitions which could be dangerous is because of Iraq.

Invading Iraq will be regarded as one of the greatest foreign policy blunders, there is virtually zero doubt about that.
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#31 Jan 05 2010 at 7:55 AM Rating: Decent
I like how when I click "expand" next to varus or thiefx's posts, the post actually disappears entirely, rather than showing itself.
#32 Jan 05 2010 at 8:29 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
... the world saying "give them more time, they're no threat to us right now," ...


Hahahahah... Sorry. This quote perfectly encapsulates the silliness of the "don't invade Iraq" side of the issue, but probably not in the way you meant.


What, you mean how the world wanted proof of WMDs before we used it as our basis to invade, but the US didn't wait for the inspections to be completed... and Iraq turned out to be no threat after all?

Yeah, haha, that war is pretty silly. Glad you think thousands of Americans dying for no reason is silliness.
#33 Jan 05 2010 at 8:48 AM Rating: Good
When I was in Norway over Xmas, I met my fiancee's aunt, who was a weapons inspector in Iraq in 2003. She was part of the Hans Blix team. She knew Hans, and David Kelly, and everything. She had some funny stories to tell. Obviously, I asked her what it was like, and her opinion was that Iraq in 2003 was a crumbling country with extremely poor infrastructure. As we know, the inspectirs didn't finish their work, so they couldn't know for sure, but at the time she didn't think Iraq could produce nuclear weapons.

I also tried to press her with regards to Iran, but she wouldn't say anything either way. Damn those boring neutral Norwegian scientists.
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#34 Jan 05 2010 at 9:46 AM Rating: Good
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
When I was in Norway over Xmas, I met my fiancee's aunt, who was a weapons inspector in Iraq in 2003. She was part of the Hans Blix team. She knew Hans, and David Kelly, and everything. She had some funny stories to tell. Obviously, I asked her what it was like, and her opinion was that Iraq in 2003 was a crumbling country with extremely poor infrastructure. As we know, the inspectirs didn't finish their work, so they couldn't know for sure, but at the time she didn't think Iraq could produce nuclear weapons.

I also tried to press her with regards to Iran, but she wouldn't say anything either way. Damn those boring neutral Norwegian scientists.


If we know what you mean?
#35 Jan 05 2010 at 9:54 AM Rating: Good
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
When I was in Norway over Xmas, I met my fiancee's aunt, who was a weapons inspector in Iraq in 2003. She was part of the Hans Blix team. She knew Hans, and David Kelly, and everything. She had some funny stories to tell. Obviously, I asked her what it was like, and her opinion was that Iraq in 2003 was a crumbling country with extremely poor infrastructure. As we know, the inspectirs didn't finish their work, so they couldn't know for sure, but at the time she didn't think Iraq could produce nuclear weapons.

I also tried to press her with regards to Iran, but she wouldn't say anything either way. Damn those boring neutral Norwegian scientists.


If we know what you mean?


She's almost 60...

But yeah, I'm open-minded.
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#36 Jan 05 2010 at 6:51 PM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxx wrote:
gbaji wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
... the world saying "give them more time, they're no threat to us right now," ...


Hahahahah... Sorry. This quote perfectly encapsulates the silliness of the "don't invade Iraq" side of the issue, but probably not in the way you meant.


No it doesn't. It's a perfectly reasonable point of view. Invasion should be an action of last resort. Invading countries which are "potential threats" is the stupidest foreign policy you could possibly have.


I was going with the humorous "Let's wait until they are a threat" angle, but /whoosh...

Quote:
The main reason we're still in Afghanistan right now, the main reason why it's still such a cluskterfuck, is because of Iraq. The main reason why Iran is threatening and has regional ambitions which could be dangerous is because of Iraq.


BS. Absolute BS. There is no indication that more troops would have made any difference during the time period we had the largest commitments in Iraq, and a lot of evidence that Iraq drew a lot of the enemies who would otherwise have caused us problems in Afghanistan into that country instead.


And there's also zero evidence that our invasion of Iraq emboldened Iran into pursuing its own nuclear program. If anything, it likely delayed them as they waited to see how far we'd go. It wasn't until it became apparent that we were not going past Iraq that they resumed work.

Quote:
Invading Iraq will be regarded as one of the greatest foreign policy blunders, there is virtually zero doubt about that.


Just keep repeating that talking point over and over and maybe people will believe you! 2 years ago, most of the same folks who've been saying that the whole time were saying quite loudly and firmly that Iraq was lost and there was no hope for success, so we may as well just abandon it (Including Obama btw). They were wrong.
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#37 Jan 05 2010 at 7:16 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
There is no indication that more troops would have made any difference during the time period we had the largest commitments in Iraq

You mean except for the fact that most of the country were (hell, are) under the power of warlords because we didn't have any troops there?

Quote:
And there's also zero evidence that our invasion of Iraq emboldened Iran into pursuing its own nuclear program. If anything, it likely delayed them as they waited to see how far we'd go. It wasn't until it became apparent that we were not going past Iraq that they resumed work.

Bwahahahahaha!!!!

Yeah, I'm sure they were terrified that we were going to start a three front war after Iraq and expand operations into Iran. Maybe the US could have formed a coalition with Andorra and Monaco at that point.
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#38 Jan 05 2010 at 8:13 PM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
BS. Absolute BS. There is no indication that more troops would have made any difference during the time period we had the largest commitments in Iraq, and a lot of evidence that Iraq drew a lot of the enemies who would otherwise have caused us problems in Afghanistan into that country instead.

You're saying that instead of fighting our enemies on one front in one country, it was in our best interest to start another simultaneous campaign to fight the same enemies in another country?
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we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#39 Jan 05 2010 at 8:39 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
There is no indication that more troops would have made any difference during the time period we had the largest commitments in Iraq

You mean except for the fact that most of the country were (hell, are) under the power of warlords because we didn't have any troops there?


Got any support (outside of liberal blogs and op-ed's) for that statement? Sounds like pure speculation to me. My understanding is that we specifically chose to work with local factions and tribal leaders, not due to troop limitations, but out of a realization that this was the only possible way to succeed in Afghanistan. Numbers of troops didn't matter Joph. I have a cousin who served in Afghanistan from 2004 to 2006. It was boring and quiet pretty much the whole time. More troops would have been sitting around doing nothing...


Quote:
Yeah, I'm sure they were terrified that we were going to start a three front war after Iraq and expand operations into Iran. Maybe the US could have formed a coalition with Andorra and Monaco at that point.


And there's still no evidence that by invading Iraq we hastened their nuclear weapons program one single day. Or are you willing to provide some?

Edited, Jan 5th 2010 6:46pm by gbaji
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#40 Jan 05 2010 at 8:48 PM Rating: Decent
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Debalic wrote:
gbaji wrote:
BS. Absolute BS. There is no indication that more troops would have made any difference during the time period we had the largest commitments in Iraq, and a lot of evidence that Iraq drew a lot of the enemies who would otherwise have caused us problems in Afghanistan into that country instead.

You're saying that instead of fighting our enemies on one front in one country, it was in our best interest to start another simultaneous campaign to fight the same enemies in another country?


No. What I'm saying is that insisting that if only we'd had the soldiers in Iraq stationed in Afghanistan instead, Afghanistan would not be in the shape it is today is ridiculous. We started another front in Iraq for other reasons. But one of them certainly was to put ourselves into a more central, defensible, and ultimately winnable position in that region.


We could have had all the soldiers we used in Iraq in Afghanistan the whole time, and we'd still be fighting an ugly guerrilla war there. Just with more troops and more casualties. The Soviets tried that approach, and it didn't work. By invading Iraq we made that the central focus, not just for us, but for hosts of would be jihadists. That's a war we could win by fighting in that manner. We could not (and still cannot) win that sort of war in Afghanistan. The country is too tribal and too segmented. In Iraq, you could turn the people against the attackers by showing the harm they were suffering as a result. In Iraq, the people are used to a sufficient standard of living that this tactic worked. It cannot work in Afghanistan. We'd just have swelled the ranks of the Mujahadeen if we'd just fought that war and nothing but it.


And we'd not have accomplished what needed to be accomplished in Iraq. It would have been a lose-lose decision.
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#41 Jan 06 2010 at 4:08 AM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
What I'm saying is that insisting that if only we'd had the soldiers in Iraq stationed in Afghanistan instead, Afghanistan would not be in the shape it is today is ridiculous.


It makes perfect sense. There is zero doubt that the number of troops and the amount of resources involved in a war have a profound effect on its outcome. Are you really trygin to argue otherwise?

We all know that in Afghanistan, neither NATO nor Karzai controlled anything except Kabul. We had to resort to drone attacks and air power, which were completely ineffective, and sometimes positively contributed to turning whole areas against us. Remember bombing that wedding party? Then we had to ally ourselves with all sorts of unpleasant warlords who then turned back to the Talibans when it suited them. We invested nothing in terms of development, there has been 0 human rights progress, the Afghan army is a shambles, Bin Laden is still out there, and we've been there for what, 8 years now? And you're telling me we didn't need to invest more time, energy, money and troops in that place? Those delusional tendencies need to be medically examined, seriously.

Iraq was a war of choice. We didn't have to go there. It had very little strategic value. It was a nationalist and secular regime who fought against Islamists, stood against Iran, and posed zero threat to the West. These are not opinions, they are facts. It was a gigantic drain of resources for 6 years, and it achieved almost nothing except death on a mass scale.
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#42 Jan 06 2010 at 6:56 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
We could have had all the soldiers we used in Iraq in Afghanistan the whole time, and we'd still be fighting an ugly guerrilla war there. Just with more troops and more casualties. The Soviets tried that approach, and it didn't work. By invading Iraq we made that the central focus, not just for us, but for hosts of would be jihadists. That's a war we could win by fighting in that manner. We could not (and still cannot) win that sort of war in Afghanistan. The country is too tribal and too segmented. In Iraq, you could turn the people against the attackers by showing the harm they were suffering as a result. In Iraq, the people are used to a sufficient standard of living that this tactic worked. It cannot work in Afghanistan. We'd just have swelled the ranks of the Mujahadeen if we'd just fought that war and nothing but it.

So you're saying you're opposed to sending more troops to Afghanistan? Because nothing much has changed about the country since 2002-2003.

Edited, Jan 6th 2010 7:03am by Jophiel
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#43 Jan 06 2010 at 9:03 AM Rating: Excellent
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I keep reading the thread title as "Iraq Millstone".

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#44 Jan 06 2010 at 9:58 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Got any support (outside of liberal blogs and op-ed's) for that statement? Sounds like pure speculation to me.
Quote:
U.S. and other NATO military contingents operating in the provinces of Afghanistan's predominantly Pashtun south and east have been hiring private militias controlled by Afghan warlords, according to these sources, to provide security for their forward operating bases and other bases and to guard convoys.

Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal has acknowledged that U.S. and NATO ties with warlords have been a cause of popular Afghan alienation from foreign military forces. But the policy is not likely to be reversed anytime soon, because U.S. and NATO officials still have no alternative to the security services the warlords provide.
[...]
Larry Goodson of the Army War College, who participated in the 2002 process called the Loya Jirga under which the first post-Taliban Afghan government was established, told IPS he had recommended from the beginning a "de-warlordisation" process, in which "we took nasty, sleazy characters and turn them into less nasty, sleazy bosses."

But the warlords were kept on the payroll, Goodson recalls, mainly because the troops controlled by the former commanders were seen as "force multipliers", in a situation where foreign troops were in short supply.


Quote:
President George W. Bush has announced that about 4,500 more soldiers will be sent there early in the new year, but that is a fraction of what General David McKiernan, head of NATO forces in Afghanistan, has said that he needs to successfully conduct the war. Meanwhile, allied forces have been forced to rely on local militia leaders for intelligence gathering, delivery of supplies and to better understand the country's southern tribal networks.
[...]
The U.S., unwilling to commit large numbers of ground troops when it went to overthrow the Taliban government, relied instead on the northern warlords and their militias.

Bolding mine. I'm not interested in a game of "No True Scotsman" while you claim every source doesn't count so this is what you're getting.

Quote:
I have a cousin who served in Afghanistan from 2004 to 2006. It was boring and quiet pretty much the whole time. More troops would have been sitting around doing nothing...

I knew a guy who served during WWII and spent his entire stay chasing skirts around the local base. I guess WWII was pretty calm, huh?

Quote:
And there's still no evidence that by invading Iraq we hastened their nuclear weapons program one single day. Or are you willing to provide some?

I never said it did. I laughed at your claim that the Iraq war slowed Iran's nuclear program for fear that the US would invade while fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq. Nice strawman though.
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#45 Jan 10 2010 at 6:19 AM Rating: Decent
The main reason the death toll has decreased in Iraq is because the focus has shifted back to Afghanistan. The only reason we had terrorists(local patriots don't count)in Iraq in the first place was because we invaded them so it was a target for the Taliban. The "surge" was totally pointless just like the new "surge" will be in Afghanistan. The reason for this is very simple.

Troops under siege are known to blend in as civilians or go underground. Military funding will waiver and then the troop threat will decrease. Saddam's elite guards did the same thing back when we took Bagdad.

My opinion of Obama isn't too bad. I'd give him a B+ right now for a grade. Much better than the F grade I gave Bush. I don't think Obama is right on the new "surge" or sanctions against Iran. If Obama really wants to detour terrorist attacks in foreign regions and our home soil, he'll leave those people alone. All of the threats and attacks we suffer as a country is all due to the idiot politicians who refuse to leave those people alone. Leave them alone and they'll leave us alone. Who would want the US military and CIA on their back, I know I wouldn't.
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