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#577 Dec 16 2009 at 9:34 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
As to the rest? It does not counter what I'm saying Joph.

My comments in that thread about yout Inhofe press release did, in fact, directly counter the claims being made in that press release.

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You keep shooting every bit of silliness you can lay your hands on. It's like you're grasping at straws. "Oh! But wait! This guy said the NAS said X, and they really said Y, so that means he's wrong about global warming, so that means that every other person is also wrong! Yay! I'm saved!!!".

Yeah, I realize that you're having a moment of self-reflection here and all but the bulk of my cites in these threads have been to studies directly supporting the claims of climate scientists who say that ACC is real. The ones you're latching onto here were designed, not to support the theory of ACC directly, but to discredit a laughable press release that you were submitting as evidence.

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Want me to list all the factual errors in every press release Gore has made over the years about Global warming?

If it makes you happy to, sure. Go right ahead. The primary difference here would be that I have never, ever used Al Gore as my source for supporting cites whereas you provably submitted a press release by Senator Inhofe as evidence that scientists support your opinion.

Edited, Dec 16th 2009 9:39pm by Jophiel
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#578 Dec 16 2009 at 9:36 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
What's going on is that you've decided for whatever reason that people and scientists involved in ACC are performing a massive global conspiracy.


Strawman (and false to boot). I have not only not stated that this is the result of a "massive conspiracy", but I have in fact repeatedly stated that it does not require any conspiracy at all for this to happen. I spent several posts explaining how the very nature of government's interaction with science can influence the results.

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Most of us are saying, that seems a bit silly, isn't it more likely that the deniers are mainly motivated by the large piles of money that they're being given, rather then a complex and fairly impossible conspiracy?


Which might explain the small number of scientists and politicians who are being paid via one process or another by people who have a vested interest in not seeing global warming policies enacted. It does not explain the rather large number of independent, retired, or otherwise unconnected scientists who have taken positions of skepticism towards the theories themselves and stronger ones against the purpose of the proposed policies.


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You then assert no, and instead of staying there randomly wander down strange paths of trying to debunk this science point, or linking bizarre petitions or whatever until your current target is mocked and torn apart at which point you start again. Why don't you just link Scientific articles supporting your position?



Because people don't write scientific papers about things that are *not* happening. That's one of the other rather large strawman arguments used. That somehow the lack of scientific papers disagreeing with global warming theories means that global warming theories must be correct. I'd explain to you how papers on the subject of "climate change" are defined, and how that automatically restricts the way they can be reviewed and/or questioned, but you'd probably just argue I was spinning the subject.


Tell you what. It's wiki, but what the heck. Here's a List of scientists who oppose global warming. Feel free to click on names in the various categories and then look at their areas of expertise and the statements they have made. And how about you do something shocking? Instead of looking only for scientists with ties to some industry or other, or for whom there's some easy way to dismiss them, why not look at the guys who don't have any reason at all to take the position they do other than that they have looked at the science and don't agree with the conclusions at the IPCC?


Can you do that? It's easy to find some guys you can attack and dismiss. That's why it's called a strawman. You're picking your own target. But if you are to honestly form an opinion and perhaps attempt to find out for yourself what the "truth" is here, wouldn't it be better to go read up on the guys who aren't strawmen? The guys who do have reasonable and logical reasons for opposing the various global warming assumptions and proposals? Cause if you can't answer them, then you aren't really debunking the "deniers" are you? You're just lying to yourself at that point...
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#579 Dec 16 2009 at 9:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Because people don't write scientific papers about things that are *not* happening.

They do, however, write papers about things that are happening. For example, if you could provide strong evidence that temperature increases were caused primarily by a cycle of sun spots, you would write a paper on that, get it published and then people would say "Hey, it seems that we have a study showing that climate change is actually caused mainly by sun spots." Or, if you could provide strong evidence that increased CO2 levels were caused by volcanoes, you could write a study about that.

You could, in fact, even say "Hey, let's see if CO2 levels from human activites are warming the planet", run some tests and studies, find out that they are not and then publish a study titled "Analysis of effects of anthropological CO2 emissions upon the global climate" in which you conclude "There is no significant evidence showing any relation between human activity and climate change."

Isn't science wonderful?
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Instead of looking only for scientists with ties to some industry or other, or for whom there's some easy way to dismiss them, why not look at the guys who don't have any reason at all to take the position they do other than that they have looked at the science and don't agree with the conclusions at the IPCC?

No problem. And here's a list of organizations which do agree with the notion of ACC (not counting the scientific workhorses like NASA and NOAA). Ranging everywhere from the American Medical Association to the American Statistical Association to the American Society for Microbiology to the Geological Society of America to the Society of American Foresters to American Quaternary Association to the American Meteorological Society. Organizations which, by in large, don't have any vested interest in proving the science correct but are made up of many, many people who also have read and understood the science and do agree with the conclusions. So why don't you take a look at them?

Edited, Dec 16th 2009 10:19pm by Jophiel
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#580 Dec 16 2009 at 10:05 PM Rating: Good
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It's an interesting link, and I do like the graph. I'll peruse these a bit at my leisure, but a list of a few dozen scientists is not a published article against global warming. I'm not going to speak to the credibility of these scientists.

You insist that somehow all the scientists that support ACC lying is not a conspiracy? I mean that's what it would have to be, unless you're somehow convinced that the scientists have all been fooled by each other. For me, I'd follow the money, and while sure I can see that you could get some funding to do climate research, there is also a lot of money flowing into the pockets of people who deny ACC.

Edited, Dec 16th 2009 10:12pm by Xsarus
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#581 Dec 16 2009 at 10:36 PM Rating: Excellent
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Somewhat interesting reading, depending on how big of a dork you are: some guys did a survey (PDF) of 1,842 scientists who have been published (this was the same criteria Gbaji's list of scientists used) and who were "climate scientists" and asked them a range of questions about global warming/climate change and the scientific/political process. Most (75%) of them were not involved in in the IPCC reports (as author or reviewer).

Broadly speaking, the majority of them are confident in the systems used and a strong majority are in agreement that ACC is real and poses a legitimate threat. I found it interesting because it gives more of a scale effect than a simple "yes" or "no".

I also found it interesting because I'm a big dork.
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#582 Dec 17 2009 at 11:12 AM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:
Because people don't write scientific papers about things that are *not* happening. That's one of the other rather large strawman arguments used. That somehow the lack of scientific papers disagreeing with global warming theories means that global warming theories must be correct. I'd explain to you how papers on the subject of "climate change" are defined, and how that automatically restricts the way they can be reviewed and/or questioned, but you'd probably just argue I was spinning the subject.


Tell you what. It's wiki, but what the heck. Here's a List of scientists who oppose global warming. Feel free to click on names in the various categories and then look at their areas of expertise and the statements they have made. And how about you do something shocking? Instead of looking only for scientists with ties to some industry or other, or for whom there's some easy way to dismiss them, why not look at the guys who don't have any reason at all to take the position they do other than that they have looked at the science and don't agree with the conclusions at the IPCC?

Can you do that? It's easy to find some guys you can attack and dismiss. That's why it's called a strawman. You're picking your own target. But if you are to honestly form an opinion and perhaps attempt to find out for yourself what the "truth" is here, wouldn't it be better to go read up on the guys who aren't strawmen? The guys who do have reasonable and logical reasons for opposing the various global warming assumptions and proposals? Cause if you can't answer them, then you aren't really debunking the "deniers" are you? You're just lying to yourself at that point...


That's the best you can do? Well, here's a Wiki page stating that 97% of climatoligists worldwide agree that climate change is man-made.
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#583 Dec 17 2009 at 11:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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Quiet you. He has a list of ~20 guys, globally, who disagree to varying extents with the IPCC report.

Don't take this away from him... he needs this.
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#584 Dec 17 2009 at 12:40 PM Rating: Good
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What really makes it hard in these debates is the fact that the argument against ACC seems to keep changing. At times the earth isn't warming, then it changes to sure the earth is warming, but human's aren't causing it, sometimes that is defended with the fact that there is no evidence that humans are causing rising CO2 levels but when that's ridiculed the argument usually backs down to, well this graph doesn't show that. Sometimes it's a big conspiracy where all these scientists are making **** up to stay on the government cheese, other times the scientists are just mislead somehow, so it's not a conspiracy (tbh, I've never understood this one) Energy money flowing into ACC deniers is just because their interests align though, not because the deniers are being payed off.
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#585 Dec 17 2009 at 1:41 PM Rating: Excellent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
What really makes it hard in these debates is the fact that the argument against ACC seems to keep changing.

I'm amused by the arguments that get used here that those people would never apply to other scientific issues. We can't "prove" evolution or the Big Bang theory because we're incapable of starting time over again and playing with the results. We have to rely on collected evidence and models, structuring it together in the way that makes the most sense. But these ACC skeptics wouldn't reject the Big Bang because it can't be "proven". The same way Seven Day Creationists take the body of collected evidence supporting evolution and nip around the edges is identical to the way ACC skeptics try to discredit little bits and pieces without ever really getting into the body of it. And moronic arguments like "If we came from monkeys, how comes there's still monkeys?" are reflected in "I bet those scientist guys never heard about... the Medieval Warm Period!"

Gbaji's list of twenty guys as evidence that the debate is still wide open reminds me of another fun bunch -- sure as the flowers bloom in the spring and the ice forms in winter, every August you get a couple nutcases waving around their "List of 100 esteemed scientists" who are certain that the government is lying about 9/11. Forget the rest of the evidence, if Bernard Smithilstein, Assoc. Professor of Mathology (Retired) says that plastic can't melt and therefore 9/11 is a hoax, that means both sides have an equally credible argument, right? And again with the nipping at the edges of the evidence -- Why would you worry about something like "What happened to AA Flight 77" when you have a guy saying "We couldn't find airplane wings so the Pentagon was hit by a cruise missile"?

It's funny (sadly, not really ha-ha) how people will, for the sake of politics, fly into conspiracy theory mode over an issue where they'd never accept the same arguments in another context.
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#586 Dec 17 2009 at 2:07 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
What really makes it hard in these debates is the fact that the argument against ACC seems to keep changing. At times the earth isn't warming, then it changes to sure the earth is warming, but human's aren't causing it, sometimes that is defended with the fact that there is no evidence that humans are causing rising CO2 levels but when that's ridiculed the argument usually backs down to, well this graph doesn't show that. Sometimes it's a big conspiracy where all these scientists are making sh*t up to stay on the government cheese, other times the scientists are just mislead somehow, so it's not a conspiracy (tbh, I've never understood this one) Energy money flowing into ACC deniers is just because their interests align though, not because the deniers are being payed off.

Now, I think, the argument stands at "The climate is changing, and it may be caused by humans, but it might not be as catastrophic as destroying the human race, so there's no need to do anything about it".

Of course, this ignores other related issues like, say, localized air pollution.
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publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#587 Dec 17 2009 at 2:09 PM Rating: Good
Debalic wrote:
Now, I think, the argument stands at "The climate is changing, and it may be caused by humans, but it might not be as catastrophic as destroying the human race, so there's no need to do anything about it".

Of course, this ignores other related issues like, say, localized air pollution.


And drowning polar bears. Don't forget about them. Smiley: frown Sometimes, they even attack a bull walrus in desparation.
#588 Dec 17 2009 at 2:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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Nobody is entirely sure how gravity works.

Why aren't we attacking gravity? I'm tired of it always keeping us down.
#589 Dec 17 2009 at 4:30 PM Rating: Good
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Not to be nitpicking, but that graph showed a .7 Celsius increase in an almost 100 year period. Is that really worth getting up into a lather about? Also, WTF does the AMA have to do with climate change?
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#590 Dec 17 2009 at 4:34 PM Rating: Good
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Kastigir wrote:
Not to be nitpicking, but that graph showed a .7 Celsius increase in an almost 100 year period. Is that really worth getting up into a lather about? Also, WTF does the AMA have to do with climate change?
It does if it has a noticeable impact, it doesn't if there isn't an impact. The point people are making is that a subtle change in temperature globally can have a significant impact. That's the point. You're welcome to argue that it doesn't have an impact, but I'd expect some kind of cite besides, well, I don't notice it walking outside.
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#591 Dec 17 2009 at 5:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kastigir wrote:
Also, WTF does the AMA have to do with climate change?

About as much as being a "emeritus professor of nuclear physics" does, I imagine. But that got included into the esteemed list of dissenters.
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#592 Dec 17 2009 at 5:03 PM Rating: Decent
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Kastigir wrote:
Not to be nitpicking, but that graph showed a .7 Celsius increase in an almost 100 year period. Is that really worth getting up into a lather about?



I would be more worries about the 0.3 mm sea level rise if I were you! PDF.

If that carries on for another 1000 years we're gonna need uto ummmm..... stand back a bit. Or something.
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#593 Dec 17 2009 at 5:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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Article wrote:
Taking also into account the small GRACE-based contribution from continental waters (b0.2 mm/yr), we find a total ocean mass contribution of ∼2 mm/yr over 2003–2008.


Edited, Dec 17th 2009 5:15pm by Jophiel
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#594 Dec 17 2009 at 5:14 PM Rating: Decent
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paulsol wrote:
Kastigir wrote:
Not to be nitpicking, but that graph showed a .7 Celsius increase in an almost 100 year period. Is that really worth getting up into a lather about?



I would be more worries about the 0.3 mm sea level rise if I were you! PDF.

If that carries on for another 1000 years we're gonna need uto ummmm..... stand back a bit. Or something.

Of course! We should never consider things in the long-term!
#595 Dec 17 2009 at 5:22 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Article wrote:
Taking also into account the small GRACE-based contribution from continental waters (b0.2 mm/yr), we find a total ocean mass contribution of ∼2 mm/yr over 2003–2008.




Theres an awful lot of 'adjusting', using various models, going on to reach that figure.

Quote:
Fig. 1. Ocean mass change from GRACE over 2003–2008. The open circled curve is the
raw time series. The black triangles curve corresponds to the GIA corrected time series.



Just sayin'.
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#596 Dec 17 2009 at 5:26 PM Rating: Decent
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It's WICKED cold here. Global Warming...pfft.
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#597REDACTED, Posted: Dec 17 2009 at 5:58 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Elinda,
#598 Dec 17 2009 at 6:04 PM Rating: Good
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publiusvarus wrote:
Elinda,

That's what i'm saying. We need to speed up this global warming thing asap.

But I don't want to move to higher ground.
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#599 Dec 17 2009 at 6:32 PM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
It's WICKED cold here. Global Warming...pfft.

global warming causes extremes at both ends of the spectrum.
#600 Dec 17 2009 at 6:43 PM Rating: Good
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Didn't any of you see The Day After Tomorrow???

Where is Dennis Quaid when we need him?
#601 Dec 17 2009 at 7:34 PM Rating: Good
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Debalic wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Because people don't write scientific papers about things that are *not* happening. That's one of the other rather large strawman arguments used. That somehow the lack of scientific papers disagreeing with global warming theories means that global warming theories must be correct. I'd explain to you how papers on the subject of "climate change" are defined, and how that automatically restricts the way they can be reviewed and/or questioned, but you'd probably just argue I was spinning the subject.


Tell you what. It's wiki, but what the heck. Here's a List of scientists who oppose global warming. Feel free to click on names in the various categories and then look at their areas of expertise and the statements they have made. And how about you do something shocking? Instead of looking only for scientists with ties to some industry or other, or for whom there's some easy way to dismiss them, why not look at the guys who don't have any reason at all to take the position they do other than that they have looked at the science and don't agree with the conclusions at the IPCC?

Can you do that? It's easy to find some guys you can attack and dismiss. That's why it's called a strawman. You're picking your own target. But if you are to honestly form an opinion and perhaps attempt to find out for yourself what the "truth" is here, wouldn't it be better to go read up on the guys who aren't strawmen? The guys who do have reasonable and logical reasons for opposing the various global warming assumptions and proposals? Cause if you can't answer them, then you aren't really debunking the "deniers" are you? You're just lying to yourself at that point...


That's the best you can do? Well, here's a Wiki page stating that 97% of climatoligists worldwide agree that climate change is man-made.

WHile a good point, don't oversimplify this, Debalic, because it confuses climate change sceptics.

97% of climatoligists worldwide agree that about half the climate change occurring presently is man-made. The other half is caused by the usual natural long term climate cycles of the Earth.
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