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Meh, probably not. Equal rights and slavery aren't the same thing. The industrial revolution likely would have made slavery in the sense that it was practiced in the South useless and expensive. You largely have the functional equivalent of this, now, with prison labor. It couldn't possibly generate enough revenue to be self sufficient without tax dollars. The reality is that it's very likely the South would have voluntarily abolished slavery eventually, probably a few decades later than the end of the war.
Right, with the reasons for abolition being quite a bit nastier too. The reason slavery was on the way out is that you had to pay for their food, shelter and an outlay fee which made it undesirable if your property died before it paid for itself. As long as slavery raked up oodles of dough, it would remain in practice, but when economic downturn ripped up the southern economy, it became more desirable for the planters to only pay for their labor not the laborers. If they died from lack of food, lack of shelter, or became crippled or whatever, by using non slaves, it made it essentially not their problem. Thus cheaper, and without the pressure from an abolitionist movement.
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That aside, while slavery was an issue in the war, it probably wasn't really the driving one. There had to be a reckoning between the power of individual states relative to the federal government, and people would have died over it with no extraneous issues to noble up the winning side after they made the conscious decision to fight a war of attrition with no regard to how many people were killed on either side in the name of victory.
This is also made abundantly clear because only the slaves in the non-Union territories were declared "free" by Lincoln thereby costing "nothing" to the North while giving them the "good guy" role. Well, other than a bullet to the back of the head, I mean.