Forum Settings
       
Reply To Thread

What a DealFollow

#52 Nov 03 2009 at 11:56 AM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
"Liberal Democrats" nothing. If the GOP actually believed in this, it would have came to the floor while Republicans controlled the White House and both branches of Congress. It didn't. They didn't even try to advance legislation on it. Bush tried to push the issue and it died a short, ugly death without any meaningful support.

But, hey, blame "liberal Democrats" for your party's failings if it makes you feel better. You do about every other issue.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#53REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 12:08 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Joph,
#54 Nov 03 2009 at 12:23 PM Rating: Good
publiusvarus wrote:
Joph,

Quote:
Bush tried to push the issue and it died a short, ugly death without any meaningful support.


And this is part of the reason the Dems were able to take control of congress. The party decided it was going to go the rino route instead of sticking to the conservative principles that define the party. Incidentally we're beginning to see the backlash from conservative voters.


I wouldn't say we're beginning to see it. That whole election thing - you know, that thing the democrats won by a landslide - was some time ago now.
#55REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 12:30 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Kavek,
#56 Nov 03 2009 at 12:32 PM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
The problem isn't that the GOP is going the RINO route, the problem is that the GOP true believers are kicking the moderates out of their party--moderates who used to be more of a real presence, in favor of embracing people like Sarah Palin. John McCain, btw, isn't moderate--he's conservative. The only reason that some people in the republican party think he's a "RINO" is because they are insane.

Quote:

I said we're beginning to see it. And if NJ actually elects a republican then yes this is the beginning of the end of Dem rule in congress.


This **** goes in cycles. No party gets a mandate.

You know the economy took 18 months to get out of the recession after he was on office. Obama isn't given the same consideration by the ******** that lionize him.

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 1:42pm by Annabella
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#57REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 12:38 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Anna,
#58 Nov 03 2009 at 12:47 PM Rating: Good
*****
12,049 posts
publiusvarus wrote:


Moderates who used to represent ideals that aren't consistent with what the GOP stands for. And if running them off leads to more traditional conservatives in office then I say go for it. If this was a real problem we wouldn't be talking about how close the governorships of Va and NJ are (two blue obama states).


I remember all those years that Mitt Romney was the governor of MA. So long as governors don't vote in Congress I don't really care who gets elected.

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 2:09pm by LockeColeMA

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 2:10pm by LockeColeMA
#59 Nov 03 2009 at 12:48 PM Rating: Good
Quote:
Moderates who used to represent ideals that aren't consistent with what the GOP stands for. And if running them off leads to more traditional conservatives in office then I say go for it. If this was a real problem we wouldn't be talking about how close the governorships of Va and NJ are (two blue obama states).


It won't, because people will just vote for the republicans less.
#60 Nov 03 2009 at 12:50 PM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
I'm not sure how "blue" Virginia is in general. It just recently became a bit of a swing state but had gone republican for 10 of the previous elections.
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#61 Nov 03 2009 at 1:00 PM Rating: Default
Kavek,

Quote:
It won't, because people will just vote for the republicans less.


Or people who have been pushed away by this rino nonsense will be inspired and actually get out and vote this upcoming election cycle.



Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 2:00pm by publiusvarus
#62 Nov 03 2009 at 1:14 PM Rating: Good
*****
12,049 posts
publiusvarus wrote:
Kavek,

Quote:
It won't, because people will just vote for the republicans less.


Or people who have been pushed away by this rino nonsense will be inspired and actually get out and vote this upcoming election cycle.



Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 2:00pm by publiusvarus


It's funny how a sentence can be taken in two completely different ways. You say "RINO nonsense" as in "people will see the remaining Republicans are good conservatives and will turn out to vote for them." I see "RINO nonsense" as "it's nonsensical that while the Republicans snipe each other they actually think anyone will look at the party and go 'Huh, I like those guys who are too busy fighting themselves to fight the Democraps'."
#63 Nov 03 2009 at 1:26 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
Annabella, Goblin in Disguise wrote:
I'm not sure how "blue" Virginia is in general. It just recently became a bit of a swing state but had gone republican for 10 of the previous elections.

It's not blue. It's barely purple. The wins of Obama and Kaine were such news precisely because Virginia is traditionally red. The demographics in the state are changing and it's slowly gaining more Democratic support. Demographically, I've heard (since I don't collect data personally.. heh) that it's becoming more of a Mid-Atlantic state and less of a Southern state. But it's not an immediate change and I'd assume the GOP candidate has an advantage in any VA races in the near future.

News cycles aside, Nate Silver ran an interesting piece on how little gubernatorial races matter against the national scene. Money quote:
Nate Silver wrote:
Of the eleven states with a PVI of D+7 or bluer, five (Hawaii, Vermont, Rhode Island, California and Connecticut) currently have a Republican governor. Of the ten states with a PVI of R+10 or redder, meanwhile, four (Kentucky, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming) have a Republican governor. The correlation between gubernatorial elections and elections to the House, Senate and Presidency has been very weak, at least recently. In fact, if you compare the share of the vote that the Democratic candidate got in the most recent gubernatorial election in each state to the share that Barack Obama got last November, it is almost literally zero

In short, approximately half of the reddest states from a presidential election standpoint have Democratic governors and about half of the bluest states have Republican governors. A Corizine loss in NJ, for instance, probably won't be predictive of future federal level elections. A loss of face certainly and I won't deny that the Democrats would rather win these elections than lose them but they aren't all they're trumped up to be.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#64 Nov 03 2009 at 1:31 PM Rating: Good
***
3,829 posts
So...Virus is cheering for the loss of rational voices within the GOP. Who is surprised?

Not me.
#65REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 1:50 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Jophed,
#66 Nov 03 2009 at 1:52 PM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
I'm guessing that Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe don't worry all that much about being called RINOs--in terms of electability.
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#67REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 1:58 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Anna,
#68 Nov 03 2009 at 1:59 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
publiusvarus wrote:
What they are is warnings to rino's in other states up for election next year that they will not get the GOP support if they push liberal values and plans.

You realize, of course, that this is the attitude Democrats are praying for in states like Florida and Pennsylvania. Hell, in Illinois you have conservatives calling Mark Kirk a RINO for supporting the climate bill. If they ran Kirk out in the primary, the GOP has no chance of winning the IL senate seat.

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 2:06pm by Jophiel
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#69 Nov 03 2009 at 2:09 PM Rating: Good
*****
12,049 posts
publiusvarus wrote:

These elections could very well determine whether Obama gets the support he needs for his socialized govn healthcare plan.


Governors vote for healthcare reform in Congress now?
#70 Nov 03 2009 at 2:29 PM Rating: Decent
Encyclopedia
******
35,568 posts
LockeColeMA wrote:
publiusvarus wrote:

These elections could very well determine whether Obama gets the support he needs for his socialized govn healthcare plan.


Governors vote for healthcare reform in Congress now?


Joph's faith in whatshisnames site not withstanding, pretty much every political pundit in the country is reading the races going on today as a referendum of momentum in support of Obama's policies and the direction the Dems have taken the Federal government. A statistically significant portion of voters today are voting right or left, not based just on the person on the ticket, but as a sign of support or opposition to policies going on in the larger political arena.

If people like what the Dems are doing, they'll support more left leaning candidates. If they don't like it, they'll support right leaning candidates. Kinda obvious really...


EDIT: Oh. Forgot the follow up. If the Dems do poorly in todays election, this will serve as a wakeup call to on the fence Dems in Congress who are up for re-election next fall. If the Dems do well, they'll feel safe and be willing to support the more progressive health care bills on the agenda. If the Dems do poorly, they will not feel safe and will be less likely to do so.

That's how a Governor's race affects a vote in the US Congress.

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 12:38pm by gbaji
____________________________
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#71 Nov 03 2009 at 2:52 PM Rating: Good
*****
12,049 posts
gbaji wrote:
LockeColeMA wrote:
publiusvarus wrote:

These elections could very well determine whether Obama gets the support he needs for his socialized govn healthcare plan.


Governors vote for healthcare reform in Congress now?


Joph's faith in whatshisnames site not withstanding, pretty much every political pundit in the country is reading the races going on today as a referendum of momentum in support of Obama's policies and the direction the Dems have taken the Federal government. A statistically significant portion of voters today are voting right or left, not based just on the person on the ticket, but as a sign of support or opposition to policies going on in the larger political arena.

If people like what the Dems are doing, they'll support more left leaning candidates. If they don't like it, they'll support right leaning candidates. Kinda obvious really...


EDIT: Oh. Forgot the follow up. If the Dems do poorly in todays election, this will serve as a wakeup call to on the fence Dems in Congress who are up for re-election next fall. If the Dems do well, they'll feel safe and be willing to support the more progressive health care bills on the agenda. If the Dems do poorly, they will not feel safe and will be less likely to do so.

That's how a Governor's race affects a vote in the US Congress.

Edited, Nov 3rd 2009 12:38pm by gbaji


The correct answer is "No, governors don't ******* vote in Congress."

Nice try, though.
#72 Nov 03 2009 at 2:59 PM Rating: Default
Locked,

Quote:
The correct answer is "No, governors don't @#%^ing vote in Congress."

Nice try, though.


Congressmen vote in congress. And quite a few of these "blue dog" dems are up for re-election next year. You better believe they're watching how these governor races turn out. When all is said and done they'll vote for what will get them re-elected. If they think putting their name on this govn healthcare plan will get them booted you better believe they won't have anything to do with it.

#73 Nov 03 2009 at 3:00 PM Rating: Decent
Encyclopedia
******
35,568 posts
LockeColeMA wrote:
The correct answer is "No, governors don't @#%^ing vote in Congress."


No one said they did. Excuse me for explaining something to you which you clearly failed to grasp (how a governors race might affect a vote in Congress). If you'd prefer to remain ignorant, that's up to you.
____________________________
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#74 Nov 03 2009 at 3:39 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
gbaji wrote:
Joph's faith in whatshisnames site not withstanding

It doesn't take "faith" to acknowledge that 50-60% of the most presidentially partisan states in the union have governors from the other party. In fact, weren't you the one scrambling before to refute the tax study showing red states consuming far more federal money than they produce by insisting that state level government had no bearing on national level election results? Oh, that's right. You were exactly that person.

While the "pundits" may be making grandiose claims about how important all this is, actual political analysts are less impressed.
Charlie Cook wrote:
Reading a lot into the results of odd-year elections is almost always wrongheaded because they involve so few races.

Obviously, if one party sweeps the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial contests as well as the special election in New York's 23rd Congressional District, the winning side will crow that this is the most significant political event in a half-century. And, just as obviously, if one party goes 0 for 3, the losing side will offer a dozen moderately legitimate reasons to excuse away its poor performance.
[...]
In short, take all the grand pronouncements about the results of 2009's trio of high-profile contests with a hefty portion of salt.

Stu Rothenberg seemed likewise unimpressed with sweeping proclamations regarding the importance of today's elections. But I'm sure the guys on the radio are positively breathless.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#75REDACTED, Posted: Nov 03 2009 at 3:53 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Jophed,
#76 Nov 03 2009 at 4:04 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
publiusvarus wrote:
If these elections aren't important why did Obama invest so much of himself in them?

Because there's obvious benefits to winning them. That doesn't mean they're important in the ways you claim they're important.

Rather than edit my earlier post, I'll note here that Bob Benenson over at CQ Politics also says that viewing these as a bellwether is a mistake.
CQ Politics wrote:
It is risky business to view today’s key “off-year” contests — in Virginia, New Jersey and New York — as bellwethers for next year’s much fuller slate of elections. Or, at least that’s what history suggests.

Sometimes, these odd-year elections can look oddly predictive, as in 2003, when Republican pickups for governor in Mississippi and Kentucky preceded the re-election of Republican George W. Bush as president in 2004, and in 2005, when the Democratic candidates scored hard-won holds for governor in New Jersey and Virginia on the eve of their party’s takeover of Congress in the 2006 elections.
[...]
But this year’s big contests seem a bit too idiosyncratic to provide a single takeaway message.
[...]
But even if the GOP gets the better of these 2009 races, any claims of major momentum heading into 2010 would require a rebuttal of a wide range of national opinion polls, the results of which suggest that the Republican Party has a long way to go in order to regain the public standing it lost during Bush’s tumultuous second term.
[...]
With loud voices accusing Obama of putting the United States on a path toward socialism, the president’s approval ratings dropped. Until, that is they stopped falling. And where the parties stand on Election Day 2009, in the big-picture numbers, looks rather amazingly similar to where they were on Election Day 2008.

The whole three page article is a pretty interesting read.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Reply To Thread

Colors Smileys Quote OriginalQuote Checked Help

 

Recent Visitors: 258 All times are in CST
Anonymous Guests (258)