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#102 Oct 23 2009 at 3:26 PM Rating: Decent
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soulshaver, do you actually know anything at all about medicine or biology?


No, my background is in critical thinking. Apparently they are unrelated fields (semi-joking). But seriously I'm not interested in comparing egos and exchanging insults. If you are seriously interested in my background, I work in IT, and have a professional certification in this area, but my BA is in Philosophy with a focus on Epistemology (Summa *** Laude 2005.)

Quote:
If I understand your argument, you are saying that if we had never began relying on antibiotics and vaccines that our immune systems would be strong enough on their own to ward of diseases.


I'm not saying thats definitively the case, but I am suggesting it as a possibility. What I'm saying is that there is no controlled variable for this big experiment that we are doing so, while it makes perfect sense for us to use this medicine for our everyday needs, because it seems to work from our limited perspective, the actual scientific data is incomplete and we are left with circumstantial evidence.

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Evolution takes generations and generations to happen. This puts us at a disadvantage since generations/reproduction for humans is approx. every 20 years while bacteria have a replication time of as little as 20 minutes.


Great point....BUT, do we know what the initial cause for an evolutionary change is and how, when, and under what conditions it occurs? Another words, the evolutionary process may take a while, but could the precursor or agent that caused the evolution occur spontaneously and go unnoticed in the original, un-evolved, subject?

Is it possible that by injecting ourselves with this vaccine we are enabling the flu to become stronger by urging it to mutate more quickly and generate more variances which are more difficult to inoculate against, and might it also have some unknown, unforeseen effect on future generations of people through some process that we don't understand and/or cannot predict.

I'm not saying that this is the case, just that it it possible. We don't know much about evolution especially the evolution of our immune system in adapting to new threats.

http://library.thinkquest.org/C004367/be7.shtml

Quote:
The pathway by which the immune system evolved has yet to be worked out in detail, though many scientists have speculated on the possible steps such evolution might require, and scientific papers have been published on the subject. While there are some interesting theories, most are beyond the scope of an overview.




#103 Oct 23 2009 at 3:27 PM Rating: Good
Timelordwho wrote:
Quote:
Basically what I'm saying is that bacteria will ALWAYS outshine us in the mutation/evolution department. Without modern medicine, bacteria will just trample us. Regardless of how many new defenses our body can come up with, bacteria will find a way around it in a matter of years.


Well, at least until we get (good) nano-biotech.


The problem is the parameters of judgment are not fair, here. For the bacteria to win, they have to kill only some of us, for us to win we have to kill all of them.
#104 Oct 23 2009 at 3:45 PM Rating: Good
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Is it possible that by injecting ourselves with this vaccine we are enabling the flu to become stronger by urging it to mutate more quickly and generate more variances which are more difficult to inoculate against, and might it also have some unknown, unforeseen effect on future generations of people through some process that we don't understand and/or cannot predict.


Just because the flu mutates does NOT make it more virulent. The 1918 flu was one of the most virulent diseases we've ever seen. By your rational us stomping the 1918 flu should have led to a mutated more virulent strain. If it did, we haven't seen it in nearly 100 years.
#105 Oct 23 2009 at 8:20 PM Rating: Excellent
ThiefX wrote:
[quote]every time people like Cat who are perfectly healthy and young go stand in line to get a shot that gives them a case of the very flu they were scared the death of.


The CDC wrote:

Can the nasal spray flu vaccine give you the flu?
Unlike the flu shot, the nasal spray flu vaccine does contain live viruses. However, the viruses are attenuated (weakened) and cannot cause flu illness. The weakened viruses are cold-adapted, which means they are designed to only cause infection at the cooler temperatures found within the nose. The viruses cannot infect the lungs or other areas where warmer temperatures exist. Some children and young adults 2-17 years of age have reported experiencing mild reactions after receiving nasal spray flu vaccine, including runny nose, nasal congestion or cough, chills, tiredness/weakness, sore throat and headache. Some adults 18-49 years of age have reported runny nose or nasal congestion, cough, chills, tiredness/weakness, sore throat and headache. These side effects are mild and short-lasting, especially when compared to symptoms of influenza infection.


emphasis mine.

Source:

http://www.cdc.gov/FLU/about/qa/nasalspray.htm

#106 Oct 23 2009 at 9:36 PM Rating: Good
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soulshaver wrote:
Quote:
soulshaver, do you actually know anything at all about medicine or biology?


No, my background is in critical thinking. Apparently they are unrelated fields (semi-joking). But seriously I'm not interested in comparing egos and exchanging insults. If you are seriously interested in my background, I work in IT, and have a professional certification in this area, but my BA is in Philosophy with a focus on Epistemology (Summa *** Laude 2005.)
cool. I'm not a biologist either. But I have taken a couple courses that touch on it, and I can say that I have encountered no evidence that a vaccine weakens your immune system. Sure our understanding is not perfect, but it is good enough to have a fairly strong degree of confidence that the outcome is indeed the opposite.

I would say to you that to ask intelligent questions you have to be informed about the subject. In any other circumstance you will simple be flailing mindlessly. If someone came to you and asked you a bunch of questions about your field that clearly showed they didn't have a grasp of the fundamentals would you take them seriously? An obvious example would be the idea of 52000 bit encryption schemes as a valid solution. No matter how fast you can do this, no one cares, because it is irrelevant. This is what your "questions" are doing. You need to ask questions from an informed perspective at the very least or they are meaningless.
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#107 Oct 23 2009 at 10:25 PM Rating: Decent
Edited by bsphil
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paulsol wrote:
Agreed. But compulsory inoculation for health workers would have far less effect in keeping employees healthy than say, refusing to employ people who smoke, or who lead an unhealthy lifestyle. I don't see anyone suggesting that.

Do you?

No. Because if we fired all the heavy smoking fat fucks who work in the average healthcare establishment, you'd have an awful lot of empty parking spaces in the staff car park.
Lung cancer and obesity are contagious?

News to me...



Edited, Oct 23rd 2009 11:33pm by bsphil
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#108 Oct 24 2009 at 12:10 AM Rating: Decent
bsphil wrote:
Lung cancer and obesity are contagious?
Yes, they're transmitted through advertising.
#109 Oct 24 2009 at 2:15 AM Rating: Decent
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soulshaver wrote:
No, my background is in critical thinking. Apparently they are unrelated fields (semi-joking). But seriously I'm not interested in comparing egos and exchanging insults. If you are seriously interested in my background, I work in IT, and have a professional certification in this area, but my BA is in Philosophy with a focus on Epistemology (Summa *** Laude 2005.)


I feel like killing myself now. Thanks.

Aside from my impending self-termination, I suggest you refresh yourself on well... applying epistemology to your actual cognitive approach instead of ruminating about it.

Also, consider the following: "I would say to you that to ask intelligent questions you have to be informed about the subject. In any other circumstance you will simple be flailing mindlessly. If someone came to you and asked you a bunch of questions about your field that clearly showed they didn't have a grasp of the fundamentals would you take them seriously"

Why has xsarus apparently intuited and applied more of the synthesis of the Enlightenment Era epistemology in his response to you than you who have actually studied it?

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 4:18am by Pensive
#110 Oct 24 2009 at 2:27 AM Rating: Good
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Smiley: laugh your second version flows much better pensive.

And you spelled my name right. Everyone seems to miss the s after the X

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 3:28am by Xsarus
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#111 Oct 24 2009 at 6:25 AM Rating: Decent
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soulshaver wrote:
No, my background is in critical thinking. Apparently they are unrelated fields (semi-joking). But seriously I'm not interested in comparing egos and exchanging insults. If you are seriously interested in my background, I work in IT, and have a professional certification in this area, but my BA is in Philosophy with a focus on Epistemology (Summa *** Laude 2005.)


So you're a techie with an arts degree?

Soulshaver! This is Kant calling from the 18th century to tell you that all of history thinks you are a presumptious **********

Now crawl back to the crap-laden hole you call a study and let the people who've done a goddamn science degree talk about the science while you contemplate the small puddle of blood-stained ***** that appeared outside your door last night.
#112 Oct 24 2009 at 8:40 AM Rating: Good
I'll admit, I have had a very mild runny nose for the last two days. It's mostly clearing up now, and it was no worse than the change of season congestion I experienced earlier this month.

Much better than being knocked out in bed for a week, kthnx.
#113 Oct 24 2009 at 10:58 AM Rating: Good
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soulshaver wrote:

Quote:
Evolution takes generations and generations to happen. This puts us at a disadvantage since generations/reproduction for humans is approx. every 20 years while bacteria have a replication time of as little as 20 minutes.


Great point....BUT, do we know what the initial cause for an evolutionary change is and how, when, and under what conditions it occurs? Another words, the evolutionary process may take a while, but could the precursor or agent that caused the evolution occur spontaneously and go unnoticed in the original, un-evolved, subject?

Stop reading X-men comics, evolution doesn't work like that. In all honesty, it doesn't matter how the mutation occurs. For a mutation to be considered "evolution" it needs to be passed on to a majority of the population. Passing on the mutation requires reproduction, and then you just run into the same problem I mentioned earlier: bacteria evolve/reproduce faster.

Quote:
Is it possible that by injecting ourselves with this vaccine we are enabling the flu to become stronger by urging it to mutate more quickly and generate more variances which are more difficult to inoculate against, and might it also have some unknown, unforeseen effect on future generations of people through some process that we don't understand and/or cannot predict.

No. All you are basically getting in the vaccine is the "husk" (protective protein shell) of the virus. It doesn't have any genetic information for the flu in it, so there is nothing there to evolve.


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We I don't know much about evolution especially the evolution of our immune system in adapting to new threats.

FTFY

Quote:
http://library.thinkquest.org/C004367/be7.shtml

Quote:
The pathway by which the immune system evolved has yet to be worked out in detail, though many scientists have speculated on the possible steps such evolution might require, and scientific papers have been published on the subject. While there are some interesting theories, most are beyond the scope of an overview.

You're right, we don't know the evolutionary process that lead to our immune system, but that goes for just about every system in our body. This is like asking the process that lead to humans developing and producing an amylase that could break down alpha-polysaccharides but not beta-polysaccharides.

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 11:58am by Bardalicious
#114 Oct 24 2009 at 11:40 AM Rating: Excellent
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Quote:
Stop reading X-men comics, evolution doesn't work like that.
Yes it does.


I still have a chance to learn how/develop the ability to teleport.
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#115REDACTED, Posted: Oct 24 2009 at 11:53 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Absolutely. Because I'm not bigoted enough to think that the extent of my knowledge is the way things actually are, and I'm open to other possibilities. A complete idiot that knowns nothing about a subject could offer a revolutionary new method/strategy through simple accident, or by using their common sense and thinking outside the box.
#116 Oct 24 2009 at 12:10 PM Rating: Decent
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A complete idiot that knowns nothing about a subject could offer a revolutionary new method/strategy through simple accident, or by using their common sense and thinking outside the box.


You embarrass me. I'm not sure I've before seen someone explicitly study epistemology and so completely miss the point of how inductive reasoning works. You are severely unlikely to instigate a paradigm shift in science. Could you offer something amazingly awesome to a field of which you are a complete neophyte? Sure. Are you going to? Well, the very induction that you are using to examine remote possibilities tells us "no, probably not."

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Have you ever read The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn? Basically, the history of science (and much else) is the history of us proving what we previously thought to be the case wrong. Why do we think that our current understanding is any better?


Abductive reasoning: another thing you should already be intimately acquainted with. You should be so intimately acquainted with this in fact that you can just whisper, "hi" in the ear of parsimony and make it ******. You go with what works at the current time due to practical constraints on human knowledge, as well as the imperative to let scientists actually do things as opposed to endless pontification.

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Since ya'll can't seem to grasp the concept of "what if" conditionals as compared to declarative statements


And deduction? You want to desecrate that too!?, Jesus christ. Here, you postulate conditionals as a means of preserving truth, not of finding it. You don't use hypothetical conditionals, ever, not in the history of proper logic, to assert truth; you use them to make sure that your hypothetical truth is coherent, and does not contradict itself. That way, when the scientists actually get around to the paradigm shift of the month, you can already have a proper logical framework in place with which to advise it.
#117 Oct 24 2009 at 12:18 PM Rating: Good
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Absolutely. Because I'm not bigoted enough to think that the extent of my knowledge is the way things actually are, and I'm open to other possibilities. A complete idiot that knowns nothing about a subject could offer a revolutionary new method/strategy through simple accident, or by using their common sense and thinking outside the box.

The science community isn't closed off to those without a background in science, but it sure as hell helps to have even the smallest understanding as a foundation. Everything I've said/outlined is verified scientific fact, and there really isn't any getting around it.

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Have you ever read The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn? Basically, the history of science (and much else) is the history of us proving what we previously thought to be the case wrong. Why do we think that our current understanding is any better?

Yes, but the majority of things that science disproves are ideas that had no scientific backing to begin with.

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In order to make any advancement in understanding in any field, we need people to think outside the box and ask tough questions that maybe people haven't thought of before or are too afraid to ask for fear of being called stupid. In fact, when someone does make a revolutionary new discovery, often they are labeled crazy and ignored. This is the only way any progress has been made in any area throughout history, someone doing something different than the way its always been done and challenging the current assertions that everyone believes in.

You still need to know the accepted ideas and provide a "this doesn't work because" and then explain it with logic and understanding that fits within the field.

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Since ya'll can't seem to grasp the concept of "what if" conditionals as compared to declarative statements, I am not going to continue the debate with regard to the potential increase in how rapidly the new flu virus adapts or how the vaccine could affect our body in the long run (especially future generations i.e. your children.)

I think that the only person having difficulty grasping a concept is you. "what if" conditionals are completely useless if you don't have the knowledge or even the faintest indication of where your "what if" is going. It's like me asking "What if the sky was red instead of blue"? - who the **** cares?

Quote:
Suffice to say that no one has really addressed the issues I was bringing up and instead have gone off on tangents about how fast bacteria adapts and how or whether or not the vaccine actually works, aside from the usual asinine, "holier than though," insults.

maybe because you haven't actually brought up an issue. Your argument boils down to little more than "WHAT IF THINGS WERE DIFFERENT!!?"

Quote:
Since we don't understand much about how the flu adapts or how evolution allows us to adapt to new biological threats, I'll just assume that people are scared of talking about things they don't know and instead would like to convince themselves that they are more intelligent because they have a simple understanding of the latest biological theory. Unless anyone wants to actually address my point?

Once again, it is YOU that doesn't understand things. The scientific community as a whole has a pretty good grasp on these things, more than you give credit for.
#118 Oct 24 2009 at 12:53 PM Rating: Good
Einstein didn't dream up the Theory of Relativity in a vacuum. Most people who revolutionized the scientific community with groundbreaking new ideas and theories did not do so by throwing out all the existing science that had been accepted in that field and striking out in a brand new direction from the start. They trained themselves in it thoroughly, and built on facts that had been proven many times, until they found a place where the facts no longer held sway. THEN they started challenging assumptions and such.

You have to know the rules before you can break them.

Okay, it's possible that EVERYTHING we know about viral vectors and germ theory is completely wrong. But most scientists who are testing new hypothesis in pathology, epidemiology, virology, and bacteriology start with the same basic assumptions we've had since BC 36 when Marcus Terentius Varro warned people not to build houses near swamps because tiny creatures too small to be seen would make you sick.

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 2:54pm by catwho
#119 Oct 24 2009 at 12:57 PM Rating: Good
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soulshaver wrote:
Why do we think that our current understanding is any better?


Because we didn't have the technology back then that we do today and many theories would stop at a hypothesis with a bunch of gbaji "WELL IT MAKES SENSE DOESN'T IT?!" logic thrown at it. We have the technology and further scientific understanding today to be able to look at something and say "Hey. This is definitely how it works."

In the modern world, the basics of a scientific field are (99% of the time) not open for discussion. You're trying to argue the basics, and that's why you're not getting the response you want. That would also be why people are telling you to grasp some idea of what you're talking about before you just throw questions around like you are.

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 2:58pm by CBD
#120REDACTED, Posted: Oct 24 2009 at 1:34 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) I'm not sure how many times I can explain that I am not arguing for a specific case, I am arguing the POSSIBILITY of potential cases. This does not mean you can safely assume that I mean to say something that you imagine.
#121 Oct 24 2009 at 1:54 PM Rating: Decent
soulshaver wrote:
So does anyone have any scientific evidence about how viruses evolve and adapt and home the immune system has evolved and adapted that is "definitely how it works" and doesn't involve a bunch of speculation or drivel from an immature forum poster trying to stroke their own ego?


http://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-a&rls=org.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial&channel=s&hl=en&source=hp&q=how+do+viruses+evolve&btnG=Google+Search

Your ignorance doesn't invalidate existing knowledge.
#122 Oct 24 2009 at 2:02 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
I'm simply pointing out that we don't know much about how viruses evolve and adapt and we don't know much about how human immune systems evolve and adapt.


In exchange, I offer you some comparably relevant information.

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Does anyone disagree with this?


Of course ******* not. People are disagreeing with the relevance of anything that you are saying to any topic of value, either related to the thread itself, or scientific knowledge in general.

You seem to have lost the purpose of your own argument. There is no compulsion here to care about the skeptical worries or concerns about some random dude who is expressing knowledge related concerns that are already built into the (properly executed, of course) system and method of science. It's like going into an ethics talk and asking "hmm, what if there really isn't any foundation for these things?" or a psychology conference and going "hmm, I wonder how the brain and mind interact; how do we know if they are different or the same?" Saying, "hmm I wonder if viruses evolve differently in relation to the human immune system" as if no one had ever thought of the question before is well... insipid.
#123 Oct 24 2009 at 2:13 PM Rating: Excellent
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I seem to have develooped a really nasty cold.

I fnd saline rinsing of the nasal passages helps a lot, so I'm going for a surf. If I'm not feeling better after that, I think I'll take a few days off work and allow my immune system to sort it out for me.

Good day to you.
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#124REDACTED, Posted: Oct 24 2009 at 2:29 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) So no one offered any scientific information because we don't have much to offer as a scientific community, so you resort to conceding my point but tacking on an insult just for good measure. If you don't care about some random speculation from a random forum poster, don't bother posting.
#125 Oct 24 2009 at 2:43 PM Rating: Good
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soulshaver wrote:
I expected more out of ya'll, and I'm still waiting for some evidence that proves we know "definitely how it works" since that was the suggestion made earlier.

It's because you're an cnut, as Nobby would say.
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#126 Oct 24 2009 at 2:48 PM Rating: Excellent
soulshaver wrote:
So no one offered any scientific information because we don't have much to offer as a scientific community, so you resort to conceding my point but tacking on an insult just for good measure. If you don't care about some random speculation from a random forum poster, don't bother posting.

I expected more out of ya'll, and I'm still waiting for some evidence that proves we know "definitely how it works" since that was the suggestion made earlier.


It's funny how you completely ignored my post. Again, your ignorance does not invalidate existing knowledge.

Viruses evolve through mutations in their genetic sequence.

This is scientific fact and "definitely how it works". It really doesn't get any simpler. To the question of how the immune system evolves to combat the threat, the answer is much more complicated, but not entirely unknown. Here's an online immunology text book that should explain most of the basics.

That no vaccine is 100% effective and we have yet to find effective vaccines for some viruses does not imply or even corroborate the rather ignorant assertion that we don't know how things work. The funny thing about living organisms is that although they follow general biological rules, nothing is set in stone, and unexpected evolutionary reactions can, do and will continue to occur in the wild.

Edited, Oct 24th 2009 3:49pm by BrownDuck
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