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#52 Sep 13 2009 at 3:44 PM Rating: Decent
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I linked an article and a PDF. The PDF shows that bombardment is not seen as a major problem (0% identify it as such), the article shows support for US troops.


Oh I didn't see the article before.

The study was done in late 2005 when 75% of the country thought the security situation was "Good" or "Excellent" and 83% thought the country was headed in the right direction. I think with the recent election fraud and 5 more years of violence people's optimism would tend to wane.

I also suspect the study might show an exaggeratted amount of support for "westerners" because we were the ones conducting the study and they thought it would benefit them to establish a relationship with us at the time. We promised them schools and hospitals and wealth and security and democracy which we haven't really delivered on.

I'm not saying that the majority of the populations in Afghanistan or Pakistan support the Taliban or Al-qaeda affiliates, but I don't think they tend to support the US either. I also think a large portion of the populations on the border between these countries do support the Taliban and thats enough area/people/support for them to establish a safe-haven base of operations.

#53 Sep 14 2009 at 2:31 AM Rating: Good
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Afghan public opinion is overwhelmingly on the side of NATO.


Possibly, but opinion polls in Afghanistan are notoriously unreliable.

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Now that Afghanistan is the center stage again, I think the Taliban's going to find it increasingly difficult to get help from the local population - if they're helping out of fear, then they will stop helping if the Taliban continues to be pushed back. A change of tactics (being less hasty to leave an area behind) would ensure this, although we might have to wait on more Afghan troops to be trained if congress won't approve additional US troops.


Yes, but the main problem is that any situation can change around extremely quickly. Afghan troops are turned extremely easily. There is no tradition of central government in Afghanistan, nor of a central army. The wages will be pittance and they can, and will, be turned by drugs money. I'm not saying its impossible to build a proper Afghan army, just that it will take much longer and cost much more than anyone is prepared to commit.

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Will NATO withdraw troops? Not any time soon, I think. Cameron made it clear he's for increasing troops in Afghanistan, and why would he renege on this when Labour has castrated itself and tossed its bleeding ***** into the heart of the sun? He's free to play age of empires all he wants. While congress will probably make anything more than the reallocation of troops impossible, I see no sign that Obama intends to withdraw troops either. The Canadians are withdrawing by 2011 but frankly, who cares? No one else seems about to crack - Germany's defence minister suggested they could be there for a decade or so.


Again, it can turn very quickly. Public opinion in the UK is tiring of the war, and a few more body bags could do the trick. Unless the goals are clear and attainable, and Cameron does a great PR job of selling it, it wont be long before start to clamour to brings the troops home. I don't believe for one second that Cameron will increase significantly the numer of troops in Afghanistan. The army is stretched, ressources are low, and the next 5 years will be tight: there wont be much money available for anyone.

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Pakistan is the really unpredictable element, though.


That's the crux, really. Pakistan is not only unwilling to take real action, it simply can't. Half of the Pakistan Secret Services support the Talibans. They created them. For Pakistan, Afghanistan is a sideshow compared to the real story, which is their relationship with India. Some within ISI still see the Talibans as useful allies against an emerging India. And the border is so porous that it would take a gigantic military operation to "clean-up" these areas. The death toll would be huge. The terrain is completely against us. It's more than an uphill struggle, its climbing a mountain barefeet.

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I guess we have different victory conditions, because achieving stability such as that in Iraq ( and having to keep a smallish garrison of 40-20,000 troops (decreasing over time) in Afghanistan for a decade after to maintain stability would be a victory in my mind.


In mine too. I just don't think we can do it. And even if we did, we would have low-intensity civil war for another decade. Which we will have regardless of whether we "win" or not, to be fair. Today, the Karzai government controls only Kabul. When Western news report talk about "Afghanistan", a lot of the time they really mean "Kabul". We can't hold anything outside of it without a high number of troops constantly present there.

We'll see. I can't see into the future. But I do think that drugs money + Pakistan + 8 years of presence there without any clear result = we're fucked. I think we might've had a chance, had we not gone into Iraq. But I think the best we can hope for now is that the Afghan government we leave in charge of the place will be rich enough to stay in power, and not quite as bad as the Taliban in terms of allowing AQ to operate from there. But still, its not much of a victory. AQ can and have relocated. The talibans will keep on fighting. Hopefully it'll remain at low intensity. I just can't sunmmon much optimism, simply because our strategy has been **** for 8 years, and history is pretty much against us. I do wish they'd sort it out though, I really wanna go to Afghanistan. But not in the state it's currently in, obviously.

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Did you find Law to be interesting? Did you plan on being a solicitor/barrister when you took it? What do you do now? How many people do you know with ginger hair? How many brooms do you own?


I found some aspects of law interesting, and some mind-numbingly boring. Intresting was: Public international law, EU law, jurisprudence, medical/environmental law, all of that was a lot of fun. Boring was: tort law, contract law, business/financial law, and criminal law. Obviously, all of this is a matter of taste, but I found the intresting ones to require some reflection, and the boring ones to require mostly memory.

I only chose to study law because I had no idea what I wanted to do, and thought it was broad enough to let me do whatever I wanted to do later on. I also did a Masters in Public International Law, which I absolutely loved. I had a brilliant time, got a Distinction, and scored 76% on my dissertation. Moral of the story being: do something you enjoy.

Now I work for local government, as a sort of link between local government and the EU: I analyse EU legislation that's being prepared in certain areas (transport, health, migration & Asylum, and equalities), tell local government how it will affect them, hear their views on the subject, and then take it back to Brussles to do some lobbying, to try to get the views of local government incorporated in EU legislation. So, it's a mixture of analysis and lobbying, I really enjoy it. But before that, I worked for the Serious Fraud Office, and then worked for a think-tank.

If you're wondering what to study at Uni, then Law is a good bet if you're not sure waht you wanna do later on. 3 weeks in to my undergrad law degree, I knew I didn't want to be a sollicitor/barrister. But still, law is braod enough that it doesnt restrict you to those professions. But, I suppose, so is economics. I'd reccomend whichever of those you think you'll enjoy most.

I know 3 ginger people.

And own 2 brooms, though one of those is on its deathbed.

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...What are you wearing?


Suits every working day, unfortunately.
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#54 Sep 14 2009 at 5:59 AM Rating: Decent
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A letter from one of our local congresspeople to Gates was reprinted in the paper this morning. It questions the current 'rules of engagement' being used in Afghanistan.

The close proximity of civilians in many battles disallows air support for troops in trouble. Seems we've put our soldiers into a real pickle. Smiley: frown



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#55 Sep 14 2009 at 6:11 AM Rating: Good
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The close proximity of civilians in many battles disallows air support for troops in trouble. Seems we've put our soldiers into a real pickle. Smiley: frown


Sounds like we need to build more precision air support for urban conflicts. Contract season is a go?
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#56 Sep 14 2009 at 9:02 AM Rating: Good
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
If you're wondering what to study at Uni, then Law is a good bet if you're not sure waht you wanna do later on. 3 weeks in to my undergrad law degree, I knew I didn't want to be a sollicitor/barrister. But still, law is braod enough that it doesnt restrict you to those professions. But, I suppose, so is economics. I'd reccomend whichever of those you think you'll enjoy most.


I'm trying to decide between history and law at the moment, having eliminated economics for being a ******** subject. History sounds, and previously has been, fun, but I'm not really sure if I want to Pensive myself. I'm trying to quantify how boring law will be, but it's tough kittens.

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Quote:
...What are you wearing?


Suits every working day, unfortunately.


Sounds hot!

And stuffy.

And slightly uncomfortable.
#57 Sep 14 2009 at 9:42 AM Rating: Good
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
I'm trying to quantify how boring law will be, but it's tough kittens.


First year will be boring. Like, standing-on-the-Tube-during-rush-hour-with-only-the-Yellow-Pages-to-read boring. It gets better once you start choosing your options in second year.

History will almost certainly be more fun.

Aside from the boringness factor, it depends what you want to do. Obviously, I take it you don't want to be a solicitor/barrister, otherwise you wouldn't be having this conundrum. The good thing about England is that most of the time, what you study doesn't necessarily have to have anything to do with what you'll be doing professionaly. So, in that respect, I'd advise to take History if you think you're going to enjoy it more.

Having said that, studying law is something that looks very good on the CV, and it will be there for life. It's something to consider too.

I guess the last factor is where you'll be studying. If you end up at Oxford/Cambridge/LSE/UCL, etc... then it doesn't matter much what you choose: the prestige of the university will override the subject matter. If you're going to somewhere like Sussex, or Westminster, or any other University not in the top 5-10, and you're serious about your professional career, I'd suggest you pick Law. It will make things easier.

I hope this makes sense.

Quote:
Sounds hot!

And stuffy.

And slightly uncomfortable.


It's all of those things. The only good thing about wearing a suit is that I get looks from hot girls on the Tube. Other than that, it pretty much sucks.
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#58 Sep 14 2009 at 9:46 AM Rating: Excellent
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I think I'm one of the only men who doesn't mind wearing a suit and tie. It never bothered me at all. I'd wear one daily to work except that I'd be ridiculously overdressed compared to the rest of the office.
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#59 Sep 14 2009 at 9:55 AM Rating: Good
Jophiel wrote:
I think I'm one of the only men who doesn't mind wearing a suit and tie. It never bothered me at all. I'd wear one daily to work except that I'd be ridiculously overdressed compared to the rest of the office.


I don't like being forced to wear one. I think they can look seriously classy and neat. But it's like everything, the obligation to wear one everyday kinda kills the charm.

Though sometimes I rebel and don't wear a tie. Take that, Head of Policy at the Local Government Association!
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#60 Sep 14 2009 at 10:06 AM Rating: Excellent
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This reminds me of when we hired a programmer and he asked if it would be okay if he wore a suit instead of jeans.

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#61 Sep 14 2009 at 10:33 AM Rating: Excellent
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Flea ******* that my concept of dressing down is to wear khakis and a polo (or button down long-sleeve depending on the weather) Smiley: laugh
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#62 Sep 14 2009 at 10:59 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
I think I'm one of the only men who doesn't mind wearing a suit and tie. It never bothered me at all. I'd wear one daily to work except that I'd be ridiculously overdressed compared to the rest of the office.


That's hawt.

Nexa
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#63 Sep 14 2009 at 11:43 AM Rating: Good
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
I'm trying to quantify how boring law will be, but it's tough kittens.


First year will be boring. Like, standing-on-the-Tube-during-rush-hour-with-only-the-Yellow-Pages-to-read boring. It gets better once you start choosing your options in second year.

History will almost certainly be more fun.

Aside from the boringness factor, it depends what you want to do. Obviously, I take it you don't want to be a solicitor/barrister, otherwise you wouldn't be having this conundrum. The good thing about England is that most of the time, what you study doesn't necessarily have to have anything to do with what you'll be doing professionaly. So, in that respect, I'd advise to take History if you think you're going to enjoy it more.

Having said that, studying law is something that looks very good on the CV, and it will be there for life. It's something to consider too.

I guess the last factor is where you'll be studying. If you end up at Oxford/Cambridge/LSE/UCL, etc... then it doesn't matter much what you choose: the prestige of the university will override the subject matter. If you're going to somewhere like Sussex, or Westminster, or any other University not in the top 5-10, and you're serious about your professional career, I'd suggest you pick Law. It will make things easier.

I hope this makes sense.


It's kind of hard to make a decision based on that, though. I mean, it's kind of a lottery. It'd be much easier if we'd had A* grades last year; I meet the reqs for English and History, which probably would be enough to ensure entrance into LSE or UCL unless they were ****** but as it is I have the standard three As thing, onbly with worse GCSEs than normal.

But yeah, I think that was helpful. I'm still not able to make a firm decision, but I feel helped. Thank you, monsieur.

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Sounds hot!

And stuffy.

And slightly uncomfortable.


It's all of those things. The only good thing about wearing a suit is that I get looks from hot girls on the Tube. Other than that, it pretty much sucks.


Woah, back up, people look at each other on the tube?!
#64 Sep 14 2009 at 1:14 PM Rating: Decent
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History sounds, and previously has been, fun, but I'm not really sure if I want to Pensive myself.


You probably shouldn't. I have no idea if history is more lucrative than philosophy or religion though, so maybe you wouldn't have to.
#65 Sep 15 2009 at 2:24 AM Rating: Good
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Thank you, monsieur.


You can buy me a beer when I come to Cambridge Smiley: wink
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#66 Sep 15 2009 at 4:11 AM Rating: Good
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
Kavekk the Ludicrous wrote:
Thank you, monsieur.


You can buy me a beer when I come to Cambridge Smiley: wink


How about a glass of apple juice in Slough?
#67 Sep 15 2009 at 7:48 AM Rating: Good
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having eliminated economics for being a bullsh*t subject


Don't like playing poker for a living?
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#68 Sep 15 2009 at 11:20 AM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Flea ******* that my concept of dressing down is to wear khakis and a polo (or button down long-sleeve depending on the weather) Smiley: laugh

That's my standard. Except lately, it's not so good for playing basketball and chasing the gruntling around on the gravel driveway. My poor loafers!
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