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So, Who'has read all the way through Obama's Budget?Follow

#1 Feb 27 2009 at 3:42 PM Rating: Good
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I spent last evening to read all the way through Obama's Budget Proposal, though the graphs at the end, I didn't go line by line checking figures.

Don't let the 146 pages put you off, as there are plenty of blank pages between sections Several pages of tables and place at the end for notes.

I also took brakes to read comments on The NY Times Caucus, which is as musing as reading the political rants here.

What I like is how Obama has tried to open up the process and rid the budget of magic thinking, that so often seem to hide us from the reality of the actual amount needed to pay for government programs.

When was the last time a President faces likely chance of having the need to be prepared case of natural or man made disasters(pg 42). No department is safe and any program must prove that it works or will be cut.

Now the wait to see what the final budget will look like after he sends it in and Congress is finish with it. I'm sure enough toes will get stepped on that there will be no group happy over their sacred cows.

Environmentalist and the Nuclear lobbyist seems to started filling my mailbox on top of the Single payer health care folks, who been crying since November, that Insurance lobby got a seat at the table.
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#2 Feb 27 2009 at 4:08 PM Rating: Excellent
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This proposal will resemble the finial budget about as much as I resemble Scarlett Johansson
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#3 Feb 27 2009 at 4:11 PM Rating: Excellent
As in, it will still be a budget, much like you and Scarlett Johansson are both human?
#4 Feb 27 2009 at 4:44 PM Rating: Excellent
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Shuttle scrapped after 1 additional ISS assembly flight. The new Ford class carriers limited to 1 ship, other 2 (whihc are already in pre production materlals aquisition) pushed out 5 years and scrapped, respectivly. Zumwalt class destroyer program scrapped. Missile defense scrapped. Nuclear sub acceperated production (needed to prevent newport news from laying off huge amounts of skilled shipwrights and nuclear certified workers) put on hold. F-22 program capped at 135 aircraft. F-35 program pre production on hold until after flight test, delaying the entire program and foreign orders by at least 2 years.


I restate my previous claim of "you stupid bastards, you've killed us all."
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#5 Feb 27 2009 at 4:55 PM Rating: Good
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You can't possibly believe the F22 is a good use of money can you? And by extension Aircraft carriers. Feel free to PM me a response if you want to explain why. Not really trolling so much as to understand your point of view.
#6 Feb 27 2009 at 5:02 PM Rating: Default
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Dread Lörd Kaolian wrote:
Shuttle scrapped after 1 additional ISS assembly flight. The new Ford class carriers limited to 1 ship, other 2 (whihc are already in pre production materlals aquisition) pushed out 5 years and scrapped, respectivly. Zumwalt class destroyer program scrapped. Missile defense scrapped. Nuclear sub acceperated production (needed to prevent newport news from laying off huge amounts of skilled shipwrights and nuclear certified workers) put on hold. F-22 program capped at 135 aircraft. F-35 program pre production on hold until after flight test, delaying the entire program and foreign orders by at least 2 years.


I restate my previous claim of "you stupid bastards, you've killed us all."



But hey. They'll make sure that homeless people will get bussed in to vote for Democrats. That's something, right? ;)
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#7 Feb 27 2009 at 5:03 PM Rating: Decent
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baelnic wrote:
You can't possibly believe the F22 is a good use of money can you? And by extension Aircraft carriers. Feel free to PM me a response if you want to explain why. Not really trolling so much as to understand your point of view.


All the liberties we posses are meaningless if we can't defend them from those who would take them away.
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#8 Feb 27 2009 at 5:06 PM Rating: Good
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I said nothing about reducing our military, nor did I suggest we not spend on other military technology.

Unmanned drones seem to be all the rage in the Air Force and are zero risk to our men and women. Wouldn't that be a better project to invest in than planes that are expensive to maintain?

Edited, Feb 27th 2009 6:15pm by baelnic
#9 Feb 27 2009 at 5:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
This proposal will resemble the finial budget about as much as I resemble Scarlett Johansson
The final budget will have big tits?
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#10 Feb 27 2009 at 5:17 PM Rating: Good
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Kaolian wrote:
Shuttle scrapped after 1 additional ISS assembly flight. The new Ford class carriers limited to 1 ship, other 2 (whihc are already in pre production materlals aquisition) pushed out 5 years and scrapped, respectivly. Zumwalt class destroyer program scrapped. Missile defense scrapped. Nuclear sub acceperated production (needed to prevent newport news from laying off huge amounts of skilled shipwrights and nuclear certified workers) put on hold. F-22 program capped at 135 aircraft. F-35 program pre production on hold until after flight test, delaying the entire program and foreign orders by at least 2 years.


I restate my previous claim of "you stupid bastards, you've killed us all."


pg. 61

Reforms Acquisition. DOD’s new weapons
programs are among the largest, most expensive
and technically difficult that the Department has
ever tried to develop. As a consequence, they carry
a high risk of performance failure, cost increases,
and schedule delays. The Administration will
set realistic requirements and stick to them and
incorporate “best practices” by not allowing programs
to proceed from one stage of the acquisition
cycle to the next until they have achieved the
maturity to clearly lower the risk of cost growth
and schedule slippage.


Now I dislike the idea of making our military used out of date equipment, I have friends that work for some of the largest defense contractors and jobs depend on getting funds each year, while other friends complain about lack of funding for their departments. What I like to see is policy that looks for results, not who can spend the most on Lobbyists.

NASA
has been underfunded for years now and I love to see it doubled so we can see the same type of results we did during the Apollo program. Then I'm still waiting for my jet backpack and vacation package on the moon.

pg. 110

Completes the International Space Station
and Advances the Development of New
Space Transportation Systems. NASA will fly
the Space Shuttle to complete the International
Space Station and then retire the Shuttle in
2010; an additional flight may be conducted if it
can safely and affordably[sic] be flown by the end of
2010. Funds freed from the Shuttle’s retirement
will enable the Agency to support development
of systems to deliver people and cargo to the International
Space Station and the Moon. As part
of this effort, NASA will stimulate private-sector
development and demonstration of vehicles that
may support the Agency’s human crew and cargo
space flight requirements.


I'm not happy over this at all, but then I realized I have the choice to try to chance policy and don't expect to get everything I want.

Now Kao, if you can promise me a Unicorn and Castle on a purple cloud, I'll vote for you in the next election.

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In the place of a Dark Lord you would have a Queen! Not dark but beautiful and terrible as the Morn! Treacherous as the Seas! Stronger than the foundations of the Earth! All shall love me and despair! -ElneClare

This Post is written in Elnese, If it was an actual Post, it would make sense.
#11 Feb 27 2009 at 5:20 PM Rating: Decent
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All the liberties we posses are meaningless if we can't defend them from those who would take them away.


Who is that, exactly, would you say? People we'd need to dogfight against in cutting edge jets? People with the capacity to destroy F-15s?


You can't possibly believe the F22 is a good use of money can you?


No weapons platform is a good use of money until the time arises where it provides a real benefit other platforms don't. Here's the tricky bit, though, you can't predict when that will happen, so it's often beneficial to already have the most sophisticated weapons platforms you can, because countermeasures are usually cheaper and faster to develop than platforms, you really do need to be quite a bit ahead of the curve to maintain a useful advantage.

Now, "missile defense", there's a waste of money.


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#12 Feb 27 2009 at 5:22 PM Rating: Excellent
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Aircraft, and by extension aircraft carriers are our most effective military assets. While UAV's may someday supplant manned aircraft as our primary strike capability, the aircraft carrier will still play an integral roll by allowing us a military presence anywhere in the world, regardless of terrain, political affiliation, or infrastructure (fuel, basing, runways, etc). Their existance acts as a deterrent to potentially agressive naval powers (China, Russia, India to an extent) and a very potant negotiation tool with countries that are not willing to back down from certain nuclear ambitions. Decreasing our naval superiority would lead to a worldwide naval arms race as every agressor nation on the planet tried to supplant us as king of the seas.

The Ford class carriers in their own right are a huge improvement over the nimitz class. Greater capabilities, requireing fewer people, and costing billions of dollars less to operate over their service life. I think not only should we build them, I beleive we should significantly accelerate the first 5 to retire the older Nimitz carriers early for the cost savings alone.

The F-22 is a great use of money because all of our current frontline strike aircraft are nearly 15 years old. Most of them would require extensive structural retrofit within the next 8 years to maintain airworthyness, and the F-15 is a nice aircraft, but it is obsolete on several fronts. Maintenance costs continue to rise, and will exceed production costs of the F-22 as the price per aircraft of the F-22 continues to fall. Stopping F-22 production not only hamstrings our airforce, it will cost us money in the long run. The russians are already plaaning to export the Mig-35 in significant numbers, which exceeds the F-15's capabilities on most fronts.

The F-35 is an average fighter aircraft. It is suitable for support roles, it is not a frontline strike aircraft. It lacks the horsepower of the F-22, the advantages of two engine thrust vectoring for manouverability, and speed that the F-22 can bring to the table.

Upgrading and maintaining our military hardware, especially when there is a proven ability to decrease the number of needed aircraft due to increased capability of the aircraft and demonstratable savings on maintenance time and cost makes sense. Killing the program and incurring the early cancellation fees for no return make no sense, especially since it will cost thousands of jobs in california and the midwest to do so.

How can you not see the benifit is my question?
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#13 Feb 27 2009 at 5:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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baelnic wrote:


Unmanned drones seem to be all the rage in the Air Force and are zero risk to our men and women. Wouldn't that be a better project to invest in than planes that are expensive to maintain?


When it comes to remote drones, what we can control, someone else can control. To assume otherwise is foolish. Yes, our frequincy hopping spread spectrum control modules are very hard to break, but all someone would really need to do is blast a given UAV with enough directed jamming to knock it out, and suddenly you have very real problems. And with the increases in processor power available in computers, a large nation like china or russia could concievably build sufficiently powerful supercomputers to crack our encryption in realtime if they decided to make the effort. Under those conditions, you would be forced to accept either pre-programmed, locked in mission parameters, or a degree of autonomy with the UAV that we have not been comfortable implementing to date.

Until a UAV is self aware enough to be capable of resenting the self destruct charges we put in them, they really won't be capable of exceeding the reaction time of a human pilot, even if they can fly faster due to not having biological limits.
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#14 Feb 27 2009 at 5:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:


But hey. They'll make sure that homeless people will get bussed in to vote for Democrats. That's something, right? ;)


Thats ok, we won't be able to afford busses soon, so they'll ahve to walk like the rest of us.
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#15 Feb 27 2009 at 5:33 PM Rating: Good
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with the increases in processor power available in computers, a large nation like china or russia could concievably build sufficiently powerful supercomputers to crack our encryption in realtime if they decided to make the effort.

Ludicrous.
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#16 Feb 27 2009 at 5:34 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
with the increases in processor power available in computers, a large nation like china or russia could concievably build sufficiently powerful supercomputers to crack our encryption in realtime if they decided to make the effort.

Ludicrous.


You don't think china could pull it off in a few years? Really?
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#17 Feb 27 2009 at 5:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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You don't think china could pull it off in a few years? Really?


I'm genuinely not trying to be dick here, but no, I don't think so. Think it through. It's easy to encrypt things. Easier exponentially than it is to decrypt things. The only time decryption is effective is when you can do it in secret, because it's trivial to change to one of a near infinite number of key based algorithms pretty much instantly when you discover someone can decrypt what you're using, to say nothing of existing dead perfectly secure methods. One time pad based physical devices on the UAVs, for instance. There are issues with UAVs to be sure, but this really isn't one of them.
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#18 Feb 27 2009 at 5:51 PM Rating: Decent
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I'll toss out the obligatory observation that spending money on "anything" as long as it creates jobs is apparently ok, unless those jobs involve something as unimportant as national defense. And as Kao very nicely summarizes, the cost to *not* put these newer systems into the field will outstrip the costs we save over probably the next decade and will increase the longer we wait.

I could buy the whole F-22 vs F-35 argument, except I don't see a corresponding increase in F-35 orders, so it's not really about choice. It's just about eliminating as much military spending as possible.

Can we just acknowledge that there are a whole lot of prominent and powerful Liberals who just plain don't like anything having to do with the military and that this is what drives these sorts of cuts?
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#19 Feb 27 2009 at 5:56 PM Rating: Good
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How can you not see the benifit is my question?


I don't believe we should be committing to 20-30 more years of manned air combat. I also don't believe we should maintain our carrier and submarine ratios and should focus on a more diverse fleet of smaller vessels.

Many of my customers are from the Air Force Academy. I'm certainly biased by they're youthful exuberance that the military will be different when they are in charge of it. Either way I was just curious to your views on it. I'm no expert and I wasn't trying to troll. Thanks for the explanation.
#20 Feb 27 2009 at 5:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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I'll toss out the obligatory observation that spending money on "anything" as long as it creates jobs is apparently ok, unless those jobs involve something as unimportant as national defense.


That's a fair point. Let me write this down, "Gbaji mistakenly makes valid point, 9 pm, 2009-Feb-27." I should be updating that again in early 2011 if history is any guide.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#21 Feb 27 2009 at 5:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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I don't believe we should be committing to 20-30 more years of manned air combat. I also don't believe we should maintain our carrier and submarine ratios and should focus on a more diverse fleet of smaller vessels.


Planning to fight the war you're fighting today in twenty years generally hasn't worked out that well. Ask the French in WW2.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#22 Feb 27 2009 at 6:00 PM Rating: Excellent
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Sure, but they don't need full control, all they need to do is get it to accept a command for a fraction of a second and destabilize in flight. Getting our command syntax would not exactly be that difficult. I'm certain they already have it given various missing Predators that have never been recovered, and if you had an asset close enough to try anything, blasting a 24 byte "immidiate full 35 degree down elevator" command simultaniously over a huge spectrum and hopeing to get lucky for that split second isn't an unreasonable approach. I suppose they might have some sort of security authentication on each command to the UAV, and definitly on weapons free authorization, but they can't put basic flight control through too many checks or else the manouverability of the UAV would suffer.

I suppose at that point it would just be easier to shoot it down with a missile, but if you had a large group incoming it might work.
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#23 Feb 27 2009 at 6:05 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
There are issues with UAVs to be sure, but this really isn't one of them.


It also wasn't the only one he mentioned. You're correct that the fear that someone would hack into a UAV control signal and take it over is pretty minimal. But the larger issue is that UAVs really are effectively useless against any opponent that has an air defense more sophisticated than some SAM launchers they bought 30 years ago from the USSR and a handful of stripped down MIGs.


Signal jamming isn't hard to do at all. It just requires that you have equipment in place to do it. There are a host of other issues of course, and the whole conversation can get pretty complex pretty quick. I think the larger (and more relevant) issue is that for the most part US combat strategy relies very heavily on air superiority. UAVs are effective if we have air superiority. Our ability to prevent EW attacks (and use our own) relies on air superiority. Our ability to coordinate ground forces really well relies on... you guess it. Air superiority.

UAVs have some neat capabilities, and are a nice cheap way to accomplish a variety of missions once we have control of the skies. But UAVs are not capable of giving us that control in the first place. The very fighters that are being cut are what is needed to gain that. Sure. We can do it with F-15s, but they aren't as automatically superior as they were 30 years ago, and they'll be less so each year. Given the absolute critical nature of air superiority to US military tactics, I'd be much more comfortable over spending to be sure we can always gain that advantage than try to save some money and hope we'll still be able to do it going forward.
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#24 Feb 27 2009 at 6:07 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

I'll toss out the obligatory observation that spending money on "anything" as long as it creates jobs is apparently ok, unless those jobs involve something as unimportant as national defense.


That's a fair point. Let me write this down, "Gbaji mistakenly makes valid point, 9 pm, 2009-Feb-27." I should be updating that again in early 2011 if history is any guide.


You forgot "EST". It's only 6 by my watch... ;)
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#25 Feb 27 2009 at 6:15 PM Rating: Excellent
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The cool thing about a UAV is that it wouldn't be limited to acceleration and G force loads that humans can tolerate. Exceed 9Gs too long on a human body, and you have a very dead pilot. A remote piloted UAV could maintain 15 or more Gs indefinitly, though at some point you would start to exceed the capability of the remote handlers to keep up. The ones we have now aren't capable of even near that level of control. Thats why the push for the new unmanned hypersonic Bomber. Really fast in a straight line we can do!
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#26 Feb 27 2009 at 9:34 PM Rating: Good
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As the resident pilot on this board, allow me to explain why UAVs are not the end-all or final answer to the issue of air superiority.

While UAVs certainly have capabilities that far exceed a machine driven by a human, there is one critical area where a UAV cannot perform adequately, nor even in a support role: Immediate and fluid combat operations. Why? Because a UAV is severely limited by the operator flying the craft in a box many miles away and is completely hampered by the lack of instinctive, cognitive, intuitive, associative, and laterally-based judgements that hinge on the on-location flight experience that data collection via sensors just cannot duplicate nor transmit.

Much of flying is instinctual, an artform. No, I am not kidding. Studies have shown flying skills use brain function in the same locations where creation occurs in artists.

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