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#1 Feb 17 2009 at 8:48 AM Rating: Good
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GOP tries to restore image of fiscal discipline

By LIZ SIDOTI – 8 hours ago

WASHINGTON (AP) — Seeking political traction, Republicans are using the economic stimulus package to try to restore an image of fiscal discipline tarnished by a free-spending GOP Congress under former President George W. Bush.

The return to what many Republicans consider their small-government, tax-cut roots is driving unity in a party that now lacks power in the White House and in the Democratic-controlled House and Senate.

Only three Republicans — Senate moderates — voted for the $787 billion measure aimed at pulling the country out of recession. The rest assailed it as filled with pet projects, too light on tax cuts, and too quickly pushed through Capitol Hill.

It's "a long wish list of big government spending that won't work. It won't create jobs. It won't stimulate this economy. And it may do more harm than good," Rep. Mike Pence, R-Ind., declared after opposing the bill.

Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., was quick to pounce, saying, "It is sending an entirely wrong signal to the American people to be banking on failure."


Quote:
Three moderate GOP senators broke ranks — Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe of Maine and Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania — and voted with Democrats.


http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hwmXd2At1xo7YxJpwKkeATr-_W7AD96D6VGO1

Is it easier for the GOP to be "fiscally disciplined" if they are the minority party or does this signal a real paradigm shift--i.e. actual lessons learned from the Bush era? There was a groundswell of disapproval regarding the bank bailout (though not as big as disapproval for bailing out the big three).

Quote:
money in their pockets and less in the government's hands?

But once the economy turns around, Republicans could easily be cast as modern-day Herbert Hoovers who wanted to do nothing — even though the GOP presented its own stimulus plans, which were heavier on tax cuts and lighter on government spending.

Republicans also leave themselves vulnerable to criticism that tax cuts on the GOP's watch contributed to the recession. And they could invite charges of hypocrisy, given that government spending ballooned when Bush and his GOP were at the helm.


Stimulating the housing market like they did certainly turned out to be a ************
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#2 Feb 17 2009 at 8:56 AM Rating: Excellent
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Seems to me it isn't a shift in philosophy, it's the GOP betting. If the stimulus doesn't work (or doesn't work quickly), they might be able to take seats back in 2010. They're betting the economy will get worse, and the unwillingness to vote for the package is simply them placing their bet so if it goes like they think it will, they'll look better.

So I disagree with the title of the article. They're not trying to restore their image of fiscal discipline, but their image as a party in total. They don't want fiscal discipline; they want seats back.
#3 Feb 17 2009 at 9:00 AM Rating: Decent
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And it may do more harm than good


That has to be the weakest condemnation of something I've ever heard.
#4 Feb 17 2009 at 9:06 AM Rating: Excellent
I'm tempted to say it's politics as usual. It's very easy to preach for something when there is absoutely 0 chance anyone could test out your theory in practice.

As for tax cuts, well, I'm not a huge fan of them anyway, but in the UK they cut VAT tax and had virtually 0 effect. Except to add more debt to the government's alredy gigantic debt. The Bush tax cuts clearly didn't create a more stable or prosperous economic climate. I think the problem with the economy are structural and fundamental. They won't be solved by tax cuts. That's like putting a plaster over a gaping wound and calling it a day. It seems as though people are concerned with fighting the symptons of the illness, rather than the illness itself. That's what's happening in the UK anyway. We're tinkering with the fire so it doesn't destroy everything, but the second it's more or less under control, we'll be doing exactly what we were doing before. Except we'll have even more debt. The public debate here often verges on the ridiculous.

I also think this crisis is an amazing opportunity to create some serious reforms. It might not come again in our lifetime. Especially not mine, if I keep on smoking. But really, almost every country in the world is affected, in almsot the same way, by almost the same problem. If ever there was a time to reform the world economic system, to make it a bit fairer, a bit more human, a bit more solid and effective in alieviating poverty, surely this is it.
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#5 Feb 17 2009 at 9:07 AM Rating: Excellent
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It's digging into the trenches for 2010 and praying that the economy recovers slowly enough that they can use it's "failure" as a talking point. Franken seems more and more likely to become the Minnesota senator and the GOP is going to be defending a lot of open senate seats in 2010. They're in very real danger of becoming completely marginalized next election without even enough senators to floor a filibuster.

I think a GOP "recovery" next election is unlikely and they're trying to at least prevent being completely swamped.
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#6 Feb 17 2009 at 2:24 PM Rating: Good
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They're in very real danger of becoming completely marginalized next election without even enough senators to floor a filibuster.


There is absolutely no danger of this unless there is a miraculous recovery of housing prices in the next 18 months, which would require something close to divine intervention. Voters have short memories, and are stupid. If they're not better off in two years than they are today, and it's virtually impossible they will be, they'll vote for the GOP, have no fear.

If the yardstick the Democratic Party is measured by is the economic status of the next two years, and it likely is, they fail. They're essentially guaranteed to fail. It's simply not a long enough time frame. The hope is to stall the Stimulus money actually being outlayed so that things decline even more sharply in '09, then time most of it to be spent in early '10 so that things are looking up right before the mid terms. Also doomed to failure, I'd say.


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#7 Feb 17 2009 at 2:29 PM Rating: Decent
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I'm tempted to say it's politics as usual. It's very easy to preach for something when there is absoutely 0 chance anyone could test out your theory in practice.


Just like the Tory party in Britain. I think the plan to promise ratio is about 1:100 right now.
#8 Feb 17 2009 at 2:53 PM Rating: Default
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Baron von Annabella wrote:
Is it easier for the GOP to be "fiscally disciplined" if they are the minority party or does this signal a real paradigm shift--i.e. actual lessons learned from the Bush era? There was a groundswell of disapproval regarding the bank bailout (though not as big as disapproval for bailing out the big three).


To be fair, it's always easier to stand on principle when you are the minority party. What do you think the Dems have been doing for 8 years? The majority party is always going to be blamed for whatever problems are going on at the moment, so it's pretty darn easy for the other side to stand back and snipe.


And yeah. Of course it has to do with the 2010 elections. That election will largely hinge on whether the economy has recovered or not. And the odds that the economy will recover by next summer are virtually nil no matter what is done. Firmly positioning themselves in the "this wont work" position gives them a strong position next year. By making this clearly a Democrat-only bill, it places the reward of success or cost of failure squarely on the Democrats.

It doesn't hurt that the Dems did treat this bill as though they were kids in the candy store though. If the bill had about half as much spending, and it was focused in ways more clearly associated with economic stimulus rather than payouts to pet projects and political supporters, the Dems might be able to argue that at least they tried to do something, and maybe it would have worked if only Republicans had gotten on board. But with the monstrosity they passed, that's going to be a pretty hard sell...
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#9 Feb 17 2009 at 3:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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To be fair, it's always easier to stand on principle when you are the minority party.


It is, but this isn't in any way, shape, or form standing on principal.
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#10 Feb 17 2009 at 3:14 PM Rating: Good
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It doesn't hurt that the Dems did treat this bill as though they were kids in the candy store though. If the bill had about half as much spending, and it was focused in ways more clearly associated with economic stimulus rather than payouts to pet projects and political supporters, the Dems might be able to argue that at least they tried to do something, and maybe it would have worked if only Republicans had gotten on board. But with the monstrosity they passed, that's going to be a pretty hard sell...


Look, I know you don't understand Economics, @#%^, WE ALL KNOW you don't understand economics, but there is not one economist on the face of the Earth who thinks the problem with this bill was that there was too much spending. Not one.



Edited, Feb 17th 2009 6:20pm by Smasharoo
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#11 Feb 17 2009 at 4:22 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:
Look, I know you don't understand Economics, @#%^, WE ALL KNOW you don't understand economics, but there is not one economist on the face of the Earth who thinks the problem with this bill was that there was too much spending. Not one.


Robert Barro. Probably a handful of others who think that the spending should be smaller and the tax cuts larger.

You're missing the point though. While most economists aren't opposed to the size of the package, a pretty large number of them are opposed to the make-up of the spending. I was talking in terms of the percentage of the spending that is actually "stimulus". If we're spending 800 billion to get 400 billion worth of stimulus, we'd be better off just spending the 400 billion and cut out the other garbage.


Obviously, if we could spend 800 billion and get 800 billion of actual stimulus, that would be great as well, which is presumably where you get your position from. But that's *not* what's in this bill...
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#12 Feb 17 2009 at 4:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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You're missing the point though. While most economists aren't opposed to the size of the package, a pretty large number of them are opposed to the make-up of the spending.


No. There is no "make up" of the spending in Economics.


Robert Barro. Probably a handful of others who think that the spending should be smaller and the tax cuts larger.


He does not believe the spending component is too large. You have misread something, somewhere, it would seem. This is why you should cut and paste so that people can help explain to you what the words mean. Please paste what you're attempting to cite so I can explain to you how the English language works once again. Thanks.



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#13 Feb 17 2009 at 4:51 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:


Look, I know you don't understand Economics, @#%^, WE ALL KNOW you don't understand economics, but there is not one economist on the face of the Earth who thinks the problem with this bill was that there was too much spending. Not one.


You're right, not one economist thinks there's too much spending in this bill.

Quote:
200 top economic minds signed a national ad published in The New York Times and the Wall Street Journal against the trillion dollar spending binge proposed by democrats.


Here's a link to the PDF file. http://www.cato.org/special/stimulus09/cato_stimulus.pdf


I usually don't get involved in these things as I'm not very political, so much so that I'm neither liberal or Conservative, but as an every day middle of the road Joe, this whole thing has really pissed me off. How the hell can you vote on something you haven't even read? Zero integrity, that's how.
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#14 Feb 17 2009 at 4:59 PM Rating: Good
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How the hell can you vote on something you haven't even read? Zero integrity, that's how.
I missed something, which Senator or Congressman didn't read the bill?

#15 Feb 17 2009 at 5:07 PM Rating: Good
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trickybeck wrote:
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How the hell can you vote on something you haven't even read? Zero integrity, that's how.
I missed something, which Senator or Congressman didn't read the bill?




Apparently none of them.

Link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvnwOjDjnH4

I really thought everyone knew about this. The Bill was railroaded through in the name of "Something must be done NOW!" Oddly enough, after this emergency, must be voted on today Bill passed, Obama waited two days to sign it.

E-gads, I sound like a Pubbie, I really don't want to, it's just that this whole thing is a travesty and I think more folks really should be pissed. Misery loves company ya'know.. lol
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#16 Feb 17 2009 at 5:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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trickybeck wrote:
Quote:
How the hell can you vote on something you haven't even read? Zero integrity, that's how.
I missed something, which Senator or Congressman didn't read the bill?




Most of them I would imagine. Its over 1000 pages long.
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#17 Feb 17 2009 at 5:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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Here it is!

I read the first page and now I'm off to stab a kitten in the face with a spoon.
/yawn.
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#18 Feb 17 2009 at 5:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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Here's a link to the PDF file


Hello, ignorant average voter. You are posting in the incorrect forum. It's a common mistake. Most of the people in the GOP press release you have linked are not economists. None of those who are economists think there is too much spending in this bill. Many of them think this bill will not work, as do I, incidentally. These are not the same thing. I think rain is made up mostly of water. I don't think rain is mostly made up of water because God is crying.

Do you see?

How the hell can you vote on something you haven't even read?

They don't read *any* of the bills, sucker. They haven't in 50 years. The legislative process would be literally impossible if every legislator had to read every bill. The fact that you've just discovered the legislative process doesn't make it special or unique that most people who voted for or against this one never read the text. Nor does it particularly matters, it's not as if legislators are elected for their ability to parse legal text.

Any other problems Hannah could have solved for you?

Just kidding, go watch Knight Rider, you little scamp. Or whatever it is you people do.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#19 Feb 17 2009 at 5:16 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

No. There is no "make up" of the spending in Economics.


Lol. That's hardly an agreed upon belief.

Quote:
Robert Barro. Probably a handful of others who think that the spending should be smaller and the tax cuts larger.

He does not believe the spending component is too large. You have misread something, somewhere, it would seem. This is why you should cut and paste so that people can help explain to you what the words mean. Please paste what you're attempting to cite so I can explain to you how the English language works once again. Thanks.


Sure. How about his recent WSJ article?

Barro wrote:
There are reasons to believe that the war-based multiplier of 0.8 substantially overstates the multiplier that applies to peacetime government purchases. For one thing, people would expect the added wartime outlays to be partly temporary (so that consumer demand would not fall a lot). Second, the use of the military draft in wartime has a direct, coercive effect on total employment. Finally, the U.S. economy was already growing rapidly after 1933 (aside from the 1938 recession), and it is probably unfair to ascribe all of the rapid GDP growth from 1941 to 1945 to the added military outlays. In any event, when I attempted to estimate directly the multiplier associated with peacetime government purchases, I got a number insignificantly different from zero.


What he's effectively doing is refuting the statement you made above that "there is no make up of spending in Economics". He's pretty clearly countering the notion that any spending, regardless of what it's spent on, is "good". It would seem from his article that he's generally opposed to spending as a mechanism for GDP growth entirely. While he doesn't specifically state that the spending in this particular stimulus bill is "too large", it's a reasonable conclusion to make from his general position on spending and the presumed objective of the stimulus package. He does comment in an interview on the package though:

Barro wrote:
This is probably the worst bill that has been put forward since the 1930s. I don't know what to say. I mean it's wasting a tremendous amount of money. It has some simplistic theory that I don't think will work, so I don't think the expenditure stuff is going to have the intended effect. I don't think it will expand the economy. And the tax cutting isn't really geared toward incentives. It's not really geared to lowering tax rates; it's more along the lines of throwing money at people. On both sides I think it's garbage.


Kinda hard to argue that he'd thinks the spending should have been higher Smash...



I also suspect that you are confusing a general "we need to spend" with the more specific statement I made. I was talking about *this* stimulus being too large. There are lots off economists who agree that "we need to spend to stimulate the economy" (in opposition to Barro btw), who are also incredibly opposed to the specific spending in this bill. Again. If there's only 400 billion of stimulus in an 800 billion spending package, a whole lot of demand side economists (and almost all supply siders) will argue we should have stopped at 400 billion. The rest is waste and will reduce the benefits from the stimulus components.


That's not to say that many of them might not like to see 800 billion spent. But they'd like to see it spent on actual stimulus. When you hear most economists saying we should have spent more, they're talking about spending more on the parts that are actual stimulus. That's not the same thing. They're looking specifically at the stimulus components and concluding that it's not enough. They're not saying "let's put more pork in!".

Edited, Feb 17th 2009 5:22pm by gbaji
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#20 Feb 17 2009 at 5:17 PM Rating: Good
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And here's the long version: http://www.whitehouse.gov/the_press_office/arra_public_review/


Hell, no wonder no one read this. I started to, but then got hungry. Think I'll make a sandwich and maybe read a bit before bed. I'm almost certain this dry tome will have a sedative effect.
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#21 Feb 17 2009 at 5:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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$800 billion doesn't sound like nearly enough to me.

Thats only about the same as has been spent in Iraq since the US went in to liberate them from.....ummmmm....whatever it was they needed liberating from, and they still don't even have a reliable electricity supply ffs!

I think its high time the US public stopped being so self-centred and started to think about holding some garage sales and sponsored walks to raise enough money to keep the heroic and hard-done-by bankers in the lifestyle to wich they are accustomed!

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#22 Feb 17 2009 at 5:33 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Most of the people in the GOP press release you have linked are not economists.


It's the CATO institute, not the GOP.

And they are *all* economists.

Quote:
None of those who are economists think there is too much spending in this bill.


And yet, they all signed a statement that "we do not believe that more government spending is a way to improve economic performance". Strange. Cause that kinda sounds like they're saying that there's too much spending in this bill. Unless you have some magical explanation as to why they'd say they don't believe that government spending is a way to improve economic performance, but for some reason are perfectly OK with the spending in a bill sold as an "economic stimulus".

Maybe there are magical fairies and unicorns involved? Pixie dust maybe?...


Quote:
Many of them think this bill will not work, as do I, incidentally. These are not the same thing. I think rain is made up mostly of water. I don't think rain is mostly made up of water because God is crying.


Are you dense? They think it wont work because they "don't believe that government spending is a way to improve economic performance". What part of that did you miss? You may have other reasons for thinking it won't work, but they are pretty darn clear as to what their's is.

Quote:
Do you see?


That you have an odd reading disability that makes it impossible for you to parse and understand a simple sentence? Yes. That's been clear for years...
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#23 Feb 17 2009 at 5:35 PM Rating: Decent
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Just kidding, go watch Knight Rider, you little scamp. Or whatever it is you people do.


Still eating my sandwich, so I'm available and bored enough to reply. What do "folks like me" do? Pretty simple really. We generally don't speak in a condescending manner to folks we don't even know. We try to offer information as opposed to insults. Your approach works for you and mine has worked out very well for me. To each his/her own I guess.


Personally, I try to enjoy every moment as I realized long ago any moment wasted being upset is a wasted moment I'll never get back. I suppose it's easier for me than most being as I happen to be tall and attractive. It's good to be me. If I wanted to insult you, hell, who am I kidding, of course I do. Here's a fact.

You HAVE to be you, and I GET to be me.
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#24 Feb 17 2009 at 5:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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Cause that kinda sounds like they're saying that there's too much spending in this bill.


Nope. It doesn't, in any way shape or form. See, there are the words you don't understand, wasn't that easy?
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#25 Feb 17 2009 at 5:47 PM Rating: Decent
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Still eating my sandwich, so I'm available and bored enough to reply. What do "folks like me" do? Pretty simple really. We generally don't speak in a condescending manner to folks we don't even know. We try to offer information as opposed to insults.


Nope. You're a sucker. You blindly latch on to whatever lie is told to you by whomever you most identify with. You're as hard to manipulate as an infant. Sorry :(

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#26 Feb 17 2009 at 5:51 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


Barro wrote:
There are reasons to believe that the war-based multiplier of 0.8 substantially overstates the multiplier that applies to peacetime government purchases. For one thing, people would expect the added wartime outlays to be partly temporary (so that consumer demand would not fall a lot). Second, the use of the military draft in wartime has a direct, coercive effect on total employment. Finally, the U.S. economy was already growing rapidly after 1933 (aside from the 1938 recession), and it is probably unfair to ascribe all of the rapid GDP growth from 1941 to 1945 to the added military outlays. In any event, when I attempted to estimate directly the multiplier associated with peacetime government purchases, I got a number insignificantly different from zero.




I got it!

Use the $800 billion to ........Invade Venezuala!!!

They got loads of oil. A mad dictator and they are quite brown.

And its closer than Iraq or Afghanistan, so there would probably be some money left over for tax cuts for the wealthy, thereby stimulating the US economy in all sorts of good ways.

No need to thank me. You can have that for free Smiley: cool
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