Paskil wrote:
gbaji wrote:
They'll see the things that went right when all they're seeing today is the things that went wrong.
Name five that could in any way be seen to balance the ones you named. Not going to happen. He may not be the worst president, but he will surely fall in the bottom ten.
Well. The first depends on how the Iraq war ends up being viewed in the future. It's not out of the realm of possibility that in 20-30 years, Iraq will be viewed as a huge success and the absolute "right decision". Which reduces the negative impact of three out of the four things I listed as negatives and replaces them with a huge positive. The lesson of Lincoln applies here. The Civil war was viewed as an illegal war at the time, in violation of the Constitution and States Rights. The Emancipation Proclamation was also viewed as illegal, a stretch of executive power and a violation of Supreme Court decisions on the subject (ergo, also a violation of the Constitution). Lincoln also aggressively suppressed the Press during his term, in ways that far far outstrip the worst suspected aspects of the Patriot Act under Bush. Yet, those were all connected to an action (Civil War) which today is overwhelmingly viewed as the right thing to have done. History therefore views all the actions he took in the course of accomplishing that in a much more positive light than they were at the time.
Take that away and you have essentially the economy as the only major thing laid out on Bush's presidency. Katrina is in there as well, but I suspect it'll be a minor footnote as the initial emotions of the event fade away. Heck. It's already almost a non-issue just a few years later, occasionally brought up as a "remember Katrina?" sort of news story.
In terms of positives, the Iraq and Afghanistan wars may very well be viewed that way (but not today). No Child Left Behind, while not monumental has shown far better results than most predicted. The economic recovery of 2002-2003 is pretty darn impressive too, and may provide historical backdrop for the economic problems we're facing today when viewed in the future. People may see how Bush responded to economic collapse of 2001 and compare it to the actions taken in 2008 (and 2009 under Obama) and see how when Bush's ideas were followed (ie: The tax cuts under Republican congress and president) the economy recovered, but when they weren't (Dem congress followed by Dem president), things went poorly. Of course, we don't yet know how this will go, so it's impossible to look at the results.
It's hard to count just single things though. Presidential terms are generally judged by trends and big events. I'm quite sure that Bush's terms will be overwhelmingly judged based on the long term success or failure in Iraq. Period.
To put this in context though. Name 5 positive things that Clinton will be remembered for. It's kinda hard to identify multiple defining things for any president. There's usually only one or two "big things", and for Bush the future judgment of those things are still in doubt.