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I don't mean to be alarmist but...Follow

#1 Sep 22 2008 at 3:42 PM Rating: Excellent
The US has a lot of debt. The interest payments are huge, beyond $1000/person/year. The US population votes for less taxation and is resistant to less spending.

How is this sustainable? What happens if, say, China ceases buying up US debt? Or dumps it's existing debt back into the market?
#2 Sep 22 2008 at 3:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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How is this sustainable?


Its not. But you knew that already.

Future generations of American children are gonna look back and shake their heads whilst they sew clothes for chinese people for a $1 a day tho.
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#3 Sep 22 2008 at 5:06 PM Rating: Excellent
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yossarian wrote:
What happens if, say, China ceases buying up US debt? Or dumps it's existing debt back into the market?
They won't for as long as we're making the interest payments. Why would they? It's free money for them.

You're correct though in that our growth of debt isn't sustainable.
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#4 Sep 22 2008 at 5:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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well, if they try to dump our debt on to us in such a magnitude to force US economic total collapse, we would probably either just say 'Ok, that's nice, we're not going to pay" or "do you take uranium express?" I doubt we would go quietly into the night about it.
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#5 Sep 22 2008 at 5:26 PM Rating: Decent
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Uranium express...lol.
#6 Sep 22 2008 at 10:53 PM Rating: Good
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The goal here is to let the debt accumulate to a ridiculous level, and take out governmental loans to pay for the interest, and then leave the country so you get all of the benefit with none of the price. There is no way this plan could be bad.
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#7 Sep 22 2008 at 11:30 PM Rating: Good
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All is fine!

Nothing to worry about!!

Go shopping!!!





Screenshot

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 7:25am by paulsol
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#8 Sep 22 2008 at 11:46 PM Rating: Decent
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LHC! OH MY DEAR SWEET LORD BABY JESUS CHRIST OF NAZARETH, BLACK FREAKIN' HOLES ARE GOING TO-

Oh, debt. Right. There really isn't a way out of this hole anymore. Fannie and Freddie were about the tipping point to this whole mess. Now would be the time to move to New Zealand and start breeding Alpaca.
#9 Sep 23 2008 at 1:49 AM Rating: Decent
You could always try selling them an economic instrument made up of sub-prime mortgages.
#10 Sep 23 2008 at 2:29 AM Rating: Good
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paulsol wrote:
All is fine!

Nothing to worry about!!

Go shopping!!!





Screenshot

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 7:25am by paulsol

Once I noticed the red numbers ticking up, and realised what they represented, my jaw hit the floor and stayed there. That is by far the scariest link I've ever seen.

Bookmarked so I can watch the USA going down the crapper in realtime.

Taking us all with you.


/shudder
#11 Sep 23 2008 at 2:55 AM Rating: Good
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How surprising, Bush has done so well as an administrator in the past, I can't imagine what happened.
#12 Sep 23 2008 at 3:05 AM Rating: Good
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I linked Paulsol's link to a friend of mine, and he didn't believe that it was real. He said, "the numbers are going up too fast for it to be real". I finally had to go the USA Federal government's website, to the Treasury, and finally found this page, which despite it's simplicity is the USA's Treasury's webpage containing the Public Debt figure. The numbers look disturbingly the same as Paulsol's link, given the the Treasury page updates once a day.
#13 Sep 23 2008 at 3:21 AM Rating: Decent
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Total Public Debt Outstanding 09/19/2008 $9,727,009,619,894.34
Oh, only 9 trillion then...
#14 Sep 23 2008 at 3:23 AM Rating: Good
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Now would be the time to move to New Zealand and start breeding Alpaca.


I am in fact
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Posting from deeep inside the barrel Aoteroa (also known as New Zealand Smiley: cool).


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That is by far the scariest link I've ever seen.


I've linked to that before, and Gbaji invariably shows up to explain to me why its an indicator of an healthy economy Smiley: nod

And I could be wrong, but those linked figures do NOT include the 700 billion dollars bail out plan or the bill for Iraq/afghanistan ZOMG Smiley: jawdrop
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#15 Sep 23 2008 at 3:42 AM Rating: Good
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C'mon, it's only $32,000 per person.

But we will pay more than triple that due to interest.

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 7:37am by Timelordwho
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#16 Sep 23 2008 at 3:50 AM Rating: Decent
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Roughly $3 trillion added from the point W became president and when the Dems took over congress. Fiscal conservatives are an endangered species.

Edit: @ Paul: Congress is still hammering out the details--assuming it happens. Money not yet appropriated.



Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 7:46am by Paskil
#17 Sep 23 2008 at 7:02 AM Rating: Good
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I'll trade someone my stake in Freddie Mac for their stake in Fannie Mae.
#18 Sep 23 2008 at 7:06 AM Rating: Good
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What does all this mean for someone who has little/no actual debt? Or savings for that matter?

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 10:00am by AshOnMyTomatoes
#19 Sep 23 2008 at 7:30 AM Rating: Decent
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I doubt this debt calculates in the latest 700 billion to bail out the investment banks et al.

I heard it cost something like $3,200/person (if we had to pay it out of pocket) to purchase these bad investments. Go us.
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#20 Sep 23 2008 at 7:30 AM Rating: Good
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AshOnMyTomatoes wrote:
What does all this mean for someone who has little/no actual debt?
You're good.

AshOnMyTomatoes wrote:
Or savings for that matter?
Oops, never mind. You're almost as fucked as everyone else.
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#21 Sep 23 2008 at 7:32 AM Rating: Good
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AshOnMyTomatoes wrote:
What does all this mean for someone who has little/no actual debt? Or savings for that matter?

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 10:00am by AshOnMyTomatoes

Well, you are in a MUCH safer position than someone who has debt. Much. Much. Much.

Basically, sooner or later all this debt has to be repaid. Lets assume that not all the debt is going to be covered by a rise in the value of assets held. (let me lump in private sector debt here too, for a moment.) Part of that debt repayment is going to require a cut in spending from the Government, and also part from a cut in spending from private individuals while they pay off the debt instead of spending the money they have. Both the public and private cut in spending means that people will lose jobs as the services or goods they provide aren't bought as much as they used to be for the time being.

This is a contraction of the economy. The contraction will go into a bit of a feedback loop, since the people who lose their job from the first wave of redundancies have less money now that they are out of work (and there aren't many new jobs that they can move to, since everyone is cutting spending). They're out of work, so they spend less, which means a second wave of people lose their jobs from the reduced spending of the first lot. As more and more people lose their jobs, and spend less, the economy keeps contracting, putting more people out of work, until either the debt is repaid, or people put a hold on repaying the debt, or a boom happens elsewhere in the economy, or elsewhere in teh world and exports pick up.

If you have no personal debt, you are obviously in a MUCH better position if you lose your job than someone who has debt.

I forget or never knew what savings does for you in a recession or depression, or a time of rising unemployment (apart from the obvious), but savings are ALWAYS a good thing. Even if it's mere dollars a week going into some form of savings, if you can get compounding interest (either directly, or by reinvesting any dividends/payouts you get) over time it can REALLY accumulate.

The mathematics of compounding interest means that if you can get an effective 7% interest rate a year, then your money will double in 10 years. If you can get 10% interest a year, then your money will double in 7 years.

10% is usually achievable through an investment trust fund, over time.

Edited, Sep 23rd 2008 11:27am by Aripyanfar
#22 Sep 23 2008 at 8:33 AM Rating: Good
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Dude, why don't we just like, print some more money and give it to the banks...duh!
#23 Sep 23 2008 at 8:42 AM Rating: Decent
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Oops, never mind. You're almost as ****** as everyone else.


No, he's not. It's not too late to withdraw them and convert them into gold and silver.
#24 Sep 23 2008 at 9:00 AM Rating: Good
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Kavekk wrote:
It's not too late to withdraw them and convert them into gold and silver.
It's a myth. You can't make gold out of nothing.
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#25 Sep 23 2008 at 9:46 AM Rating: Good
No, but you can take all your money out of your investments, go hit up the nearest pawn shop, clean out their gold and silver cases, and then flee to Sweden where they will happily take it to melt it down and give you euros.
#26 Sep 23 2008 at 9:58 AM Rating: Good
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Are any of you planning on retiring in the next 2-4 years? If these are retirement investments, then they're long term investments and unless you had investments in one of the companies that went under, any losses you're seeing are likely short term losses. And if you had money invested in one of those, well, it's already gone and there's nothing you can do about it. Jumping over to gold or silver is a short term, knee jerk reaction and isn't going to do much for you.


Concerned that the money you still have in stocks will drop? Find a company that's been stable for a long time and invest in it. In times like this when investor uncertainty is so rampant, banks will go to their reliable borrowers, the ones who always make a payment and rarely take a loss. Those are the ones who will see growth in the days coming.
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