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Obama up in the pollsFollow

#27 Sep 03 2008 at 11:07 AM Rating: Excellent
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Gallup reports that Obama is up 5 points among independent women since Palin was announced.

As a bellweather, I was speaking to my mother today (not a very avid follower of politics and a social moderate/fiscal conservative) who said "I don't know why you'd donate to Obama anyway; McCain gave up the election when he picked that Palin woman. I don't know what he was thinking..."

My ancedote is firm evidence and don't you forget it.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#29 Sep 03 2008 at 11:24 AM Rating: Good
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I know my mother is a raving wombat?? WTF? Smiley: confusedSmiley: laugh
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#30gbaji, Posted: Sep 03 2008 at 11:34 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Care to cherry pick that a bit more? McCain is up more overall among women as a result of the choice. And she hasn't given her speech yet.
#31 Sep 03 2008 at 11:49 AM Rating: Excellent
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Um... no. McCain's sole gain was among white Republican women. Among white women, both candidates picked up 2%. But McCain's gains were solely among Republican women while he lost votes from white Democratic & white Independent women (by 5 & 4 percent respectively).
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#32 Sep 03 2008 at 11:51 AM Rating: Good
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Care to cherry pick that a bit more? McCain is up more overall among women as a result of the choice.


Hahahahahahahahaha, what a fucking sucker you are. Haven't we talked about what you *assume* to be true, and how that works out for you?

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#33 Sep 03 2008 at 11:57 AM Rating: Default
No serious replies? No one wants to object to my right wing opinions? Hack at my use of XP...I am a gamer...but not my ideals? Man I love being right!
When democrats are wrong and called out they change the subject or start with the personal attacks (I did not have sexual relations with that woman...uh, look over there, a republican solicited a prostitute.). When republicans are wrong we admit it and move on with our lives(ya, I banged that prostitute...sorry, kinda...let's get back to real politics now, ya know how much the gas cost to get to the hotel I did it in, we gotta do something about that.). At least that seems to be the general rule, however there are exceptions on both sides. There are good democrats like Zell Miller and Joe Liberman. The problem with most of them though is that they are very opinionated yet they are too lazy to go vote. I'm sure if they could just tell someone to go vote for them or maybe call in their vote we'd have a democrat in office right now. Thank God for lazy democrats.
#34 Sep 03 2008 at 11:59 AM Rating: Good
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No serious replies?


Yeah, no. Try the OOT. They're far more likely to respond to ignorant fucking clowns who create boring trolling socks. It was funny in 2004, now it's just boring.

Good luck.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#35 Sep 03 2008 at 12:15 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
I know my mother is a raving wombat?? WTF? Smiley: confusedSmiley: laugh


Yeah, I doubt she's raving.
#36 Sep 03 2008 at 12:54 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Um... no. McCain's sole gain was among white Republican women. Among white women, both candidates picked up 2%. But McCain's gains were solely among Republican women while he lost votes from white Democratic & white Independent women (by 5 & 4 percent respectively).


Er? Within the entire category of "women", as clearly indicated in the pretty bar graph on the page you just linked, McCain went from 46% to 48%. That's a... wait for it... gain of two percentage points.

You're looking too closely at one group or the other and missing the whole. McCain is up more overall among women over the last week after accounting for gains among one group and losses among another. At the end of the day, it's the total amount that matters Joph. Hence my comment about cherry picking.
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#37 Sep 03 2008 at 1:23 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Er? Within the entire category of "women", as clearly indicated in the pretty bar graph on the page you just linked, McCain went from 46% to 48%. That's a... wait for it... gain of two percentage points.
You mean the entire category of white, non-hispanic women. Try reading. The graph doesn't chart any minority blocs.

There's no cherry-picking. I said from the start that he was losing votes from independent women. If you want to cheer that McCain is picking up Republican votes, go for it. That's not where the election will be won or lost. His gains among white Republican women are a wash since indepedents are turning away from him. For someone already behind in the polls, that's no way to get ahead.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#38 Sep 03 2008 at 1:37 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I know my mother is a raving wombat?? WTF? Smiley: confusedSmiley: laugh

OMG!! Don't let Kaolian find out!!
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#39 Sep 03 2008 at 1:53 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Er? Within the entire category of "women", as clearly indicated in the pretty bar graph on the page you just linked, McCain went from 46% to 48%. That's a... wait for it... gain of two percentage points.
You mean the entire category of white, non-hispanic women. Try reading. The graph doesn't chart any minority blocs.


That's the context of the entire graph and the accompanying article Joph. Since you were the one who picked it, I assumed you understood that going in.

Quote:
There's no cherry-picking. I said from the start that he was losing votes from independent women.


That is cherry picking. You picked the one category covered in the article in which he lost ground, while ignoring the one in which he gained.

It's just as much cherry picking as if I tracked the polling data for white women in rural communities with downs syndrom children who like to hunt.

As you have now pointed out, it's silly enough that the entire context is only white non-hispanic women, but that apparently wasn't a small enough sample for you, so you focused on just one demographic within that group and used it as support for some kind of "Palin didn't really help McCain at all!" argument.


You see how that might be seen as "cherry picking", right?


Quote:
If you want to cheer that McCain is picking up Republican votes, go for it. That's not where the election will be won or lost. His gains among white Republican women are a wash since indepedents are turning away from him. For someone already behind in the polls, that's no way to get ahead.


Sigh. He's gaining ground with a group of women most likely to know of or immediately "get" Sarah Palin. You can't really say anything about the choice until those other groups get to know her too. Give it a week or two, then let's see what the numbers look like. I've been saying this repeatedly. She's an unknown to most people taking these polls. The only thing most of them have heard about her is talk on the mainstream media questioning the decision, and then a slew of attacks from the Soros funded groups on the Left against her. Once that dust clears and they get a chance to actually hear her speak, and see who she is and what she stands for, I suspect we'll get far more accurate numbers.

You're picking the point of maximum negatives against her, with minimum knowledge to combat those negatives to start rattling off polls. I think that's pretty darn irrelevant.

Edited, Sep 3rd 2008 2:50pm by gbaji
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#40 Sep 03 2008 at 2:10 PM Rating: Decent
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As you have now pointed out, it's silly enough that the entire context is only white non-hispanic women, but that apparently wasn't a small enough sample for you, so you focused on just one demographic within that group and used it as support for some kind of "Palin didn't really help McCain at all!" argument.


He's gained -6% in the polls since her announcement. That's HUGE! I heard if she can parley that up to -65%, he wins by like 15! That's the plan right? Only thing that makes an ounce of sense.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#41 Sep 03 2008 at 3:07 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


Sigh. He's gaining ground with a group of women most likely to know of or immediately "get" Sarah Palin. You can't really say anything about the choice until those other groups get to know her too. Give it a week or two, then let's see what the numbers look like. I've been saying this repeatedly. She's an unknown to most people taking these polls. The only thing most of them have heard about her is talk on the mainstream media questioning the decision, and then a slew of attacks from the Soros funded groups on the Left against her. Once that dust clears and they get a chance to actually hear her speak, and see who she is and what she stands for, I suspect we'll get far more accurate numbers.

You're picking the point of maximum negatives against her, with minimum knowledge to combat those negatives to start rattling off polls. I think that's pretty darn irrelevant.

Edited, Sep 3rd 2008 2:50pm by gbaji


I been following The NY Times, Huffington and the Daily Kos as well as few other blogs around the Internet, but this is the first time I've seen any one say Soros is funding the attacks on Palin. Sites Please?

BTW best blog post I read was by John Scalzi at Whatever.com Smiley: smile SF writer from Ohio, who I normally find on the conservative side when he does mention politics, seems to get it.
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#42 Sep 03 2008 at 5:11 PM Rating: Default
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ElneClare wrote:
I been following The NY Times, Huffington and the Daily Kos as well as few other blogs around the Internet, but this is the first time I've seen any one say Soros is funding the attacks on Palin. Sites Please?


Soros is the prime contributor to organizations like the Center for American Progress and moveon.org, as well as one of many major contributors to the Democracy Alliance, which in turn funds numerous other media outlets, with the proper liberal lean of course.

Where do you think the whole "Palin got her ex brother in law fired" story came from (Center for American Progress in case you're wondering)? While I'm not sure where specifically the other attacks were ultimately from, it's a reasonable guess that Soros, or someone in the same set of organizations he's involved in did so. Or do you not find it interesting that so much negative stuff appeared so quickly on Palin?

The frontline news organizations just don't do their own research that quickly. Maybe in a few weeks we might have heard various bits appear. But to have about 4 distinct attacks against Palin come up so quickly? Remember. The announcement came just las Friday. The first attacks were appearing in the blogosphere within hours, and the mainstream media was covering them within a day or two.


That doesn't happen without organizations like that feeding the stories to the media. Not that fast. Not on a weekend. The fact that Joph an Smash are parroting a list of negatives against someone they'd likely never heard of until just last week should be a huge indicator. Someone spent the time and money gathering dirt on her well ahead of time, just in case she might be the pick. You can be certain that ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, etc didn't do that on their own.


I don't need a site to tell me that if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it's probably a duck.
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#43 Sep 03 2008 at 5:19 PM Rating: Decent
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Soros is the prime contributor to organizations like the Center for American Progress and moveon.org, as well as one of many major contributors to the Democracy Alliance, which in turn funds numerous other media outlets, with the proper liberal lean of course.

Where do you think the whole "Palin got her ex brother in law fired" story came from (Center for American Progress in case you're wondering)? While I'm not sure where specifically the other attacks were ultimately from, it's a reasonable guess that Soros, or someone in the same set of organizations he's involved in did so. Or do you not find it interesting that so much negative stuff appeared so quickly on Palin?

The frontline news organizations just don't do their own research that quickly. Maybe in a few weeks we might have heard various bits appear. But to have about 4 distinct attacks against Palin come up so quickly? Remember. The announcement came just las Friday. The first attacks were appearing in the blogosphere within hours, and the mainstream media was covering them within a day or two.


That doesn't happen without organizations like that feeding the stories to the media. Not that fast. Not on a weekend. The fact that Joph an Smash are parroting a list of negatives against someone they'd likely never heard of until just last week should be a huge indicator. Someone spent the time and money gathering dirt on her well ahead of time, just in case she might be the pick. You can be certain that ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, etc didn't do that on their own.


I don't need a site to tell me that if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it's probably a duck.


Translation: Wild *** guess, wrong as usual.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#44 Sep 03 2008 at 5:29 PM Rating: Good
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No all they had too do is take a look at the Alaskan Bloggers to read up on all the rumors that been mention over the last 9 years.
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This Post is written in Elnese, If it was an actual Post, it would make sense.
#45 Sep 03 2008 at 5:31 PM Rating: Good
Actually, all true liberals news junkies heard about Palin over a month ago when Wonkette first reported about Troopergate. We were laughing even then. We're still laughing now.
#46 Sep 03 2008 at 7:02 PM Rating: Good
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ElneClare wrote:
No all they had too do is take a look at the Alaskan Bloggers to read up on all the rumors that been mention over the last 9 years.


Um... They don't though. There are really about 5 different sources that all the mainstream media use to get their stories. How you get the mainstream media to cover something that's on a blog somewhere is to get one of your writers to write a story about said blog and dump it into the stream. That's where groups like the ones that Soro's funds come in. They have staff who investigate what they want to write, then plant those via writers at a number of small news outlets around the country. Those stories are then dumped on the wire services where the mainstream media will pick them up. Perhaps with a phone call to a particularly liberal ear and a suggestion to "check out this wire story from BFEville".


Um... And that's in the cases where they don't simply write the blog themselves, then get someone to write a story about the blog, then dump that on the wire. If you spend enough money, you can get the media to print any allegation you want the public to hear. Half truths sell great if you do it right...


You're talking about a media manipulation machine unlike anything we've seen before. Soros himself is estimated to have personally spent upwards of 400 million dollars a year doing this sort of thing in past years (thats a international total, since he doesn't restrict his actions to just the US). We live in an information age. The ability to dump pretty much any story you want into millions of living rooms basically at will costs a lot, but gives you enormous ability to manipulate the masses.


Wild guess? Sure. But not likely to be far off. There's just no way that the mainstream media went out and investigated those stories between Friday and Monday, while there's a hurricane going on. Does anyone actually think these attacks just occurred as a result of normal journalistic research? Thats pretty naive...
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#47 Sep 03 2008 at 7:05 PM Rating: Decent
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Wild guess? Sure. But not likely to be far off.


No, very very very likely. On the order of the sun not going nova tomorrow.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

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