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As the Obama VP pick nears, let me just say...Follow

#127 Aug 25 2008 at 9:27 AM Rating: Excellent
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Good point. Bayh would have turned out the hard liberal activist vote in droves Smiley: laugh
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#128 Aug 25 2008 at 9:32 AM Rating: Decent
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Good point. Bayh would have turned out the hard liberal activist vote in droves


No, Obama would have. What Biden does is make me not care about voting. If it's a choice that instills apathy in me, what do you think the effect is on the 19 year old kid energized by Obama as their first real political experience.

Let me help: They think "Damn, it really was all ********* after all. I'll learn not to to that again."

Biden's only real asset is the ability to attack McCain without sullying O, and we'll see how well that works out when he makes his first big gaffe. What time is it now? I figure we have about 11 hours or so.

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#129 Aug 25 2008 at 9:37 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
If it's a choice that instills apathy in me, what do you think the effect is on the 19 year old kid energized by Obama as their first real political experience.
What does the affect of Obama's VP pick on a grumpy middle-aged political wonk have on a young college kid inspired by Obama to go vote? Probably very little.

I'd expect that your view of who Obama is and what he'll do is leagues different from that of some freshman at University of Colorado.
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#130 Aug 25 2008 at 9:39 AM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo wrote:
What Biden does is make me not care about voting. If it's a choice that instills apathy in me, what do you think the effect is on the 19 year old kid energized by Obama as their first real political experience.


It certainly killed it for me. All the talk about how he was going to bring a changing of the guard to DC and all the slamming on McCain being a part of old politics and he picks Biden, a 30 year politician. Disapointing at the least.
#131 Aug 25 2008 at 9:41 AM Rating: Excellent
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Kaelesh wrote:
It certainly killed it for me.
Out of curiousity, who do you think he should have picked?
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#132 Aug 25 2008 at 9:43 AM Rating: Decent
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What does the affect of Obama's VP pick on a grumpy middle-aged political wonk have on a young college kid inspired by Obama to go vote? Probably very little.


This is true, you still seem inspired.


I'd expect that your view of who Obama is and what he'll do is leagues different from that of some freshman at University of Colorado.


Maybe. There's no way we'll ever be able to establish that. I think turnout, particularly youth turnout will be significantly depressed by Biden as VP, with no offsetting gain in moderate voters. Or, more accurately, I think the Biden pick will be the tipping point for a lot of kids not showing up. Again there will be no way to ever measure this, but if the youth turnout is a significant increase from 2004, I'll definitely have been wrong. If it's not, there won't be causality attached, but I'll feel pretty secure that mistakes were made.

We'll find out in 90ish days, I guess.
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#133 Aug 25 2008 at 9:47 AM Rating: Decent
Jophiel wrote:
Out of curiousity, who do you think he should have picked?


Well that's the ***** of it, isn't it? I would have prefered a lesser known face, one who hasn't been in politics too long but has a name. I'm not sure who that would be as I'm not very familiar with politicians outside our tri-state area.

To me, Biden just gives too much of an Old Guard vibe and it doesn't seem to be inline of Obamas commitment for change. Now it just seems like empty words. We'll see.
#134 Aug 25 2008 at 9:50 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
This is true, you still seem inspired.
Hey now, I'm as crabby and wonkish as the best of them and you know it.

But I've learned that most people don't start their mornings by reading the political news or say "Ooohh... 3:00. The N. Carolina polling data should be up." So long as Obama continues to project his image and Biden boosts that with "This guy is frickin' amazing", I don't see a real problem. They're already pushing Biden's story of commuting home nightly and being one of the "poorest" members of the Senate as "He's been around a while but he's not your stock politican".

With Bush, there was always the feeling that Cheney was pulling the strings and his old man shadow hung over Bush. I don't see Obama being blotted out by Biden in the same manner and so I see Biden's experience as an asset rather than "This must mean politics as usual".
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#135 Aug 25 2008 at 9:51 AM Rating: Decent
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Well that's the ***** of it, isn't it? I would have prefered a lesser known face


Exactly. A smiling, competent nobody. Preferably a serving or retired Gov.

There was not shortage of options. Maybe they're all closeted gays or something and couldn't be vetted.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#136 Aug 25 2008 at 9:54 AM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo wrote:
Exactly. A smiling, competent nobody. Preferably a serving or retired Gov.


For the most part, yes. Not a damn career politician with, not one but two, failed attempts at the Democratic Nomination.
#137 Aug 25 2008 at 9:57 AM Rating: Good
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Maybe he's trying to inspire you, Smash, by picking someone who he thinks will do a better job as VP, rather than someone designed to net votes. ;)


#138 Aug 25 2008 at 9:58 AM Rating: Excellent
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trickybeck wrote:

Maybe he's trying to inspire you, Smash, by picking someone who he thinks will do a better job as VP, rather than someone designed to net votes. ;)




aww, that's so cute.

:p

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#139 Aug 25 2008 at 9:59 AM Rating: Decent
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But I've learned that most people don't start their mornings by reading the political news or say "Ooohh... 3:00. The N. Carolina polling data should be up." So long as Obama continues to project his image and Biden boosts that with "This guy is frickin' amazing", I don't see a real problem. They're already pushing Biden's story of commuting home nightly and being one of the "poorest" members of the Senate


One of? The guy's just bad with money. Last I knew he had a net worth of -$500,000. That may have changed by now, but I'd be hard pressed to think of another Senator who's literally in debt. Not that I've put much thought into it, mind you.

I'm not so sure poverty is a virtue here.


With Bush, there was always the feeling that Cheney was pulling the strings and his old man shadow hung over Bush. I don't see Obama being blotted out by Biden in the same manner and so I see Biden's experience as an asset rather than "This must mean politics as usual".


At risk of sounding Gbajiesque, I think you're missing my point. Obamma had to move to the middle, and yet maintain the enthusiasm of new voters. He's done a fine job balancing that thusfar. Biden, however, takes us firmly out of the enthusiasm camp and into the moderation camp. The more he and McCain seem indistinguishable to naive voters, the less likely they are to vote. I think this pick, and the timing of it (while obviously not by design) sucks all the air out of the Convention. I expect the polls to remain flatly unchanged as a result. McCain still has the opportunity to motivate much of his base with his pick. If it's Romney, ok, we likely win a close election. If it's a real evangelical, I think it's 55/45 McCain.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#140 Aug 25 2008 at 10:02 AM Rating: Decent
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Maybe he's trying to inspire you, Smash, by picking someone who he thinks will do a better job as VP, rather than someone designed to net votes. ;)


It would seem he's not very good as riddling out what would inspire me. Winning elections inspires me. Everything else is incidental.

"a better job as VP". Pfff. Because casting that deciding vote in the Senate is such a challenge.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#141 Aug 25 2008 at 10:34 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Last I knew he had a net worth of -$500,000. That may have changed by now, but I'd be hard pressed to think of another Senator who's literally in debt.
Beats me. The stories the past few days placed him in the lower 3 or so.

We can go back and forth on the rest but, as you said, we won't know until we know. I can sincerely say that the rest of the top tier made me go "Meh" but at least Biden made me go "Meh, but..."

I'm just mad that The Man won't let Governor Blagojevich be on the VP ticket.
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#142 Aug 25 2008 at 10:34 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smash wrote:
We'll find out in 90ish days, I guess.


More like 70ish. Tick tock.

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#143 Aug 25 2008 at 10:35 AM Rating: Decent
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More like 70ish. Tick tock


Yeah, whatever. I don't vote.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#144 Aug 25 2008 at 10:35 AM Rating: Excellent
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Although, if Smash starts saying that Obama will lose, this should inspire us all Smiley: grin
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#145 Aug 25 2008 at 10:37 AM Rating: Decent
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Although, if Smash starts saying that Obama will lose, this should inspire us all


Stop breaking the fourth wall!!!

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#146 Aug 25 2008 at 11:07 AM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

Well that's the ***** of it, isn't it? I would have prefered a lesser known face


Exactly. A smiling, competent nobody. Preferably a serving or retired Gov.

There was not shortage of options. Maybe they're all closeted gays or something and couldn't be vetted.

We've got the perfect one over here, but he did just take office. Not only is he black too, but he's also blind!
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#147 Aug 25 2008 at 11:14 AM Rating: Decent
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Not only is he black too, but he's also blind!


Jeeter's black?

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#148 Aug 25 2008 at 11:21 AM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

Not only is he black too, but he's also blind!


Jeeter's black?

Half, at least, according to A-Rod.
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publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#149 Aug 25 2008 at 11:22 AM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Obamma had to move to the middle, and yet maintain the enthusiasm of new voters. He's done a fine job balancing that thusfar. Biden, however, takes us firmly out of the enthusiasm camp and into the moderation camp.


Yup. While the polls may not show it yet, that's largely because most people don't actually know where Biden stands on most things yet. That'll change over the next couple months. Heck. It'll change once he opens his mouth. He's very liberal in his thinking and makes no real attempt to hide it. It's an amusing quality on a political comedy show, but not so great in this context I suspect...

The choice of Biden not only doesn't really gain Obama much (if anything) but it costs him two of his best real attacks against McCain. Obama's position on the war, while difficult given the current success could still stand on the "But I opposed it in the first place". He's now lost that by picking a VP who voted for the war, quite vocally in fact.

The second, as you touched on, was the "McCain's part of the broken system" argument. Kinda hard to argue that and then pick someone who's been in the Senate longer than McCain as your running mate. His choice just hosed his 527 support right there.


What the Obama camp needed was someone who'd fill in some gaps for Obama without being too obvious that there were gaps to be filled, while bringing the ticket as a whole towards the center (again without being too obvious about it) and while *not* stepping on the key talking points of the campaign. I think they managed to get just about all of them exactly wrong with Biden.
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#150 Aug 25 2008 at 11:30 AM Rating: Good
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Didn't Bush do the same thing, when he postured himself as a beltway outsider (even though his dad had been president) while also picking Darth Vader as a running mate?
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#151 Aug 25 2008 at 11:32 AM Rating: Good
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Maybe. There's no way we'll ever be able to establish that. I think turnout, particularly youth turnout will be significantly depressed by Biden as VP, with no offsetting gain in moderate voters.

I wouldn't know about other demographics, but youth voters aren't going to be significantly affected by Biden. Younger voters tend to focus solely on the president; that is why they are completely ignored by congressmen.

Edited, Aug 25th 2008 2:29pm by Allegory
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