Smasharoo wrote:
No. It wont. It'll maybe serve the majority of the market of people who already live in urban areas and don't drive much anyway. No one living in a suburban or rural area will ever buy that car, no matter how cheap it is.
Nah, this is patently wrong. A 150 mile range would service 90% of consumers. You couldn't possibly produce these fast enough to meet demand.
No. It really wouldn't. People aren't going to replace a car that they can drive to and from work everyday *and* drive on longer trips with one that they can only drive to and from work. I suppose I'll grant that if the whole car was very very cheap, maybe, but even then probably not. 12k still buys a whole lot of years of gasoline, and if I still have to pay it when I take the longer trips anyway, there's just not much reason to buy a second electric car just for the short local ones.
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Every time I want to run errands around town? Seriously. I can easily drive 300 miles over the course of a single day just running errands and having any sort of plans for the evening afterwards.
Bullsh*t. "Come on, Smash, I have to go to Stater Bros on Sunset to buy bread, then up to the Warf in SF for Halibut, then back home to make a sandwich out of it. Then I score a hooker in TJ. Heh, that's 1200 miles right there, I do that every Tuesday. Folks. Lol!"
Sigh. The closest Frys to my place is 15 miles away. One of my good friends lives 15 miles away. My mom lives 20 miles away. My brother lives 30 miles away. Heck. The closest Best Buy is about 12 miles away. I recently went hunting for a specific video game and ended up driving up to San Marcos (you really don't want to know what the round trip was). This was *after* driving to a couple other stores.
On Christmas, it's not uncommon at all for me to cover several hundred miles. Heck. I drive to the aforementioned friends house for breakfast, then drive to my brothers house (usually) for the whole family thing. Total round trip? 130 miles (cause they're in opposite directions). That assumes I don't stop *anywhere* else or need to take any side trips and only visit two different groups during the day. Sure. I could charge my car up at the stops, but that's not the point. I may not know how long I'm staying. It may not be enough time to charge the vehicle. And if we're talking about mass adoption of electric cars, exactly how many extension cords are we talking about for everyone to do this?
You really don't have a clue about how much (and far!) people in California drive do you Smash? And honestly, that's dwarfed by folks who live in states like Colorado, Utah, Iowa, etc... where going to the darn store might well be a 100 mile round trip. I knew some folks who lived in Telluride. You want to know how far it was just into town much less the nearest large store (Walmart in Montrose IIRC)? Heck. I used to live in Bonny Doon California. The nearest store was easily an hour drive down a windy mountain road.
It's not uncommon at all for me to go on a series of errands in which I drive to UTC, then off to I15 (other end of Miramar Rd), then down into the Friar's Rd area, then to La Mesa, perhaps down to Chula Vista, then back to Del Mar area. All without stopping anywhere for more then maybe 30 minutes or so. And that's just errand running. What about people who drive around town for a living? I know several people in the Real Estate business. They drive clients around all day long Smash. An electric car wont work. Anyone with a delivery job? Wont work. Anyone with a hobby that requires travel (I know a whole slew of people who do Ren activities every few weeks which require often hundreds of miles of travel in a single day and no convenient electrical outlets).
I'd be surprised if more then maybe 1 in 10 people I know personally would gain *any* real advantage from that (cost aside). Heck Smash. I know people who own electric cars. They owned them long before people like you got into them because they were a popular political issue. For them it was the geek factor and fun of building and operating an electric car. Guess what? Every single one of them owns another vehicle. I don't know *anyone* who owns an electric car as their only car. Not one. Heck. Most of them own a truck in fact. Want to know why? So they can
tow their electric cars to where they want to use them.
The biggest obstacle is range Smash. Always has been. 150 miles is nice I suppose, but still not nearly good enough for mass adoption of electric cars. If you want to get more then a niche market for the tech, it has to be a full replacement for everything people currently do with their cars. 150 miles just isn't enough. Not by a long long long shot.