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#52 Jun 20 2008 at 1:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
The GOP has mythicised ANWR into some energy genie we need only drill to let loose but that's all political posturing. The numbers just don't support it.


To be fair, both sides have participated in this little bit of mythology Joph.

The Republicans talk about ANWR because it's already been "zoned" for oil exploration and drilling, and therefore requires *only* Congressional approval to happen. Other areas have not been given over to federal control, and thus require state intervention, and fly in the face of a broader states-rights position if pushed nationally by the Republican party.


The Democrats have latched onto this because it's the easiest argument to make. You call it a "National Reserve" and everyone just assumes that oil drilling shouldn't be allowed. Of course, they fail to mention that the 1002 region of ANWR is an "oil exploration and drilling reserve", but who said that there's a need to inform the voters of the facts?


If we had more patches of land already surveyed and shown to have similar amounts of oil as ANWR *and* those areas had already been given over by the state to the federal government's use, we'd certainly be arguing over those areas too Joph. There just aren't any others that fit that criteria...

Edited, Jun 20th 2008 2:57pm by gbaji
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#53 Jun 20 2008 at 2:27 PM Rating: Excellent
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As the map I linked shows, there's millions of acres of federal land already leased to energy companies which are non-producing. They are "zoned". Hence the whole concept of leasing them to oil & gas comapnies. Most of that land isn't even explored. You can't make a credible argument for "Oh, only ANWR can save us now!" while there's literally tens of millions of acres of land that do allow drilling and which haven't even been looked at by the companies which were confident in their potential to sign into leases for them. Hell, if the energy companies are so unhappy or unable to exploit the land they have claim to, have the government take it all back and set it as untouchable. How about for every acre of ANWR opened for drilling, roads, infrastructure or anything else, we reclaim 1500 contiguous acres of nonproducing land elsewhere? Obviously the energy companies don't have use for it despite their paying leases on it. Hell, I'd be down for that (providing we could ensure that the land being reclaimed was relatively pristine itself). Someone get Congress on the phone for me.

Anyway, it's neither here nor there. Castigate the Democrats all you want over ANWR if it makes you happy. The fact will still remain that the amount of oil there isn't significant in regards to lowering oil prices, gas prices or whatever else. Anyone who says otherwise is ignorant or lying. Which leads me to wonder why Bush, McCain, et al are saying it.

Edited, Jun 20th 2008 5:30pm by Jophiel
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#54 Jun 20 2008 at 2:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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From an article a couple years old but I doubt things have changed drastically...
The Associated Press wrote:
WASHINGTON -- Despite soaring oil and gas prices, oil companies and individuals who own nearly 30 million acres of nonproducing federal oil and gas leases have made little effort to transform them into energy producers, federal records show.

An Associated Press analysis of Bureau of Land Management records obtained under the Freedom of Information Act found that 98 percent of the more than 33,000 leases still considered nonproducing by BLM have never had an exploratory well drilled. Ninety-seven percent have never had a single application for a permit to drill filed with the BLM.

Industry officials argue that those numbers are misleading because many nonproducing leases have been joined with other leases into larger production units where active exploration is under way, and in many such cases the units already are producing oil and gas.

But even after discounting such leases, there is no indication in BLM records of any oil or gas exploration on 26 million acres of federal land currently under lease, or two-thirds of all federal leased acreage. A little over 10 million acres of federal oil and gas leases are listed as producing; another 4 million acres have been explored to some degree but are still not producing.
Bolding mine.

Keep in mind that these 26+ million acres are all at least geologically viable that there's a good chance there's something under there or else they wouldn't be leased off to the energy companies in the first place. No one is leasing land where every junior college geologist would say "Not a chance of oil here".

Edited, Jun 20th 2008 5:44pm by Jophiel
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#55 Jun 20 2008 at 2:56 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
As the map I linked shows, there's millions of acres of federal land already leased to energy companies which are non-producing. They are "zoned". Hence the whole concept of leasing them to oil & gas comapnies. Most of that land isn't even explored.


Yeah. Been hearing this broken record recently as well. The response is pretty simple and obvious though. Yes. The federal government opens up land for lease. However, the oil companies have to pay for those leases, and they only get a set time to explore and hope that there's oil there. Most of the time, there isn't.


More significantly for your nifty map, they aren't going to be exploring in every single location they've leased at the same time. The leases are for set periods of time (typically 5 years IIRC). That means that they've got 5 years to check out that plot of land. Of course they're not going to be actively exploring on every single one 100% of the time. They're going to drill some exploratory holes in one plot, then another, then another. The ones that don't look promising get left alone for the remainder of the 5 years.


The sort of ratio's on that map are not unusual at all for the oil industry. They have to drill a significant number of holes in the ground before they find one that's got oil at the bottom. You're essentially arguing "why don't the oil companies only lease land for exploring that will produce oil?". Um...


Quote:
You can't make a credible argument for "Oh, only ANWR can save us now!" while there's literally tens of millions of acres of land that do allow drilling and which haven't even been looked at by the companies which were confident in their potential to sign into leases for them.


I have never said "only ANWR can save us". I have stated, repeatedly, that there's not much rational reason *not* to drill in ANWR. We have an area that has been repeatedly surveyed and shown to hold significant reserves of oil. The likelihood of production is much much higher there then in those other aresas on the map (as your own map shows). It's a "sure thing".

Why insist on exploring everywhere *except* the one area we absolutely know has sufficient quantities of oil to be worth drilling? Isn't that kind of silly?


Quote:
Hell, if the energy companies are so unhappy or unable to exploit the land they have claim to, have the government take it all back and set it as untouchable. How about for every acre of ANWR opened for drilling, roads, infrastructure or anything else, we reclaim 1500 contiguous acres of nonproducing land elsewhere?


They'd go for that deal in an instant Joph. Because the only reason they *aren't* actively drilling in those areas is because they paid money for the leases, did some exploring, and determined that the oil quantities present weren't sufficient to justify drilling.

They're losing money on those lands Joph! Don't you think they'd drill for oil if there was enough to make putting the holes in the ground worth it? Of course they would! What possible other reason do you think a for-profit company would not be drilling oil in those areas?

The obvious answer is well... obvious.

Quote:
Obviously the energy companies don't have use for it despite their paying leases on it.


Yes! What part of that don't you get? They're required to lease for a period of time. But they can't explore until they pay for the right to do so. It's hit or miss. They're hoping that there's sufficient oil under those plots to develop and use. Most of the time, there isn't...

Quote:
Hell, I'd be down for that (providing we could ensure that the land being reclaimed was relatively pristine itself). Someone get Congress on the phone for me.


Again. They'd completely take you up on that. Every acre of land that they've leased and explored and determined doesn't have sufficient oil worth drilling set aside as wildlife preserves in exchange for immediate and full exploration and drilling in ANWR? The oil companies would take that deal in an instant Joph. Cause see. They already know that those lands don't have oil on them. When the leases expire, they're not going to renew them anyway. Take that land and do whatever you want with it. They don't have any need for it.

Quote:
Anyway, it's neither here nor there. Castigate the Democrats all you want over ANWR if it makes you happy. The fact will still remain that the amount of oil there isn't significant in regards to lowering oil prices, gas prices or whatever else. Anyone who says otherwise is ignorant or lying. Which leads me to wonder why Bush, McCain, et al are saying it.



That's like saying that no individuals vote really matters Joph. Each and every barrel of oil is "significant" in that it adds up to the whole we're producing. If we block every single multi-billion barrel reserve because on it's own, it wont be enough to change the equation much, then we're being pretty darn stupid.

I have never said this is only about ANWR. We need to increase domestic production of oil. Period. ANWR is one of the places we need to start actively exploring and drilling, but is by no means the only location. That particular argument is pure strawman from the Left...
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#56 Jun 20 2008 at 2:59 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Yeah. Been hearing this broken record recently as well. The response is pretty simple and obvious though. Yes. The federal government opens up land for lease. However, the oil companies have to pay for those leases, and they only get a set time to explore and hope that there's oil there. Most of the time, there isn't.
[...]
They already know that those lands don't have oil on them.
Wrong. Read the article I linked. The vast majority of the leased land is unexplored, was never explored and never even had a permit filed for exploration.
Gbaji wrote:
ANWR is one of the places we need to start actively exploring and drilling, but is by no means the only location. That particular argument is pure strawman from the Left...
*Shrug* I already said I don't have a real issue with offshore drilling or drilling at other sites. On the other hand, I can't even feel much sympathy for off-shore drilling while vast tracts of land go held for energy exploitation and haven't even had a permit filed to explore them.

Gee, Gbaji! What if there's a magical world of oil producing gnomes under that land who can grant us our wildest oil producing fantasies but we never find them because we never even filed a permit even though it was set aside and leased for exactly that purpose? I bet the aliens will think we're really dumb, huh? They might even write scathing encyclopedia articles about us Smiley: frown

Edited, Jun 20th 2008 6:03pm by Jophiel
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#57 Jun 20 2008 at 3:04 PM Rating: Decent
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Ah. I was wrong. The leases are 10 years. Given that time frame, it's not surprising at all for roughly 2/3rds of them to not have been actually explored at any given time. Heck. I'm actually surprised the ratio of explored to unexplored is that high...
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#58 Jun 20 2008 at 3:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
it's not surprising at all for roughly 2/3rds of them to not have been actually explored at any given time.
We're not exactly talking about rotating stock here. Once a region gets explored, it stays explored. you might explore it further or with newer technologies but it doesn't go back to the "Who knows?" list.

Edited, Jun 20th 2008 6:08pm by Jophiel
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#59 Jun 20 2008 at 3:24 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Wrong. Read the article I linked. The vast majority of the leased land is unexplored, was never explored and never even had a permit filed for exploration.


Let's look at the numbers. 26 million acres "leased, but never explored". 10 million acres explored and actively producing. 4 million acres, explored but not actively producing.

I don't think a 4 to 26 ratio is "vast". That's the ratio of land they have explored but (presumably) did not find economically feasible to drill on to the land that they haven't even explored yet. Again. Given a 10 year lease duration, that's not an unusual ratio at all.

Just in terms of how much manpower and equipment they have available to use in any given period of time makes this a pretty reasonable ratio. I'm not sure how the land leases are given out, and whether they're done only at particular times, or each plot appears kinda randomly over time, but in either case, the oil companies kinda have to grab the lease when it becomes available and then schedule in exploring for sometime in that 10 year period.


Dunno. Those land usage numbers just don't look unusual or alarming to me at all. I'm not really sure why you think they do...


Quote:
*Shrug* I already said I don't have a real issue with offshore drilling or drilling at other sites. On the other hand, I can't even feel much sympathy for off-shore drilling while vast tracts of land go held for energy exploitation and haven't even had a permit filed to explore them.


It also has to do with survey results Joph. Sure. The leased areas have some positive surveys and *might* contain oil. But ANWR and some offshore regions have been shown to have a higher probability of high density oil fields.


I guess I just don't get what you think the oil companies motivation is here? They don't want to drill in areas they have leases on for some reason, even though oil is at all time record high value? But they do want to push for changes in the law to allow them to drill offshore and in ANWR, not because of some valid economic reason like that ANWR and offshore would be more viable for oil production, but apparently purely out of some evil desire to drill where the environmentalists care the most about the land?

That sounds crazy, but that appears to be the core of the assumption of your argument. If the oil companies didn't think they'd get a greater return on investment drilling in ANWR and offshore, why on earth would they push for the government to allow them to drill there? I thought the oil companies only cared about profit, right? If they could make more money drilling in the currently leased lands available to them, why care about ANWR and offshore?


Kinda makes no sense, does it?
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#60 Jun 20 2008 at 3:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
it's not surprising at all for roughly 2/3rds of them to not have been actually explored at any given time.
We're not exactly talking about rotating stock here. Once a region gets explored, it stays explored. you might explore it further or with newer technologies but it doesn't go back to the "Who knows?" list.


Er? It's a matter of physical materials available. You lease the land for 10 years. You can't instantly explore all of it. Assuming this isn't a one time for all time lease (which it obviously isn't), then at any given time, you kinda have to assume that some percentage of the leased land isn't going to have been explored yet for the simple fact that they haven't gotten around to it yet.

Again. This is a non argument IMO.
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#61 Jun 20 2008 at 11:39 PM Rating: Decent
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I don't think a 4 to 26 ratio is "vast".


Thank goodness you don't like to get bogged down in semantics. Sadly, I'd have to say that everyone else on the planet would find that over 80% does, indeed, qualify as a "vast majority"

Alas.


That sounds crazy


Does it really? Because to everyone else it sounds like you're either: 1. Rock ******* stupid. 2. Desperately trying to generate a plausible strawman while we laugh at you for the 100000th time. Quite possibly both.

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#62 Jun 21 2008 at 6:55 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
I don't think a 4 to 26 ratio is "vast".

Thank goodness you don't like to get bogged down in semantics. Sadly, I'd have to say that everyone else on the planet would find that over 80% does, indeed, qualify as a "vast majority"
Smash got it in one.

As for the motivations of the oil companies, I'm not worried about getting into a bunch of guesswork about it. The fact remains that the GOP is agitating for use of ANWR while 80% of the federal lands already leased to energy companies haven't even had a permit filed for exploration. They haven't even taken the first step towards exploiting the lands leased for exactly that purpose.

If you want to say that's no big deal, go for it. Just don't ask to drill in ANWR with a straight face afterwards.

Late edit to add information from a New York Times editorial:
The NYT wrote:
The numbers suggest otherwise. Of the 36 billion barrels of oil believed to lie on federal land, mainly in the Rocky Mountain West and Alaska, almost two-thirds are accessible or will be after various land-use and environmental reviews. And of the 89 billion barrels of recoverable oil believed to lie offshore, the federal Mineral Management Service says fourth-fifths is open to industry, mostly in the Gulf of Mexico and Alaskan waters.

Clearly, the oil companies are not starved for resources. Further, they do not seem to be doing nearly as much as they could with the land to which they’ve already laid claim. Separate studies by the House Committee on Natural Resources and the Wilderness Society, a conservation group, show that roughly three-quarters of the 90 million-plus acres of federal land being leased by the oil companies onshore and off are not being used to produce energy. That is 68 million acres altogether, among them potentially highly productive leases in the Gulf of Mexico and Alaska.
Some House Democrats are trying to put together bills forcing a "use it or lose it" provision on these energy companies which are just sitting on tens of millions of acres of unexplored land set aside for gas/oil production.

To restate what I've said, ANWR (and to a point, off-shore drilling off Florida) is pure political hay. If there's a pressing need for energy production in this country, it's to use the land already set aside and ready for this, not to try to pander for votes by saying the regions unavailable are the answer to lowering gas prices.

Edited, Jun 21st 2008 6:48pm by Jophiel
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#63 Jun 21 2008 at 11:33 PM Rating: Decent
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I think it would definitely make more sense to hold off on an area known to have oil, ANWR, until all other avenues are explored. Especially in dire times, you wold not want to use up your existing supply without first checking on alternatives (the other land in question).
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#64REDACTED, Posted: Jun 22 2008 at 7:22 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) More significantly for your nifty map, they aren't going to be exploring in every single location they've leased at the same time. The leases are for set periods of time (typically 5 years IIRC). That means that they've got 5 years to check out that plot of land. Of course they're not going to be actively exploring on every single one 100% of the time. They're going to drill some exploratory holes in one plot, then another, then another. The ones that don't look promising get left alone for the remainder of the 5 years.
#65 Jun 23 2008 at 3:49 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

I don't think a 4 to 26 ratio is "vast".


Thank goodness you don't like to get bogged down in semantics. Sadly, I'd have to say that everyone else on the planet would find that over 80% does, indeed, qualify as a "vast majority"


In an election? Yes. As a ratio of leased land to actively developed/drilled/explored/whatever in business? Absolutely not!

What part of "these are 10 year leases" did you not get? What time frame between when they obtain the lease on any given parcel of land and they start doing some exploring on that land would you find acceptable Smash?


At the end of the day, the oil companies are for profit organizations. If they thought they could make more money by exploring and/or drilling on these particular leased lands at a higher rate then they are currently, they would certainly be doing so. We can speculate as to the exact economic reasons for why so little of those leased lands are actively being worked but "So they can ***** over the environmentalists by only drilling in ANWR and offshore" isn't a likely explanation...
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#66 Jun 23 2008 at 3:58 PM Rating: Decent
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At the end of the day, the oil companies are for profit organizations.


Exactly why we shouldn't lease them government land. Good point.

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#67 Jun 23 2008 at 4:47 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

At the end of the day, the oil companies are for profit organizations.


Exactly why we shouldn't lease them government land. Good point.



Why is that?

They pay to lease the land. They pay to explore the land. If there's oil there, they pay to extend the lease to dril. Oh. And they also have to pay to get permits to do the exploration and the drilling, any portion of which can be blocked by a variety of state and federal organizations for any of a number of reasons having nothing at all to do with whether or not there's oil there.

And once all of that is done, they get taxed on the product they produce. Why *wouldn't* the government lease the land to them? Let's see. Zero oil production and taxes, fees, lease payments, etc if they don't, versus significant cash on otherwise useless land if they do.

Care to clarify your position here?
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#68 Jun 23 2008 at 6:06 PM Rating: Default
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And just to add one more bit before I head out:

shadowrelm wrote:
if oil companies actually wanted more oil, they would have been drilling for them with the land already given to them. they dont.


*cough* There's no oil on most of the land they're leasing. Let me add to what I asked Smash:

What part of speculative 10 year land lease do you not get?

They lease land. It might have oil on it. It might not. They look for oil. Most of the time they don't find it. Repeat process. Guess what? This is going to result in a significant percentage of the total land leased at any given time, not being used for oil production. I'm sure the oil companies would love to find and produce oil on 100% of the land they lease.

Why wouldn't they? Seriously. What possible financial motivation could they have to not drill if there's oil there worth drilling?


Quote:
if they wanted to end the bottleneck at the refineries to get more product out faster, they would have already. but they dont. that would require a large expendature and lower the value of their product. it would cost them more money to make less profit. and thats not what a for profit company does.



Um... Duh. So you're saying that we should pass a law requiring them to produce a product that they can't sell for a profit on the market? If the oil density on a plot of land is so low that they would need to sell it for $200/barrel to break even, they can't drill there. This isn't some massive conspiracy, it's just plain common sense.

No business will sell any product that costs more then they can sell it for. Kinda obvious, but apparently you (and several other people including a bunch of Dems in congress) don't get this very simple and obvious fact. No amount of punishing them is going to make them change their evil ways either. And no. Making it more expensive for them to do business wont help either...
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#69 Jun 23 2008 at 7:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
but "So they can ***** over the environmentalists by only drilling in ANWR and offshore" isn't a likely explanation...
As has been pointed out, it's more the GOP rattling the cage looking to drill in ANWR and off-shore than it is the oil companies. Hence my stance that the GOP is more worried about this for political reasons than they are for energy concerns.

Smiley: schooled There isn't enough oil in these areas to make much of an impact.
Smiley: schooled The oil in these areas won't be accessible for years, if not a decade.
Smiley: schooled The oil in these places won't do anything to help today's gas prices. Even if we were pumping it right this very second, its impact at the pump would be measured in pennies.
Smiley: schooled There are tens of millions of acres of federal land leased to energy companies which sits idle.
Smiley: schooled Per the NYT column linked above, 80% of off-shore oil and 66% of oil west of the Rockies is available for drilling right now.

And yet....

Smiley: schooled Bush, McCain & the GOP continue to push the notion that we need to open protected areas for drilling because we don't have enough oil as seen by the gas prices.

It's a joke. Defend it all you want but it'll still be a joke. It's a political plum, nothing more. Want to insist that the Democrats are just as bad for wanting to protect these areas? Knock yourself out. It won't change the fact that the GOP stance is a bunch of misleading and deceptive notions for the sole purpose of winning votes rather than solving any energy concerns.
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#71 Jun 24 2008 at 10:41 AM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
There isn't enough oil in these areas to make much of an impact.


It's not total quantity of oil, but density that matters.

Q: Is there more in the areas you argue that they should be drilling in instead?

Quote:
The oil in these areas won't be accessible for years, if not a decade.


Is that any different then how long it would take in other areas? You seem insistent that they should be exploring and drilling everywhere *except* ANWR. Why?

Quote:
The oil in these places won't do anything to help today's gas prices. Even if we were pumping it right this very second, its impact at the pump would be measured in pennies.


That's based on statements about the nominal effect in terms of supply change. If the current price of oil weren't artificially inflated by 30-50% those would be accurate. But since we're sitting in an oil futures bubble right now, anything that changes the future prospects of the supply/demand equation can have instant effects on the price of a barrel of oil.

So, in other words, you're wrong.

Quote:
There are tens of millions of acres of federal land leased to energy companies which sits idle.


Yes. And as I've already explained in previous posts. These acres aren't all known to have oil.

See. Here's the thing. The environmentalists look at the same surveys that the oil companies do. They lobby to block drilling in the areas with the most dense quantities of oil (the ones that will be economically viable). They do this because they *know* that less dense oil isn't economically viable to drill, so this effectively prevents the oil companies from drilling.

The oil companies spend millions trying anyway, on the land largely left over after the good spots have been set aside. And occasionally they do find oil worth drilling. Most of the time they don't, so most of the land isn't drilled on. What part of this is confusing to you?


Any sane person should come to the conclusion that one patch of land is largely just as important to the environment as another. It should therefore make sense to "zone" the areas with high densities of oil for drilling and set the rest aside for environmental conservation. Sadly, we do it exactly the other way around.

That's the problem Joph. And that's why folks talk about drilling in ANWR. It's one of those areas that actually was set aside for oil exploration and drilling 50 years ago before the environmental lobbies took control of the process. And yet we *still* can't drill there. That's just how f'd up the whole situation is...


Quote:
Bush, McCain & the GOP continue to push the notion that we need to open protected areas for drilling because we don't have enough oil as seen by the gas prices.


Again. Go look up the 1002 region of ANWR Joph. It's "protected" for oil exploration and drilling. It is not, and never has been designated as a wildlife reserve.

That's why people talk about ANWR. It's already been zoned for oil, but for some bizarre reason Congress wont allow it to be used for that purpose. In exactly the reason that if you saw a sign saying "ice cream" in a store window, you might be confused if you went inside and they said they didn't sell ice cream. Those who are actually informed about the issue look at this area sitting there with a big sign on it saying: "Designated oil drilling area", and are wondering why in the middle of an oil crisis we aren't drilling there.
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#72 Jun 24 2008 at 11:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Q: Is there more in the areas you argue that they should be drilling in instead?
We'd know if they didn't go almost entirely unexplored, huh?
Quote:
Is that any different then how long it would take in other areas? You seem insistent that they should be exploring and drilling everywhere *except* ANWR. Why?
Because I feel ANWR is worth keeping as is. And the idea of "Oh nos! We needs oils!" loses gravity when we have vast tracts of land open to production without GOP pandering and suggestions that the other regions are your only hope.
Quote:
That's based on statements about the nominal effect in terms of supply change. If the current price of oil weren't artificially inflated by 30-50% those would be accurate.
[...]
So, in other words, you're wrong.
No, adjusted for today's pricing it still stands. Sorry
Quote:
Yes. And as I've already explained in previous posts. These acres aren't all known to have oil.
Nor have most been explored. Or even had permits filed for exploration. You're not curious that almost all of the unproductive land leases don't even have the paperwork done to start exploration?
Quote:
Again. Go look up the 1002 region of ANWR Joph. It's "protected" for oil exploration and drilling. It is not, and never has been designated as a wildlife reserve.
Nonsense. The impact of oil drilling on the region has always been the determining factor as to whether or not to allow it.
The Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act wrote:
§1002. (a) PURPOSE.--The purpose of this section is to provide for a comprehensive and continuing inventory and assessment of the fish and wildlife resources of the coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; an analysis of the impacts of oil and gas exploration development, and production, and to authorize exploratory activity within the coastal plain in a manner that avoids significant adverse effects on the fish and wildlife and other resources.
[...]
WILDERNESS PORTION OF STUDY

§1004. (a) As part of the study, the Secretary shall review the suitability or nonsuitability for preservation as wilderness of the Federal lands described in §1001 and report his findings to the President.
[...]
(c) Subject to valid existing rights and the provisions of §1002 of this Act, the wilderness study area designated by this section shall until Congress determines otherwise, be administered by the Secretary so as to maintain presently existing wilderness character and potential for inclusion in the National Wilderness Preservation System. Already established uses may be permitted to continue subject to such restrictions as the Secretary deems desirable, in the manner and degree in which the same were being conducted on the date of enactment of this Act.

WILDLIFE RESOURCES PORTION OF STUDY

§1005. The Secretary shall work closely with the State of Alaska and Native Village and Regional Corporations in evaluating the impact of oil and gas exploration, development, production, and transportation and other human activities on the wildlife resources of these lands, including impacts on the Arctic and Porcupine caribou herds, polar bear, muskox, grizzly bear, wolf, wolverine, seabirds shore birds, and migratory waterfowl. In addition the Secretary shall consult with the appropriate agencies of the Government of Canada in evaluating such impacts particularly with respect to the Porcupine caribou herd.
(Bolding mine)

The 1002 region is currently in a state of limbo, administed by the Fish & Wildlife Service but not yet designated part of the National Wilderness Preservation System.
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That's why people talk about ANWR. It's already been zoned for oil, but for some bizarre reason Congress wont allow it to be used for that purpose.
No, it's been zoned for drilling, contingent upon Congress deciding to release it for that purpose which is, itself, based on the studies by the Secretary of the Interior. Until such time comes that Congress votes to release the land, it is protected "so as to maintain presently existing wilderness character."


Edited, Jun 24th 2008 2:47pm by Jophiel
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#73 Jun 24 2008 at 12:36 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Q: Is there more in the areas you argue that they should be drilling in instead?
We'd know if they didn't go almost entirely unexplored, huh?


This article has a pretty good rundown of all the different reasons why any given section of leased land may not be explored or actively drilled at any given time Joph.

The point I keep coming around to is economic viability. The oil companies will only drill (or explore) when and if drilling is going to be economically profitable. Currently, the way our system is set up is designed to minimize the profitability of drilling for oil domestically. Why be surprised that the oil companies don't drill?


You just can't demand that private industries do something at a loss. If we want to encourage them to produce domestic oil supplies, we have to make it profitable for them to do so. I just think that we're really still arguing the wrong point. Despite lip-service to the need to produce a domestic supply of oil, those on "your side" still basically believe that we shouldn't do so, and act to make doing so as unprofitable as possible.

To blame "my side" for that state is a bit silly IMO...

The Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act wrote:
§1002. (a) PURPOSE.--The purpose of this section is to provide for a comprehensive and continuing inventory and assessment of the fish and wildlife resources of the coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; an analysis of the impacts of oil and gas exploration development, and production, and to authorize exploratory activity within the coastal plain in a manner that avoids significant adverse effects on the fish and wildlife and other resources.
[...]


Yeah. "to authorize exploratory activity". That's the point Joph. They're not acting to do so. They're acting to *not* do so. The underlying assumption should be that there must be some level of environmental impact that is acceptable, otherwise why bother to define this area in that way? But the opposition basically is that even the tiny impact that exploration and drilling would be too much.

This section was not written with an impossible standard in mind, but one has been applied to it after the fact. That's the reason ANWR isn't being used. It again goes right back to my previous point. The real objective seems to be to define things in a way that does not allow both the preservation of wildlife *and* the need for oil supply, but simply to sacrifice the latter for the former in all cases.

That's simply unreasonable IMO. I could just as easily turn the argument around. Why insist that we not impact the environment in ANWR when there are hundreds of millions acres of wilderness areas that the oil companies don't have any need or interest in? Why not put our efforts into protecting the areas that don't happen to also have oil under them? Wouldn't that make more sense? It's not like we can designate the entire country as a wildlife preserve Joph. We already impact the natural habitats of wildlife a million times more then that which would be caused in ANWR.

Just from an environmental bang for the buck perspective, it makes no sense to make this the huge environmental issue of the moment.

Edited, Jun 24th 2008 1:38pm by gbaji
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#74 Jun 24 2008 at 12:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
This article has a pretty good rundown of all the different reasons why any given section of leased land may not be explored or actively drilled at any given time Joph.
That article completely fails to rationalize why the most basic paperwork to even begin exploration hasn't been done on 99% of unproductive parcels. Nice try though.
Quote:
That's simply unreasonable IMO. I could just as easily turn the argument around. Why insist that we not impact the environment in ANWR when there are hundreds of millions acres of wilderness areas that the oil companies don't have any need or interest in? Why not put our efforts into protecting the areas that don't happen to also have oil under them? Wouldn't that make more sense?
You tell me. You said earlier that the oil companies would simply jump at the chance to relinquish their leases and drill in ANWR, even at a 1500:1 ratio.

So why hasn't the GOP pressed to compromise and set aside these huge tracts of unproductive land as untouchable for conservation in return for limited drilling in ANWR? It seems the ball is in their court on that one. Rather than cry crocodile tears over the North Slope, why not work proactively?
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#75 Jun 24 2008 at 2:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Rather than cry crocodile tears over the North Slope, why not work proactively?


They'd lose sucker votes from idiots thinking gas would be $1.50 if only we drilled in ANWAR.

You knew that.

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#76 Jun 24 2008 at 4:38 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
This article has a pretty good rundown of all the different reasons why any given section of leased land may not be explored or actively drilled at any given time Joph.
That article completely fails to rationalize why the most basic paperwork to even begin exploration hasn't been done on 99% of unproductive parcels. Nice try though.


First off, as you well know from the numbers we've already tossed around in this thread, it's not 99%. More like 80%.

Also, the article most definitely touched on this. It said quite clearly that many of the land leases are not for land they're exploring right now, but land around other land they are exploring or drilling on. See. Cause underground oilfields don't happen to fall directly on (within really) the surface land lease borders...

The remainder is also explained via equipment and manpower shortage. As I've argued several times already, they can't instantly explore on every plot of land they've leased at the same time. Out of a rolling bunch of 10 year leases, we have to expect a pretty reasonable percentage just haven't been gotten to yet.

I'm sorry, but I just find it completely absurd that we block off the most likely oil producing areas of the country, leaving only the least likely spots available for the oil companies to explore, and then use the fact that the oil companies are not drilling or exploring actively enough in those crappy areas to argue that we shouldn't open up the good spots.



Quote:
Quote:
That's simply unreasonable IMO. I could just as easily turn the argument around. Why insist that we not impact the environment in ANWR when there are hundreds of millions acres of wilderness areas that the oil companies don't have any need or interest in? Why not put our efforts into protecting the areas that don't happen to also have oil under them? Wouldn't that make more sense?
You tell me. You said earlier that the oil companies would simply jump at the chance to relinquish their leases and drill in ANWR, even at a 1500:1 ratio.


I didn't say just ANWR, but yeah. If the environmentalists agreed to allow drilling in every location in the US surveyed to exceed some specific threshold of density probability for oil, of course the oil companies wouldn't block or care if all the rest of the land was designated off limits.

Why would they? Seriously. They only care about land that has oil on it Joph. I've asked this question a couple times now, and I'll repeat it. What motivation do you think they're acting on here? Do you honestly believe that the oil companies want to drill in ANWR purely because the environmentalists want it preserved?


I'd suggest that you've got the logic wrong. The environmentalists want to preserve the land *because* it's got oil under it. Want to use your mighty research skills to calculate what percentage of all federal land has been designated as a wildlife preserve, and then compare it to the percentage of federal land believed to have oil under it that has? The oil companies and the environmentalists are not equal and opposite forces here Joph. It's incorrect to ascribe to the oil companies an opposing motivation just because they happen to be taking actions that the environmentalists don't like. The environmentalists are motivated to save the environment. This does not mean that the oil companies are motivated to destroy the environment. They just want to find and utilize oil reserves.


It just seems as though your argument assumes that false opposing motivation. Otherwise it makes no sense. Again: What do you think motivates them to want to drill in ANWR? The presence of pristine wilderness? Or the presence of oil? I'd suggest it's the latter...

Quote:
So why hasn't the GOP pressed to compromise and set aside these huge tracts of unproductive land as untouchable for conservation in return for limited drilling in ANWR? It seems the ball is in their court on that one. Rather than cry crocodile tears over the North Slope, why not work proactively?


Er? Because the environmentalists would never go for it. You're mistaking which side is unreasonable here Joph. How is the ball in their court anyway? The environmentalists are the ones who want to preserve the environment. You'd think they would be the ones wanting to secure some deal to do so.


The point is that the environmentalists have realized that by focusing their efforts not on every stretch of land in the US, but only those that some industry wants to make use of, they effectively get to preserve *all* the land. Cause the oil companies aren't going to drill in the areas without oil, right? So by blocking the areas with oil, they minimize the environmental impact from oil drilling in the US while expending the least amount of effort. It's perfectly reasonable from their point of view. Unfortunately, it's also really hurting us economically.


Why on earth would the environmentalists make such a deal Joph? Those areas are already "preserved" by the simple fact that they aren't worth exploring on (in most cases anyway). They know this. That's why they haven't lobbied to prevent those 33 million acres of leased land from being blocked to oil companies. If they had oil on them, you can bet that the lobbying would start in earnest on any plot with oil.


Why are you surprised by this? It's how any sane environmentalist would operate. You protect the maximum amount of land this way...
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