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#102 May 13 2008 at 1:18 PM Rating: Default
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Demea wrote:


Nail on the head, Smash.


Pssst! Not agreeing with you doesn't mean I didn't understand your point.

Just a thought. And for the record? If you read my response and somehow think I missed anything about the model you linked to, it's *you* who really don't understand it. It's monumentally simple. It's also purely theoretical. You're not supposed to think that it applies to the real world...
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#103 May 13 2008 at 1:20 PM Rating: Decent
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this only happens if we pretend that the cost for someone to move from one physical location to another is zero.


Actually it's the cost of choosing one location over another being zero, really. Which is a distinction. If I had the option to move to Cambridge or I don't know, what's an upper income suburb out there...Rancho Santa Fe? Let's go with that. If I had the option and the cost was equal, I'd choose Cambridge.



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#104 May 13 2008 at 1:22 PM Rating: Decent
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It's monumentally simple. It's also purely theoretical. You're not supposed to think that it applies to the real world...


Did he link to a Supply Side Economics blog or something?
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#105 May 13 2008 at 1:28 PM Rating: Good
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http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=233210

Quote:
In combination with municipal zoning and the "vote with your feet" discipline proposed by Charles Tiebout, the local property tax is both a benefit tax and an efficient tax, at least when compared to statewide or federal taxes used to fund the same services. To pursue this claim, I modify the Tiebout model by adding to it something Tiebout himself wanted to avoid: politics. The politics I add is not that of the political science department, but of the finance department. In my view, homeowners are the major stockholders - the risk-bearing, residual claimants - of modern municipal corporations. As scores of capitalization studies show, the good and bad things that local governments do affect the value of homeowners' largest asset. Because their risks cannot be diversified like those of stockholders of business corporations, homeowners are especially watchful of municipal affairs. They want local officials - their board of directors - to choose the mix of spending, taxes, and land-use regulations that maximizes the value of their homes. This choice has the benign effect of making the local property tax into a fee for service. Voters will accept an increase in this fee if the value of the service redounds to their net benefit. Even homeowners without children will be interested in efficient funding for local public schools, since prospective buyers have school-age children. The declining quality of public schools in states that have centralized their financing and attenuated the local tax and spending connection is consistent with this view.


I don't have time to read the whole paper at the moment, but the abstract neatly summarizes my point, and it reinforces the general conclusion of the Tiebout model. I think your biggest obstacle is that you're thinking of government on the federal level, where Tiebout's arguments were specifically tailored to highlight a local level of taxation and public goods.
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#106 May 13 2008 at 2:05 PM Rating: Default
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Demea wrote:
I don't have time to read the whole paper at the moment, but the abstract neatly summarizes my point, and it reinforces the general conclusion of the Tiebout model. I think your biggest obstacle is that you're thinking of government on the federal level, where Tiebout's arguments were specifically tailored to highlight a local level of taxation and public goods.


No. My biggest obstacle is trying to figure out why you think this in anyway "disproves" my argument that publicly funded services "crowd out" or "increase the opportunity cost" of equivalent private sector services.

I'm in complete agreement that locally taxed and funded programs are preferable to federally managed ones. No argument at all there. But this in no way affects the argument I was making:e That as time has gone by (in this particular case) the public school system has grown into a massive institution with equally massive lobbying power, it has indeed acted to change the laws and regulations and judicial rulings to make private alternatives less able to compete. This has had by far the largest impact on religious based instruction, particularly K-12, which have traditionally aimed themselves at the working and middle class households. Those households can't afford to pay the tuitions as well as they used to, and the religious institutions themselves can't afford to foot the remainder like they used to.

If you think that "just happened", you are incredibly naive. It's the result of decades (about half a century really) of active work to remove the revenue streams of said religious organizations and up the opportunity costs to the consumer of their services at all levels. Whether we're talking about a church run soup kitchen, general charity donations, tithes, etc, all have been attacked over time in order to make the private (and specifically the religious) alternatives to the publicly provided service less and less viable.

It has been largely in response to this that the religious right organized themselves politically.




Let me repeat again. I fully understand what the Tiebout model means. It simply has no relevance to this discussion. We're not talking about someone choosing a community based on the publicly funded services available. We're talking about how publicly funded services replace and remove previous privately funded ones. We can speculate as to whether that's "better" or "worse" for the people living there, but it's pretty hard to argue against the fact that it has been happening.
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#107 May 13 2008 at 2:11 PM Rating: Good
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No. My biggest obstacle is trying to figure out why you think this in anyway "disproves" my argument that publicly funded services "crowd out" or "increase the opportunity cost" of equivalent private sector services.


Why is it that Social Security doesn't crowd out private retirement planning?

See if you can make the connection all on your own.

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#108 May 13 2008 at 2:37 PM Rating: Excellent
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Quote:
We're not talking about someone choosing a community based on the publicly funded services available. We're talking about how publicly funded services replace and remove previous privately funded ones.

Well, you're not, at least.

Could it be that over that same period of time, consumer preferences have changed to favor a public (and secular) education system more than a private (and theistic) education system? If that's the case, then the massive expansion of public education is merely a response to increasing consumer demand based on changing preference patters. Y'know, kind of like how free market systems work.
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#109 May 13 2008 at 3:35 PM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo wrote:

No. My biggest obstacle is trying to figure out why you think this in anyway "disproves" my argument that publicly funded services "crowd out" or "increase the opportunity cost" of equivalent private sector services.


Why is it that Social Security doesn't crowd out private retirement planning?

See if you can make the connection all on your own.



/snicker

/laugh
#110 May 13 2008 at 3:39 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

No. My biggest obstacle is trying to figure out why you think this in anyway "disproves" my argument that publicly funded services "crowd out" or "increase the opportunity cost" of equivalent private sector services.


Why is it that Social Security doesn't crowd out private retirement planning?

See if you can make the connection all on your own.



It does. Your problem is that you're looking at the whole population and not the individual. The concept of crowding out starts with what an individual would do if the government service didn't exist. Most people wont invest in their retirement, so SS is "good" for them in that it forces them to. However, it certainly "crowds out" what they would have otherwise spent that money on. And it certainly crowds out some of the investment that those who would otherwise invest can afford.


By your argument public schools don't crowd out private schools because some people wouldn't send their kids to school at all if public education didn't exist. That's true, but irrelevant. We have to look at those who would send their kids to private school, but now don't because a publicly funded alternative exists.


Funny how you guys keep trying to claim that *I* don't understand these concepts. Perhaps you should apply that logic to yourself for once...
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#111 May 13 2008 at 3:43 PM Rating: Excellent
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#112 May 13 2008 at 3:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
We have to look at those who would send their kids to private school, but now don't because a publicly funded alternative exists.
Fine, look at it and come back with solid numbers proving your point instead of the usual gbaji-guesses. Not conjecture, no half-assed guessing -- come back with the hard evidence.
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#113 May 13 2008 at 3:51 PM Rating: Decent
Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
We have to look at those who would send their kids to private school, but now don't because a publicly funded alternative exists.
Fine, look at it and come back with solid numbers proving your point instead of the usual gbaji-guesses. Not conjecture, no half-assed guessing -- come back with the hard evidence.



In before:



Gbaji wrote:
The evidence and hard numbers don't exist because Liberals falsify all data on the face of the Internet.
#114 May 13 2008 at 4:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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My money is on "It doesn't matter" and then he'll cry about how I expect him to back up his assertations instead of blindly accepting his message.
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#115 May 13 2008 at 4:22 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
We have to look at those who would send their kids to private school, but now don't because a publicly funded alternative exists.
Fine, look at it and come back with solid numbers proving your point instead of the usual gbaji-guesses. Not conjecture, no half-assed guessing -- come back with the hard evidence.


I'm busy at work and haven't found any national statistics, but I did stumble across this article, which certainly supports my argument.

The article basically says that as a result of a school voucher program, roughly 2/3rds of those vouchers are being used to send kids to religious schools. So, when given a choice, a huge number of parents choose to send their kids to a religious school. This certainly supports the argument of public education "crowding out" private/religious education. Certainly, we must be able to assume that some number of parents would send their children to a religious school if they weren't already saddled with the taxes used to pay for public schools.


I just don't think this is a stretch by any means.
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#116 May 13 2008 at 4:26 PM Rating: Decent
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So, when given a choice


Even with the rise of the voucher program, the number of students attending private schools in the city has continued to fall in recent years and is now at the lowest level in a generation or more, according to the annual census of children in the city conducted by Milwaukee Public Schools.


People still send their kids to public schools instead?

This strongly supports your argument.

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#117 May 13 2008 at 4:44 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
So, when given a choice

Even with the rise of the voucher program, the number of students attending private schools in the city has continued to fall in recent years and is now at the lowest level in a generation or more, according to the annual census of children in the city conducted by Milwaukee Public Schools.

People still send their kids to public schools instead?

This strongly supports your argument.
Here's a quote from another analysis of the Milwaukee voucher program:
Quote:
Although the voucher program was clearly beneficial in the minds of many choice parents, on average, approximately 30% of the choice students left the choice schools each year (i.e., they did not graduate and could have returned but did not). Attrition was cumulative, so that, for example, after four years, the first-year cohort of 341 students had only 85 students remaining. The majority of those who left returned to [Milwaukee Public Schools]. This attrition was not solely related to dissatisfaction with the private schools. Nevertheless, it remains unclear to me how these schools can work the miracles some choice supporters claim if the children are not in the schools.
Parents might have been interested in trying out the new voucher program but only a quarter of the students remained with it. Most of them were back in the public school system before graduation, vouchers or no vouchers.
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#118 May 13 2008 at 4:46 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
So, when given a choice


Even with the rise of the voucher program, the number of students attending private schools in the city has continued to fall in recent years and is now at the lowest level in a generation or more, according to the annual census of children in the city conducted by Milwaukee Public Schools.


People still send their kids to public schools instead?

This strongly supports your argument.



Yes. It supports the statement that religious school attendance has dropped *and* that when given a choice (ie: via vouchers in this case), parents choose to send their kids to a religious school...


What part of that was confusing?
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#119 May 13 2008 at 4:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Smasharoo wrote:
So, when given a choice

Even with the rise of the voucher program, the number of students attending private schools in the city has continued to fall in recent years and is now at the lowest level in a generation or more, according to the annual census of children in the city conducted by Milwaukee Public Schools.

People still send their kids to public schools instead?

This strongly supports your argument.
Here's a quote from another analysis of the Milwaukee voucher program:
Quote:
Although the voucher program was clearly beneficial in the minds of many choice parents, on average, approximately 30% of the choice students left the choice schools each year (i.e., they did not graduate and could have returned but did not). Attrition was cumulative, so that, for example, after four years, the first-year cohort of 341 students had only 85 students remaining. The majority of those who left returned to [Milwaukee Public Schools]. This attrition was not solely related to dissatisfaction with the private schools. Nevertheless, it remains unclear to me how these schools can work the miracles some choice supporters claim if the children are not in the schools.
Parents might have been interested in trying out the new voucher program but only a quarter of the students remained with it. Most of them were back in the public school system before graduation, vouchers or no vouchers.


*cough*

Those statistics about attrition from choice schools was from the first 5 year period of the program (upon which the study is based), and did not contain the religious schools. Did you bother to read what you linked? Or did you just skim for a useful quote?

Edited, May 13th 2008 5:58pm by gbaji
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#120 May 13 2008 at 5:22 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Those statistics about attrition from choice schools was from the first 5 year period of the program (upon which the study is based), and did not contain the religious schools. Did you bother to read what you linked? Or did you just skim for a useful quote?
I quoted it because it reflected what Smash quoted. Religious schools in Milwaukee lost 23% of their population between 1998-2005 (the article says 'private' but makes a point of talking about how empty religious schools are these days compared to the past). Milwaukee's population has dropped since 1990 but only by 2% or so. It's impossible to say what percentage of the 10,000 voucher students in religious schools were previously full-tuition private school students whose parents lucked into getting vouchers but either that accounts for the bulk of the students or else there must be a lot of turnover among new MPS transplants into the religious school system. Either way, it largely negates your premise -- either those voucher students were there to start with or else they don't last long.

Edit: I suppose a third possibility is that everyone else in the religious schools left and joined the public schools or else were home schooled once the voucher students came in.

Edited, May 13th 2008 8:33pm by Jophiel
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#121 May 13 2008 at 5:37 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Those statistics about attrition from choice schools was from the first 5 year period of the program (upon which the study is based), and did not contain the religious schools. Did you bother to read what you linked? Or did you just skim for a useful quote?
I quoted it because it reflected what Smash quoted. Religious schools lost 23% of their population between 1998-2005. It's impossible to say what percentage of the 10,000 voucher students in religious schools were previous full-tuition students whose parents lucked into getting vouchers but either that accounts for the bulk of the students or else there must be a lot of turnover among new MPS transplants into the religious school system. Either way, it largely negates your premise -- either those voucher students were there to start with or else they don't last long.


Ok. But what's the point? Are you arguing that the rate at which religious schools lost members was increased by the implementation of school vouchers? I think we can all reasonably assume that that 23% number would have been at least as high, and likely higher if not for the vouchers. They certainly didn't cause the reduction at all...


Which supports my first statement. That religious schools were losing students. You do recall that one, right? It's the one you insisted that I should find data to support. Can I assume you're now in agreement that this is happening?


The second point is that according to my link, once the school vouchers were opened up to religious schools, most parents choose to use them for religious schools (2/3rds IIRC).

If you can draw anything from the two links, it's that school vouchers *didn't* work well when applied only to secular private schools, but worked quite well when applied to religious schools. And that religious schools are in decline and the limited run of vouchers available (10k isn't that many really) despite 2/3rds of them going to religious schools, still didn't prevent their total population from decreasing by 23%.


I'm not seeing how any of this disputes my original argument about public education negatively affecting religious schools, and this being one of many reasons why the religious right sees such programs as a threat to their right to practice their religion.

Heck Joph. You were around for the thread a couple months ago about religious schools. You know. The one where many of the posters actually argued that parents shouldn't have a right to send their child to a religious school because they're imposing on the child's right to be not be taught to believe in religion, and was equivalent to torture or brainwashing. Given that environment on this board alone, can you really say with any certainty that the religious right didn't have a legitimate reason to form a political block, and that they're "wrong" to think that there's an active secular movement with an agenda to eliminate religion from our culture?


You've seen that exact sentiment on this board enough times that you can't possibly think this is made up or something. How can so many people present those arguments against religious instruction and then also argue that all these publicly funded secular alternatives really don't have any intent to accomplish exactly that elimination of religion. And, agree or disagree with the religious right themselves, they certainly have a right to defend what they see as an attack on their beliefs.


Red asked me why they formed. I gave that answer. I still believe it's completely accurate. They formed out of a growing perception that a strong secular movement had taken root in the Democrat party, and that if they wanted to preserve their schools and their rights to teach their religion to their own children, they'd need to form a political block in the Republican party (for all the other reasons I stated).


Are you disagreeing with any of that? Let's get away from ********* over which voucher program did this or that. Can you seriously state with a straight face that their fears are unfounded?
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#122 May 13 2008 at 5:58 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I think we can all reasonably assume that that 23% number would have been at least as high, and likely higher if not for the vouchers.
We can? Actually, I have absolutely no idea.
Quote:
The second point is that according to my link, once the school vouchers were opened up to religious schools, most parents choose to use them for religious schools (2/3rds IIRC).
My question is how many stuck with it once the novelty of sending the kids to St. Mary's wore off.
Quote:
Given that environment on this board alone, can you really say with any certainty that the religious right didn't have a legitimate reason to form a political block, and that they're "wrong" to think that there's an active secular movement with an agenda to eliminate religion from our culture?
Absolutely. the sample size of this forum is 100% meaningless. If the opinions on this forum meant anything, Obama would have already been crowned God-king, 95% of the nation would be okay with raising cross-gender children, evolution would go almost unquestioned by the population and some silly O-Game clone would be the most popular game on the planet.
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#123 May 13 2008 at 6:00 PM Rating: Decent
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Ok. But what's the point? Are you arguing that the rate at which religious schools lost members was increased by the implementation of school vouchers? I think we can all reasonably assume that that 23% number would have been at least as high, and likely higher if not for the vouchers. They certainly didn't cause the reduction at all...


This is an arbitrary stipulation on your part, actually. Maybe the "prestige" of sending your child to private religious school was lessened by the greater diversity of students. Maybe the voucher program resulted in the creation of secular schools with similar academic achievement, causing less religious parents to move their children to those schools.

You're guessing. Poorly.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#124 May 13 2008 at 6:05 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
If the opinions on this forum meant anything, Obama would have already been crowned God-king, 95% of the nation would be okay with raising cross-gender children, evolution would go almost unquestioned by the population and some silly O-Game clone would be the most popular game on the planet.

Oh, if I ruled the world....
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#125 May 13 2008 at 6:05 PM Rating: Good
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Official Election Prediction Thread


I'm amused to see that an 'election' thread has been turned into a 'faith based education' argument....

Or are you guys in the US having an election to choose a 'Preacher in Chief'??

If thats the case, then I hope Obama wins. Black preachers are teh best. Everyone knows that.
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#126 May 13 2008 at 6:09 PM Rating: Good
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paulsol the Righteous wrote:
If thats the case, then I hope Sharpton wins. Black preachers are teh best. Everyone knows that.
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