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#1 Apr 21 2008 at 1:03 PM Rating: Good
Jophiel
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After six freaking weeks of Pennsylvania campaigning, it's time to finally get this show on the road. Real Clear Politics has the polling average showing Clinton up by six. Place your bets!
The Pennsylvania Primary Results Will Be...
Clinton by 20%+:2 (3.4%)
Clinton by 15-20%:2 (3.4%)
Clinton by 10-15%:7 (11.9%)
Clinton by 5-10%:20 (33.9%)
Clinton by 1-5%:10 (16.9%)
Obama by 1-5%%:10 (16.9%)
Obama by 5%+:8 (13.6%)
Total:59
No, I'm not making entries for Obama to win by 10 or 20%.
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#2 Apr 21 2008 at 1:07 PM Rating: Good
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I clicked on 10-15%.

I'd rather be pessismist about it, because if she wins by a lesser margin then I'll be pleasently surprised, but if its as bad as I thought, then I can at least think: "Well, yeah, it was as bad as I thought."

And that's pretty awesome.
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#3 Apr 21 2008 at 1:08 PM Rating: Decent
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Clinton 57 to 43.

Narrative is that Obama can't win white middle class voters and that he "has to" win Indiana to keep the nomination.

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#4 Apr 21 2008 at 2:11 PM Rating: Excellent
Nexa
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5%

Edit: Hillary, I meant, obviously.

Nexa

Edited, Apr 21st 2008 6:17pm by Nexa
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#5 Apr 21 2008 at 2:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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So, would that be in the 1-5% or the 5-10% category?

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#6 Apr 21 2008 at 2:52 PM Rating: Good
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Undecided.
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#7 Apr 21 2008 at 2:52 PM Rating: Good
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Clinton by 10% and goddamnit, I'm ready for Hillary to drop out.
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#8 Apr 21 2008 at 10:03 PM Rating: Good
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I opted for Clinton by 5-10%, because the Golden Mean Fallacy is so much fun.
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#9 Apr 21 2008 at 10:13 PM Rating: Decent
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I dunno, after these comments I think it is still up in the air


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbaxHjxOlo4&eurl
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#10 Apr 21 2008 at 11:06 PM Rating: Good
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I dunno, after these comments I think it is still up in the air


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hb...o4&eurl


HilRod?

OMFG! Smiley: jawdrop
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#11 Apr 22 2008 at 2:46 AM Rating: Good
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I'm with the majority in calling 5-10%. I think she'll definitely take it, but not by double digits. I'm hoping that the margin is significant enough that mathematically she will see no further point in running, but Hillary is determined to persevere, so I'm not holding out much hope.

Democratic Underground seems split between "North Carolina" and "Never". Smiley: lol
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#12 Apr 22 2008 at 5:48 AM Rating: Excellent
Jophiel
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Poll results wrote:
Obama by 1-5%: 10 (26.3%)
Optimistic motherfuckers Smiley: laugh
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#13 Apr 22 2008 at 5:55 AM Rating: Decent
Nexa
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Samira wrote:
So, would that be in the 1-5% or the 5-10% category?


I'm not sure, but since I figure it'll be between 1 and 10%, this was my way of ensuring my rightness!!

Nexa
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#14 Apr 22 2008 at 2:10 PM Rating: Excellent
Jophiel
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Keeping in mind the source and without offering details, the Drudge Report states that early exit polling shows Clinton 52 & Obama 48.

Details would be nice here. If those are the numbers outside of one location in Philly, it doesn't mean a hell of a lot (well, it'd be bad news for Obama.. heh).
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#15 Apr 22 2008 at 2:42 PM Rating: Decent
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I'll make some calls about exits.

That worked out so well in 2004, I know.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

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#16 Apr 22 2008 at 2:55 PM Rating: Good
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Clusterfuck.

Most internals show her winning by 5 or 6, some horserace samples have Obama winning, some have her 60/40. Consensus seems to be her 55/45.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

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#17 Apr 22 2008 at 3:11 PM Rating: Good
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Well, it'd be bad news for Obama.. heh


Wouldn't that just end up with him being like, 150 delegates up instead of 160?

I think middle American is just as aware as we are that Hillary, despite the Slick Willy handbag, just can't seem to come across as anything but a bitch.

It's ultimately a high school popularity contest: the smart, ******* know-it-all white girl versus the nice black guy for student council president.

Sure, they argue about "issues" like the lunch menu in the cafeteria and parking spots for seniors. But in the end, I'd vote for the well spoken black guy if for no other reason then his is the voice I'd rather hear when stuck in an assembly.
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#18 Apr 22 2008 at 3:14 PM Rating: Decent
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Watching Ed Rendell on MSNBC. Schilling for Hillary, nothing important, but his combover...just exquisite.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

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#19 Apr 22 2008 at 3:20 PM Rating: Excellent
Nexa
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Where are my IRC exit poll watchin' homies?

Nexa
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“It has always been the prerogative of children and half-wits to point out that the emperor has no clothes. But a half-wit remains a half-wit, and the emperor remains an emperor.”
― Neil Gaiman, The Sandman, Vol. 9: The Kindly Ones
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#20 Apr 22 2008 at 4:01 PM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo
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MSNBC has it "too close to call". Interesting.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

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#21 Apr 22 2008 at 4:18 PM Rating: Good
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Nexa wrote:
Where are my IRC exit poll watchin' homies?

Nexa


I would normally join you, but not only is Jonwin home from Hospital, it's our 8th anniversary. So it's cuddle time.
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This Post is written in Elnese, If it was an actual Post, it would make sense.
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#22 Apr 22 2008 at 4:20 PM Rating: Excellent
Nexa
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ElneClare wrote:
Nexa wrote:
Where are my IRC exit poll watchin' homies?

Nexa


I would normally join you, but not only is Jonwin home from Hospital, it's our 8th anniversary. So it's cuddle time.


Well whatchoo doin on here!? Go nuzzle!

Nexa
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“It has always been the prerogative of children and half-wits to point out that the emperor has no clothes. But a half-wit remains a half-wit, and the emperor remains an emperor.”
― Neil Gaiman, The Sandman, Vol. 9: The Kindly Ones
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#23 Apr 22 2008 at 5:26 PM Rating: Good
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I was exercising. I'll be on in a sec
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#24 Apr 22 2008 at 6:37 PM Rating: Default
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My prediction was dead on.
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#25 Apr 22 2008 at 6:38 PM Rating: Good
Jophiel
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kelpiso, Immortal Lion wrote:
My prediction was dead on.
30% of the predictions here were dead on Smiley: wink2
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#26 Apr 23 2008 at 1:28 AM Rating: Decent
RedPhoenixxx
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Well, yeah, it was as bad as I thought.
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