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#27 Apr 08 2008 at 9:55 AM Rating: Decent
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I don't think Al-Sadr is actually that bad.


Me either, but he's Iran's man to fill the void if we leave, too, so it seems just a matter of process how he ends up in power.

Assuming we don't rig the election, which isn't by any means a safe bet.


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#28 Apr 08 2008 at 10:10 AM Rating: Good
Smasharoo wrote:
so it seems just a matter of process how he ends up in power.


Let's hope so, and that the process won't be too bloody.
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#29 Apr 08 2008 at 10:18 AM Rating: Good
Kaelesh wrote:
Belkira the Tulip wrote:
I would say it's our problem because we started this and forced it on them.


By all means, take that worn out route but it comes down to how long does a group need to get their sh*t together and proceed with their own security, on their own dime.

We've fought world wars that took less time.


True. But really, we didn't have much of a plan to help get things put together once we were done taking out "the bad guy." A little planning could've saved us all this trouble.

Unfortunately, Cowboy Bush only wanted to see Saddam toppled. Doesn't seem he much cared what happened after that.
#30 Apr 08 2008 at 11:29 AM Rating: Good
Time to make my fellow Republicans cringe but

Quote:
Unfortunately, Cowboy Bush only wanted to see Saddam toppled. Doesn't seem he much cared what happened after that.


I agree with this one hundred percent. Both little Bush and his father screwed this one up big time. Papa Bush should have finished the job the first time. Baby Bush was just trying to mop up and didn't really think out the aftermath. He decided to leave that up to his political buddies and it really screwed us over.

It's going to be a touchy situation for a long time over there. I think there will be a lot of shifting power and unstability. I really don't see a quick way out. But I think it's time the politicians hung up their k-pots and let the generals run things. They will get us out of there a heck of a lot quicker than McCain, Obama, or Clinton could.

Hopefully the next President will see this and allow the military to do what it does best.
#31 Apr 08 2008 at 11:30 AM Rating: Good
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Both little Bush and his father screwed this one up big time. Papa Bush should have finished the job the first time


Think about this for a good two or three minutes.

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#32 Apr 08 2008 at 12:30 PM Rating: Good
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Al sadr is likely to take power either way


We remove secular leader,then he eventually is replaced with a religious leader, then the people become alienated from the West.

basically a rerun of Iran only lacking the subtlety?
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#33 Apr 08 2008 at 2:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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Hopefully the next President will see this and allow the military to do what it does best.


What? Like break stuff up and kill people on an industrial scale.....that'll help no end for sure!


Perhaps putting Bush and his friends inc T. Blair and all the others on trial for crimes against humanity, and then locking them all up forever and ever, would make the Iraqis so happy that they would all work together to get themselves together and make a happy country .........
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#34 Apr 08 2008 at 3:50 PM Rating: Good
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What I'm getting at is that until the Iraqi governement is stronger than the Shia militias...


A problem is that these two two things are basically the same thing. The main faction in the Iraqi government is a Shia militia backed by Iran.

I believe that things there are going to hell whether we're in the middle of it or not. I'd like to see our soldiers just come home as soon as possible so no more of them have to die for a bad idea.

That would be a blow to our national pride, so it's probably not going to happen any time soon.
#35 Apr 08 2008 at 3:55 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:

I don't think Al-Sadr is actually that bad.


Me either, but he's Iran's man to fill the void if we leave, too, so it seems just a matter of process how he ends up in power.


We talking about the same Al-Sadr? The guy who's just now realizing that his attempt to gain control via his militia has failed miserably, but has now marginalized him so much with the rest of the political leaders that his only choice at this point is to disband it and hope he can get some leftover scraps?


Al-Sadr was playing his card on the hopes that the US would actually have pulled our troops out in 2006 as the Dems demanded. When that didn't happen, he's had to reverse himself just to keep from being the next casualty. I don't see him taking power anytime soon. He can retain a position at the table if he plays his cards right, but that's about it...
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#36 Apr 08 2008 at 3:59 PM Rating: Decent
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humangrumbler wrote:
Quote:
What I'm getting at is that until the Iraqi governement is stronger than the Shia militias...


A problem is that these two two things are basically the same thing. The main faction in the Iraqi government is a Shia militia backed by Iran.


No. It's not. The main problem isn't in Iraq. It's here in the US, with people trying to paint the political situation in Iraq in such simplistic terms. It's not about all the Shia vs all the Sunni vs all the Kurds. It just isn't. And all Sunni are not allied with Al-queda and/or Saudi dissidents. And all Shiites are not allied with Iran.


It's gross misrepresentations and oversimplifications that cause many Americans to just throw up their hands and think there's no chance to succeed.

Quote:
I believe that things there are going to hell whether we're in the middle of it or not. I'd like to see our soldiers just come home as soon as possible so no more of them have to die for a bad idea.


Case in point. ;)

Quote:
That would be a blow to our national pride, so it's probably not going to happen any time soon.



It would also be a monumentally stupid thing to do.
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#37 Apr 08 2008 at 4:30 PM Rating: Good
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The truth is that the Maliki government and its allied Shiite faction, the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI, formerly known as SCIRI), are much closer to Iran than the Sadrists are. Maliki's campaign against Sadr isn't a noble crusade by the good Iraqi government against the bad Iranian-backed Sadrists, but a battle waged by a weak Shiite leader backed by one militia, ISCI's Badr Corps, against another, stronger Shiite leader, Sadr, with his own militia, the Mahdi Army. Not only that, the "good" militia, the Badr Corps, was created in Iran by Iran's Revolutionary Guard -- the same organization whose Quds Force the United States notoriously declared to be a "terrorist organization" last year. The maraschino cherry on this sundae of absurdity: It was the head of that Quds Force, an Iranian general, who bailed out Maliki after Maliki's assault on Basra ignominiously failed, forcing him to send officials to Iran to broker a truce.


article I'm quoting

If you have better information than that, let us know.

Any "successful" outcome in Iraq would probably have to involve negotiating with the Iranians, which is very unlikely given what we in the U.S. believe about them and people from the middle east in general.

And misrepresentations and oversimplifications are what got us into this mess in the first place. "We" were the good guys, "they" were the bad guys, and we needed to kick some *** to show the world how tough we were. It was all about our wounded pride. The smart thing would have been never to have attacked Iraq in the first place.

You seem like you think that somehow we'll be able to create some outcome favorable to us. I don't think that's true. We're both guessing. In a year, or ten, we'll see which way it comes out.
#38 Apr 08 2008 at 4:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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If you have better information than that, let us know.


Gbaji gets his information from the same place that the War Party gets theirs.

Its a 'secret'. Smiley: tinfoilhat

As he's told us numerous times before, he knows ''stuff'.......'Stuff' that the rest of us unwashed masses are much too thick/blinkered/brainwashed by the liberal media etc. to possibly understand.....

....that and the fact that he lives on a planet that has very little similarity tot he one that we live on.

For example.....he really believes that it was the liberal media that perpetuated the suspicion that Iraq was an imminent threat to the world with their chemical weapons and nukes and death-rays. He attributes none of that 'stuff' to the Bush's Rices and Powells.

Nope. It was all the work of the liberal media!

He also believes that life in Iraq is 'improving'.

Based on these beliefs I would suggest that he is NOT a good source of reliable information.
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#39 Apr 08 2008 at 5:07 PM Rating: Default
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Lol. That article spins some truths and half-truths and makes some pretty amazing claims.

It's correct that there are some questionable aspects to the ISCI and the Badr brigade, including their ties to Iran. There are several problems though. The degree of ties to Iran depend on who you talk to. They do get some support "from Iran", but not specifically from the Iranian government. The ISCI (in its former incarnation) was made up of people who fled Saddam's government in Iraq and/or defected during their conflict with Iran. It's not so much that they are pro-Iranian, but they were opposed to the Baathist regime in Iraq and Iran was a convenient ally at the time.

The degree to which Iran has control over them is in doubt.


And that's ignoring the more obvious point that was kinda glanced by in the first sentence of the quote you provided. Malaki is *not* a member of that party. His party, the Islamic Dawa Party, is part of a broad "alliance" of parties formed after the last election, but is opposed to exactly the sort of Iranian influence that concerns people about the ISCI. It's incredibly misleading to simply define them as being in an alliance with him and imply that his policies and actions are controlled by them.



The bigger (and more relevant point) isn't about Iranian influence on either group. The point is that Malaki's government was and is the elected government. There has been progress with regard to disbanding militias across the board, and if you've been following the political situation you'd realize that pretty much the only reason any of the various militias in the member parties of the United Iraqi Alliance are still around is the fear that without them, Al-Sadr's militia would be able to run roughshod over the country and take over. By using military operations to force Al-Sadr to disband his militia (which appears to be working and very close to happening), it's reasonable to expect the remaining remnants of other militias to disappear pretty quickly as well.


He's been essentially holding the entire process hostage. He was banking on US withdrawal. Since that didn't happen, he's now realized that gambit failed and he's finally joining the rest of the political factions at the table (as was about to happen back in late 2005 right until the Dems began demanding withdrawal). So we're 2.5 years later then we should have been in this process. But it wasn't Bush's policies that caused that.


The current shifts should be seen as a very good thing. Hopefully, the Dems wont find another way to ***** it up for us...
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#40gbaji, Posted: Apr 08 2008 at 5:32 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) That and the fact that they never referred to Iraq's WMDs as an "imminent threat" to the US. Not once. Despite massive attempts to make it appear so. I particularly love this site, which attempts to argue exactly the case you're arguing. Funny thing is that it lists a bunch of quotes to prove its case, yet in all but three of them, the words "imminent threat" don't appear.
#41 Apr 08 2008 at 7:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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Christ, you're a tool.


Quote:
Main Entry: imminent
Part of Speech: adjective
Definition: at hand
Synonyms: approaching, brewing*, close, coming, expectant, fast-approaching, following, forthcoming, gathering, immediate, impending, in prospect, in store*, in view*, ineluctable, inescapable, inevasible, inevitable, likely, looming, menacing, near, nearing, next, nigh, overhanging, possible, probable, threatening, to come, unavoidable, unescapable



In pretty much every one of those quotes that you linked to, someone from the Whitehouse was saying that Iraq was/is a (insert word from above [here]) 'threat' to the USA.

Each and every statement was, at best, designed to stir up fear amongst the potential victims (thats you) of Iraqs 'evil intent', or at worst a bald-faced lie.

A goodly section of the worlds population knew that from the start. most of the rest of the world has since caught up.

And then theres you. Still tying it in knots in your own head to try and justify to yourself why invading a third world country and slaughtering its people, and destroying most of its remaining infrastructure, and creating the right-royal balls-up that is Iraq today, was such a great and noble pursuit.

If you are unable to understand the English language and its uses in politics, thats your problem.

I would like to thinkl that most people here stopped believing your idiotic justifications for Bush's war long ago, and now just find your ramblings mildly amusing.

But really, maybe its time to stop lying to youself.





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#42 Apr 09 2008 at 1:42 AM Rating: Excellent
gbaji wrote:
By using military operations to force Al-Sadr to disband his militia (which appears to be working and very close to happening), it's reasonable to expect the remaining remnants of other militias to disappear pretty quickly as well.


What planet are you on? Seriously, where on Jupiter do you read that crap? Your interpretation of the situation couldn't be more wrong, unless you forgot to tell us about the teletubbies and their unicorn army.

Al-Sadr holds Iraq by the balls. When Maliki decided to take on the Medhi army a couple of weeks ago, with the help of US air power, in what he called the "Charge of the Knights", he said there would be "No retreat. No talks. No negotiations." After a few days, he was forced to let Al-Sadr orchestrate a negotiated end to the fighting. It was a humiliating defeat for the Iraqi governemnt, and the only reason Al-Sadr decided to stop the fighting was because of the elections in October. He's decided he wants to turn his slightly disorganised militia into a stable political force. But, if he orders his Medhi army to start fighting again tomorrow, the Iraqi governemnt won't survive a month.

Maliki, meanwhile, is rumoured to be on his way out after this debacle. The US is pissed off with him,

So is it "reasonable to expect the remaining remnants of other militias to disappear pretty quickly as well"? Only if al-Sadr chooses to. And even then, the Sunnis and Kurds will still decide the level of peace.

Quote:
So we're 2.5 years later then we should have been in this process. But it wasn't Bush's policies that caused that. Hopefully, the Dems wont find another way to ***** it up for us...


So it was the Dem's fault? I'm consistently amazed at how the opposition party in the US has so much influence over domestic policy in Iraq. Really, it's staggering that the guys who have been in power for 8 years are completely impotent, while some guys in opposition who make pretty speeches influence the daily lives of Iraqis so effectively.
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#43 Apr 09 2008 at 3:58 AM Rating: Decent
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That and the fact that they never referred to Iraq's WMDs as an "imminent threat" to the US. Not once. Despite massive attempts to make it appear so.


Did they say "mushroom cloud"? Because I'm not sure if you're aware, but that's worth 37,000 "imminent threat"s.

Seriously, I know the only refuge you have when you're getting your *** kicked here every day is to attempt to redefine language, but arguing that there was no case made for WMD being an immediate threat fro Iraq is Felliniesque absurdity.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#44 Apr 09 2008 at 4:29 AM Rating: Default
Heard on the radio that Patraeus is recommending a reduction in force and a 40 day consolidation after the reduction. They were saying that some of the Dems were challenging him on this. That got me thinking. Is it beneficial to the Dems for the Forces in Iraq to stay there until the Dems come into power. Maybe they don't want the Repubs getting credit for force reduction.

Honestly I don't have any evidence of this. It was just a quick thought that ran through my head.
#45 Apr 09 2008 at 5:21 AM Rating: Good
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Smasharoo wrote:

That and the fact that they never referred to Iraq's WMDs as an "imminent threat" to the US. Not once. Despite massive attempts to make it appear so.


Did they say "mushroom cloud"? Because I'm not sure if you're aware, but that's worth 37,000 "imminent threat"s.

Seriously, I know the only refuge you have when you're getting your *** kicked here every day is to attempt to redefine language, but arguing that there was no case made for WMD being an immediate threat fro Iraq is Felliniesque absurdity.



You beat me to it. Damn, I need to get up earlier.
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#46 Apr 09 2008 at 3:48 PM Rating: Good
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You beat me to it. Damn, I need to get up earlier.


So you can argue with Gbaji?

Sleeping in sounds like a better option.
#47 Apr 09 2008 at 5:33 PM Rating: Decent
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paulsol the Righteous wrote:
Christ, you're a tool.


Quote:
Main Entry: imminent
Part of Speech: adjective
Definition: at hand
Synonyms: approaching, brewing*, close, coming, expectant, fast-approaching, following, forthcoming, gathering, immediate, impending, in prospect, in store*, in view*, ineluctable, inescapable, inevasible, inevitable, likely, looming, menacing, near, nearing, next, nigh, overhanging, possible, probable, threatening, to come, unavoidable, unescapable



In pretty much every one of those quotes that you linked to, someone from the Whitehouse was saying that Iraq was/is a (insert word from above [here]) 'threat' to the USA.


Not all synonyms carry the exact same connotation in English.


If that was the case, then why didn't the anti-war folks attack the Bush administration for claiming that Iraq's WMDs were a "forthcoming threat"?


Could it possibly be because the word "imminent" carries with it a specific connotation that is stronger then say "forthcoming"? I think so...

One would then conclude that the reason the anti-war folks choose to use the phrase "imminent threat" has everything to do with marrying that to their argument that since the WMD components and plans rocket bodies and whatnot that were found in Iraq were not assembled and usable, that they could not correctly be called an "imminent threat". Um... Which is why it's incredibly relevant to point out that the word used was not actually "imminent".


You can't have it both ways. Either the word imminent carries with it some greater assumption of immediacy then say "forthcoming" or "emerging", or it doesn't. You can't both play on the fact that the word "imminent" implies that the threat was of an immediate nature, and argue that words like "ongoing", "emerging", and "continuing" are synonyms with "imminent" and therefore mean exactly the same thing.


Quote:
Each and every statement was, at best, designed to stir up fear amongst the potential victims (thats you) of Iraqs 'evil intent', or at worst a bald-faced lie.


No. The phrases were used specifically to indicate the exact nature of the threat from Iraq. Specifically, a threat that is present and growing and may someday hurt us. See. "Emerging", and "ongoing" and "growing" all carry that connotation. "Imminent" means that we could be hit at any moment.

See the difference?

Quote:
If you are unable to understand the English language and its uses in politics, thats your problem.


I'm well aware how words are manipulated for political purposes. That's exactly what I'm talking about in fact. When a group of people take quotes from someone using one word, and then change the word used to one that is technically a synonym, but which carries a very different connotation, and then attacks the other person on that changed meaning, they are manipulating words for political reasons.

Which is exactly the point I'm making. The anti-war folks invented the phrase "imminent threat" in order to strengthen their own argument. Get it?
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#48 Apr 09 2008 at 5:40 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:

That and the fact that they never referred to Iraq's WMDs as an "imminent threat" to the US. Not once. Despite massive attempts to make it appear so.


Did they say "mushroom cloud"? Because I'm not sure if you're aware, but that's worth 37,000 "imminent threat"s.


You mean this quote:

GWB wrote:

America must not ignore the threat gathering against us. Facing clear evidence of peril, we cannot wait for the final proof, the smoking gun that could come in the form of a mushroom cloud.


Gee. Looks like he's saying that this is something that may happen someday if we don't act now.


That's about as far from "imminent threat" as you can get. In fact, he even uses the phrase "the threat gathering against us". See, a "gathering threat" implies that the threat isn't here yet, but will be if we don't do something.


That's the connotation and representation of the threat from Iraq that was consistently used by the Bush administration. Not "imminent".


The phrase "imminent threat" was created as a strawman to use against the decision to go to war. It's pretty darn obvious if you don't have your Liberal blinders on so tight...
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#49 Apr 09 2008 at 6:24 PM Rating: Excellent
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Quote:
The anti-war folks invented the phrase "imminent threat" in order to strengthen their own argument. Get it?


There you go again.....


If I remember rightly (and i do, 'cos i was one of them), it was us 'anti-war' folk who were adamant that Iraq was NOT an imminent threat.

Anyway, how is the weather in history revisionist world?
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#50 Apr 09 2008 at 7:05 PM Rating: Default
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paulsol wrote:
Quote:
The anti-war folks invented the phrase "imminent threat" in order to strengthen their own argument. Get it?


There you go again.....


If I remember rightly (and i do, 'cos i was one of them), it was us 'anti-war' folk who were adamant that Iraq was NOT an imminent threat.



Yes. I know. My point is that the Bush administration never claimed that Iraq was an "imminent threat". Get it?


Please read up on the Strawman Fallacy if you're unclear why this is significant.


When you "adamantly" argue against something the other side never claimed, what are you doing? Think about it...
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#51 Apr 09 2008 at 7:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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Quote:

Yes. I know. My point is that the Bush administration never claimed that Iraq was an "imminent threat". Get it?


They claimed it was a threat. A 'present' threat. An 'immediate' threat. A 'real' threat. Etc.....

Quote:
"The Iraqi regime is a threat to any American. ... Iraq is a threat, a real threat."
• President Bush, 1/3/03


Quote:
"Saddam Hussein is a threat to America."
• President Bush, 11/3/02

Quote:

"There is real threat, in my judgment, a real and dangerous threat to American in Iraq in the form of Saddam Hussein."
• President Bush, 10/28/02


Why are you so thick, that you don't understand that saying 'is a threat', is to all intents and purposes, exactly the same as saying that the threat is 'imminent', 'present', 'real' etc, etc?


Your argument is one step the same as saying GW never invaded 'Iraq' 'cos he always pronounces it Eye-rak.


And people got worked up about Clintons use of the word 'yes', ffs!

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