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What the media did not show about WrightFollow

#152 Mar 28 2008 at 3:16 AM Rating: Good
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If Obama is going to be critiszised for his choice of church, then its time for McCain to be critiszied for his preferred mates in the God-bothering squad too.
Quote:

"The judgment of the nations is going to happen as soon as Christ returns to Earth. As soon as he sets up his throne on the Temple Mount in Jerusalem, he's going to rule the world with a rod of iron."
says Pastor John Hagee.


He's one of those freaks who believes thatthe Rapture is something worth bombing the middle-east to smithereens for.

Numbered amongst his 'friends and supporters' are McCain, GW (everything is going just great in Eyrak)Bush And Joe Liebermann, who thinks he's a'man of God'.

McCain said he is honored by the Pastors support.

This bloke reckons that one of the things that will bring on the Rapture is a full on conflagration in the ME, and isn't averse to a bit of bombing and such by the powers of good (That would be USA and Israel) to hurry it along.

Now personally I don't believe that politics and religeon have any right being associated, especially by the future leader of the military machine that is the USA. But if someone is going to be in charge, I wouldn't want an' old fart like McCain who has friends who think that war is good if it gets Jesus back to earth nice and quick.

At least Obamas pastor recognises a problem when he sees it and isn't afraid to bring it up.

mcCain, if he is taking this guy seriously is looking to get a gilded throne on Gods Right hand. That cant be a good thing for thoss eof us left behind.....

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#153 Mar 28 2008 at 3:40 AM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
He won votes, not because he outspent his competitors, but because his message resonated with the primary voters.


It's my opinion, dear sir, that McCain won pretty much by default. I put it to you that the party was spilt. They couldn't vote for a guy who thought the Bible was meant to be read litterally, no matter how cute his message might've been. They couldn't vote for an empty and flip-flopping mormon suit who had all the charisma of a dead slug. Giuliani made the worst tactical decision in the history of tactical decisions. Fred turned out to be wet, boring, and bored.

McCain was lucky in that the Republican candidates this time round were poor. And those that weren't, played their hands poorly. So you had to go for the straight-talking war-hero grandpa, who was nobody's ideal candidate a few months ago. As Homer once said: Default? The two sweetest words in the English language!

I don't mind though, he was my favourite amongst the Republicans. If it wasn't for his foreign policy, I wouldn't even mind him being elected too much.
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#154 Mar 28 2008 at 5:42 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
RCP's polling average has Obama ahead again in the general as well. To be totally honest, it's essentially a tie but it's a recovery from the lead McCain had a week ago.


Not to be obvious, but polls taken during the nomination process on what people will do in the general election are largely irrelevant. Doubly so when comparing candidates in a hotly contested nomination to one who's already "done" in terms of active nomination. News cycles on each candidate alone will warp any polling you do...
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#155 Mar 28 2008 at 5:49 PM Rating: Decent
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Not to be obvious, but polls taken during the nomination process on what people will do in the general election are largely irrelevant. Doubly so when comparing candidates in a hotly contested nomination to one who's already "done" in terms of active nomination. News cycles on each candidate alone will warp any polling you do...
This may in fact be the shortest Gbaji post evah!

On topic, Polls on US general elections are pretty much useless period, the pollsters are not exactly unbiased.
#156 Mar 28 2008 at 5:59 PM Rating: Decent
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paulsol the Righteous wrote:
If Obama is going to be critiszised for his choice of church, then its time for McCain to be critiszied for his preferred mates in the God-bothering squad too.


McCain did not attend his church for 20 years, though. You're comparing apples to oranges.
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#157 Mar 28 2008 at 6:00 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Not to be obvious, but polls taken during the nomination process on what people will do in the general election are largely irrelevant.
But a more accurate source than Gbaji giving his wild guesses Smiley: smile

The question was whether or not Obama was seriously harmed by the Wright thing. Given that he has regained his opinion lead past Clinton and now tied (slightly above) with McCain, it would seem not. I'm not arguing that it proves either will win the general.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#158 Mar 28 2008 at 7:50 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Not to be obvious, but polls taken during the nomination process on what people will do in the general election are largely irrelevant.
But a more accurate source than Gbaji giving his wild guesses


/shrug

My "wild guesses" are based on pretty normal human behavior models. Polls usually reflect the opinions of whomever took the poll, or whatever media coverage a given subject has been inundated with most recently. Media says that Wright's antics are "bad" and Obama's numbers go down. Media says that Obama's speech was wonderful, and his poll numbers go back up.

But people are pretty consistent. My "wild guesses" are based on the bulk of very questionable things about Obama, which largely have not been presented to the public in a consistent and pattern establishing way. Right now, that's mainly because he's running against Clinton for the Dem nomination, and Clinton herself has more to lose by pounding on the issue too much then she has to gain. She's trying to win over the very voters who are most likely to not be alarmed by Obama's pattern of behavior.


The general election will be an entirely different animal though. There, it wont be mostly just Liberal voters who need to be convinced, so the gloves will largely come off and these things, which are alarming to those in the middle and the right will be presented in a more pattern revealing manner then they have so far. You'll see constant talk about the consistency with which he shows bad judgment in a whole variety of areas. Wright is just one of many aspects of this. Any one of which is minor seeming, and has been presented so far individually (and so hasn't had much impact). When you start getting pundits on TV listing off all of them at once, it'll have a major impact.


To me, this is no more "wild" of a guess then guessing that if it's cloudy, more people might bring an umbrella to work then would otherwise. Politics is a game of numbers and all of these issues will cause a significant dent in Obama's once the nomination process is completed.

Quote:
The question was whether or not Obama was seriously harmed by the Wright thing. Given that he has regained his opinion lead past Clinton and now tied (slightly above) with McCain, it would seem not. I'm not arguing that it proves either will win the general.


Sure. But those are poll numbers *today*, when he's running for the nomination. Those poll numbers don't yet reflect the whole story. Not even close.

I suppose if you specify whether or not it hurt him for the nomination, you'd be correct. It didn't hurt him much. But I believe it has hurt him if/when he gets to the general election, and will hurt him even more down the line as more scrutiny is applied to him.

Guess it just depends on what you're looking at right now...
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#159 Mar 28 2008 at 8:00 PM Rating: Excellent
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[quote=paulsol something worth bombing the middle-east to smithereens for.
[/quote]

Im pretty sure thats a good idea just in general principal. Nuke it from orbit. It's the only way to be sure!
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#160 Mar 28 2008 at 8:01 PM Rating: Excellent
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I could fix that, but im not going to.
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#161 Mar 28 2008 at 8:16 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
/shrug
That about sums it up. Defend your guesses all you care to, they're still just wild-*** guesses based more heavily on your own biases than anything else. Funny how all the problems facing Democrats will be "huge" and the ones facing Republicans won't amount to much.

I'm pretty sure you had the same attitude in the 2006 midterms. We see how that turned out.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#162 Mar 30 2008 at 6:02 AM Rating: Default
bottom line is, the repubs and clinton are trying to throw in the ugly black white race thing and tie it to obama. american politics.

the end.

doesnt amount to a hill of beans. the repubs are going to loose not because of some great dem candidate, but because the majority of people in this country, including a whole lot of repubs, are sick of the republicans and the way they have trashed the honor and integrity of this country on a global scale.

the ONLY chance the repubs have of winning the next election, Wright or no Wright, is for Iraq to declare they dont need us any more and allow an early preelection save face withdraw, and Osama to turn up at the end of a Marines rifle.

short of that, most people are finnished watching the repubs trash our constitution, trast our international reputation, trash our education system and trash basically every thing else they touched.

doesnt matter who wins the dem nomination. Obama, Clinton, or bill the Cat, the repubs are going down hard. just look at the numbers of people voting for the dems vs the repubs. look at the amount of money flowing in. look at the stagering numbers of repubs switching their party inn almost every state the dems campaign in.

Wright or no Wright. but do go on droaning aboout how someone in someones church said something. if thats the worst dirt that can be dug up on Obama, he is a shoe in.
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