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What the media did not show about WrightFollow

#127 Mar 26 2008 at 8:40 PM Rating: Default
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What the hell are you raving about?
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#128 Mar 26 2008 at 8:42 PM Rating: Good
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Let's say, just for the sake of argument, however, that McCain is more qualified to be President by some arbitrary standard.

By the same standards let's examine the last 10 elections:

Bush v Kerry, Kerry's more qualified, loses.
Bush v Gore, Gore's more qualified, loses.
Clinton v Dole, Dole's more qualified, loses.
Clinton v Bush, Bush's more qualified, loses.
Bush v Dukakis, Bush's more qualified, wins!
Regan v Mondale, Mondale's more qualified, loses.
Regan v Carter, Carter's more qualified, loses.
Carter v Ford, Ford's more qualified, loses.
Nixon v McGovern, Nixom more qualified, wins.
etc.

Were we going to write up a criteria of a winning Presidential candidate, experience in government would be about 1000th on the list.

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#129 Mar 26 2008 at 8:42 PM Rating: Good
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What the hell are you raving about?


Nor raving, just pointing out that you're having difficulty observing reality, and as such, don't merit a response. One can't argue with a hallucinating person.

:(

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#130 Mar 26 2008 at 9:00 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:
Let's say, just for the sake of argument, however, that McCain is more qualified to be President by some arbitrary standard.


Arbitrary standard? It's not arbitrary at all. As a general rule, experience for the US presidency tends to run in the following order of importance with regard to public office:

Incumbent Presidents
State Governors
US Senators
US Representatives
Other State offices


Number of years weights the value of any given position, but not as much as having held the higher position usually. Military service tends to add somewhat universally. Being the incumbent obviously gives you a huge advantage, but being the previous VP is hit or miss.

That's just off the top of my head, but I've never run into anyone who'd disagree with this as a good standard for determining the degree of qualification for US president. I've heard this, or something very similar to this used when discussing Presidential qualifications pretty much without exception.
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#131 Mar 26 2008 at 9:03 PM Rating: Default
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And as a final bit of comparison, both Obama and McCain carry the same level for "highest office" (as does Clinton). The difference is that McCain has been a Senator for longer then Obama has held *any* office (even state level positions).

So, same level. McCain dramatically longer. Advantage McCain.

Then you add in military service, which McCain has and Obama does not. Advantage McCain.


If you have some other measurement of qualification you'd like to share, by all means go for it!
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#132 Mar 26 2008 at 9:08 PM Rating: Good
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That's just off the top of my head, but I've never run into anyone who'd disagree with this as a good standard for determining the degree of qualification for US president.


I disagree. I would offer that what you've listed has borne absolutely zero relation to the success of a President throughout the history of the nation.

I'd offer instead, that there is a certain threshold of experience in government that must be met, after which any additional experience is largely irrelevant. Holding any high office, be it Senator, Governor, or in the unlikely event that one had held some other very high cabinet level office like Secretary of State or VP without first being one of the former would be sufficient.

I think we'd both agree that Ted Kennedy probably isn't more qualified to be President than Colin Powell is, wouldn't we? You're arguing that he's not, that McCain isn't, and that Bush wasn't.

Is that really the case you'd like to make here?
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#133 Mar 26 2008 at 9:09 PM Rating: Good
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If you have some other measurement of qualification you'd like to share, by all means go for it!


One post up.

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#134 Mar 26 2008 at 9:18 PM Rating: Excellent
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Electoral-Vote.com looks at experience vs. "greatness"

As the well-worn example goes, Lincoln was one of our least experienced and yet greatest presidents. Buchanan was our most experienced president and almost universally ranked as the worst in US history.
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#135 Mar 26 2008 at 9:24 PM Rating: Good
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Buchanan was our most experienced president and almost universally ranked as the worst in US history.


Give the Bush legacy a few years.
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#136 Mar 27 2008 at 5:07 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
And as a final bit of comparison, both Obama and McCain carry the same level for "highest office" (as does Clinton). The difference is that McCain has been a Senator for longer then Obama has held *any* office (even state level positions).

So, same level. McCain dramatically longer. Advantage McCain.

Then you add in military service, which McCain has and Obama does not. Advantage McCain.


If you have some other measurement of qualification you'd like to share, by all means go for it!



Of course he has. He's ancient.

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#137 Mar 27 2008 at 5:09 AM Rating: Good
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Wow, this is having a massive impact...

On Clinton's negatives.

http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/obama/863995,CST-NWS-obamaside27.article
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#138 Mar 27 2008 at 5:18 AM Rating: Excellent
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Wright on! Everything's going to be all wright! He spins me wright round baby wright round like a record baby!

hahaha, I have a meeting now. kthxla~

Nexa
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#139 Mar 27 2008 at 6:39 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Wow, this is having a massive impact...

On Clinton's negatives.

http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/obama/863995,CST-NWS-obamaside27.article
The same poll showed that voters were more hesistant to vote for a man over age 70 than they were an African-American or a woman.

I guess FOX's attempts to write off McCain's ignorance of the Sunni/Shiite divide as a "senior moment" didn't help instill confidence Smiley: laugh
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#140REDACTED, Posted: Mar 27 2008 at 6:41 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) this is about politics and winning a race, no facts and dealing with our own deamons.
#141 Mar 27 2008 at 8:49 AM Rating: Decent
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Everything else being equal, we're comparing a first term US senator, who's first position at any level in government at all was in 1996, to a guy who began serving his country in 1960 in the military, then went on to win his first political office in 1982, with two terms in the House, and 20 years in the Senate.


There really is no experience that prepares one to be the president of the United States. Experience as a whole is overrated in most professions. How one reflects on and learns from their experiences is far more critical. Some people at age 20 will have more wisdom than someone at age 100 will ever have.

Frankly I don't think military experience adds a lot to a candidate, and is something I'd almost prefer a candidate not have. I live in a military town and have met many military people. Even higher ranking officers don't impress upon me a sense of competence for the presidency. I'll also add that the considerable majority of people that I know in the military did not enter for any sense of patriotism, though I couldn't say if that's true for McCain. All this not to say that I don't appreciate the military, but I don't think it attracts the highest calibur of people.

Some previously unspoken factors for me: McCain went to the US Naval Academy and graduated... sometime around '60 I think. Obama, on the other hand, graduated Magna *** Laude from Harvard Law and went to an Ivy League School. I'm just gonna take a wild stab at who beats out who in terms of intelligence. McCain's experience comes at the cost of his age. I have some concerns about how in touch with today's America he really is. The man is a dinosaur.

So if McCain's prevailing qualifications are essentially that he's old and was in the military, I think I'll take the man who seems smarter and more in touch with the present dynamic of the country, issues and policies notwithstanding.
#142 Mar 27 2008 at 9:12 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
Smasharoo wrote:
Wow, this is having a massive impact...

On Clinton's negatives.

http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/obama/863995,CST-NWS-obamaside27.article
The same poll showed that voters were more hesistant to vote for a man over age 70 than they were an African-American or a woman.

I guess FOX's attempts to write off McCain's ignorance of the Sunni/Shiite divide as a "senior moment" didn't help instill confidence Smiley: laugh


Yeah, I'd rather not spend the next four to eight years cringing every time the President speaks without a Teleprompter.

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#143 Mar 27 2008 at 9:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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A slew of various polls coming out today shows Obama beating McCain in Oregon (Clinton losing), beating McCain in the general (by 2) with Clinton losing (by 2) & winning both Connecticut & California against McCain by significantly larger margins than Clinton (52/35 vs 45/42 & 49/40 vs 46/43).

All the usual caveats about polling but it doesn't seem that the Wright flap dragged Obama down much at all. There was some backlash last week but it's gone from the polling numbers now.
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#144 Mar 27 2008 at 9:49 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
All the usual caveats about polling but it doesn't seem that the Wright flap dragged Obama down much at all. There was some backlash last week but it's gone from the polling numbers now.
I've been ignoring things down there lately. You guys still giving the slightest inkling of care towards that NAFTA crap?
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#145 Mar 27 2008 at 10:02 AM Rating: Excellent
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Uglysasquatch, Mercenary Major wrote:
You guys still giving the slightest inkling of care towards that NAFTA crap?
Give it another couple of weeks. Pennsylvania primary is coming up and that's another manufacturing region. They might drag it out to Indiana in May as well. I doubt it'll see as much light in North Carolina and Oregon.
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#146 Mar 27 2008 at 1:50 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
I think we'd both agree that Ted Kennedy probably isn't more qualified to be President than Colin Powell is, wouldn't we? You're arguing that he's not, that McCain isn't, and that Bush wasn't.


Lol. Sure. But Ted Kennedy isn't more qualified, not because of his experience in the Senate, but because he's Ted Kennedy. Kind of a bad example, but I get your point.

I think we're also going off track a bit here. We can debate the degree to which experience indicates future success as a president, but I was specifically responding to a post that suggested we should ignore these nagging concerns about Obama's patriotism and positions on race because of his "service to his country". That poster made this a presumed qualification for President that should override things like not showing acts of patriotism or attending Trinity church for 20 years. I was simply saying that *if* that's an overriding criteria, Obama doesn't have much of it, especially when compared to McCain.


Certainly, there are other things that add up to qualification for President, but wishful thinking isn't one of them I don't think. My concern is that it seems like everything that we're told Obama is about, we keep finding out he's done things that indicate he's *not* about those things.

We're told he's about unity and getting past the partisan divide. Yet, in his brief time in the Senate, he's managed to rack up the most Liberal voting record in that body. McCain, on the other hand, has a long standing record of reaching across the aisle to the other side.

We're told that he's a new kind of politician and not part of the establishment, yet he's also managed to rack up an impressive amount of earmarks for his state, and seems to use money quite well to aid his political fortunes (which seem like pretty "traditional" politician things to me). Meanwhile, McCain does not accept earmarks at all, and has run his campaign despite very little funding. Which one is running on ideas, and which one's running on power and money? Hmmm...

We're told that he's not a black politician cut from the same cloth as Jackson and Sharpton, so white people shouldn't worry about his racial politics. He's "above race". Then we find out he's attended this radical black liberation church for 20 years.


So far, almost everything we've been told that Obama stands for appears to not match the actual actions he's taken himself in his life, both politically and non-politically. So yeah. These are problems. Big problems...
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#147 Mar 27 2008 at 2:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I was specifically responding to a post that suggested we should ignore these nagging concerns about Obama's patriotism and positions on race because of his "service to his country".
You were asking for "proof" that Obama loved his country. Despite being an asinine thing to demand proof of (there's no concrete way to quantify it or "prove" it), I gave you an answer. Whatever McCain has done in the past isn't particularly relevant to whether or not Obama loves his nation.
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That poster made this a presumed qualification for President that should override things like not showing acts of patriotism or attending Trinity church for 20 years
"That poster" was me and I didn't "presume" anything about qualifications. You're the one who took his service record and went off on some tangent about being "qualified to be elected dog catcher".

Do I think his record of service to the democratic process (both in elected capacities and in unelected capacities such as voter registration organizing) show a level of dedication to his country? Yup. Do I think they over-ride some photo of Obama standing at attention but not having his hand in the right place or failing to wear the proper bling to appease some jingoistic dips? Absolutely. Do I think it over-rides his choice of church? Sure thing, especially since I haven't seen a convincing case made that "OMG 20 YEARS!!!" involved 20 years of "HATE AND UNAMERICANISM!!" Even you've lamely watered down "unamerican" to "Stuff we probably don't think of our president saying" or whatever term you used.

You want to say it's a huge problem? Go for it and God bless. It's a free country and all that. The polls don't back you up on it, though. Obama's bounced back from media trumpeted fall immediately after the story broke and has either smoothed out gains by Clinton or over-taken her depending on which poll you're reading on which day. He's moving back over McCain again and people's opinion seems to be that they're largely done with the Wright situation.

Edited, Mar 27th 2008 5:52pm by Jophiel
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#148 Mar 27 2008 at 3:08 PM Rating: Excellent
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One other point, just because I'm curious...
gbaji wrote:
seems to use money quite well to aid his political fortunes (which seem like pretty "traditional" politician things to me).
I'm not even sure what this is supposed to mean. I'd respond to it but I have no idea what, specifically, you're complaining about.
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#149 Mar 27 2008 at 5:37 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I was specifically responding to a post that suggested we should ignore these nagging concerns about Obama's patriotism and positions on race because of his "service to his country".
You were asking for "proof" that Obama loved his country. Despite being an asinine thing to demand proof of (there's no concrete way to quantify it or "prove" it), I gave you an answer. Whatever McCain has done in the past isn't particularly relevant to whether or not Obama loves his nation.


Actually, you weren't the person I was responding to. It was this statement:

Kachi wrote:
It's a meaningless gesture to put your hand over your heart, particularly in comparison to one's actual service record.


I'm still trying to figure out what record of service Obama has that puts him in a category above everyone else, such that he doesn't need to show his patriotism by doing things like putting his hand over his heart during the Anthem, or wearing a flag lapel pin post-9/11.


And you're correct. It's an asinine thing to ask for "proof", but I'm not asking for proof. I'm just asking him to show that he's patriotic in the same way other's do. You know. By doing things like correctly saluting the flag. I just don't think that's too much to expect of someone running for President. He doesn't need to prove his patriotism, but it would be nice if he showed it.


Quote:
"That poster" was me and I didn't "presume" anything about qualifications. You're the one who took his service record and went off on some tangent about being "qualified to be elected dog catcher".


No. It wasn't you Joph. You did jump in and take up the cause, but it wasn't your statement that brought up the whole "service to country" thing in the first place.

Quote:
Do I think his record of service to the democratic process (both in elected capacities and in unelected capacities such as voter registration organizing) show a level of dedication to his country?


Dedication? Sure. But that's not the same as patriotism. It's not the same as loving your country. That's the core question that all of these things raise. His association with Wright is just one more question. Does he really love his country? Those silly meaningless symbols and shows of patriotism are how one shows this.


Quote:
Yup. Do I think they over-ride some photo of Obama standing at attention but not having his hand in the right place or failing to wear the proper bling to appease some jingoistic dips? Absolutely. Do I think it over-rides his choice of church? Sure thing, especially since I haven't seen a convincing case made that "OMG 20 YEARS!!!" involved 20 years of "HATE AND UNAMERICANISM!!" Even you've lamely watered down "unamerican" to "Stuff we probably don't think of our president saying" or whatever term you used.


And if 100% of the voting public thought like you Joph, you'd be perfectly correct. But they don't. Most people do think those things matter. Last poll I read showed 52% believed that Obama's connection to Wright affected their view of him (negatively).

I think it's folly for you guys on the left to keep pretending this all wont matter and it'll just magically go away. For everyone who wasn't already in the Obama camp (and the media who seemed to fall over themselves to absolve him), Obama's actions are still incredibly troubling. And his answers aren't answering the questions people have about him.

Quote:
You want to say it's a huge problem? Go for it and God bless. It's a free country and all that. The polls don't back you up on it, though. Obama's bounced back from media trumpeted fall immediately after the story broke and has either smoothed out gains by Clinton or over-taken her depending on which poll you're reading on which day. He's moving back over McCain again and people's opinion seems to be that they're largely done with the Wright situation.


Obama "bounced back" by recovering 2 of the 5 points he lost during this fiasco. The only reason Obama isn't trailing Clinton by more is that she also lost points during this, making them about the same relative to each other after all is said and done.

I'm talking about General Election here Joph. The sort of media games Obama's getting away with today will not fly then. But hey. We'll see...

Edited, Mar 27th 2008 5:52pm by Jophiel[/quote]
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#150 Mar 27 2008 at 5:53 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
One other point, just because I'm curious...
gbaji wrote:
seems to use money quite well to aid his political fortunes (which seem like pretty "traditional" politician things to me).
I'm not even sure what this is supposed to mean. I'd respond to it but I have no idea what, specifically, you're complaining about.


Just commenting that he's running as a populist, but he's collecting a "huge" amount of campaign funds. Yes. His money is almost all from individual contributors, but that's not the point. He's been able to go into most of the states in the last 3 months and outspend Clinton almost 2 to 1 on media and message.

I'm not saying there's anything innately wrong with this, but let's not pretend that he's winning primaries and caucuses purely because people just like him or his message more or something. He's spending huge amounts on advertising. I'm just heading off the "Obama miracle" argument that he's able to buck the traditional "money wins elections" assumptions, be cause he's not bucking those assumptions. He's the guy with all the money...

If anyone is bucking that traditional assumption, it's McCain. He had no money, almost went bankrupt and had to take a risky loan out to continue, and yet won anyway. He won votes, not because he outspent his competitors, but because his message resonated with the primary voters. Barack Obama simply cannot claim the same. His upward swing in terms of votes followed the increase in funding, not the other way around.

Obama is very much running his campaign in a traditional "buy the voters" manner. He's not waltzing into states with nothing more then a message that people agree with and magically getting people to vote for him. He's spending money. Massive mountains of money...
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#151 Mar 27 2008 at 6:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Obama "bounced back" by recovering 2 of the 5 points he lost during this fiasco. The only reason Obama isn't trailing Clinton by more is that she also lost points during this, making them about the same relative to each other after all is said and done.
No, Obama was already leading over Clinton before her Bosnia silliness.
Quote:
I'm talking about General Election here Joph.
RCP's polling average has Obama ahead again in the general as well. To be totally honest, it's essentially a tie but it's a recovery from the lead McCain had a week ago.
gbaji wrote:
Just commenting that he's running as a populist, but he's collecting a "huge" amount of campaign funds. Yes. His money is almost all from individual contributors, but that's not the point.
That is exactly the point. He created a completely unprecedented network of small donor contributors in a grassroots fashion so he could raise money without relying on PACs. For a "populist", he has collected a network of well over a million individual donors who give in small amounts and often give repeatedly. I'm not sure how much more "populist" and grassroots you can get.

Sure, he's been able to outspend Clinton -- because he has raised money more intelligently and more innovatively than the "large donor" approch the Clinton political machine relies on.

McCain didn't run on empty because he was trying to be "different", he was running on empty because no one wanted to give him money last summer. That's not a mark of success or bucking the system, that's a mark of people thinking you suck. Sure, he proved them wrong but not because it was his choice to. As soon as cash started pouring in, he backed out of his FEC request so he could reap the windfall of his primary wins. McCain and his "risky" loan are tied into PACs doing work for McCain. Nothing illegal there, but if you think he represents anything new in finance, you're deluded.
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