Reasons why Hillary won these states:
1. Bill shut up -- He was doing her more harm than good. Now that he's been reined in, he's exuding that ex-prez glow without reminding everyone that the glow is radioactive toxins.
2. That Rezko Thing -- The trial of Rezko made everyone who adores Obama, even me, have to face a seriously crucial question -- is he lying? You can't promise to be the candidate of change if you're already starting down the path of corruption. From what I've read of the story, there really isn't much of one at all -- once the Obamas realized they were being haxed, they broke off the friendship with the Rezko family. But the damage was done.
Best solution to That Rezko Thing: Obama needs to sell that damn house and wash his hands of it.
3. The NAFTA Kerfluffle -- "We said this, but what we really meant was this, and what you heard was something totally different." Seriously, Canada, GTFO. When Democrats attack NAFTA, they're not attacking you, they're attacking Mexico, okay? Because of the terms of the trade deal, Mexico can woo US companies to build factories that don't have to follow strict US environmental regulations, and thus can cut corners, cut costs, and cut prices for the US companies that fled down there. This leads to substandard products and wages for employees in Mexico, driving them to seek immigration to the US by any means necessary.
4. The Kitchen Sink -- Clinton and Co. threw everything they had at Obama, all right. They finally found a coherent message: He's not all that. For the people that haven't drunk the hope-flavored Kool-Aid, it was enough to cause doubts, and doubts lead to voting for the devil you know.
5. Spin so dizzying it's a merry-go-round: When the facts don't paint a pretty picture, you can alter the terms of viewing the picture until it's pleasant to look at again. Clinton's campaign has the DJ spinmasters in it, not Obama's, so whenever the chips are down, they can re-invent the truth until it's favorable again.
Now, the ugly truth:
- Despite yesterday's wins, Clinton has a serious delegate problem. Obama campaigned smarter, not harder, so even though she won the popular vote, he may yet come ahead on delegates. For such a prolonged election, it's the long term strategy that wins.
- Many of Hillary's Republican "supporters" voted for her because they want McCain to beat her in the fall. Many of Obama's Republican "supporters" voted for him because they want him to beat McCain in the fall.
- Almost half the country still hates Hillary's guts. My family is pretty damn high up in the GOP, and THEY'RE considering fleeing across the border to Canada, or maybe offering North Dakota as a new province to Canada, if she wins the general election. (Actually, I think ND and Alberta would like to secede together and make the Conservative Territories of America together.) But they doubt that will happen since she's already burned her bridges and now half the Democratic party can't stand her in addition to the GOP not being able to stand her . . .
The fight's not over. This is better than reality TV. :P
Edited, Mar 5th 2008 12:07pm by catwho