Whole buncha delegates up for grab on Tuesday. Clinton started with a giant lead but Obama has narrowed it considerably in some key areas. Rasmussen shows Clinton with a slim 3% lead in California from 18-20% ten or so days ago*. Connecticut is tied now and Obama leads in Georgia & Alabama. Nationally, Clinton dropped from a 22% lead to ~6%. Still, Clinton has a significant bulwark in New York & New Jersey delegates which will destroy Obama's probable Illinois blow-out. Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally so a near tie in heavy delegate states is still something of a victory for the underdog.
What will be the delegate result on Wednesday?
Heavy Clinton Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 3 (3.8%) |
Moderate Clinton Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 7 (9.0%) |
Slight Clinton Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 14 (17.9%) |
Slight Obama Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 39 (50.0%) |
Moderate Obama Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 12 (15.4%) |
Heavy Obama Win: | ![]() ![]() ![]() | 3 (3.8%) |
Total: | 78 |
*I know, "lolpolls". Clinton's last-minute gains in undecided NH voters aside, the polls have been fairly accurate. Enough so that I guarantee you that the candidates care about them.