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Gas prices reach all-time highFollow

#77 May 22 2007 at 5:04 PM Rating: Good
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Debalic wrote:
Dodge doesn't make Cavaliers, that's a Chevy model.


I think he means he got a Ford Accord.
#78 May 22 2007 at 5:51 PM Rating: Excellent
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Totem wrote:
Ok, for argument's sake let's say that that $20 does make a substantial difference. Based on that, is it any more valid to spend that cash on Shrek, thus enriching movie studios in California, or $3.75 on coffee, thus lining Starbucks pockets in Seattle, then some faceless oil company employee?
More coffee purchased = more employees hired at the local coffee shop. More tickets purchased = more employees hired at the local theater. Higher gas prices translate to nothing locally. It doesn't take three extra people to sit in a hut and watch you at the automatic pump just because gas costs more. For that matter, it doesn't take extra people to refine gasoline just because it costs more. The full Crain's article did account for local refining/pumping impact but it's fairly minimal.

There is no local economy benefit to higher fuel prices -- it's just a drain. There's nothing difficult to understand about it.

Edited, May 22nd 2007 8:54pm by Jophiel
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#79 May 22 2007 at 6:17 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Totem wrote:
killing our economy
No one made that argument. I understand though that if you can't diminish a facet or greatly exaggerate it then you aren't really capable of arguing it so it's okay.


Well. Hyperbole aside, *you* kinda did make that argument:

Jophiel wrote:
I cited an article last year from Crain's Business which predicted a five billion dollar and 62,000 job loss to the Chicago-area economy if gasoline prices stayed above the $3/gal mark and a $8.5bil/102k job loss if they rose above $4/gal. Examples such as "They spend $50 on coffee so they'll just buy gas too!" not withstanding.


We can debate whether that qualifies as "killing the economy" or not, but clearly you were pointing out that it would have a negative impact on the economy in the Chicago area. This is either "bad", or it's not. If it's not, then Totem is right and it's no big deal. If it is bad, then you are in fact making the argument he's trying to refute. You can't simultaneously argue the economic impact *and* argue against someone saying it's not a big deal *and* try to argue that you're not saying it's a big deal.


Well, you can, but then that's somewhat irrelevant, isn't it? Kinda like starting a thread saying "Hey! The sky is blue today...".


I'll also add that the profit margin for the local gas station for every dollar of gas purchased there is pretty much identical to the profit margin for a cup of coffee at Starbucks. Totem is right in that you're spending it on a purchase at one local business instead of another.


A more rational argument for the economic impact of rising gas prices isn't on the consumer, but on the businesses themselves. The cost to ship stuff around the country goes up, meaning their cost for their products and services goes up. That's a *much* bigger effect then the average consumer's choice of spending money on gas or something else.

Edited, May 22nd 2007 7:18pm by gbaji
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#80 May 22 2007 at 6:36 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
We can debate whether that qualifies as "killing the economy" or not, but clearly you were pointing out that it would have a negative impact on the economy in the Chicago area. This is either "bad", or it's not.
There's a mighty spectrum between "bad" and "Killing the economy". again, I realize that ignoring this makes it much easier to build strawmen.
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You can't simultaneously argue the economic impact *and* argue against someone saying it's not a big deal *and* try to argue that you're not saying it's a big deal.
It has a negative impact. It won't be the downfall of Western civilization. Honestly, I can't understand the disconnect.
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I'll also add that the profit margin for the local gas station for every dollar of gas purchased there is pretty much identical to the profit margin for a cup of coffee at Starbucks.
I'll add again that no gas station ever added employees because the price of gas went up so they needed extra help. I can't make the same argument about a coffee shop selling extra coffee.
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#81 May 22 2007 at 6:44 PM Rating: Decent
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Gbaji wrote:
We can debate whether that qualifies as "killing the economy" or not, but clearly you were pointing out that it would have a negative impact on the economy in the Chicago area. This is either "bad", or it's not. If it's not, then Totem is right and it's no big deal. If it is bad, then you are in fact making the argument he's trying to refute. You can't simultaneously argue the economic impact *and* argue against someone saying it's not a big deal *and* try to argue that you're not saying it's a big deal.


Totem is trying to refute the point that he inferred from Jophiel's post that higher gas prices would have a "large" scale economic impact. That's the problem there.

I don't see why saying that an event will have an impact on a local economy but not be large in scale isn't an issue. The argument developed with Totem's interpretation of the facts presented.

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Well, you can, but then that's somewhat irrelevant, isn't it? Kinda like starting a thread saying "Hey! The sky is blue today...".


Upon further review, this seems to be the case.

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I'll also add that the profit margin for the local gas station for every dollar of gas purchased there is pretty much identical to the profit margin for a cup of coffee at Starbucks. Totem is right in that you're spending it on a purchase at one local business instead of another.


If that is the circumstances then we are getting bent over the freakin' table buy the gasoline industry. Starbuck's coffee is extremely overpriced IMHO. I'd be extremely surprised if the oil industry is getting the same profit margin off of a cup of coffee then the oil industry is on a gal of gas.

Also, can you really call the street corner Exxon a local business? Especially when compared to uncle-bob owned pizzeria down the street. That's the point I was trying to make. With the raising of gas prices local small businesses will suffer and so will the luxury outlets (Restaurants, movies, etc.)
#82 May 22 2007 at 6:52 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
There's a mighty spectrum between "bad" and "Killing the economy". again, I realize that ignoring this makes it much easier to build strawmen.


Yeah. I think you were taking Totem's statement waaaaay too literally though. When you say "my feet are killing me!", do you really mean for people to call 911 cause you're dying? Same deal. It's an expression...


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I'll add again that no gas station ever added employees because the price of gas went up so they needed extra help. I can't make the same argument about a coffee shop selling extra coffee.


Bad analogy. If the price of coffee beans goes up, resulting in a cup of coffee going up by say a quarter, does that store increase the number of employees? No? Hmmm...

I'll also argue that no stores increase the number of employees if their profit goes up. They hire sufficient employees to cover the registers and keep the store running. Sometimes that means that the business will make money. Sometimes it wont. If the store makes more money, typically the owner will spend it doing something else. He's not going to hire a couple extra people to stand around just because now he's got the money to do so. Exactly as a gas station earning additional profits because people are spending 5% more on gas then they were before isn't going to do so either.

Still not sure why you think this is different. Now, you could argue that the money lost by the coffee house and gained by the gas station will cause the coffee house to go belly up, and you might be right. But then maybe the gas station owner will use the extra profits he's earning to buy a part ownership in the local coffeehouse and it'll all work out in the end? The money is still ultimately flowing around the same local area in the same approximate amounts.


I'll repeat it again: The far bigger effect is that the overall "cost" for goods and services goes up across the board when gas prices goes up. That's not because a consumer spends money here instead of there, but simply because the cost to actually get the goods to market increases by a measurable amount.
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#83 May 22 2007 at 6:52 PM Rating: Excellent
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Actually, I started a thread saying "Hey, we broke a record and the old canard of 'Well, adjusted for 1980 dollars...' no longer applies"

Then we got into hybrid cars and alternate technologies. Totem was the first one to start huffing about the economy.
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#84 May 22 2007 at 7:01 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Yeah. I think you were taking Totem's statement waaaaay too literally though. When you say "my feet are killing me!", do you really mean for people to call 911 cause you're dying? Same deal. It's an expression...
Apparently one he had use use over and over and over in lieu of making a realistic point Smiley: laugh
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Bad analogy. If the price of coffee beans goes up, resulting in a cup of coffee going up by say a quarter, does that store increase the number of employees? No? Hmmm...
Too bad that's not what we're discussing. I suppose we can make up an analogies where the cost of popcorn goes up a million-thousand percent as well but that wasn't the point of the theater comparison either.

When the cost of coffee beans jumps 25%, let me know. Until then, the point is that enough people with an extra $20 in pocket to spend on coffee influences the number of employees sufficent to run the coffee shop. Raising gasoline prices doesn't influence the number of employees sufficent to sit in the hut. It merely soaks $20 extra out of the local economy. Even the slight benefit to the gas station owner doesn't amount to anything -- no one claims that the franchise owner of the corner gas station is rolling in extra wealth when gas prices go up. There's also the obvious difference in demand and "need" between gasoline and coffee, caffine jokes aside.
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Still not sure why you think this is different.
I'm not sure why you're unable to understand the situation as presented and instead need to make up irrelevent analogies.
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The far bigger effect is that the overall "cost" for goods and services goes up across the board when gas prices goes up.
I'd argue that they're inter-related but you guys seem to be having enough trouble with the basic concepts that there's no reason to make this even more confusing.

Edited, May 22nd 2007 10:03pm by Jophiel
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#85 May 22 2007 at 7:54 PM Rating: Decent
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Gbaji wrote:
But then maybe the gas station owner will use the extra profits he's earning to buy a part ownership in the local coffeehouse and it'll all work out in the end? The money is still ultimately flowing around the same local area in the same approximate amounts.


Also, unless I'm mistaken, the gas station owners are not the ones raising there prices in an effort to make more profit for themselves. Gas costs more for the station to sell. The station is not seeing the additional profit. So, the owner of the station is not putting that money back in the local economy.
#86 May 22 2007 at 8:15 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smart Money wrote:
2. "I hate high gas prices too." Stations earn on average between 10 and 15 cents on a gallon of gas. Ironically, they earn the least when prices are highest. As fuel climbs, gas stations must shrink their profit margin to remain competitive, meaning they earn less per gallon than usual. But another big cost during tough times is something they can't do anything about — credit card fees, which add up to about 2.5% of all purchases. When gas is at, say, $2 a gallon, the station pays credit card companies 5 cents a gallon; when gas hits $3, that fee becomes 7.5 cents — more than half the station's entire average profit. Last year gas stations' revenue from fuel grew 25%, while the fees they paid to credit card issuers jumped 40%, to $5.3 billion. "Those credit card fees are miserable for the gas station business," says Mohsen Arabshahi, who owns five Southern California gas stations.

How do station owners make up for lost revenue? "Prices go up like a rocket and come down like a feather," says Richard Gilbert, a professor of economics at UC Berkeley. For several weeks after wholesale prices drop, stations can earn as much as 20 cents a gallon before retail prices are lowered to reflect the change.
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#87 May 23 2007 at 8:01 AM Rating: Good
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"More coffee purchased = more employees hired at the local coffee shop. More tickets purchased = more employees hired at the local theater. Higher gas prices translate to nothing locally. It doesn't take three extra people to sit in a hut and watch you at the automatic pump just because gas costs more. For that matter, it doesn't take extra people to refine gasoline just because it costs more. The full Crain's article did account for local refining/pumping impact but it's fairly minimal.

There is no local economy benefit to higher fuel prices -- it's just a drain. There's nothing difficult to understand about it." --Jo

The thing is the local theater owner might hire another high school student or two, but that hardly is going to make an impact on the local economy. The industries which make a substantial imapct on the local economy pay enough that the gas price increase is negligable.

Note that I never said there was a local economic benefit to higher gas prices. What I said there is not a significant negative impact from paying an additional 30 cents a gallon for something which is cheap to begin with. It's chump change and people could make up the difference by purchasing fewer Lotto tickets and cigarettes.

As you said, there's nothing difficult to understand about it.

Totem
#88 May 23 2007 at 8:10 AM Rating: Good
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"Totem is trying to refute the point that he inferred from Jophiel's post that higher gas prices would have a "large" scale economic impact. That's the problem there." --Lurk

Not exactly, Lurk. Jo's initial post had the intellectual excitement factor of tapioca pudding at a chili cookoff. I decided that the subject was worthy of discussion, but needed considerably more pizzazz than the "I like cheese!" blandness of the typical thread he starts. This nothing new, we spar over this very issue on a semi-regular basis.

Totem
#89 May 23 2007 at 8:19 AM Rating: Good
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Since we are talking about gas station owners here, let me say that gasoline purchases do not create a large profit margin for the typical station owner. The competition is so tight with many other providers in an immediate area. Furthermore, state and Federal regulations and taxes prevent owners from competing in a genuinely free market form.

What gas purchases do provide are auxillary retail opportunities where the car owner buys cigarettes, soda, chips, and beer. Couple with that the relatively new phenomenon of fast food restaurants like McDonalds located inside the station and additional purchases increase rapidly. The gas is just a draw based largely on location that is convenient to the driver.

Totem
#90 May 23 2007 at 8:20 AM Rating: Excellent
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Totem wrote:
The thing is the local theater owner might hire another high school student or two, but that hardly is going to make an impact on the local economy. The industries which make a substantial imapct on the local economy pay enough that the gas price increase is negligable.
Well, it goes beyond that but the employee example served as an easy proxy to the entire thing.
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It's chump change and people could make up the difference by purchasing fewer Lotto tickets and cigarettes.
Which proves that you still have no grasp on it Smiley: laugh At this point, I have to assume the disconnect is intentional and you're just trolling. Was fun times, though.
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#91 May 24 2007 at 7:04 AM Rating: Good
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#92 May 24 2007 at 7:32 AM Rating: Excellent
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MSN runs on some exceptionally shitty servers. For the amount of refreshes I needed to bring the story up, you'd think I was hitting Clstr 8.
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#93 May 24 2007 at 7:33 AM Rating: Excellent
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#94 May 24 2007 at 8:08 AM Rating: Default
i read it totem, and i guarentee you its a pr piece financed by an oil company.

a way to point you at something other than the truth. yes, congress is at fault to a point. the point being authorizing those 14 BILLION dollars in tax cuts they handed top the energy companies and didnt demand ANYTHING in return at a time when they were already making obscene record profits taken directly out of the consumers pocket.

if any of you followed the enron scandle, it pretty much sumed up how large oil companies work. it was a perfect micocosm of big oil.

they dont but oil today at todays prices. they buy oil futures today for our needs some many months into the future. they buy futures to day to cash in for oil months from now. so that dollar per barrel price you see is what the oil companies expect oil to cost a few months from now based on political climate, terrorism, refinery capacity, EXPECTED demand, all jumbled together into an incomprehensible formula(intentionaly some think) into a spacific dollar per barrel they EXPECT it to cost. they are not buying a barrel of oil, they are buying a certificate they can cash in on a barrel of oil tomarrow.

that cirtificate, weather the actual cost of the oil meets their projections or not, is however what they charge for their product TODAY. their profit comes in when what they paid for their cirtificate ends up being greater than what the oil actually costs based on their super complex formula.

so the oil companies set up shell companies, or work with third world governments as a shell company, to actually produce the oil. sell it to the shell comapny who jacks up the price, then sells it to a subsidary holding company who then sells futures for the oil itself.

enron messed up because their shell companies were here in teh US and thus subject to federal audits. thats the only differance.

i have over simplified what actually goes on because i doubt mabe half of you could follow it from start to finnish, myself included.

the cliff notes, yes, they are rapeing you.

that said, they are a FOR PROFIT company. they are not in this for posterity or the greater good of man kind, they are in it for the dollar. they found the product, they turned it into something usefull, they SHOULD be allowed to charge what ever they want for THEIR product.

free market kicks in when what they are charging ends up being greater than the cost of finding another solution. no one is going to make electric cars if the cost of the bateries is greater than the cost of a couple years worth of gasoline. thats the bottom line. we are not there yet. and probably wont be for a while.

what you CAN do. buy a honda civic or a toyota tracel. they both get almost 40 miles to the gallon, and the hondas are built right here in the good ole USA with american labor. they are on the bottom of the price list too.

that alone will force american car companies to move out of the country...err...produce a more effeciant product. this solution however only empowers oil companies though. you are still using their product, and they will just jack up the price more to make up for the lost revenue for selling less gasoline. they are a for profit company and thats what for profit companies do. same with hybrid technology. it changes nothing. it only lowers your expense for a short time untill the oil companies start jacking up the price to cover the lower demand for their product.

i see alot of talk about building a new refinery. ROFL, your a for profit bussiness, adn you think spending a few hundred million dollars to increase the volume of a product so you can make LESS MONEY for it is a good idea? not gona happen. and no politician who sucks on the loobiests teet is gona try and force it to happen either.

the solution is hydrogen or electric or both. period.

but dont expect any government lobbiest puppet to make that happen. and expect a HUGE amount of resistance toward any company trying to do it on their own from both the federal government AND big oil, up to and including outright buying the company and squashing it, or withholding materials they need to get t done.

that what capitolism is all about. our only hope actually lies in other countries. thats a shame because it guarentees we will be way behind the power curve for inovation and technology for the forseable future.

Japan has had hydrogen/electric vehicals for lease in Japan for 2 years now. no gasoline. no oil. just a hydrogen fuel cell used to extend the range of a battery driven car.

russia has had hydrogen powered mass transit busses on a few of their cities since the 1960,s, because oil was just inaccessable.

germany built a hydrogen powered submarine during WW2. we sunk it, but it was real.

the first boing 707 was hydrogen powered.

it can be done. it can be done now. but look at the big picture. look at how much of this countries net worth is based on theoil industry. look at how many people this industry emploees.

a catch 22. we can significantly reduce oil cosumption NOW. but it COULD force this country into a spireling recession of magnitudes never before seen in the world if its not done carefully.

allto save you a few hundred dollars a year.

expect HUGE political resistance. expect HUGE private industry resistance.

go buy a honda civik.
#95 May 24 2007 at 8:14 AM Rating: Excellent
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shadowrelm wrote:
go buy a honda civik.
Spend your money on this.
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#96 May 24 2007 at 8:30 AM Rating: Default
i think you need to take your own advise.

language is about espressing an idea vrbally. language is not DICTATED by rules, but the other way around. when a group of people verbally express themselves, patterns in those verbal exchanges are found, and those patterns are then used to define the communitation itself.

when mispelled words, contractions, or flat out slang is used often enough, new words are added to the definition of that particular language.

the art defines the rule.

your hung up on spelling, and use and context because it is not used in the way you read in the "rules" you learned in school.

you lost sight of the big picture. its not about the rules. its about expressing the idea. the expresion itself defines the rules. not the other way around as you like to believe.

so, criticizing someone for not following the "rules" for written language is ludicris. the "rules" themselves were formed by bending the rules for the purpose of expressing an idea. the rules are not a finnished product we hvae to or should follow. the rules are a dynamic ever changing definition of the way we CHOOSE to express ourselves.

seems your parents took you to school, taught you how to read the words, but didnt tell you what the words ment. language is art, not science. language is about the communication of an idea, not the format it is done in.

the big picture.

#97 May 24 2007 at 8:31 AM Rating: Decent
Jophiel wrote:
shadowrelm wrote:
go buy a honda civik.
Spend your money on this.


Smiley: laugh

What does Shadowrelm even do for a living? Short Order Cook? Drug Company Tester?
#98 May 24 2007 at 8:32 AM Rating: Decent
shadowrelm wrote:
language is about the communication of an idea, not the format it is done in.

the big picture.



Only when it's done in a language people can understand or read, ya ninny-fuck

Edited, May 24th 2007 11:32am by Kaelesh
#99 May 24 2007 at 8:34 AM Rating: Default
air traffic controll.

and again, even in my job, communicating the concept i am trying to express is VASTLY more important than the format in which it is done. a matter of life and death in fact.
#100 May 24 2007 at 8:35 AM Rating: Default
Only when it's done in a language people can understand or read, ya **********
-----------------------------------------------

ohhh, you sound so much more mature than i do. im not worthy.
#101 May 24 2007 at 8:35 AM Rating: Excellent
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Kaelesh wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
shadowrelm wrote:
go buy a honda civik.
Spend your money on this.


Smiley: laugh

What does Shadowrelm even do for a living? Short Order Cook? Drug Company Tester?


Let me put it this way: I haven't set foot on a commercial air flight since I found out the answer to that question.

And SR: in order to artfully break the rules, it behooves one to first learn them.
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