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A tiny courtcase in a big countryFollow

#1 Apr 02 2007 at 4:41 AM Rating: Decent
Could mean a death sentence for millions.

Quote:
This week, in one of the glittering courthouses of the new India, a judge will continue to weigh a case that, at first glance, looks dry and technical, but is, in fact, wet with blood. The verdict will determine whether millions of human beings - from the tip of South America to the top of Africa - live or die.

India today is the developing world's branch of Boots, the place where the poorest people on earth get their medicines. This is because it is the only country willing to manufacture cheap copies of corporate-owned drug treatments for cancer, Aids and other killers, and big enough to do it. Their policy has brought the cost of treating a woman with Aids in subSaharan Africa crashing down from an impossible $10,000 a year in 2000 to a still-tough-but-possible $130 a year today.

They can only save so much money - and so many lives - because the Indian government insists it will only pay money to the multibillion-dollar corporations which own the drug patents if they can show they really have created something genuinely new. Most of the time, they can't - so the Indians sell them to the poor at cost-price.

The court case currently wending through the Indian justice system, launched by the Swiss phramaceutical company Novartis, is an attempt to close down the poor's world pharmacy. Novartis has created a slightly different version of its leukaemia drug, Gleevec, and the pharma giant is trying to force the Indian government to allow it to be patented. The Indian government says the drug isn't really new, enabling Novartis to keep the patent "evergreen" and continue raking in the profits.

If Novartis succeeds, the developing world will hit a "pharmageddon", with drug supplies drying up to dying people. Aids drugs will be particularly vulnerable to this evergreen patenting, since they have to be regularly tweaked to deal with an evolving virus. The panicking aid agency Médicin Sans Frontières (MSF) - who treat 80,000 people in Africa with cheap Indian generics - warn it could mean "the end of affordable medicines in developing countries".



This is one of the most shocking things going on at the moment in the world. Drug companies are killing the most vulnerable people on the planet because of these patents.

Read the rest of the article I linked, it's really intresting.

And if you can't be ****** then you can always go here.

This WILL help. In 2001, Novartis was one of 39 companies that tried to prevent South Africa from using cheap generic anti-AIDS drugs. And because of a mass campaign and public pressure, those companies dropped that case.

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#2 Apr 02 2007 at 5:42 AM Rating: Decent
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This is one of the most shocking things going on at the moment in the world. Drug companies are killing the most vulnerable people on the planet because of these patents.


Meh. The article's wildly biased. It would be a bad thing if big pharma wins, but the reality is they'd replace the generics by literally giving away their branded versions for free.

It's a question of someone else profiting from their intellectual property, not of callous disregard for human life. I'm personally of the opinion that drug research should be a highly regulated public trust using public money, but if you're going to have for profit drug companies, they're logically going to pursue remedies like this when they feel their property rights are being threatened.

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#3 Apr 02 2007 at 6:02 AM Rating: Good
Smasharoo wrote:
The article's wildly biased.


Well it's an editorial, so of course it's biased. I don't think it makes it any less relevant though.

Quote:
It's a question of someone else profiting from their intellectual property, not of callous disregard for human life.


It's both. Novartis doesn't lose anything when these drugs are made by Indian companies. If poor people in Africa weren't treated with cheap generic drug, they wouldn't be treated at all. It's not they would decide to buy the NOvartis instead. It's either the cheap drug, or nothing at all.

Quote:
I'm personally of the opinion that drug research should be a highly regulated public trust using public money, but if you're going to have for profit drug companies, they're logically going to pursue remedies like this when they feel their property rights are being threatened.


I agree with what it should be like. And yes, I'm not surprised that drug companies try prevent other companies from selling a drug similar to their for one hundredth of the price.

It still doesn't mean it's right. Or fair. Or human.

This is a huge battle going on at the moment. When that case happened in South Africa, it was an incredible victory against the odds, and against the "law". The drug companies dropped their case because of public outcry, and poor people got their drugs. If they hadn't they'd be dead by now. And I didn't see GSK going bust because of it.

Quote:
It would be a bad thing if big pharma wins, but the reality is they'd replace the generics by literally giving away their branded versions for free.


I'm not sure I get what you mean. Are you saying that drug companies, like Novartis in this case, would simply give their own branded version for free to MSF?

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#4 Apr 02 2007 at 6:06 AM Rating: Decent
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Are you saying that drug companies, like Novartis in this case, would simply give their own branded version for free to MSF?


Yes, that's what I'm saying.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#5 Apr 02 2007 at 6:22 AM Rating: Good
Smasharoo wrote:

Are you saying that drug companies, like Novartis in this case, would simply give their own branded version for free to MSF?


Yes, that's what I'm saying.


Quote:
In India, more than 6,700 patients receive Glivec for free from Novartis


That's what this biased, but on the other side this time, website is saying. Considering India has a billion people, 6k is nothing.

Second this case is about more than just this one product. It's about patent laws in India. I'm sure you know about them, but just in case, India has some of the most lax patent laws in the world. Unless there is a proven "innovation" to a drug, new drugs that are simply tweaked version of older branded drugs whose patent is about to expire, do not get a patent under Indian law.

I'm sure you're aware that this is a common tactic amongst drug manufacturers. once a patent is about to expire, they tweak it, and re-apply for a new patent, so that their brand gets another 20 years of life before anyone can make a generic drug out of it. "Ever-green", as they call it.

This is the patent law that is being challenged by Novartis. So the effects of this court-case are much bigger than this one drug. It concerns the whole of India's generic drug market. If they lose, and are forced to accept the same standards as us, then that's a huge chunk of the cheap generic drug market that's gone.

All the progress that has been done recently in getting the costs drugs down for people in third-world countries would be basically wiped.

And yes, we would be left with the delicious prospect of being at the mercy of these drug companies' goodwill.
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#6 Apr 02 2007 at 6:22 AM Rating: Excellent
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Color me skeptical. Are there examples of these mass give-aways in the past you can point me to?

Edit: I see RP provided such a thing if on a more limited scale than the program in the OP provides.

Edited, Apr 2nd 2007 7:23am by Jophiel
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#7 Apr 02 2007 at 6:37 AM Rating: Decent
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And yes, we would be left with the delicious prospect of being at the mercy of these drug companies' goodwill.


Look, I'm sympathetic, we're of similar if not identical opinions on the best outcome for humanity. The implication made by the article that millions of people will die from lack of access to medication is absurd, however.

Would people die needlessly? Of course. Millions of people? Unlikely in the extreme. India is far from the only place with the infrastructure to manufacture cheap generics, and the void would be filled. If it wasn't, the pahrama industry would give the drugs away or sell them at the same cost or whatever. There's no reason for them to appear to be sociopathic for no reason.
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#8 Apr 02 2007 at 6:57 AM Rating: Good
Smasharoo wrote:
Would people die needlessly? Of course. Millions of people? Unlikely in the extreme. India is far from the only place with the infrastructure to manufacture cheap generics, and the void would be filled. If it wasn't, the pahrama industry would give the drugs away or sell them at the same cost or whatever.


"Millions" would not die because of this precise drug, of course.

But the whole point is that India is the only large country that has such a lax patent law. So, their position as a generic-drug producer is quite unique precisely because of that law, which is being threatened by that court-case.

Quote:
There's no reason for them to appear to be sociopathic for no reason.


True, but for a lot of people, putting profits before the lives of some black people (that you hate!!) in Africa is not "sociopathic", but simply "business-friendly". I'm sure that if gbaji joins in this debate, he'll prove my point.

I don't believe that drug companies give a shIt about anything except profits. If public perception hurts their profits, then maybe they'll care about that too.

But I don't think they'll "fill the gap". They wouldn't have filled it had they won their court-case in South Africa in 2001. They didn't fill it before that court-case. If they do distribute drugs, it'll be symbolic, not effective.

I'm not saying that the situation today is any good, or that India is some sort of saint, of course. But their law on patent is incredibly useful in this respect, and were it to be struck down, it would be a serious blow for lots of poor people.

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#9 Apr 02 2007 at 6:59 AM Rating: Decent
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I'm sure that if gbaji joins in this debate, he'll prove my point.


Well, by that standard, you could prove virtually anything.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#10 Apr 02 2007 at 7:04 AM Rating: Decent
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Personally, I'm all for letting the third-world population die out in this manner.
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#11 Apr 02 2007 at 7:06 AM Rating: Good
Smasharoo wrote:
Well, by that standard, you could prove virtually anything.



Except, maybe, that all hope isn't lost.



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#12 Apr 02 2007 at 7:07 AM Rating: Decent
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Personally, I'm all for letting the third-world population die out in this manner.


Yeah, I'd imagine most Americans feel about the same. Or more accurately they think "who cares, I don't know anyone in Africa"
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#13 Apr 02 2007 at 7:12 AM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

Personally, I'm all for letting the third-world population die out in this manner.


Yeah, I'd imagine most Americans feel about the same. Or more accurately they think "who cares, I don't know anyone in Africa"

I know someone *from* Africa! He was born in Nigeria, grew up in the Bronx. Went back for his father's funeral, he said it was like "Lord of War" over there. Needed an armed escort because he was a "rich American", the only qualification apparently being that he held a job.
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#14 Apr 02 2007 at 7:14 AM Rating: Decent
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he said it was like "Lord of War" over there.


People were offering him disease ridden hookers and cocaine mixed with gunpowder?

Doesn't sound so bad, really.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#15 Apr 02 2007 at 7:31 AM Rating: Good
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Is this going to affect my ability to get a decent samoosa?
#16 Apr 02 2007 at 7:34 AM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
It still doesn't mean it's right. Or fair. Or human.


Corporations aren't human. Remember that. The times when that line is blurred they've grabbed at the chance to be protected under Human rights.

#17 Apr 02 2007 at 8:23 AM Rating: Good
Lefian wrote:
Corporations aren't human. Remember that. The times when that line is blurred they've grabbed at the chance to be protected under Human rights.



I've been playing too much Civ4 lately.

"Corporation: the device for obtaining individual profit without individual responsibility"

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#18 Apr 02 2007 at 5:36 PM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo wrote:

Are you saying that drug companies, like Novartis in this case, would simply give their own branded version for free to MSF?


Yes, that's what I'm saying.


They are, in fact, doing so. Just to very few people. I really don't see any connection between India manufacturing cheap replicas and the drug company giving away copies except PR, which would cut against smash's assertion.

Perhaps smash has some kind of reasoning behind this he isn't sharing with us. It might even be right.

To the original point: drug companies aren't going to see any profit from the vast majority of these patients. If they could sue India, they would have to prove they lost money to seek damages. I don't see a winning argument here. India is keeping loads of people alive, but sick with incurable illnesses which can be spread to others. Some of whom can pay - and some of those will pay drug companies for the real thing.

The public (in many countries) pay for the research to develop these drugs anyhow. There should be a bounty on new drugs. It should be huge. The money should be required to be 90% reinvested in research. None for ads. Upon accepting serious government dollars, the companies should agree to accept the bounty in place of royalties - e.g. in return for the intellectual property.

I think the world could afford, say, US$10 billion per effective novel drug design. (Emphasis novel). There really aren't that many. Let the current system stay in place as a parallel system (except as per the above). And let's see who invents more drugs.

#19 Apr 02 2007 at 6:45 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
To the original point: drug companies aren't going to see any profit from the vast majority of these patients. If they could sue India, they would have to prove they lost money to seek damages. I don't see a winning argument here. India is keeping loads of people alive, but sick with incurable illnesses which can be spread to others. Some of whom can pay - and some of those will pay drug companies for the real thing.


Yes and no. The problem is that in many cases, these drugs are created in generic form in a country like India, then sold dirt cheap to other needy nations, then scooped up by the people who make those nations "needy" and sold on the black market for profit. While I'm sure that they do trickle to those who actually need them, I think the article in question is gravely overstating the benefits of the generic drugs India produces, and the impact this one case will have on that process as a whole.

At the end of the day, it's just not unreasonable for a company that spent billions of dollars on R&D before producing an effective drug to expect to recieve payment for it. I'm also a little bit unclear about the whole concept of "evergreen". I'm not sure of the laws in India, but my understanding is that while a new varient of a drug would recieve a new patent and therefor a time period at which it could be manufactured only by that company, the original formula would pass into public sector at that time, right? Is it that the company is trying to argue that since it made a version2.0 of the drug that it should extend the version1.0 patent? Or is India arguing that since version2.0 isn't sufficiently different then version1.0, that they should be able to make their own generic copies of version2.0 without paying any premiums as soon as 1.0's patent expires?

Cause if it's the first case, then I'd agree that that's a bit dorked. A given formulation of a medicine should only grant patent protection for a single lenth of time. My understanding (from the tech field of course) is that this is the case with tech patents. If you design some new thing, you have to keep designing new and "better" versions and get people to want to buy them. It's part of the reason that patent law drives innovation. A company that just sits there raking in profits from something will find themselves out of a revenue stream eventually. If they don't make a product that is "better", no one will pay them for their product. The only advantage a company has in the tech market is that presumably since it developed the first "good thing", it has the advantage to build on that technology and improve it. Anyone can do so though.

I'm not aware that pharma patents work differently. But you never know...

Quote:
The public (in many countries) pay for the research to develop these drugs anyhow. There should be a bounty on new drugs. It should be huge. The money should be required to be 90% reinvested in research. None for ads. Upon accepting serious government dollars, the companies should agree to accept the bounty in place of royalties - e.g. in return for the intellectual property.


Largely not. I'm not sure what countries you think the majority of pharamceuticals are researched, but the amount of "public" funds involved is typically pretty tiny in the context of the whole cost involved in developing and producing a new usable drug. While some of the feeder research is often publically funded (usually proof of concept stuff at research universities), that's typically the smallest cost in terms of total cost. The trial and error process to take some basic biochemical process experiements (where the publically funded lab research ends) and turn them into a usable compound, and then the costs to test them for effectiveness, and then the tests to ensure safety are the lion's share of the total cost. And for every one usable drug that gets through this process there's 20-30 others that failed at some step along the way. Often you'll see people just talk about the cost to develop that one drug, forgetting that the companies who make these things don't start out knowing which one will work.

Kinda reminds me of a documentary I was watching about the film industry. There was some guy on talking about a presentation he gave to some Sony execs when they purchased a film production company. He explained to them that they'd make X number of films per year, and that 1 or 2 of them would be box office hits, 8-10 of them would do well enough to cover their costs, and 4-5 of them would fail and end up losing money. One of the execs raised his hand and asked: "Can we not do the ones that will fail?...".

Same deal here. You can't just look at the single cost to produce an effective drug and try to calculate what the "cost" for a drug should be, anymore then you can simply look at the cost to product a blockbuster hit film and calculate how much it'll cost on average to make any given film. You have to look at the entire industry, not just the successes.

Quote:
I think the world could afford, say, US$10 billion per effective novel drug design. (Emphasis novel). There really aren't that many. Let the current system stay in place as a parallel system (except as per the above). And let's see who invents more drugs.


Hah! You're kidding, right? The current system would destroy your paltry alternative. For exactly the reason I outlined above. You think 10B would be a reasonable payment for a single "effective novel drug design". And it would if (as I pointed out above), the companies only spent money on drugs that worked. Sadly, the rate of success in the pharma industry is even lower then in the film industry. No company could stay in business if they simply recieved a straight 10B in return for a working drug. They spend more then that on average before they get one working drug.


And yeah. That's part of the reason why drug companies make minor variations and "improved" versions of existing drugs. Because if they didn't, they'd have to charge much more for the drugs at the start. Look. You can twist around the numbers all you want, but at the end of the day, there's a cost that has to be paid in order to cover the R&D costs for these drugs. Whether they get you on the initial version of the drug, or as a continuing cost for minor "new and improved" versions (like chewable tablets and syrup versions) doesn't matter. The companies know how much it costs them to do their work. They know how much they have to make over the lifetime of a drug. They're going to find a way to charge enough to cover those costs. If you attempt to legistlatively prevent them from doing so, all you will accomplish is slowing down (or even stopping) the rate at which new drugs enter the market. While you can argue that that's fine for the chewable tables and whatnot, you lose the truely "new and novel" drugs as well.
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#20 Apr 03 2007 at 2:39 AM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
The problem is that in many cases, these drugs are created in generic form in a country like India, then sold dirt cheap to other needy nations, then scooped up by the people who make those nations "needy" and sold on the black market for profit.


Who exactly makes those nations "needy"? I'm just curious...


Quote:
While I'm sure that they do trickle to those who actually need them, I think the article in question is gravely overstating the benefits of the generic drugs India produces, and the impact this one case will have on that process as a whole.


Well I'm glad you think so. However, I reckon that MSF, who actually deal with this issue on an everyday basis and on the field, know a little bit more about it than you. Implying, as you are, that India's generic drugs have little impact on extremely poor people is a complete joke. When the cost of AIDS drugs went from $10,000/year to $130/year, I think the impact is not "gravely overstated".

Quote:
I'm also a little bit unclear about the whole concept of "evergreen".


Let me explain.

Evergreening is exploiting loopholes in the patent system in order to artificially extend their monopoly, something that you Republicans should be up in arms about.

For exemple, in the 80's, a drug's properties eligible for patenting included only the following : Primary uses, processes and intermediates, bulk forms, simple formulations, and composition of matter.

During the 90s, it grew to include: Expansive number of uses, methods of treatment, mechanism of action, packaging, delivery profiles, dosing regimen, dosing range, dosing route, combinations, screening methods, chemistry methods, biological Target and field of use.

As you might know patents are rarely applied to "a drug", but rather to "aspects of the products", such as the basic composition, including new or alternative compounds, the method of treatment, including new use of known compounds, different dosing, and therapies in combination with other drugs, synthetic production, formulation and drug delivery, prodrugs releasing active ingredient, substances resulting from metabolism in body, different crystalline or hydrated structures, gene-markers showing response to drug therapy and even devices such as patches for administering the drug. So, one drug will have something like 12 patents on it, a practice which is known as "picket-fencing".

All this means that by making minor changes to a drug, changes which might have 0 therapeutic value, a company can keep its patent for another 20 years.

And don't think all of this is "chance", it is a well-known and extermely common strategy in pharmaceutical industries, and, considering their raison d'etre, it is not surprising at all.

Now, this is where the India law matters. They have one of the most lax patent regimes in the world. For a drug to get a patent in India, it requires a "proven innovation of therapeutic value", something which a lot of newly patented tweaked-version of drugs obviously don't have.

Hence the court-case.

By the way, as a Republican, you should be applauding India's position, since it encourages innovation a lot more than the stale and monopolistic practices of those drug companies.



Quote:
And for every one usable drug that gets through this process there's 20-30 others that failed at some step along the way. Often you'll see people just talk about the cost to develop that one drug, forgetting that the companies who make these things don't start out knowing which one will work.

Kinda reminds me of a documentary I was watching about the film industry. There was some guy on talking about a presentation he gave to some Sony execs when they purchased a film production company. He explained to them that they'd make X number of films per year, and that 1 or 2 of them would be box office hits, 8-10 of them would do well enough to cover their costs, and 4-5 of them would fail and end up losing money. One of the execs raised his hand and asked: "Can we not do the ones that will fail?...".


This case has nothing to do with this.

Absolutely nothing.

It's not about the "cost" to drug companies. I'm yet to see any of those drug companies losing moeny because of India's actions. That's the sickening thing. It's not as though poor people would've bought the branded version of a drug if the cheap generic one wasn't available. Instead, they would get nothing.

So those drug companies are not even losing money becase of these generic drugs, and they are not even "not making money". To them, to their balance sheet, to their accountants, it makes 0 difference.

To sick and extremely poor people, it's a matter of life and death.

So, drug comapnies use practices that are anti-competitive, anti-innovation, and detrmiental to the health of the world population, and yet they challenge India's laws eventhough the latter cost them nothing.

And yet, somehow, you've managed once again to argue for them. You are such a tool...



Quote:
That's part of the reason why drug companies make minor variations and "improved" versions of existing drugs. Because if they didn't, they'd have to charge much more for the drugs at the start.


No. Have you ever checked their profits? Novartis's, for exemple? No?

Well, in 2007, their profit was $2.43 billion.

Sorry if I'm sceptical about their "loss" because of generic drugs for the world's poorest people.


Quote:
They're going to find a way to charge enough to cover those costs.


And make a $2.4 billion profit in the process.

Not many issues are black and white. But if any are, it's this one.

The health of the world's poorest people shouldn't matter less than the billions of profits of one company. Not only that, but it is obvious that the patent law in India at the moment is not costing Novartis any money.

Those large drug companies are not in it for the health of the world. They are in it for the money. They are a business, and businesses have to be as profitable as possible. They will not do a "good action" unless it helps their PR. They will not solve the poor people's problems since there's no market for them there. I'm sure you know that they spend more on research for fleas on cats and dogs than they do on finding a cheap cure for malaria. You know why? Because the American market for pets is huge, whereas the malaria market is non-existant.

Putting the world's health in the hands of entities whose sole purpose is maximising profits is borderline criminal.



Edited, Apr 3rd 2007 10:44am by RedPhoenixxx
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#21 Apr 03 2007 at 1:41 PM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Look. You can twist around the numbers all you want, but at the end of the day, there's a cost that has to be paid in order to cover the R&D costs for these drugs. ...The companies know how much it costs them to do their work. They know how much they have to make over the lifetime of a drug. They're going to find a way to charge enough to cover those costs. If you attempt to legistlatively prevent them from doing so, all you will accomplish is slowing down (or even stopping) the rate at which new drugs enter the market. While you can argue that that's fine for the chewable tables and whatnot, you lose the truely "new and novel" drugs as well.


Not that I mentioned it before, but the widely accepted "average" cost per drug is US$1 billion. You can look it up. Since I didn't even include this number above, I'm sure I didn't distort it. You may now commence accusing me of distorting it. US$10 billion should be plenty. If not, raise it. Its just more efficeint at giving money to the drug companies and drugs to people.

Quote:
The companies know how much it costs them to do their work. They know how much they have to make over the lifetime of a drug. They're going to find a way to charge enough to cover those costs.


No, they are going to charge as much money as the market allows. As you have so verbosely pointed out on so many other occasions. Why you abandon it now in favor of this benevolant entity only trying to charge enough to cover costs is beyond me. And if a person's life depends on it...

Quote:
If you attempt to legistlatively prevent them from doing so, all you will accomplish is slowing down (or even stopping) the rate at which new drugs enter the market. ...you lose the truely "new and novel" drugs as well.


I don't. I'd repeat my argument, but it's right there and I don't see you actually reading it this time.

If you can't re-patent an old drug under a new name by making a trivial variation in structure, it would force innovation, also, as you basically point out in your post.

By the way, you're just flat wrong about publically funded reasearch being a drop in the bucket.

Quote:
I think the article in question is gravely overstating the benefits of the generic drugs India produces,


Considering that poor people are worthless to you, that isn't really a surprise. To the vast majority of society, human life is considered important.

If you'd like to actually provide a source for any of your erronious statements, we can continue.
#22 Apr 03 2007 at 3:27 PM Rating: Decent
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yossarian wrote:
Not that I mentioned it before, but the widely accepted "average" cost per drug is US$1 billion. You can look it up. Since I didn't even include this number above, I'm sure I didn't distort it. You may now commence accusing me of distorting it. US$10 billion should be plenty. If not, raise it. Its just more efficeint at giving money to the drug companies and drugs to people.


Widely accepted by whom?

That's the cost to make "that drug". But that does not include the cost (as I explained earlier) to make the 20-30 other drugs that failed at some step along the way and the company never saw a profit on. Now, they don't spend that full 1B on each of those because many fail early in the process, but they still cost the company money.

Everyone loves to look at the company with the new wildly successful drug and point at their profit margins. What they don't look at is the 100 other pharmaceutical companies who *didn't* make a new wildly successful drug and are running in the red and have for the last decade. They don't look at the investors and undewriters of these ventures, who have to look at the entire industry, not just the tail end of the successful parts of it (which is where the big name companies come in that most of us think of). They don't count the money that is spent industry wide.

It's a lot more then 1B per drug.

Quote:
No, they are going to charge as much money as the market allows. As you have so verbosely pointed out on so many other occasions. Why you abandon it now in favor of this benevolant entity only trying to charge enough to cover costs is beyond me. And if a person's life depends on it...


Yes. They'll charge what the market will bear. What part of what I said makes you think otherwise? However, natural market forces tend to create a system where the amount that companies charge for their products is related to their cost to product the product and the value/benefit that product generates.

This process results in a reduction of cost to the consumer over time. Always. It results in an improvement in the quality of the product over time. Always. What makes this happen is the very profit motive that some people seem to want to eliminate from the process. You take away that motive and the people who make these things stop doing it.

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If you attempt to legistlatively prevent them from doing so, all you will accomplish is slowing down (or even stopping) the rate at which new drugs enter the market. ...you lose the truely "new and novel" drugs as well.


I don't. I'd repeat my argument, but it's right there and I don't see you actually reading it this time.

If you can't re-patent an old drug under a new name by making a trivial variation in structure, it would force innovation, also, as you basically point out in your post.


I agree. However, the proper way to deal with that is to be more stringent with patents (and I still haven't gotten an answer as to whether that grants them a "new" patent on the new product, or extends the patent on the old). I'm not opposed to India's approach to this. What I *am* opposed to is the radical opposition position that argues that we should take the private enterprise component out of the equation and simply subsidize research directly with flat rates from the government. I believe that that would be a disaster for a number of reasons.

The basic problem I have is when people respond to the occasional free-market excess by arguing for a complete replacement of that system with one where the government sets the definition of "success" and pays for it based on some semi-arbitrary set of rules. That was my primary concern, not India's stricter patent laws.


Quote:
By the way, you're just flat wrong about publically funded reasearch being a drop in the bucket.


No. I'm not.

Quote:
Quote:
I think the article in question is gravely overstating the benefits of the generic drugs India produces,


Considering that poor people are worthless to you, that isn't really a surprise. To the vast majority of society, human life is considered important.


Ah. Nice little ad-hominum assuption there.

Funny. I talk about this all the time. How the methodology of the "cause" becomes a replacement for the objective itself. So "supporting socialized medicine" become synonymous with "helping poor people recieve better medical care". Of course, once you equate those, anyone who opposes the process you support therefore opposes the *people* you believe your process will help. And only coincidentally, it makes it easier to continue to support the process without ever actually assessing whether it's working or not. After all, you want to help people, right? Once you've made that assumptive equivalence between "helping poor people" and whatever methodology you've come to believe will do that, you no longer have to actually determine if the methodology is working.


You're supporting short term benefit at the cost of long term benefit. Which is a valid position to take. I just wish you (and others) would at least acknowledge the cost of what you want. When you walk into a drug store today, where do you think all the cheap and available drugs came from? At some point, they were expensive "new drugs". Every single one of them. Your fundamental argument is that it's "wrong" for companies to make those expensive drugs because the poor people of the world can't afford them. But those expensive new drugs eventually become the cheap common drugs that everyone can afford. You just have to wait. While those in need may want/need the best/newest drugs, and it certainly may seem unfair that they can't afford them, if we demand a change to the system such that those drugs are affordable (at the expense of the companies that make them), then over time the rate at which new drugs appear will slow and perhaps even stop. And then they'll *never* become the cheap common drugs that you can buy in a store for a few bucks.

If you're ok with that, then say so. But don't pretend that there's no cost.


Quote:
If you'd like to actually provide a source for any of your erronious statements, we can continue.


Common sense? A more then passing understanding of economic factors? It's not rocket science. If you don't allow companies that spend massive amounts of money and take massive amounts of finanicial risk to reap rewards in proportion to those costs and risks, then they'll stop doing it. It's a pretty basic component of economics.

Would you invest every cent you own into a high risk venture if you knew that even if the venture succeeded the government would step in and ensure that your profit margin did not exceed some specific level? Or would you invest in something a bit safer? See. If the system we adopt artificially caps the profit margins, we also artificially cap the risk levels that will be taken. No one will take a risk beyond a point at which the cap makes it worth doing. Pharmaceutical research is *incredibly* risky. Arguably the highest failure rate of any business venture. Take away the high rewards for success and no one will invest in it anymore.


And don't say "We'll just fund it with government money". It wont work. Because the only way it would work is if the government either wrote blank checks for research (which would be a disaster because then tons of people would try to cheat the system just to get the funding, with no intention of generating a successful product), or if the government provided a high "reward" for a successful product. The latter would need to be sufficiently high to cover not only the costs for the product that succeeded but all the costs for all the products that failed as well. It would be *vastly* more expensive to do it that way. We're literally better off having the government subsidize the end product in terms of consumer purchase instead (like the health care initiative that Bush adopted that most everyone here slammed). Because then you're funding only "successful" products in the direct and exact numbers in which they are used by your population that needs them. It's the "cheapest" way to do what was proposed that will still retain the incentives for companies to bother to research new products in the first place.

But that's a horrible idea, isn't it? Yet I guess just plopping down a straight 10B for any "successful" drug is ok... Um. Hmm...
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#23 Apr 03 2007 at 4:02 PM Rating: Decent
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Common sense? A more then passing understanding of economic factors?


Charisma? A basic grasp of logic? Integrity?

We are listing things you don't possess right?
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#24 Apr 04 2007 at 10:34 AM Rating: Decent
Dear gbaji,

You provide no evidence. Rational discussion ends. Strictly for humor value:

gbaji wrote:
[quote=yossarian]
Would you invest every cent you own into a high risk venture if you knew that even if the venture succeeded the government would step in and ensure that your profit margin did not exceed some specific level? Or would you invest in something a bit safer?


Virtually every high risk enterprise has been achieved by the bounty system I suggest, or total government funding.

And you still don't get it: my initial post clearly stated that companies would have a choice:

(A) Take significant government assistance and then you get a fixed "bounty" for the discovery

or

(B) Accept no government assistance and charge whatever you like.

As you continuously fail at reading comprehension, further discourse it pointless. But this is the assylum, so the particular charm you bring is part of the ambiance.

By all means, continue offering proof the name well deserved.
#25 Apr 04 2007 at 10:40 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Everyone loves to look at the company with the new wildly successful drug and point at their profit margins. What they don't look at is the 100 other pharmaceutical companies who *didn't* make a new wildly successful drug and are running in the red and have for the last decade.


Are there major players in the pharmaceutical that are unprofitable? If so, who?
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#26 Apr 04 2007 at 4:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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Queen Annabella wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Everyone loves to look at the company with the new wildly successful drug and point at their profit margins. What they don't look at is the 100 other pharmaceutical companies who *didn't* make a new wildly successful drug and are running in the red and have for the last decade.


Are there major players in the pharmaceutical that are unprofitable? If so, who?


Your question contains within it one of the first flaws of your line of reasoning. You say "major players". Obviously the major players are profitable. But that's because the major players are the tail end of the process. They mostly buy out smaller companies when those companies hit on something valuable. But the total cost of the industry is absorbed by the investors anyway. I think you'd be surprised at how many pharmaceutical companies there are. You may know a half dozen "major players" names, but you likely have never heard of the hundreds of minor companies that do most of the truely new research.

You are correct that the big guys largely take what is already there and run them through trials and market the end result. That's because they are already big enough to be able to afford that. But the true breakthroughs occur at smaller companies, with names you've likely never heard of. Those guys go belly up all the time. That's where the high risk really is.

Here's an interesting article that I found when doing a quick search. It's an investment analysis of biotech/pharma companies. There's some very telling information there. An excerpt:

Quote:
Assuming an average price to sales ratio of 10, $5.5 Billion of drug revenues need to be earned. Although $5.5 Billion does not sound a lot considering biotechnology blockbuster drugs like Aranesp/Epogen, Neupogen/Neulasta or Rituxan, which together had revenues for the first 9 months of 2002 of $3.9 billion, the issue is that approximately 1400 private biotechnology companies received significant funding in the last six years and if they, absurdly though, all have to share the $5.5 Billion revenues, only $4 Million would be available for each of them. On the other hand according to the Biotechnology Industry Association 370 biotechnology products are in late stage clinical trials. The potential to close the $5.5 Billion revenue gap is certainly within reach but how many companies can reap the benefit and secure their long-term survival? Considering both thought experiments, interesting times are ahead.


The 5.5B number is an estimated profit target that would need to be hit to make investment worth doing (at least that's what I got from that section of it). They're basically saying that while that does not seem like a lot when you look at a couple "successes" in the industry, it is a problem if you're looking at the entire field of companies. In this case 1400 of them. Clearly, a whole lot of those companies are going to fail to produce any profits so that a handful can reap that 5.5B (this was in 2003).


Um. I'm still poking around to see if I can find an actual table somewhere that shows actual bankruptcy rates of pharma companies in comparison to other industries. I did find a snippet in this article. It's primarily focused on Canadian industries, but there's a couple interesting points:

Quote:
There are few layoffs in this sector. Nineteen% of the workers who left the industry did so because of a shortage of jobs, compared to 46% for all industries. In the sector, 22% quit voluntarily versus 20% for all of Canada. Fifty-nine% left the industry for other reasons such as: sickness, maternity, and bankruptcy, as opposed to 35% for the whole nation. (Source: HRDC)


Unless we assume that workers in the Pharma industry get sick or pregnant more often then everywhere else, it's reasonable to conclude from that statement that pharma companies go bankrupt at a higher rate then others (or at least that people working in that industry lose their jobs more often due to companies going bankrupt).

And this little gem:

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The percentage of sales invested in R&D depends on patent protection laws. Before 1988, companies invested approximately 4% of sales in R&D. After Bill-C91, companies invested 10% to 11% of sales in R&D.


Hmmm... Greater protection of patents resulted in a greater percentage of sales being reinvested into R&D. In this case about 2 and a half *times* as much investment after the bill in question increased the patent protection period from 17 to 20 years.

Not to belabor the obvious, but that's a pretty critical fact when considering this topic. I've been arguing all along that if you remove the ability for pharma companies to profit (via holding and use of patents on their products), you will stifle the growth and research of new drugs. Here's some pretty solid evidence that I'm absolutely correct. R&D rates are directly related to how protected the patents are. And it's not exactly a confusing connection. If the companies know that they'll get a longer profit period, they'll be more willing to risk a larger percentage of their profits in R&D. If they don't, they're going to be much more cautious about spending the company funds and will restrict their research to things that have a safer return (which will also tend to be the less inovative products as well).

But no amount of facts will convince anyone I suppose. If you start out hating big profitable companies for the mere fact that they are "big" and "profitable", nothing I say will change you mind. Sadly IMO, cause you're being irrational and if we adopt those irrational ideas and make them policy we'll all suffer for it.
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