http://www.oscars.org/79academyawards/noms.html
Yes, I'm a degenate gambler.
I think Whitaker is guaranteed to win Best Actor, and Helen Mirren for best actress.
I think Alan Arkin will win for supporting, and that the little girl from Little Miss Sunshine will win in a surprise, because really, Whitaker will pretty much use up the darky quotient for the year.
Cars will probably win the animated category, but I don't really have an opinion there.
I like Pan's Labyrinth for art direction, as it had the most lusciously filmed scene of a fisherman being beaten to death with a bottle ever.
Cinematography is a tough one. I'd tend to say Pan's Labyrinth again, as the faceless white child eating monster was filmed brilliantly. I have no idea why 'The Prestige' or 'The Illusionist" are even in this category, and Black Daliah was well filmed, but it looks like ever other Brian Depalma movie.
Costuming, I have no idea, but if "Prada" wins I'll shake my fist in rage.
Directing, I think it has to be Scorsese's turn by now, even though Departed is easily the weakest film he's been nominated for. On the other hand, the Academy's felating of Eastwood seems to know no bounds, so that wouldn't surprise me.
Inconvenient Truth should win the best doc pretty easily, I'd think. I was surprised "This Film Is Not Yet Rated" wasn't nominated, but I guess messing with the MPAA isn't conducive to getting Oscar nominations.
Short subject and editing, I have no idea about.
Apocolypto will probably win makeup, depending how many Jews vote.
Pan's will win forgiven language.
Notes on a Scandal will probably win for score, because Phillip Glass is due.
I imagine one of the three Dreamgirls songs will win best song, but it'd be funny if they didn't.
Little Miss Sunshine is definitely the best picture of the nominees, but Babel will probably win.
Adapted Screenplay should go to Borat, but it won't The Departed probably wins even though the changes made from Infernal Affairs only made it a weaker film.
Original screenplay is a tough call this year. Pan's was certainly well written, but the academy tends to like complicated ensemble writing so I think Babel probably wins here.