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#352 Feb 08 2007 at 10:17 AM Rating: Good
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http://www.science.house.gov/

For anyone not caring to read this thread, that above link has a webcast of the actual legitamate version of of this argument with people who don't need to go google surfing to sustain their stances.

I just listened to most of it in my car.
From what i gather; in the passed 20,000 years the CO2 parts per million were like 150 until around after the Ice age it increases to 200 something. In the last 100 years it has increased to around 370 parts per million.
however levels of CO2 WERE that high apparently around 650,000 years ago.

The difference in naturally made greenhouse gasses and manmade can be found through isotopic properties. There is a vast differents in the isotopes of volcanic activity, cow farts, and fossil fuel burning.

There is also the matter of that the "mini-Ice Age" which ended around the late 1750s marked the begining of yet another of dozens of warming cycles.

The gist however is that responsible science would decree to travel the road that points to the most relevant and well proven theories at the given time. That is why something should be done... on a LARGE scale. I'm not talking about emmisions tests... more like factories...

China has already said that it will do nothing about it's emmisions on the weekly coal pplants that they will be building for the next couple decades.
This gives America the incentive to do nothing as well.
It really would be bad for buisness if China kept growing and we halted ourselves because of something that may be untreatable anyway.
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#353REDACTED, Posted: Feb 08 2007 at 11:17 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Oh goodie. Does that mean easily understood and proved economics is on the table? No minimum wage now right? 99% across the board reductions in taxation levels right? Too bad the socialist left has burned all their credibility bridges. It's no surprise they are seeking new justification for regulatory and taxation power under less clearly understood science ever since the scientific foundations for their "planning society" have been wholly demolished, and generations to come are left with their debt, mega inflation fiat money system, and massive rent seeking bureacratic dependents. Oh, but they want more power to fix things, 'cause history shows they are oh so qualified. Guess you shoulda stopped crying wolf in the 1930s.
#354 Feb 08 2007 at 11:21 AM Rating: Good
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If you're going to change the subject you should just start another thread.
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#355REDACTED, Posted: Feb 08 2007 at 11:35 AM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Just making an example of the difference between "argument", as regarding global warming, and "proof", as regarding ecnomics. You expect argument to be followed when you yourself drive the wrong way down a street of proof?
#356 Feb 08 2007 at 11:45 AM Rating: Decent
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All I can say is that I sure hope the skeptics are right. Barring some Deus Ex Machina solution (Shipstones, anyone?), the world cannot significantly reduce the emissions of greenhouse gasses over the next 100 years. If the skeptics are right, this is ok and we can all live the rest of our lives without concern for our grandchildren or great-grandchildren. If on the other hand, the earth should experience a significant reduction in habitability, we will all be dust anyway so no worries!
#357 Feb 08 2007 at 11:53 AM Rating: Good
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Quote:
such that mankind's activities will be responsible for 42.9% (6 divided by 14 times 100) of the average earth temperature? Bull ****. You're full of ****.


Actually, I believe that it was ACTAULLy more like 30 something per cent of the current difference in CO2 parts per million is suspected to the caused by human activity.

ANd how am I full of ****? I'm just telling you what I heard, so unless you are a scientist who has been actually studiying this scientifically, you are just as full of **** as I am.
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#358 Feb 08 2007 at 11:55 AM Rating: Default
naatdog wrote:
the world cannot significantly reduce the emissions of greenhouse gasses over the next 100 years.


Take a look back 100 years ago from today. Look at all the technology which was invented during that time. Now you think you have accurately predicted and accounted for the technology of the next 100 years? It's always these barren, gloomy, doomsday Bladerunneresque predictions from the left. Think positive, man. Take two helium balloons and tie an electromagnetic greenhouse gas absorbing rake or comb between them to clean the pollution.

It's the same old tragedy of the the socialist commons, nobody owns the air or the water so it's polluted and overfished. Think like a capitalist, like a solver of problems, and find profitable uses for greenhouse emissions which can be attatched to tailpipers and factory smokestacks, and bam, problem solved. Then you can pay people to collect greenhouse gas emissions at the sources. Well, wtf are you waiting for? Get to work!
#359REDACTED, Posted: Feb 08 2007 at 12:02 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Oh no, please don't tell me we're going to get bogged down for 3 pages on something like this again. Take is slowly. CO2 is not temperature. Got that? Just because CO2 parts per million molecules goes up 30% does not mean TEMPERATURE is going up 30%. That's what I just showed, by the reductio absurdum method, the claims of greenie wackos predicting a six degrees celsius rise in the current average earth temperature of 14 degrees celsius? You think it's anywhere near a credible assertion that fossil fuel burning activities would be responsible for 42.9% of the planet's average temperature (even 30% if you take out of 20 degrees celsius average planet temperature 14 degrees celsius is natural, and 6 degrees celsius is man-made)?
#360 Feb 08 2007 at 12:10 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kelvyquayo the Irrelevant wrote:
with people who don't need to go google surfing to sustain their stances.
Hey, now. I've been using a search engine for perr-reviewed journals. Using Google gives you crap like junkscience.com.
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#361 Feb 08 2007 at 12:31 PM Rating: Good
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Quote:
That's what I just showed, by the reductio absurdum method, the claims of greenie wackos predicting a six degrees celsius rise in the current average earth temperature of 14 degrees celsius? You think it's anywhere near a credible assertion that fossil fuel burning activities would be responsible for 42.9% of the planet's average temperature (even 30% if you take out of 20 degrees celsius average planet temperature 14 degrees celsius is natural, and 6 degrees celsius is man-made)?


The claims are that the temperature rise is due to all greenhouse gasses, not just CO2. You are trolling and nitpicking.

That link that I posted has a damn webcast of the most current legitamate debate. I am not saying that it is concrete or that it is 100% truth. That IS what it IS. Your agruing about this is utterly pointless. Argue with some real scientists if you want to get your rocks off. Don't try to argue with us about some random **** that you found and then try to act all superior because we can't explain it. Are we fUcking scientists? No.

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#362 Feb 08 2007 at 12:36 PM Rating: Decent
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Its the capitalists that got us into this mess. Capitalism has no way to place a value on the destruction of the environment. Capitalists would still be pumping out DDT, CFCs, and asbestos because there is no purely economic incentive not to.

I don't think you can measure the percent increase in temperature by using 0 in your particular scale as a baseline. By your example:

Old Temp New Temp % increase
14 C 20C 6/14*100=42.9%
57 F 68 F 11/57*100= 19.2%
287 K 293 K 6/287*100 = 2%
(note that all these temperatures are equivalent, allowing I rounded to whole numbers)
#363 Feb 08 2007 at 12:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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Are we fUcking scientists? No.
But we wish we were. Madam Curie was hawt.

The radium makes it tingly...
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#364 Feb 08 2007 at 12:48 PM Rating: Good
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Quote:
I don't think you can measure the percent increase in temperature by using 0 in your particular scale as a baseline. By your example:

Old Temp New Temp % increase
14 C 20C 6/14*100=42.9%
57 F 68 F 11/57*100= 19.2%
287 K 293 K 6/287*100 = 2%
(note that all these temperatures are equivalent, allowing I rounded to whole numbers)


The State of Climate Change Science 2007
The Findings of the Fourth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Working Group I Report


Webcast on the right side of the page.
they cover all of this. It's quote amusing how they argue. They are not nice.

Quote:
Madam Curie was hawt.


/barf
You've been watching too many Yahoo Serious moviesSmiley: tongue

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#365REDACTED, Posted: Feb 08 2007 at 1:58 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post)
#366 Feb 08 2007 at 2:40 PM Rating: Decent
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Since you linked the Wiki, you might want to read (or perhaps already have) this article. "Capitalism" is a loaded word; and means different things to different people. Perhaps the word is conjuring different meanings for the various readers of this thread.

The creation of carbon taxes, carbon trading markets, tax incentives for efficiency or emission control, etc. are all ways that our 21st Century version of mixed-market capitalism could do just what you suggest, create economic incentives for people to clean up their act. Your suggestion to "invent" a use for greenhouse gasses is putting the cart before the horse. If we regulate reduced emissions and create immediate economic disincentives for the use of environmentally harmful materials (a'la DDT, CFCs and asbestos), market forces will take care of the necessary innovation to create alternatives.

Human history is littered with civilizations that could not see beyond their immediate needs. Sometimes the horizon was the life of the leader, today it seems to be the next election cycle, but the world changes slowly and over generations. This is why our elected officials will most likely continue to make speeches and proclaim lofty goals that are never met. I read an Op-Ed piece in the the Washington Post saying that the topic of reducing our dependence on foreign oil has appeard in 24 of the last 34 State of the Union addresses, while the percentage of oil imported by this country has gove from 25% to 60% in the same 34 years. Empty rhetoric shall surely get thee elected!

While the technology of daily life has changes a lot in the past 100 years, the technology of fuel has changed little. With the exception of nuclear power (France and Japan are, I believe, the only nations that derive a significant portion of their energy from nuclear) we are using the same fossilized hydrocarbons that have feuled the industrial revolution for a century and half. Forget the CO2 hockey-stick; take a look at the population graph. Now imagine how much energy each of those people wants to use, especially those in the so-called developing world.
#367REDACTED, Posted: Feb 08 2007 at 3:09 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Right, "capitslism" is definitely a loaded word nowadays. Free market private property and free trade is better. Nah, is the only choice, unless you believe in anything other than consensual sex. I absolutely agree governments have partnered with business to steal and pollute. History is littered with the collapse of socialist "civilizations". It's not really a solid civilization if it's held together by the brute force of pillaging, raping, and murdering, all a-social actions. Voting to rob, rape, or murder isn't any less a-social.
#368 Feb 08 2007 at 7:29 PM Rating: Decent
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MonxDoT wrote:
Kelvyquayo the Irrelevant wrote:
The claims are that the temperature rise is due to all greenhouse gasses, not just CO2.


Whatever, all greenhouse gasses caused by mankind, it doesn't matter. It's still an absolutely absurd claim to say it would raise the average global temperature by 6 degrees celsius.

Actually, that's an entirely legitimate claim. It makes perfect sense, if you're not an idiot troll.
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#369 Feb 08 2007 at 10:30 PM Rating: Good
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naatdog wrote:
Its the capitalists that got us into this mess. Capitalism has no way to place a value on the destruction of the environment. Capitalists would still be pumping out DDT, CFCs, and asbestos because there is no purely economic incentive not to.


Really? So, if your hypothesis is true, then we'd expect to see better emissions controls in nations like China and the former Soviet Union, right? Hah. Funny that the exact opposite ends up actually being true.

You're presenting a "false dilemna". The fact is that capitalism does not directly have much to do with the problem. The same lack of incentive to prevent ecological damage exists in all economic forms. What actually matters is the degree to which the government form being used will actually take steps to correct for environmental issues.

And in that area, a democratic capitalism ends up being a very good system. Since your industries are separate from your government it's actually *easier* for government to regulate the industries. The more government control/ownership of industry in your system, the less inclined the government will be to do anything about it since the "cost" comes from them. In a democratic capitalism the majority of voters are *not* going to be stockholders in every industry, thus it's much easier to get them to apply pressure to industry and government alike to correct for environmental issues.


In short. The trend actually ends up being exactly the opposite of what you stated.
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#370 Feb 08 2007 at 10:48 PM Rating: Decent
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It's not capitalism that's the problem; it's industrialism.
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we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#371 Feb 08 2007 at 10:57 PM Rating: Good
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I'd also like to take the time to point out that perhaps a bigger issue then raw industry and CO2 emissions is the ratio of forests to industry within a geographical area. I think I touched on this before, but I think it's a huge deal. As I (and some others) have pointed out, there was a study done to attempt to measure the impact that the US (actually North America as a whole) was causing in terms of greenhouse gasses (specifically CO2 levels). The conducted a really simple experiement. They measured the air off the West cost and off the East coast. The presumption is that since the prevailing winds travel west to east, that the increase in value would be an accurate measurement of how much CO2 was *actually* entering our atmosphere (not just being emitted at ground level).

The results startled them, since they discovered that there was actually *less* CO2 in the atmosphere off the East coast, meaning that the North American continent was acting as a CO2 sink (absorbing more CO2 then it generated). We can quibble about how much industry we have and how much CO2 we're generating and for how long this sink will continue before its saturated or something (although I think that's absurd since I'd assume it would simply increase plant growth, causing an automatic "green" correction system). In any case, unless there's something completely flawed with their data, this does suggest two things:

1. Whatever environmental impact in terms of "global warming" has already occured as a result of CO2 emissions, the US was not causing it (since whatever saturation point there may be can't have been reached yet since industry has presumably been growing faster then forests over the last 100 years or so). Thus, we're "off the hook" in terms of blame for that degree or so of increase (again assuming *that's* accurate).

2. It would seem that the correct "solution" is twofold. Ideally, a combination of emission control regulation *and* reforestation (or other planttype that is large and leafy and ideally suited for CO2 scrubbing) should be used. It's not enough just to reduce emissions, we should *also* be increasing the volume of plants on the globe that will scrub the CO2 for us. This should occur naturally as a result of increased CO2 anyway (plants should grow faster with more CO2 available). It's likely that deforestation is a more significant impact event to global warming then industrialization. We're both increasing CO2 *and* preventing forest growth that would balance that out automatically.


Just something to think about that I think a lot of people miss. We tend to over focus on changing industry, when it might just be more efficient for more nations to do what the US did about a century ago (setting aside huge areas for national forests). It could very well be that Teddy Roosevelt did more to prevent global warming then anything that's been done since...
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#372 Feb 09 2007 at 2:57 AM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
2. It would seem that the correct "solution" is twofold. Ideally, a combination of emission control regulation *and* reforestation


Wow, wow, wow! Hold on to your horses there, buddy!

Are you actually suggesting that "man-made global warming" is not an European-socialist-conspiracy to put industries under their control? Are you actually suggesting that we should take action to control emission regulation?

Can I then please have an apology for you saying that we were all fools, decieved by our socialist governemnts that just wanted to revert to a worldwide state-owned industry system?

Or, barring an apology for insulting us, can i just have "I was totally wrong about that theory, and it was a ridiculous statement to make?"
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#373 Feb 09 2007 at 7:27 AM Rating: Decent
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I'm not good at quoting; but Gbaji is correct in that I miscategorized "capitalists" and that developing nations, whether democratic capitalist (India) or totalitarian socialist/capitalist hybrid (China) are by far the worst contributors to all types of environmental pollution. My only excuse is that I was attempting to characterize Monoxdot's "all government regulation is anti-capitalist totalitarian evil" stance. As I said, capitalist and capitalism are loaded words that can be used to describe a wide variety of different social compacts. I would argue that the Europeans and Japanese, in general, have done a better job of dealing with pollution and emissions controls than the US. To what extent this relates to their "more socialist" political structure, who can tell?

My basic point was that in a free market economy with little or no government regulation, there are few incentives for a given industry to examine the long-term effects of its practices on the environment. Overfishing, overhunting and exhaustive farming practices are the clearest examples of this, since they have occurred in societies going back farther than recorded history.
#374 Feb 09 2007 at 7:49 AM Rating: Default
naatdog wrote:
My basic point was that in a free market economy with little or no government regulation, there are few incentives for a given industry to examine the long-term effects of its practices on the environment. Overfishing, overhunting and exhaustive farming practices are the clearest examples of this, since they have occurred in societies going back farther than recorded history.


Individuals who act are individuals who act, no matter what arbitrary government label you wish to ascribe. You commit the fallacy of a priori ascribing evil motivations to "capitalists" and good motivations to socialist "government regulators". It's best if we focus on concrete actually existing actions of pollution. Of course, you have to consider such basic actions as lighting a fire to create warmth. Is that to be banned if smoke pollution affects my body or property downwind? How about your exhaling CO2?
#375 Feb 15 2007 at 10:02 AM Rating: Default
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If you believe that humans have begun to have a catastrophic effect on Global tempreture, then what do you do about it. Ask any climate scientist and they'll repeat things to you that you've heard before.

Because it actually is fairly straightforward to make a huge difference to the amount of energy you use, and the amount of carbon you put into the air.

Taken all at once it's a bit daunting, but if you just start easing into it, it's all easy.

Replace your lights with energy efficient globes. Flick off lights when you leave the room. Turn off lights/music/computers before you leave the house. Turn things off, instead of leaving them on Standby.

Sign up to a power company that gets it's energy from Wind, Solar, Tidal or Geothermal power plants. There are plenty to choose from these days.

Shut curtains/blinds over the windows at nighttime. Get insulation in the roof. When renting, buying or building a new house, choose a house whose main windows all face towards the equator. You want smaller windows to the East and West, and almost no windows on the side of the house that faces the Pole.

Get a "solar-powered" hot water system.

Cut down on the plastic bags and packaging where possible. Own some cloth shopping bags. Aim to use things for a longer time before you have to replace them. Buy half the fashionable clothes that you would normally buy each season, and wear them twice as much, so that they are really well worn before you throw them out, and before they become unfashionable.

Pay a little extra for something that has been made closer to you than something that has had to be shipped from very far away.

Even if it's one day a week, replace a car journey by walking, riding or taking public transport.

So all these things you've heard before? And they sound so obvious, yes, but I'm just one one person. If I do those things, THAT'S not going to save the world, THAT's not going to make a huge difference.

Well, when scientists do the statistics, Someone who does all those things lowers their greenhouse contributions so drastically that they start being a negative contributer if they just go stand under a couple of trees.

Doing just half those things will make you carbon-neutral, if you don't count any air-plane travel, or the carbon dioxide your workplace puts out.

One individual won't change the world, but if every single person took one less car-rip a week, the cumulative change is massive. If you want to really punch above your weight, switch to ethanol mixed fuel, or totally ethanol fuel, or buy a hybrid car, or an electric one.

And if you want to get all serious about it, there are now companies that will grow and keep trees on your behalf, and provide you with a calculator to figure out how many trees you need to pay for to offset your air-plane flights overseas, and the running of big events, or an office workplace, or whatever.


Someone near the start wrote:
Quote:
The Earth has survived several major cataclysmic events (besides humanity) and hasn't turned into Venus yet.


Yes the Earth has survived. But when the climate has changed the most drastically, that's coincided with the major extinction events where 95% of the plant and animal species on the Earth at the time have died utterly.

The last times there were massive amounts of carbon-dioxide in the air, not only the equator, but the temporate zones were desert containing almost no plant life at all. The only place where plants were thriving was at THE POLES. There were no ice-feilds, and no glaciers. There was no spring melt-water from the winter snows. Just Rainforest in the places that occupied the space where Antarctica and the Arctic now are, and desert everywhere else. Think about that.

How would we cope if we had to tap groundwater to irrigate everything, because the only lush and thriving areas on Earth were in Antarctica, Alaska, Canada, Russia, Siberia and the Nordic countries?

It's not like scientists are predicting this worst-case scenario, unless all the developed countries keep doing exactly the same things they were doing in the nineties, and all the developing countries "caught up" and joined them, and IF a substantial number of the Earths feedback systems overloaded and broke down. (The North Atlantic current, the Amazon Rainforest, sea plankton, Siberian grasslands, etc etc)

But most of the life-style changes I mentioned are really easy to incorporate. You dont' have to totally stop using energy and putting out carbon-dioxide all together, in order to be responsible and a contributer to the solution. All you have to do is to reduce your energy use and carbon-dioxide output to a point where it balances out with the general Eco-system taking carbon-dioxide in.

If you do the things on the list, you really can have your luxury goods without being a contributer to the problem.





Edited, Feb 15th 2007 1:03pm by Aripyanfar
#376 Feb 15 2007 at 10:06 AM Rating: Excellent
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Necro-posting raises the Earth's temperature .01% every time it's done.
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