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#52 Jan 22 2007 at 10:30 AM Rating: Good
MuffinMan wrote:
I swear you all sound like your experts on the matter like you know more then the generals there do hell i'm sure president bush knows alot more then you will ever know.


Replace Bush with Iraq Study Group and generals with the Iraqi people and you're getting warmer. As your statement stands, put down the Fox "News" and rejoin reality.

Sometimes the king has no clothes and the only reason it goes on so long is people like you who say "but he paid a lot of money for the clothes - they must exist!" about which I care little.

This is a war, in which people die, about which I care a lot.

Either divide the country in three (which is happening already) or follow the Iraq Study Group - both (in my estimation) have a far, far greater chance of success then Bush's plan and could unite the nation.

However, the single best thing Bush could do for Iraq, the US, his Republican party, the world is to pull a Nixon: fire Cheney, replace him with someone dull but competent (say, Bob Dole) then resign himself.

Bush has no international credibility - and (finally) virtually none at home (took you guys long enough). If the nation is divided, all that is needed is enough troops to control the boarders - vastly less then is needed to pacify the entire nation. NATO will defend north Turkey from the Kurds. I'm certain someone credible could get the usual suspects to control the external boarders and bring back in the original coalition to help with internal boarders.



#53 Jan 22 2007 at 10:34 AM Rating: Good
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Don't blame me, I never voted for this bugger. I was out protesting initially and belong to a message board that is strongly anti-Bush.

By the way, has anyone seen Osama recently?

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#54 Jan 22 2007 at 10:39 AM Rating: Excellent
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Nekovivie, Guardian of the Glade wrote:
By the way, has anyone seen Osama recently?

The entire point of the war is that we haven't seen Osama recently, and hopefully, won't see him any time in the future, unless it's in front of a firing squad.
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#55 Jan 22 2007 at 11:14 AM Rating: Good
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:P I know, that was sarcasm.

I swore at the beginning of the war is was partly one hell of a distractionary technique so we'd forget about Osama. It took awhile, but it seems the vast majority of people have. I can't even remember the last time I saw him in the news, which is pretty pathetic.
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#56 Jan 22 2007 at 5:11 PM Rating: Good
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I don't understand why any major force of military personnel is still in Iraq. The nature of the combat is indeed urban warfare (and political idealism), not a type of battle you can just throw troops at.

I can see the need for specialists, especially diplomats, but it seems like all the ground troops can do are patrol neighborhoods and take pop shots from terrorists/insurgents or show up after a bomb goes off to survey the scene. It seems absurd to me to believe that such a small ratio of troops added to the mix will bring any positive results if so many have been there for almost four years without significant progress.

Meanwhile, 55,000-60,000 Iraqi civilians have been killed (iraqbodycount.net) and the country that started this whole mess is at a loss for understanding, predicting, explaining, or strategizing their presence there.

I have proposed a semi-comprehensive strategy for developing Iraq into a political entity and sent it in to my local representative. There are many groups that have proposed similar plans, both in the media and in published literature, that I believe would work much better than anything that has been attempted so far. The answers are there, their methods have not been attempted.

#57 Jan 22 2007 at 8:09 PM Rating: Good
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First off, I think it's silly to define "new plan" and "old plan" as either "leaving Iraq" or "staying in Iraq". That's incredibly simplistic and well... silly. It just seems like when the current course of action isn't working well, instead of say making adjustments to what we're doing, all anyone on the "other side" can think of it "leave now!!!".

Just because Bush's new plan does not include removing US troops from Iraq as soon as possible does not mean it's not "new" (again, unless you are actually arguing the illogical case I outlined above). My understanding is that they're changing deployment positions, changing some ROIs, and changing some aspects of how US and Iraqi troops operate together in some regions of the country. I'm sure there are literally hundreds of other minor changes that anyone not intimately familiar with staff level decisions made by the military in the region would understand. He did replace the top general as well, so that's going to automatically have an effect on how things are done.

If that general thinks that 20,000 more troops to help re-secure Bagdad in the short term will help things in the long run then maybe he has a better idea then you or I do? Dunno. Just a wild thought here...

I'm going to comment on an earlier statement that we're gambling with lives. That's absolutely correct. But *all* foreign policy is about gambling with lives. It's silly to assume that the only lives on the table here are those of US soldiers stationed in Iraq. How Iraq shapes up in the next 5 years may very well determine the direction the entire region goes in over the next 50 years. Will it become more violent and cause a massive increase in terrorism globally? Or will it become less violent and less of a source of terrorism? We simply cannot know the full impact of the decisions being made in the long term. However, I think it's safe to argue that the lives of the US soldiers stationed there is likely to be the *smallest* number of potential human lives at stake here. If things go right in Iraq it could easily mean the difference of hundreds of thousands and perhaps millions of lives over the next 50 years. If things go wrong, it could mean that same number in the opposite direction.


It's important to weigh those numbers as well. Just following a course that minimizes the loss of soldiers in the short term is pretty much a perfect example of "shortsighted thinking". Regardless of whether you agree or agreed with the set of circumstances that got us into Iraq, it does not change the fact that each and every one of us has a vested interest in how we get out of Iraq. I believe that working through the violence in Iraq today until it subsides and the nation stabilizes is worth the cost because I believe the cost in future lives if we fail will be hundreds, if not thousands of times higher.
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#58 Jan 22 2007 at 8:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
If that general thinks that 20,000 more troops to help re-secure Bagdad in the short term will help things in the long run then maybe he has a better idea then you or I do?
Maybe he does. He certainly has more information on it than I do.

Nevertheless, I remain unconvinced that it will make much difference so long as al-Maliki is continuing his incompetent term in the pocket of the Shiite factions and militias.

But that's neither here nor there towards the administration's "Yeah, well, what's your bright idea then?" style remarks.
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#59 Jan 22 2007 at 8:41 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
But that's neither here nor there towards the administration's "Yeah, well, what's your bright idea then?" style remarks.



Sure. But the other part of my post was. The "cost" of the war in Iraq should not be compared to "zero cost" on the other side without actually establishing what that other course of action would be and considering what *its* cost will be. I think questioning the lack of a "better idea" is incredibly valid in that light.

Too often, the loss of lives in Iraq is pretty obviously being compared to a presumed zero loss if we weren't there. I just don't think that's a valid comparison. I also fear that the pressure to "get our troops out of Iraq" is being generated and fueled without any real debate on the costs of doing so. I honestly believe that most people supporting that position really don't think there's any cost (or just plain haven't thought that far ahead).

It's just that I find it somewhat amusing (in my own sicko way) that almost without fail, those who argue the most strongly that Bush led us into this war with no plan or understanding of the costs entailed are also those who seem to argue the most for leaving Iraq without themselves having considered the costs entailed. If their position is truely about the "costs" and not just a blanket "I don't like war", or "I don't like Bush/Republicans", then shouldn't *their* position be based on an actual analysis of those costs?


Which brings us right back to the original question. Is there a "better" alternative? So far, no one's presented one. Not one that's actually been thought out fully at least...
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#60 Jan 22 2007 at 9:17 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Which brings us right back to the original question. Is there a "better" alternative? So far, no one's presented one. Not one that's actually been thought out fully at least...

r u srious u can't be srious


#61 Jan 23 2007 at 2:56 AM Rating: Decent
Demea wrote:
Nekovivie, Guardian of the Glade wrote:
By the way, has anyone seen Osama recently?

The entire point of the war is that we haven't seen Osama recently, and hopefully, won't see him any time in the future, unless it's in front of a firing squad.


I'm still pretty sure Osama is dead. It makes no sense otherwise. He hasn't given any messages, neither for Christmas, nor for the 9/11 5 year anniversary, he hasn't threatened infidels...

He's either dead or severely injured/ill.

In either case Osama is now irrelevant. And to be honest, the War on Terror was not about Osama. He's a puppet. Thinking that killing him would change anything, is like thinking that killing Bush will kill the neo-con ideology. Some other ******* will step up and do the job instead.

That's teh problem of the media, they tend to focus on an individual instead of a global movment. Simply because its much more simple: Osama, Saddam, now we have good old Mahmoud. They're all tools, and only the tiny tip of the giant iceberg.
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#62 Jan 23 2007 at 3:14 AM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Which brings us right back to the original question. Is there a "better" alternative? So far, no one's presented one. Not one that's actually been thought out fully at least...


Gbaji, even you have to admit this argument is extremely weak, and is the last refuge of a guy who's taken us, not just the U.S., into an incredibly bloody impasse.

It's bad-faithed because "better" alternatives were constantly presented along the way: Waiting for a UN mandate. Waiting for the inspectors to finish their work. Keeping the sanctions and pressure in place.

All those were rejected, and Bush went there gung-ho. Without any plans for reconstruction.

People (mostly generals) then said we should have more troops on the ground. We shouldn't disolve the army and the civil service. That we should work on the reconstruction of the country and reinstalling basic services (water, electricity), before building a freaking stock exchange. And then there was the looting. I did my Masters dissertation on the illegality of the economic reforms made by the CPA in Iraq, and you cannot believe how they got their priorities wrong and screwed up the place. 80% of the population is unemployed, and has been since the disbanding of the army and the public sector. Not only that but they wasted their time introducing a flat tax (!!), allowing foreign investors to buy anything in that the country without any obligations to put their profits back in the country. The CPA turned a socialist, oil-based, subsidy-rich economic system into a wild capitalist that doesn't exist anywhere else in the world. Needless to say this is completely illegal from an occupying force.

Then was the Baker reoprt, the diplomatic solution of talking to Iran and Syria, of getting more partners involved.

There have been shIt loads of alternatives presented to the Bush administration along the way, all of which have been turned down.

And now that we're stuck in this mess, so far away from "victory" that no one can even define what "victory" would be, he comes up and says "Well, got a better plan?"

It's weak.

Even you can admit that, surely.
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#63 Jan 23 2007 at 3:27 AM Rating: Decent
Monsieur RedPhoenixxx wrote:


Even you can admit that, surely.




I wouldn't hold your breath.
#64 Jan 23 2007 at 5:32 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Is there a "better" alternative? So far, no one's presented one. Not one that's actually been thought out fully at least...
Ah, because you (and the administration) don't like it, it hasn't been "thought out".

Because no one else has hit upon the notion that Iraqi will still be there and continue to be screwed after we leave. This is a special gem of knowledge that only you hold close to your heart. How sweet.

Actually, every single solution considers the post-US Iraq, ranging from "This idea may bring stability to a land divided into factions" to "It's going to dissolve into full out civil war sooner or later so there's no reason to sit around dying and waiting for later". But I suppose it's easier to just say "No one has any ideas so let's do what I wanted to do!" and then act as though you're the only one to have thought it through.
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