BloodwolfeX wrote:
What we need is a half-black, half-hispanic, gay, jewish female, midgit. Get it all over with at once.
Don't mind me. Just making a correction here...
I think when people talk about Obama's lack of experience, they're talking about both federal level in general, and "executive experience" in particular.
It's not just his short time in Congress. He has minimal experience operating at a federal level *at all*. Even working in a senior staff position at that level would count. He's got none. To my knowledge, he's done *nothing* at a federal level before being elected to Congress. That's a big deal. Most significant presidential candidates either have *long* stints in Congress, or have served at a high state level (governor for example, where you do work with the federal executive level quite a bit), or have served in senior positions in past administrations (cabinet level stuff typically). Obama has none of those.
He's also got no executive experience. There's a reason why the second two catagories I listed are far more common sources for successful presidential bids. Governors and senior presidential administration staff tend to do very well historically. In both cases, they've got experience running in an executive style capacity, which is radically different from legistlative offices.
Obama's in the worst of all catagories. No executive experience *and* short term in Congress *and* no other direct work with/in the federal level. I just think that makes him really questionable as a lead candidate. He might work as a Vice President, but even that's questionable. VP's are typically chosen for two reasons: They can bring in more districts to the ticket (which he *might*) *and* they bring some experience and/or contacts that are useful at the executive level. Obaman kinda meets the first criteria, but not the second. Obviously, those criteria aren't set in stone, and there are lots of VPs who didn't meet them, but I suspect he'd be pretty ineffective as vice president (a Dan Quayle if you will). I suppose if all you care about is winning the White House for Democrats, then this doesn't matter, but I would hope that voters would look beyond that when voting (sadly, my hopes in this manner are often proven wrong).
I don't know if Clinton can win either. In her case, she's got the necessary experience. In spades in fact. Being First Lady to a previous administration is about the best experience builder for learning how to be an effective president as I can think of. Her problem is the opposite of Obama's. Where he is charismatic and likable, she is mostly effective at making people dislike her. The word "shrill" comes to mind when thinking of her. She has an amazing ability to frame her positions in a way designed to maximize the number of people who dislike her for her position, even among people who might otherwise support her. That's a bad tendency for a presidential hopeful.
I'm honestly thinking that someone like Edwards would have a better chance at actually winning the whole thing. Not sure if the Dem primary process will give him the chance though. We'll see...